Yuli Ban retweetledi
Yuli Ban
676 posts

Yuli Ban
@Yuli_Ban
Aspiring novelist with a terminal lack of a life. Also known as "The Radiomonkey" in select theatres. AGI ≠ Generative AI
Planet Earth, Universe Katılım Ekim 2013
321 Takip Edilen181 Takipçiler

It would not be a problem to say "AI will replace you" if you believed you'd get a higher quality of life as a result. The Chinese, it seems, views jobs as a means to an end. Perhaps they genuinely are in the primary stage of social, and the secondary stage comes through automation. We in the West view them as the end— if AI COULD defeat cancer but that meant putting radiologists out of work, we’d choose to not use AI. But the reason why is because we also know those radiologists are just totally screwed and likely have nothing to fall back on. Our psyche decides "Should have learned to code" or "not my problem," but that's the attitude that leads to widespread fear and loathing. "Am I next? What will happen to me? Will I be able to survive?"
Meanwhile the vulture capitalists have this nietzschean Will to Power mindset that if the capability is there at all, it's all your fault if you starve. Therefore you could have used AI to code products or make yourself useful. Why cry over being put out of work? Of course this is horrifically blind to the fact that most aren't aware of how this works, most probably literally couldn't afford either a subscription or the risk of failure at that point, and even the tech itself makes it incoherent as to how 330 million people can all become entrepreneurs using AI, selling what exactly, that AI itself would not be doing for millions of others. And that's but the surface. It's not exactly the best situation for the common man in the first place, so what exactly is this mentality leading towards but invitation to feel "maybe the undesirables SHOULD die off," which is not going to convince many people that AI is actually good either. Then people either decide that burning it all down is better than dying to techno-fascists, or look at China doing everything we won't and want to seize control violently. And of course the anarcho-primitivists boost their ranks from the disillusioned as well.
All of this is leading to a catastrophic end, but only for us USicans.
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@altcap I guess the AI propaganda in China works better than in the US.
You know.. every headline that says "AI will replace you" isn't going to convince people in the US that AI is positive for them.
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Of course there is the issue that this is all based in a specific architecture. Attention-based transformers and their training is what's so expensive (and so sloppy). If we had another architecture, that involved far lower training costs and far more accurate results, then this doesn't apply
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@Yuli_Ban @newmanian2 I still hope there is another possibility exists. AI spending will be so big without real value in return that big companies will have to shut it down.
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Seems I created the longest tweet I ever written. Bear with me...
I have a human friend in IT at a serious company. We discussed the current state of AI. Honestly, from some angles, it's scary. Before, I wasn't really afraid - I genuinely thought this process would take years and be somewhat smooth.
He told me that one of his teams had a 6-month project involving several dozen engineers. As a "just try" experiment, they used a modern coding model - and just 2 engineers completed everything in 2 days, delivering a production-ready product.
What's scary is the magnitude. It doesn't mean 20 engineers become 15, or even 10. More like 20 to 1. Imagine if your industry no longer needed 19 out of every 20 workers.
This isn't "efficiency". This is structural compression of entire industries.
Consulting body shops? Mid-level engineers? PM layers? QA farms?
And you think this is just IT? Don’t be so naive.
Even doctors are next. Do you think we'll need all these physicians when AI can diagnose from a blood sample or read an MRI perfectly without $500k specialists?
What happens when hundreds of thousands of $150k-$250k jobs vanish faster than new demand emerges? Your first thought might be "they deserve it - finally hard-working people can take their place".
But that’s not just "tech adapting". That's:
- Fewer mortgages approved
- Fewer cars sold
- Fewer dinners out
- Fewer daycare payments
- Fewer local contractors hired
- Fewer electricians and repair workers needed
- etc.
It hits:
- Small businesses
- Real estate markets
- Suburban communities built around white-collar salaries
- School districts funded by property taxes
High-income earners aren't just workers. They're economic multipliers. This is one reason the US is so successful - we have the most tech- and white-collar-driven economy in the world. And this could become our worst problem - we're digging our own grave, and very fast.
Remove enough of them quickly enough and you don't get a smooth transition - you get shockwaves.
Yes, productivity rises. Yes, companies save money. But saved payroll doesn't automatically replace lost consumer spending.
If AI compresses cognitive labor 10-20x, the headcount math doesn't lie. The real risk isn't "robots taking jobs". It's velocity.
If displacement outruns adaptation, we're not talking about evolution. We're talking about economic whiplash.
Pretending this is just another harmless tech upgrade is dangerously complacent.
Think about that.
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A colleague of mine anticipated something like this. Back in 2018, OpenAI released a blogpost about AI and compute, and back-of-envelop calculations suggested that around 2025-2027, the cost of doubling compute would begin becoming "bankrupting whole nations" tier
openai.com/index/ai-and-c…
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Predicted this years ago, finally formalized it:
docs.google.com/document/d/1R7…
docs.google.com/document/d/1gU…
Things get *very* strange with advanced AI very quickly, and a lot of the wealthy have not adequately modeled any of this because of how recently many of them even assumed this was possible, and even then, so much of it is rooted in the expectation we will remain in control
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Funny thing is, it's piss easy to avoid that outcome, but that requires one of two things:
1: the super wealthy be altruistic with ownership
2: AI itself seizes control
The latter is far more likely than the former (just because the super wealthy will be eager to give AI control of all these functions without much care about how little control they'll have over the system once it does, probably assuming they'll have total control indefinitely of something that very quickly surpasses human intelligence and capability)
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I have exactly the same concerns.
> I could be wrong and everyone will be able to spend more time eating gelato and watching TV
The above could happen, but we need a common political will and powerful people stepping up at a critical moment to create an MVS (minimum viable salary) for the people.
Otherwise, millions left without jobs, during a time when no one can provide solutions, will find their own solution: to burn down everything that caused this starting with self-driving EVs and ending with data centers.
We thought civil war would be between people. Who knows, maybe it will be between people and the drones guarding all these facilities.
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Yuli Ban retweetledi
Yuli Ban retweetledi

LOSING MY FREAKING MIND, VEGETA X BULMA FANS NUMBER 1 COUPLE IN THE DRAGON BALL UNIVERSE! IM DEAD #vegebul #DragonBallDaima

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Yuli Ban retweetledi

Absolute darkest thing I've come across in my life. I want to just think about rockets and movies but. Something has to give.
justice.gov/epstein/files/…
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@HeyWoodJabloml @twolly11 That's literally the point though
"Lead every revolution against us" and whatnot
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I believe the theory is you're being Judas goated. The intent is to remoralize White men to make the inevitable smashing down and mulching that much sweeter, literally for the sadistic pleasure of it. "See? White men really are the racist monsters we said they are. Nukes deactivated, dollar crashed, go forth, may Odin have mercy on their souls."
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@NullenM @shin_kale_rider So the jews tricked me into being an American nationalist who is pro White and wanting illegals kicked out? Since when is Mossad this based?
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Yuli Ban retweetledi


The Trashman minicomic
Art by @_majdart
Written by myself
Decided to put it all into one long page
#BabylonToday #radicalart #generalstrike #MarieAurore

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Yuli Ban retweetledi
Yuli Ban retweetledi

Shadow X Ghost
Drawn by Salvamakoto
deviantart.com/salvamakoto
On that note, I'm considering using Twinery to host the story. I bet it won't be as interesting as I hope, but hey, maybe it'll turn into something lol #shadowthehedgehog #mariarobotnik #shadowxghost

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@vermeildx @Yuli_Ban Does Maria kinda look like Sage here or its just me?
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