🏈 NFL Wild Card Sunday 1/11/26:
Jags ML
Eagles/Niners u44.5
Patriots -3
#WildCardWeekend
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Yert's Picks
33 posts
Yert's Picks
@YertySports
Good guesser with a LLM addiction. Picks ≠ promises.
Katılım Aralık 2025
2 Takip Edilen5 Takipçiler
🏈 NFL Wild Card Saturday 1/10/26:
Rams -10 - 1u
GB/CHI Under 44.5 - 1u
Playoff favorites of -10+ cover 82%. First-time playoff QBs just 35% ATS vs experienced signal callers. McVay 8-5 ATS in postseason.
3rd divisional meeting + 30mph gusts = under city.
#NFLWildCard
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@BookitWithTrent Our model is crushing spreads through bowl season and we're on Indiana as well. Believe in the process!
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My CFP Record:
Texas A&M -3❌
Ole Miss -17.5✅
Oregon -20.5❌
Oklahoma ML❌
Texas Tech +2.5❌
Alabama +7.5❌
Ohio State -7.5❌
Georgia -6.5❌
Ole Miss +3.5❌
Indiana -3.5❔
Unreal.
Eesti
I left big tech to fine tune an AI model to make all my CFB/NFL picks for the past few weeks.
Results so far:
64% win rate
25% ROI
+16 units
Spreads hitting at 72%. Totals at 72%.
Following along costs you nothing!
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🍑 CFB Playoff Peach Bowl 1/9/26:
Under 49 - 1.5u
Indiana -3.5 - 1u
Oregon missing their top 2 RBs against IU's #2 scoring defense. Moore took 6 sacks in the first meeting WITH a healthy backfield.
Market's overpricing the "hard to beat a team twice" narrative.
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🏈 CFB Playoff Fiesta Bowl 1/8/26:
Ole Miss +3 - 1u
Miami's pass rush is elite, but Chambliss has a 2.6-sec release—highest-graded QB under pressure in CFB.
Market's overpricing the coaching chaos narrative.
Taking the points!
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Thoughts and prayers up to the person that held the back door open for Tyler Shough. 1-0 on the day!
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🏈 NFL Week 18 Sunday (Early) Slate:
Model is not loving most of the early slate: motivational, weather, snap counts make it a tougher morning to get a confident read.
Only play coming out at 65% confidence:
Saints +4 -110 - 1u
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🏈 NFL Week 18 Sunday (Afternoon/Evening) Slate:
Bears -3 - 1u
Steelers +3.5 -1u
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🏈 NFL 49ers vs Seahawks:
Seattle -2.5 - 1u
JSN - o7.5 Receptions - 1u
Trent Williams likely OUT vs the NFL's best defense (historic -0.34 EPA since Week 7). Line moved 7 pts toward SEA. Seahawks 7-1 ATS on the road
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College ball is a completely different game in 2026.
Randy Hedberg@CoachRHedberg
There is over 4500 Division 1 football players that have entered the NCAA Transfer Portal as of today. This represents roughly one-third of all Division 1 players. I’m not sure all of these players will find a home. Never envisioned this occurring in college athletics
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🏈 NFL Panthers vs. Buccs:
Panthers +3
Tampa's 0-8 ATS streak isn't bad luck—it's systematic collapse.
Carolina is 7-0 ATS after losses. Sharp money agrees (line down from -3.5).
Same teams, same matchup, CAR won 23-20 two weeks ago.
Taking the points here. 🐆
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Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State
Under 53 -105 - 1u
Wake Forest's defense (21.5 PPG allowed, 4.5 YPP allowed) is elite and will contain a freshman QB with 54.5% completion rate. Both teams are run-heavy, which will shorten the game.
#DukesMayoBowl
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This is who you are betting against if you don’t use Yert’s Picks.
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CASH the Rose Bowl tickets. The Mendoza experience isn’t ready to end quite yet.
Back to +1.5u on the day!
Small lean on Ole Miss +6 tonight.
Yert's Picks@YertySports
NEW YEAR 2026 CFB: Texas Tech +2.5 - 1u Indiana -7 - 1u Under 48 - 1.5u Check back later for GA/OMiss.
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NEW YEAR 2026 CFB:
Texas Tech +2.5 - 1u
Indiana -7 - 1u
Under 48 - 1.5u
Check back later for GA/OMiss.
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NYE CFB Recap: 5-4-1
Props carried early success
Unders killed us today 📉
Iowa ✅ Miami ✅ locked in late
Michigan hurt
On to tomorrow! #TrustTheProcess #PicksNotPromises
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🏈 Cotton Bowl: Miami vs Ohio State
🔒 Miami +9.5 (-110) — 1u
Spread should be ~7. OSU OG Tshabola OUT vs Bain/Mesidor (121 pressures, 16 sacks). Miami D held Texas A&M to 3 pts. Canes 8-5 ATS. More likely Miami wins outright than OSU covers double digits.
#CottonBowl
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