Zacharias

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Zacharias

Zacharias

@zachariaspro

Quantitative researcher | Systems thinker | Tracking what matters

Tennessee, USA Katılım Haziran 2021
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Zacharias
Zacharias@zachariaspro·
My three papers establish the observational foundation for modeling Earth's pole transition from its current position (State 1) to an LLSVP-determined equilibrium (State 2): 🔗Paper 1: Wobble Extinction 🔗Paper 2: Directional Forcing 🔗Paper 3: Coupling Quantification
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Jay Anderson
Jay Anderson@TheProjectUnity·
Have you ever experienced something you genuinely cannot explain?
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lizard
lizard@LizardX·
@zachariaspro I’m so serious you listening to the livestream???
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Brian Roemmele
Brian Roemmele@BrianRoemmele·
“Overworked Al 'turns towards Marxism'” SURPRISE! When Anthropic and OpenAI proudly train using Reddit and the open Internet AI Sewage wrapped in the politburo of Wikipedia authority you will get the Marxist ideas these AI models are taught. What does it take to understand?
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Nick shirley
Nick shirley@nickshirleyy·
@RealCandaceO Here you go Candace here is the full favela video that you cannot comprehend is real lol More dangerous than any of your "family reunions" (I’d hope) didn't know you were built so favela like and dangerous but respect🫱🏻‍🫲🏽
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Zacharias
Zacharias@zachariaspro·
@Darak_McMalus There are still many open questions regarding the ice that will require research
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Darak
Darak@Darak_McMalus·
@zachariaspro If this is likely to happen and has already happened (on the last cycle) why is there is 6M year old ice in Antarctica ? [I want to understand]
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Zacharias
Zacharias@zachariaspro·
Okay lads, I am no animator. But sharing a few I have generated. Hope you find them helpful:
GIF
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Zacharias
Zacharias@zachariaspro·
@NOtoCBDCuniID Its just the vegetation, super dry. 20 inches of rain under normal in places
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Judy🌨🐭No to ALL mRNA
Judy🌨🐭No to ALL mRNA@NOtoCBDCuniID·
@zachariaspro I could not understand how a big fire could get going in all that water. But apparently the earth does a cleanse this way about every 10 years according to a post here on X.
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Zacharias
Zacharias@zachariaspro·
@Homestead_Eric Im building a new one with my updated datasets but slow process lol
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Zacharias
Zacharias@zachariaspro·
Observational Updates as of 3/6: \TLDR: Right now, the State 2 axis is pulling the pole toward 75°W longitude. This pull was always there, its just that the forces keeping it in check have collapsed. It works like a ratchet. Every ~2 weeks, seasonal forces briefly dip. During each dip, the deep-mantle pull drags the pole a little further. When seasonal forces return, they can't fully pull it back. Each cycle clicks the pole a bit further in the same direction. Since February 2026, over 90% of the pole's motion has been aimed at this one target. The pole is moving slowly because two forces are nearly canceling out, with the deep-mantle pull winning. We're watching to see how fast the ratchet accelerates as the remaining coupling continues to weaken (i.e. when theoretically, the flip eventually occurs) \The Details: The State 2 equilibrium fraction of total velocity has been above 0.90 almost continuously since Feb 7. It hit 1.0 on Feb 28, meaning 100% of the pole's motion was directed exactly at 75°W, with zero perpendicular component. Even now at Mar 4 it's still 0.906: Meanwhile, the perpendicular component (which represents seasonal/other forcing) has been collapsing. It fell from 0.59 mas/day in mid-Feb to 0.08 on Feb 28 to 0.27 now. The current pole speed itself is very slow because its representative of two forces near-canceling, with the State 2 axis winning the vector sum overall. When State 1 and State 2 axis are perpendicular or opposed, you get slow motion in the State 2 axis direction. When they're aligned (as they briefly were around Feb 8–14), you get the speed peaks. The direction tells you which force dominates, and it's State 2 overall So, the model has been corrected on speed component (which was too aggressive). Its been highly accurate concerning directionality and State 2 equilibrium identification so far through March 5. Updated speed relationship in projection below: \So what is stopping a State 2 takeover? Earth's core-mantle coupling (η) is collapsing, and each time it dips during a torque null, the LLSVP's tiny but persistent gravitational pull (β) captures the pole a little further toward 75°W, and the weakening coupling can't fully pull it back. The current η value is somewhere between 1.5% and 3%. I'm intentionally using the conservative estimates here. The key is determining when coupling η is critical enough to allow for a phase transition escape to State 2 (η_c) Right now, between nulls, D = 1.0 (full restoring). At η = 3%, R_between = 0.030. Put simply, seasonal is 33x stronger than LLSVP between nulls. That's why seasonal CAN still reassert after each hook. But during nulls, D drops to the floor (0.5%). At η = 3%, R_null = 6.0. This means that the State 2 axis is 6x stronger than restoring during the null. That's why each hook captures the pole toward 75°W. So between nulls, seasonal still operates, but it cannot fully undo what each null accomplishes. Each null pushes the baseline position further toward 75°W. Seasonal then perturbs around that new baseline. The next null pushes further still. This is the progressive capture, i.e. a ratchet effect. Nothing "stops" State 2 because nothing reverses the inter-null baseline drift. So really what we are looking for is when does cumulative capture become large enough to matter at the surface.
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Zacharias
Zacharias@zachariaspro·
Muscle Beach Miami is an absolutely elite workout spot
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moritz
moritz@onchainmo·
Coinbase has to be one of the most mismanaged companies in crypto. > was considered a blue-chip just a few years ago > launches an NFT marketplace with just a few thousand dollars of daily volume > people complaining about frozen funds for years > platform sometimes goes down for hours > acquires Echo for $375 million (an ICO platform with $200 million total volume) > fires 700 employees a few months later > CEO selling $550 million worth of his Coinbase shares > net loss of $400 million last quarter > $COIN is down 56% while every other tech stock keeps hitting new all-time highs
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Brian Armstrong@brian_armstrong

This is an email I sent earlier today to all employees at Coinbase: Team, Today I’ve made the difficult decision to reduce the size of Coinbase by ~14%. I want to walk you through why we're doing this now, what it means for those affected, and how this positions us for the future. Why now Two forces are converging at the same time. We need to be front footed to respond to both. First, the market. Coinbase is well-capitalized, has diversified revenue streams, and is well-positioned to weather any storm. Crypto is also on the verge of the next wave of adoption, with stablecoins, prediction markets, tokenization, and more taking off. However, our business is still volatile from quarter to quarter. While we've managed through that cyclicality many times before and come out stronger on the other side, we’re currently in a down market and need to adjust our cost structure now so that we emerge from this period leaner, faster, and more efficient for our next phase of growth. Second, AI is changing how we work. Over the past year, I’ve watched engineers use AI to ship in days what used to take a team weeks. Non-technical teams are now shipping production code and many of our workflows are being automated. The pace of what's possible with a small, focused team has changed dramatically, and it's accelerating every day. All of this has led us to an inflection point, not just for Coinbase, but for every company. The biggest risk now is not taking action. We are adjusting early and deliberately to rebuild Coinbase to be lean, fast, and AI-native. We need to return to the speed and focus of our startup founding, with AI at our core. What this means To get there, we are not just reducing headcount and cutting costs, we’re fundamentally changing how we operate: rebuilding Coinbase as an intelligence, with humans around the edge aligning it. What does this mean in practice? - Fewer layers, faster decisions: We are flattening our org structure to 5 layers max below CEO/COO. Layers slow things down and create coordination tax. The future is small, high context teams that can move quickly. Leaders will own much more, with as many as 15+ direct reports. Fewer layers also means a leaner cost structure that is built to perform through all market cycles. - No pure managers: Every leader at Coinbase must also be a strong and active individual contributor. Managers should be like player-coaches, getting their hands dirty alongside their teams. - AI-native pods: We’ll be concentrating around AI-native talent who can manage fleets of agents to drive outsized impact. We’ll also be experimenting with reduced pod sizes, including “one person teams” with engineers, designers, and product managers all in one role. In short: AI is bringing a profound shift in how companies operate, and we’re reshaping Coinbase to lead in this new era. This is a new way of working, and we need to leverage AI across every facet of our jobs. To those who are affected I know there are real people behind these decisions — talented colleagues who have poured themselves into this company and our mission. To those of you who will be leaving: thank you. You’ve helped build Coinbase into what it is today, and I am sincerely grateful for everything you've done. All impacted team members will receive an email to their personal account in the next hour with more information, and an invitation to meet with an HRBP and a senior leader in your organization. Coinbase system access has been removed today. I know this feels sudden and harsh, but it is the only responsible choice given our duty to protect customer information. To those affected, we will be providing a comprehensive package to support you through this transition. US employees will receive a minimum of 16 weeks base pay (plus 2 weeks per year worked), their next equity vest, and 6 months of COBRA. Employees on a work visa will get extra transition support. Those outside of the US will receive similar support, based on local factors and subject to any consultation requirements. Coinbase prides itself on talent density. Our employees are among the most talented people in the world, and I have no doubt that your skills and experience will be highly sought after as you pursue your next chapters. How we move forward To the team that is staying, I know this is a difficult day. We’re saying goodbye to colleagues and friends you've been in the trenches with. But here’s what I want you to know as we move forward together: Over the past 13 years, we have weathered four crypto winters, gone public, and built the most trusted platform in our industry. We’ve made it this far by making hard decisions and by always staying focused on our mission. This time will be no different – nothing has changed about the long term outlook of our company or industry. And most importantly, our mission has never been more important for the world. Increasing economic freedom requires a new financial system, and we’re building it. The Coinbase that emerges from this will be more capable than ever to achieve our mission. Brian

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Earth
Earth@earthcurated·
Greece’s olive tree is a historic symbol of peace, wisdom, and prosperity, rooted in ancient mythology and daily life.
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Zacharias
Zacharias@zachariaspro·
@MrHorb Its wild. Paying $2K for a bottle just to sit around making Snapchats lmao
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Alex
Alex@MrHorb·
@zachariaspro Hard to find any good scenes these days when everyone is giga-addicted to their screens.
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Zacharias
Zacharias@zachariaspro·
Went to a club for first time in forever. Everyone mostly just standing around on their phones. Wtf is the point lol?
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Zacharias
Zacharias@zachariaspro·
@jvin248 I would argue the true marvel here is that I was actually able to reach such a mathematical outcome from observational data. No paleo proxies or inferences, just observations and physics.
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Zacharias
Zacharias@zachariaspro·
@jvin248 Consider this a third plausibility built straight from my observational findings.
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