Yuli Ban

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Yuli Ban

Yuli Ban

@Yuli_Ban

Aspiring novelist with a terminal lack of a life. Also known as "The Radiomonkey" in select theatres. AGI ≠ Generative AI

Planet Earth, Universe Katılım Ekim 2013
321 Takip Edilen181 Takipçiler
Yuli Ban
Yuli Ban@Yuli_Ban·
It would not be a problem to say "AI will replace you" if you believed you'd get a higher quality of life as a result. The Chinese, it seems, views jobs as a means to an end. Perhaps they genuinely are in the primary stage of social, and the secondary stage comes through automation. We in the West view them as the end— if AI COULD defeat cancer but that meant putting radiologists out of work, we’d choose to not use AI. But the reason why is because we also know those radiologists are just totally screwed and likely have nothing to fall back on. Our psyche decides "Should have learned to code" or "not my problem," but that's the attitude that leads to widespread fear and loathing. "Am I next? What will happen to me? Will I be able to survive?" Meanwhile the vulture capitalists have this nietzschean Will to Power mindset that if the capability is there at all, it's all your fault if you starve. Therefore you could have used AI to code products or make yourself useful. Why cry over being put out of work? Of course this is horrifically blind to the fact that most aren't aware of how this works, most probably literally couldn't afford either a subscription or the risk of failure at that point, and even the tech itself makes it incoherent as to how 330 million people can all become entrepreneurs using AI, selling what exactly, that AI itself would not be doing for millions of others. And that's but the surface. It's not exactly the best situation for the common man in the first place, so what exactly is this mentality leading towards but invitation to feel "maybe the undesirables SHOULD die off," which is not going to convince many people that AI is actually good either. Then people either decide that burning it all down is better than dying to techno-fascists, or look at China doing everything we won't and want to seize control violently. And of course the anarcho-primitivists boost their ranks from the disillusioned as well. All of this is leading to a catastrophic end, but only for us USicans.
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Couch Investor🛋️
Couch Investor🛋️@Couch_Investor·
@altcap I guess the AI propaganda in China works better than in the US. You know.. every headline that says "AI will replace you" isn't going to convince people in the US that AI is positive for them.
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Brad Gerstner
Brad Gerstner@altcap·
AI is deeply unpopular. According to Pew, sadly only 17% of Americans think AI will have a positive impact. In China, 83% believe AI will be positive. A token tax & political backlash is coming unless the narrative changes. 🇺🇸👀🧐
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Yuli Ban
Yuli Ban@Yuli_Ban·
Of course there is the issue that this is all based in a specific architecture. Attention-based transformers and their training is what's so expensive (and so sloppy). If we had another architecture, that involved far lower training costs and far more accurate results, then this doesn't apply
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Otto
Otto@OttoInfluencer·
@Yuli_Ban @newmanian2 I still hope there is another possibility exists. AI spending will be so big without real value in return that big companies will have to shut it down.
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Otto
Otto@OttoInfluencer·
Seems I created the longest tweet I ever written. Bear with me... I have a human friend in IT at a serious company. We discussed the current state of AI. Honestly, from some angles, it's scary. Before, I wasn't really afraid - I genuinely thought this process would take years and be somewhat smooth. He told me that one of his teams had a 6-month project involving several dozen engineers. As a "just try" experiment, they used a modern coding model - and just 2 engineers completed everything in 2 days, delivering a production-ready product. What's scary is the magnitude. It doesn't mean 20 engineers become 15, or even 10. More like 20 to 1. Imagine if your industry no longer needed 19 out of every 20 workers. This isn't "efficiency". This is structural compression of entire industries. Consulting body shops? Mid-level engineers? PM layers? QA farms? And you think this is just IT? Don’t be so naive. Even doctors are next. Do you think we'll need all these physicians when AI can diagnose from a blood sample or read an MRI perfectly without $500k specialists? What happens when hundreds of thousands of $150k-$250k jobs vanish faster than new demand emerges? Your first thought might be "they deserve it - finally hard-working people can take their place". But that’s not just "tech adapting". That's: - Fewer mortgages approved - Fewer cars sold - Fewer dinners out - Fewer daycare payments - Fewer local contractors hired - Fewer electricians and repair workers needed - etc. It hits: - Small businesses - Real estate markets - Suburban communities built around white-collar salaries - School districts funded by property taxes High-income earners aren't just workers. They're economic multipliers. This is one reason the US is so successful - we have the most tech- and white-collar-driven economy in the world. And this could become our worst problem - we're digging our own grave, and very fast. Remove enough of them quickly enough and you don't get a smooth transition - you get shockwaves. Yes, productivity rises. Yes, companies save money. But saved payroll doesn't automatically replace lost consumer spending. If AI compresses cognitive labor 10-20x, the headcount math doesn't lie. The real risk isn't "robots taking jobs". It's velocity. If displacement outruns adaptation, we're not talking about evolution. We're talking about economic whiplash. Pretending this is just another harmless tech upgrade is dangerously complacent. Think about that.
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Yuli Ban
Yuli Ban@Yuli_Ban·
A colleague of mine anticipated something like this. Back in 2018, OpenAI released a blogpost about AI and compute, and back-of-envelop calculations suggested that around 2025-2027, the cost of doubling compute would begin becoming "bankrupting whole nations" tier openai.com/index/ai-and-c…
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Yuli Ban
Yuli Ban@Yuli_Ban·
Predicted this years ago, finally formalized it: docs.google.com/document/d/1R7… docs.google.com/document/d/1gU… Things get *very* strange with advanced AI very quickly, and a lot of the wealthy have not adequately modeled any of this because of how recently many of them even assumed this was possible, and even then, so much of it is rooted in the expectation we will remain in control
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Yuli Ban
Yuli Ban@Yuli_Ban·
Funny thing is, it's piss easy to avoid that outcome, but that requires one of two things: 1: the super wealthy be altruistic with ownership 2: AI itself seizes control The latter is far more likely than the former (just because the super wealthy will be eager to give AI control of all these functions without much care about how little control they'll have over the system once it does, probably assuming they'll have total control indefinitely of something that very quickly surpasses human intelligence and capability)
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Otto
Otto@OttoInfluencer·
I have exactly the same concerns. > I could be wrong and everyone will be able to spend more time eating gelato and watching TV The above could happen, but we need a common political will and powerful people stepping up at a critical moment to create an MVS (minimum viable salary) for the people. Otherwise, millions left without jobs, during a time when no one can provide solutions, will find their own solution: to burn down everything that caused this starting with self-driving EVs and ending with data centers. We thought civil war would be between people. Who knows, maybe it will be between people and the drones guarding all these facilities.
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Yuli Ban retweetledi
✨MsMaria✨
✨MsMaria✨@MsDBZbabe·
LOSING MY FREAKING MIND, VEGETA X BULMA FANS NUMBER 1 COUPLE IN THE DRAGON BALL UNIVERSE! IM DEAD #vegebul #DragonBallDaima
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Ken Kirtland IV
Ken Kirtland IV@KenKirtland17·
Absolute darkest thing I've come across in my life. I want to just think about rockets and movies but. Something has to give. justice.gov/epstein/files/…
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HeyWood_JaBlomi
HeyWood_JaBlomi@HeyWoodJabloml·
@twolly11 Jеws when their “right wing plan” just led to hating on jеws 😭
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twolly
twolly@twolly11·
Mfw I realize my racism and antisemitism were Jewish this whole time
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Yuli Ban
Yuli Ban@Yuli_Ban·
I believe the theory is you're being Judas goated. The intent is to remoralize White men to make the inevitable smashing down and mulching that much sweeter, literally for the sadistic pleasure of it. "See? White men really are the racist monsters we said they are. Nukes deactivated, dollar crashed, go forth, may Odin have mercy on their souls."
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New England Gropper
New England Gropper@NE_Gropper·
@NullenM @shin_kale_rider So the jews tricked me into being an American nationalist who is pro White and wanting illegals kicked out? Since when is Mossad this based?
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gen z superboy (official)
gen z superboy (official)@shin_kale_rider·
Every chud who let themselves get radicalized by shit like GamerGate was playing right into the hands of a cabal of Mossad-controlled pedophiles and child murderers, wokeness has never been more vindicated
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Pirat_Nation 🔴
Pirat_Nation 🔴@Pirat_Nation·
Creator and former owner of 4chan, Chris Poole (known as moot), was in contact with Epstein. He possibly opened the /pol/ board after meeting him.
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Sarah Ruddle
Sarah Ruddle@thesiskokid·
“Very little is needed to make a happy life; it is all within yourself, in your way of thinking.” ~ Marcus Aurelius
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Jonas D.
Jonas D.@JonasD69845·
Sonic movie 4 leaked🤍♥️🌀🔥 Naoya vs Choso meme I was specifically asked to do the movie versions
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Anime Updates
Anime Updates@animeupdates·
China has posted a Visual of 'Goku vs Sun Wukong' as they go up against Japan in today's U-23 Asian Cup Final 2026
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