Zeuspace Group

Thank you AIA Apex Group for inviting us to share our crypto expertise with their elite MDRT team – AIA Hong Kong’s top performing team, brimming with exceptional young talent. Special thanks to Shiqi Peng & Megan Li for making the event possible! Zeuspace Group, founded by Dr. Andy Cheung, specializes in AI-driven quantitative trading systems and manages over US$200 million. Our partner CBCX, licensed in South Africa, Singapore and other regions, provides top-tier multi-asset liquidity since 2010. With extremely low spreads, advanced trading technology and support for more than 20 languages, it has become the preferred partner for traders at all levels.

📆 Global Markets Snapshot · July 30, 2026 1. 🏛️ Fed "Hawkish Hold" – 9:3 Most Divided Vote in Years, Warsh Reaffirms 2% Commitment On July 29, the FOMC voted 9-3 to hold the federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% – the Fed's fifth consecutive hold this year. Three dissents – Cleveland Fed President Hammack, Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari, and Dallas Fed President Logan – all voted for a 25bp hike. This marks the first time since 2016 that the Fed has seen three unified dissents on a single policy decision. The statement was just 115 words – the shortest in nearly 20 years. Language shifted from "reiterates" to "continues to implement." Chair Warsh made it clear in the press conference: "Inflation remains elevated relative to our 2% target... there is no soft inflation target – there's only one target, and that's 2%." He added: "If inflation remains too high and doesn't come down, the best remedy is to raise rates." 💬Warsh says "hold" but sounds more hawkish than a hike. The 9:3 split is the market's biggest signal – three dissents mean internal pressure for hikes is building. The statement was only 115 words – Warsh is deliberately reducing forward guidance. Markets need to "follow the ball, not the referee." Brandywine Global's portfolio manager put it bluntly: unless data softens significantly before September, a September hike is likely. 2. 📉 US Stocks: Dow Crashes 1,153 Points, Nasdaq 6-Day Losing Streak, Semis Down 16% in 5 Days US markets plunged across the board – Dow -1,153.18 points (-2.19%) at 51,594.14 – its biggest point drop in 15 months. Nasdaq -433.97 points (-1.74%) at 24,442.94 – sixth straight losing day. S&P 500 -112.63 points (-1.52%) at 7,316.15. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index plunged 5.33% – down nearly 16% over five consecutive sessions. Micron -10%, Intel -5%+, ARM -8%+. Tech stocks broadly sold off: Nvidia -3.55%, Amazon -1.82%, Tesla -3%, Meta -1.31%, Microsoft -0.71%, Apple -0.56%. Apple briefly hit an all-time high of $344.57 intraday. Energy stocks surged: ExxonMobil, Chevron +2%+, Occidental +4%. Chinese ADRs mostly rose – Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index +1.73%, New Oriental +15%+. Asia rebounded: KOSPI +3%+, Nikkei 225 +2%. 💬Three negative catalysts stacked – the Fed's 9:3 split signaling hike risks, Iranian missile strikes sending oil +7.9%, and Meta's earnings shaking AI confidence. The Dow suffered its worst point drop in 15 months. Semis down 16% in 5 days – the AI bubble's liquidation continues. 3. 💻 Night of Extremes: Microsoft +10% vs Meta -8% Microsoft: FY2026 Q4 revenue **$90.01B**, +18% YoY, beating $87.7B estimates; net profit $35.77B, +31% YoY. **Azure cloud revenue +43% YoY** – its fastest growth since early 2022, with annual revenue exceeding $100B for the first time. Microsoft 365 Copilot paid users surpassed 30 million. FY2027 capex guidance reduced from $190B to $175B. Stock surged ~10% after-hours. Meta: Q2 revenue $60.8B**, +28% YoY, slightly beating estimates. But **net profit fell 14% YoY to $15.85B, EPS $6.18 far below $7.22 estimates. **Free cash flow plunged 91% to just $784M** – the lowest in nearly four years. Q3 revenue guidance of $62.5B missed analyst expectations of $63.2B. Stock plunged over 8% after-hours. 💬 Same night, same industry, both spending hundreds of billions on AI – completely different outcomes. Microsoft proved AI can generate returns; Meta proved spending alone isn't enough. The market's core anxiety has never been "should we invest in AI?" – it's "when will the money come back?" Microsoft answered with Azure's 43% growth and Copilot's 30M users; Meta threw the question back to the market with its 91% FCF collapse and weak guidance. 4.🏛️ Treasuries: 30Y Breaks 5.2% – Highest Since 2007 Treasury yields rose across the curve – 10-year +6.9bps to 4.673%; 30-year surged +10.89bps to 5.197%, hitting as high as 5.213% intraday – its highest since July 2007. 2-year -0.82bps to 4.271%. Post-FOMC, the 10-year briefly dipped to 4.61% and the 2-year to 4.24%. But after Warsh's press conference, the 30-year broke above 5.2% for the first time since 2007. 💬 Markets are expressing "buy short, sell long" – patience with the Fed's policy stance is running out. The 30-year above 5.2% – "5% risk-free" is now the new normal. CICC notes that curve steepening reflects markets pricing higher long-term inflation and policy risk. If jobs or inflation data surprise to the upside, September rate-hike expectations will intensify further. 5. 💵 Forex: Dollar Breaks Below 101 – Yen Struggles Near 163.4 DXY -0.52% to 100.886, losing the 101 level. The Fed's hold was in line with expectations, with traders paring back September hike bets. USD/JPY at 163.41-163.60 – the yen strengthened slightly but remains near 40-year lows. EUR/USD at 1.1467. The DXY edged back to 100.89 in Asian trading. 💬 The dollar broke below 101 as markets cooled on September hike expectations. But the yen is still struggling near 163.4 – just one step from the 40-year low of 163.98. The BOJ's rate decision today (July 30) is the yen's last hope – but Goldman sees the next hike potentially delayed until January 2027. The 163 line has already been broken – 164 may be just ahead. 6. 🛢️ Oil: Brent +7.91% to $90.74 – Iranian Missiles Ignite Supply Panic Iran launched missiles at a US base in Jordan, with Trump vowing retaliation. Brent crude surged 7.91% to settle at $90.74/bbl**. **WTI surged 6.56% to settle at $84.46/bbl. 💬 Oil has been violently pulled back above $90 from below $88 earlier this week. The US-Iran ceasefire lasted less than a week – Iran's missiles evaporated the "ceasefire premium" in an instant. Trump's vow of retaliation means the conflict could escalate further. $90 Brent is the inflation panic trigger – if it holds, pressure on the Fed to hike will intensify. 7. 🥇 Gold: Violent Rebound from $3,995 to $4,070 Spot gold closed +1.02% at $4,069.69/oz**. It briefly hit a low of **$3,995.96/oz before violently rebounding to a high of $4,116.44/oz. 💬 Gold rode a rollercoaster from "floor to ceiling." Iranian missile strikes → geopolitical safe-haven demand surges → gold violently rebounds from below $4,000 to above $4,070. **$4,000 remains gold's iron floor** – as long as Middle East conflict persists, gold is unlikely to break below it. But resistance above $4,100 remains heavy. 8. ₿ Crypto: BTC Steadies Near $63,800 BTC at ~$63,800, little changed in 24 hours. ETH and other major coins traded in a tight range. 💬 BTC showed rare resilience amid the double shock of the Fed decision and Iranian missile strikes – no crash, no surge. **$63,800 is the near-term equilibrium** – upside resistance at $65,000, downside support at $62,000. But oil surging → inflation fears rising → rate expectations rising – this chain is still pressuring crypto. 🔥 Big Picture Today's market in one sentence: Fed's "hawkish hold," Iranian missiles ignite oil, Meta's earnings shake AI faith – triple shocks send the Dow down 1,153 points. Three transmission chains running simultaneously: Fed 9:3 split → 3 dissents for hikes → September hike expectations rise → 30-year Treasury breaks 5.2% (highest since 2007) → equity valuations compressed across the board Iranian missiles strike US base in Jordan → Brent +7.91% to $90.74 → inflation fears return → Fed hike pressure intensifies Microsoft monetizes AI (+10%) vs Meta burns cash (-8%) → AI faith diverges → semis down 16% in 5 days → Nasdaq 6-day losing streak Three core questions: Will the Fed hike in September? 3 dissents + Warsh "inflation still elevated" + oil +7.9% – Brandywine Global put it bluntly: unless data softens significantly before September, a September hike is likely. Is the AI bubble popping? Microsoft proved AI can generate returns; Meta proved spending alone isn't enough. Semis down 16% in 5 days – markets are voting with their feet: AI needs monetization, not stories. Will oil keep rising? Iranian missile strikes shattered the fragile US-Iran ceasefire. Trump vows retaliation – $90 Brent may just be the beginning. Today (July 30) to watch: BOJ rate decision – can the yen hold 163? Apple, Amazon earnings – the consumer tech barometer US-Iran conflict follow-up – how will Trump retaliate? US Q2 GDP data – will recession fears heat up? #Fed #FOMC #Warsh #RateHikes #USStocks #Dow #Nasdaq #Semiconductors #AIBubble #Microsoft #Meta #Oil #USIran #Gold #Bitcoin #MarketUpdate

📆 全球市场速览 · 2026年7月30日 1. 🏛️ 美联储“鹰派按兵不动”——9:3史上最分裂，沃什重申2%绝不动摇 美东时间7月29日，美联储FOMC以9票赞成、3票反对的结果，决定将联邦基金利率目标区间维持在3.50%-3.75%不变。这是美联储今年连续第5次按兵不动。 3张反对票——克利夫兰联储主席哈马克（Beth Hammack）、明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利（Neel Kashkari）、达拉斯联储主席洛根（Lorie Logan）——均主张加息25个基点。这是自2016年以来美联储首次在同一次政策决议中出现三张立场一致的反对票。 声明仅115个单词，为近20年来最短。措辞从“重申”改为“继续执行”。 美联储主席沃什在新闻发布会上明确表示：“通胀相对于2%的目标仍然偏高……不存在软通胀目标，只有一个目标，那就是2%。” 他直言：“如果通胀过高且不回落，最好的补救措施是提高利率。” 💬 沃什嘴上说“按兵不动”，态度却比加息还鹰。9:3的分裂是市场最大的信号——3张反对票意味着FOMC内部的加息压力正在蓄积。声明只有115个字，沃什在刻意减少“前瞻指引”——市场要学会“跟着球走，而不是跟着裁判走”。Brandywine基金经理直言：除非9月前数据显著走软，否则9月就可能加息。 2. 📉 美股：道指狂泻1153点，纳指六连跌，芯片指数5天暴跌16% 美股三大指数集体重挫——道指跌1153.18点（2.19%），报51594.14点。纳指跌433.97点（1.74%），报24442.94点，连续6个交易日下跌。标普500跌112.63点（1.52%），报7316.15点。 费城半导体指数暴跌5.33%，连续5天下跌，累计跌幅近16%。美光科技跌近10%，英特尔跌超5%，ARM跌超8%。 科技股普跌：英伟达跌3.55%，亚马逊跌1.82%，特斯拉跌近3%，Meta跌1.31%，微软跌0.71%，苹果跌0.56%。苹果盘中一度创历史新高344.57美元/股。 能源股逆势大涨：埃克森美孚、雪佛龙涨超2%，西方石油涨近4%。中概股多数上涨，纳斯达克中国金龙指数涨1.73%，新东方涨超15%。 亚太早盘反弹：韩国KOSPI涨逾3%，日经225涨逾2%。 💬 三重利空叠加——美联储9:3分裂暗示加息风险、伊朗导弹袭击引爆油价暴涨7.9%、AI信仰遭Meta财报动摇。道指创15个月最大单日点数跌幅。芯片指数5天跌16%——AI泡沫的清算仍在继续。 3. 💻 冰火两重天：微软暴涨8% vs Meta暴跌8% 微软：2026财年Q4营收900.1亿美元，同比增长18%，远超预期的877亿美元；净利润357.7亿美元，同比大增31%。Azure云业务营收同比增长43%，创2022年初以来最快增速，全年收入首次突破1000亿美元。Microsoft 365 Copilot付费用户突破3000万。2027财年资本支出指引从1900亿美元下调至1750亿美元。盘后股价一度大涨10%。 Meta：Q2营收608亿美元，同比增长28%，略超预期。但净利润同比下滑14%至158.5亿美元，EPS 6.18美元远低于预期的7.22美元。自由现金流仅剩7.84亿美元，同比暴跌91%，创近四年最低。Q3营收指引中值625亿美元，低于分析师预期的632亿美元。盘后股价一度暴跌超8%。 💬 同一晚，同一行业，同样砸了上千亿AI——结局天差地别。微软证明了“AI的钱能赚回来”，Meta证明了“光砸钱远远不够”。市场的核心焦虑从来不是“要不要投AI”——而是投出去的钱什么时候能回来。微软用Azure的43%增速和Copilot的3000万用户回答了这个问题；Meta用自由现金流暴跌91%和低于预期的指引，把这个问题抛回给了市场。 4. 🏛️ 美债：30年期冲破5.2%，创2007年以来最高 美债收益率全线走高——10年期美债收益率涨6.9个基点报4.673%；30年期美债收益率暴涨10.89个基点报5.197%，盘中一度触及5.213%，创2007年7月以来最高。2年期美债收益率跌0.82个基点报4.271%。 美联储声明公布后，10年期一度跳水至4.61%，2年期跳水至4.24%。但沃什新闻发布会后，30年期2007年以来首次涨穿5.2%。 💬 市场正在用“买短卖长”表达对美联储政策信心的耐心耗尽。30年期冲破5.2%——“5%无风险利率”已经成为新常态。中金研报指出：曲线陡峭化反映市场正在定价更高的长期通胀与政策风险。如果就业或通胀数据超预期，9月加息预期将进一步升温。 5. 💵 汇市：美元跌破101，日元在163.4附近挣扎 美元指数跌0.52%，报100.886，失守101关口。美联储按兵不动符合预期，交易员下调了对9月加息的预期。 美元兑日元报163.41-163.60，日元小幅走强但仍处40年低点附近。欧元兑美元报1.1467。美元指数在亚盘小幅回升至100.89。 💬 美元跌破101是市场对“9月加息预期降温”的直接反应。但日元仍在163.4附近挣扎——距163.98的40年低点仅一步之遥。日本央行今天（7月30日）的利率决议是日元最后的希望——但高盛认为下一次加息可能推迟至明年1月。163的防线已经破了，164可能就在眼前。 6. 🛢️ 原油：布油暴涨7.91%至90.74美元，伊朗导弹点燃供应恐慌 伊朗向美军驻约旦基地发射导弹，特朗普扬言报复。布伦特原油暴涨7.91%，收报90.74美元/桶。WTI原油暴涨6.56%，收报84.46美元/桶。 💬 油价从本周初的88美元以下暴力拉回90美元以上。美伊停火仅持续了不到一周——伊朗的导弹让“停火溢价”瞬间蒸发。特朗普扬言报复意味着冲突可能进一步升级。90美元的布油是通胀恐慌的导火索——如果站稳，美联储的加息压力将进一步升温。 7. 🥇 黄金：从3995美元暴力反弹至4070美元 现货黄金收涨1.02%，报4069.69美元/盎司。盘中一度跌至3995.96美元/盎司的低点，随后暴力反弹至4116.44美元的高点。 💬 黄金上演了“地心到天花板”的过山车。伊朗导弹袭击→地缘避险需求飙升→黄金从4000美元以下暴力拉回4070美元。4000美元仍是黄金的铁底——只要中东冲突不熄，黄金很难跌破这一关口。但4100美元上方阻力依然沉重。 8. ₿ 加密货币：BTC在63800美元附近企稳 比特币报约63,800美元，24小时内变化不大。以太坊等主流币种跟随大盘小幅震荡。 💬 BTC在美联储决议和伊朗导弹的双重冲击下展现了罕见的韧性——没有暴跌，也没有暴涨。63,800美元是短期均衡点——向上看65,000阻力，向下看62,000支撑。但油价暴涨→通胀担忧升温→加息预期升温，这条传导链仍在给加密货币施压。 🔥 整体判断 今天的市场可以用一句话概括：美联储“鹰派按兵不动”，伊朗导弹点燃油价，AI信仰遭遇Meta财报重锤——三重冲击叠加，道指狂泻1153点。 三条清晰的传导链正在同时运转： 美联储9:3分裂 → 3张反对票主张加息 → 9月加息预期升温 → 30年期美债冲破5.2%（2007年以来最高）→ 美股估值全面承压 伊朗导弹袭击约旦美军基地 → 布油暴涨7.91%至90.74美元 → 通胀担忧卷土重来 → 美联储加息压力进一步升温 微软AI变现成功（盘后+10%）vs Meta AI烧钱无底洞（盘后-8%）→ AI信仰分化 → 芯片指数5天暴跌16% → 纳指六连跌 三个核心问题： 美联储9月会加息吗？ 3张反对票+沃什“通胀仍偏高”+油价暴涨7.9%——Brandywine基金经理直言：除非9月前数据显著走软，否则9月就可能加息。 AI泡沫要破了吗？ 微软证明了AI能赚钱，Meta证明了砸钱不等于赚钱。芯片指数5天暴跌16%——市场正在用脚投票：AI需要变现，而不是故事。 油价会继续涨吗？ 伊朗导弹袭击打破了美伊停火的脆弱和平。特朗普扬言报复——90美元的布油可能只是开始。 今日（7月30日）重点关注： 日本央行利率决议——日元能否守住163？ 苹果、亚马逊财报——消费科技的风向标 美伊冲突后续——特朗普会如何报复？ 美国Q2 GDP数据——经济衰退的担忧会否升温？ #美联储 #FOMC #沃什 #加息 #美股 #道指 #纳指 #芯片股 #AI泡沫 #微软 #Meta #油价 #美伊冲突 #黄金 #比特币 #市场复盘

📆 Global Markets Snapshot · July 28, 2026 1.🕊️ US-Iran Ceasefire Holds – Oil Crashes 15% in Two Days The US-Iran pause in mutual strikes entered its fourth day. Trump said he halted airstrikes "to give negotiations another chance". Iran said it still controls the Strait of Hormuz but is not seeking to resume peace talks. Mediators including Oman continue to facilitate. Brent crude closed -8.7% on Monday – its biggest one-day drop in over three months. It broke below $88/bbl in Tuesday Asian trading. **WTI fell ~8.2% to $81.96/bbl** on Monday, hovering around $82 in Tuesday Asia. European natural gas prices fell as much as 7.8%. 💬 Oil has crashed from above $100 last Thursday to below $88 today – down over 12% in four trading sessions. The US-Iran ceasefire is the core driver, but Iran's "not seeking talks" comment poured cold water on the market. Macquarie warns oil markets could return to oversupply by year-end – if the ceasefire holds, oil's downside may be much larger than expected. But how long will the ceasefire last? No one knows. 2. 📈 US Stocks: Dow +262, Nvidia -5% Weighs on Nasdaq Monday's close was mixed – Dow +262.83 points (+0.51%) at 52,210.08; S&P 500 +1.20 points (+0.02%) at 7,413.18; Nasdaq -43.74 points (-0.18%) at 24,932.08 – its fourth straight losing day. Nvidia plunged 4.99% to $196.51 – the biggest loser among Dow components; Tesla -1.21%. Google +2.13%, Microsoft +1.94%, Apple +1.17%. Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index surged 2.51%. Tuesday Asian session US futures under pressure – S&P 500 futures -0.1% to -0.3%, Nasdaq 100 futures -0.3% to -0.7%. The Dow briefly surged over 600 points intraday Monday before paring gains. 💬 The oil crash gave markets a reason to open higher – but Nvidia's 5% plunge shows AI anxiety hasn't disappeared with falling oil. This week's Microsoft, Meta, Apple, and Amazon earnings are the real directional catalysts. The Nasdaq's four-day losing streak shows "earnings fear" is spreading across the AI sector. 3. 🏛️ Treasuries: Yields Ease – 10Y Around 4.65% Treasury prices rose Monday on falling oil – 10-year yield -2.84bps to 4.6487%; 2-year yield at 4.331%. Tuesday Asia saw the 10-year yield ease further to around 4.63%. Last week, the 10-year briefly broke above 4.70% – a 2026 high. 💬 The oil crash gave bonds breathing room – but 4.65% on the 10-year is still "higher for longer" territory. The 2-year at 4.33% has already broken above the Fed's 3.75% rate ceiling – markets are betting real money on rate hikes. The 30-year is still above 5.13% – the era of "5% risk-free" is here. 4. 💵 Forex: Dollar Steady at 101.5 – Yen Hovers Near 40-Year Lows DXY at 101.52, erasing intraday losses in a V-shaped reversal. USD/JPY at 163.73-163.82, hovering near last week's 40-year low of 163.99. EUR dipped to $1.1366, GBP to $1.3284. 💬 The US-Iran ceasefire briefly dented dollar safe-haven demand – but the dollar quickly recovered. The yen is still struggling near 163.8 – the 40-year low could be broken at any moment. The BOJ's Friday rate decision is the yen's last hope – but Goldman sees the next hike potentially delayed until January 2027. Prime Minister Takaiichi's approval rating has plunged, with her government failing to take effective measures to ease inflation pressures – the yen's fundamentals show no signs of improvement. 5. 🛢️ Oil: Brent Breaks Below $88 – Down 12%+ in Two Days **Brent closed -8.7% at ~$89/bbl on Monday**, breaking below $88 in Tuesday Asia. WTI fell ~8.2% to $81.96/bbl. 💬 From above $100 last Thursday to below $88 today – down over 12% in four trading sessions. The US-Iran ceasefire is the core driver, but oil market analysts warn: despite the truce, physical oil flows remain constrained – the ceasefire is a "pause button," not an "end button." If talks break down, oil could bounce back at any moment. 6. 🥇 Gold: Rallies Then Fades – $4,100 Lost and Found NY gold futures +0.19% to close at $4,078.6/oz on Monday. Tuesday Asia saw **spot gold range-bound between $4,049-4,080/oz**. Silver at $57.37/oz. 💬Oil crashing → inflation fears easing → rate-hike expectations cooling → dollar weakening – gold should be surging. But Iran's "not seeking talks" comments means geopolitical risk hasn't completely disappeared. Gold is whipsawing near $4,100 with no clear direction. The Fed rate decision is the real catalyst. 7. ₿ Crypto: BTC Pulls Back to $63,500 – $610M Liquidated Bitcoin continued its pullback Tuesday – **BTC hit as low as $63,457, a one-week low**, before rebounding to ~$64,850. ETH lost the $1,880 level. $610M liquidated in 24 hours. The Fear & Greed Index moved lower. 💬 BTC pulled back after rallying from 58K in early July to above 66K. The oil crash should have been positive for risk assets – but Nvidia's 5% plunge dragged down the AI sector, and crypto followed. This week is packed with super-events – Wednesday's FOMC, Thursday's PCE and GDP, Friday's ~$13-14B options expiry. BTC's direction hinges on this week's data and decisions. 🔥 Big Picture Today's market has one narrative: US-Iran ceasefire, oil crashes – but AI anxiety cuts the rally short. Three transmission chains running simultaneously: US-Iran ceasefire → Brent from $100+ to below $88 (down 12%+ in 2 days) → inflation fears ease → bonds rally, stocks open higher Oil crash + geopolitical risk cooling → dollar briefly weakens → yen bounces from 40-year lows Nvidia -5% → AI anxiety spreads → Nasdaq 4-day losing streak → crypto pulls back Three core questions: How long will the ceasefire hold? Trump says "give talks a chance," Iran says "not seeking talks" – conflicting messages. Will the ceasefire survive the week? Will the Fed hike Wednesday? Markets price ~30% odds. The oil crash has reduced hike urgency – but the 2-year at 4.33% has already broken above the Fed's rate ceiling – markets are betting on hikes. Can AI earnings save the market? Microsoft and Meta report Wednesday; Apple and Amazon Thursday. Nvidia's 5% plunge shows AI anxiety is spreading – whether massive capex can translate into profits will determine if the Nasdaq stops bleeding or continues to fall. Today (July 28) to watch: Microsoft, Meta after-hours earnings – a pivotal moment for the AI story US-Iran ceasefire follow-up – any progress in talks? USD/JPY at 163.80 – 40-year low, on a hair trigger US futures – will the "open high, fade" pattern repeat? #USIranCeasefire #OilCrash #Fed #AIEarnings #Nvidia #DXY #JPY #Gold #Bitcoin #Nasdaq #MarketUpdate

📆 全球市场速览 · 2026年7月28日 1. 🕊️ 美伊停火持续，油价两日暴跌超15% 美伊暂停互袭进入第四天。特朗普表示暂停空袭是为了"给谈判再一次机会"。伊朗方面称仍控制霍尔木兹海峡，但表示不寻求恢复和谈。阿曼等中间人继续斡旋。 布伦特原油周一收跌8.7%，创三个多月来最大单日跌幅。周二亚盘进一步跌破88美元/桶。WTI原油周一跌约8.2%至81.96美元/桶，周二亚盘徘徊在82美元附近。欧洲天然气价格一度跌7.8%。 💬 油价从上周四的100美元上方到今天的88美元以下——四个交易日暴跌超12%。美伊停火是核心驱动，但伊朗"不寻求恢复和谈"的表态给市场浇了一盆冷水。麦格理警告油市年底前或重回供应过剩——如果停火持续，油价的下行空间可能比想象中大得多。但停火能撑多久？没人知道。 2. 📈 美股：道指涨262点，英伟达重挫5%拖累纳指 周一美股收盘涨跌不一——道指涨262.83点（0.51%）报52210.08点；标普500微涨1.20点（0.02%）报7413.18点；纳指跌43.74点（0.18%）报24932.08点，连续第四个交易日下跌。 英伟达重挫4.99%至196.51美元，为跌幅最大道指成份股；特斯拉跌1.21%。谷歌涨2.13%，微软涨1.94%，苹果涨1.17%。纳斯达克中国金龙指数大涨2.51%。 周二亚盘美股期货承压——标普500期货跌0.1%-0.3%，纳指100期货跌0.3%-0.7%。周一盘中道指一度涨超600点后升幅收窄。 💬 油价暴跌给了市场一个高开的理由，但英伟达重挫5%说明——AI焦虑并未因油价下跌而消失。本周微软、Meta、苹果、亚马逊四大巨头财报才是真正的方向催化剂。纳指四连跌，AI板块的"财报恐惧症"正在蔓延。 3. 🏛️ 美债：收益率小幅回落，10年期降至4.65%附近 受油价下跌推动，美债价格周一走高——10年期美债收益率下降2.84个基点至4.6487%；2年期美债收益率收报4.331%。 周二亚盘10年期收益率进一步回落至4.63%附近。上周10年期一度突破4.70%创年内新高。 💬 油价暴跌给了债市喘息空间，但4.65%的10年期收益率仍处于"高利率新常态"。2年期收益率4.33%已突破美联储3.75%的利率上限——市场在用真金白银押注美联储加息。30年期美债收益率仍站在5.13%上方——"5%无风险利率"的时代已经到来。 4. 💵 汇市：美元持稳101.5，日元徘徊40年低点 美元指数报101.52，深V反转抹去日内跌幅。美元兑日元报163.73-163.82，日元徘徊在上周触及的163.99的40年低点附近。 欧元微跌至1.1366美元，英镑跌至1.3284美元。 💬 美伊停火一度打压美元避险需求，但美元很快收复失地。日元仍在163.8附近挣扎——40年低点随时可能被刷新。日本央行本周五的利率决议是日元最后的希望——但高盛认为下一次加息可能推迟至明年1月。日本首相高市早苗支持率大幅下滑，未能采取有效措施缓解通胀压力——日元的基本面没有任何改善的迹象。 5. 🛢️ 原油：布油跌破88美元，两日累计跌超12% 布伦特原油周一收跌8.7%至约89美元/桶，周二亚盘进一步跌破88美元。WTI原油周一跌约8.2%至81.96美元/桶。 💬 从上周四的100美元上方到今天的88美元以下——四个交易日暴跌超12%。美伊停火是核心驱动，但油市分析师警告：尽管停火，原油的物理流动仍然受限——停火只是"暂停键"，不是"结束键"。如果谈判破裂，油价随时可能反弹。 6. 🥇 黄金：冲高回落，4100美元得而复失 周一纽约黄金期货涨0.19%收于4078.6美元/盎司。周二亚盘现货黄金在4049-4080美元区间震荡。现货白银报57.37美元/盎司。 💬 油价暴跌→通胀担忧缓解→加息预期降温→美元走弱→黄金本应大涨。但伊朗"不寻求恢复和谈"的表态让地缘风险并未完全消失。黄金在4100美元附近反复拉锯，方向不明。美联储利率决议才是真正的催化剂。 7. ₿ 加密货币：BTC回落至63500美元，6.1亿美元爆仓 比特币周二延续回调——BTC一度跌至63,457美元，创近一周低点，随后反弹至约64,850美元。以太坊失守1,880美元。 过去24小时全网爆仓达6.1亿美元。恐慌指数进一步走低。 💬 BTC从7月上旬58K反弹至66K后开始回调。油价暴跌本应利好风险资产，但英伟达重挫5%拖累AI板块，加密市场同步承压。本周超级事件密集——周三FOMC利率决议、周四PCE和GDP数据、周五百亿级期权到期。BTC的多空方向，全看这周的数据和决议。 🔥 整体判断 今天的市场只有一个叙事：美伊停火，油价暴跌，但AI焦虑让反弹半途而废。 三条清晰的传导链正在同时运转： 美伊停火 → 布油从100+暴跌至88以下（两日跌超12%）→ 通胀担忧缓解 → 美债反弹，美股高开 油价暴跌 + 地缘风险降温 → 美元短暂走弱 → 日元从40年低点小幅反弹 英伟达重挫5% → AI焦虑蔓延 → 纳指四连跌 → 加密货币同步回调 三个核心问题： 停火能持续多久？ 特朗普说"给谈判一次机会"，伊朗说"不寻求恢复和谈"——双方口径不一致。停火能撑过本周吗？ 美联储周三会加息吗？ 市场定价约30%概率。油价暴跌降低了加息紧迫性，但2年期收益率4.33%已突破美联储利率上限——市场在押注加息。 AI财报能救市吗？ 微软、Meta周三财报，苹果、亚马逊周四。英伟达重挫5%说明AI焦虑正在蔓延——巨额资本支出能否转化为利润，将决定纳指是止跌还是继续崩。 今日（7月28日）重点关注： 微软、Meta盘后财报——AI故事的关键时刻 美伊停火后续——谈判有进展吗？ 美元/日元163.80——40年低点，一触即发 美股期货走势——高开低走的模式会重复吗？ #美伊停火 #油价暴跌 #美联储 #AI财报 #英伟达 #美元 #日元 #黄金 #比特币 #纳指 #市场复盘

📆 Global Markets Snapshot · July 27, 2026 1. 🕊️ US-Iran Pause Strikes – Oil Crashes Nearly 6% Trump ordered the US military to pause its nearly two-week campaign of airstrikes on Iran, with no strikes for two consecutive nights. Iran's military announced it would correspondingly halt retaliatory attacks, opening the door for potential negotiations. But the Houthis attacked Saudi oil facilities on the Red Sea coast on Saturday, and Ukraine struck an Iranian merchant ship in the Caspian Sea, killing a crew member – Middle East risks haven't disappeared. Brent crude plunged 5%-7% in Monday Asian trading, briefly breaking below $90/bbl; **WTI dropped over 5% to around $84**. European natural gas prices fell as much as 7.8%. 💬 Oil has crashed from above $100 on Thursday to below $90 – the "war premium" is being squeezed out fast. But the Houthis are still striking Saudi targets, and Ukraine has opened a new front. $100 oil gave both sides a reason to talk – but how long will the ceasefire hold? This week's central bank decisions and tech earnings are the real market movers. 2. 📈 US Futures Surge, Asian Stocks Open Higher US equity futures rallied across the board – Nasdaq 100 futures +1%+, S&P 500 futures +0.6% to +0.8%. Friday's close was mixed: Dow +0.46% at 51,947, S&P 500 +0.05% at 7,411, Nasdaq -0.64% at 24,975. Nikkei 225 opened +0.86%, KOSPI opened +1.73%. 💬 Oil crashing = inflation fears easing = rate-hike expectations cooling = risk assets rallying. But this week is the real test – Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, and Meta all report, alongside SK Hynix and Samsung. Whether massive AI capex can translate into profits will determine how far this rally can go. 3.🏛️ Treasury Yields Fall – 10Y Drops to ~4.65% Treasury yields fell across the curve as oil's plunge eased inflation fears. The 10-year yield dropped as much as 5.3bps to 4.65%, 2-year fell 5.1bps to 4.309%. The 30-year had previously touched 5.16%, its highest since June 2007. Market pricing for a Fed rate hike this week eased slightly from above 35% to around 36.3%. 💬 The oil crash gave bonds a breather – but the 10-year is still above 4.65%, far above where it started the year. The oil crash is a "pause button," not an "end button." The July 29 FOMC decision is the real directional catalyst. 4.💵 Dollar Eases – Yen Temporarily Off 40-Year Lows DXY fell 0.25% to 101.23. USD/JPY fell 0.2% to 163.585, its biggest drop since July 10. USD/JPY had hit 163.98 on Friday – its weakest since 1986. EUR +0.2% at $1.1397, GBP +0.2% at $1.3353. 💬 Oil crashing + geopolitical risk cooling = dollar safe-haven demand fading. But the yen is still above 163 – just one step from 40-year lows. The BOJ's "verbal intervention" has lost its bite – markets are waiting for real action. Whether the yen can hold 163 depends on this week's Fed and BOJ decisions. 5. 🛢️ Oil: From Above $100 to Below $90 **Brent crude fell 5%-7% to around $91/bbl**, briefly breaking below $90; WTI dropped over 5% to around $84. Brent had broken above $100/bbl on Thursday, with WTI up over 10% for the week. Brent is still up over 25% month-to-date. 💬 The US-Iran pause is oil's "quick fix" – after a 47% surge in three weeks, markets finally caught a breather. But the Houthis are still active in the Red Sea, and Ukraine has opened a new Caspian front. $90 Brent is the "ceasefire price" – if talks break down, $100 is back on the table. 6. 🥇 Gold Returns Above $4,100 – Silver Surges 3%+ Spot gold gapped higher, rising over 1% to above $4,100/oz**. **Silver surged over 3% breaking $60/oz. Gold closed at $4,053/oz on Friday. 💬 Oil crashing → inflation fears easing → rate-hike expectations cooling → dollar weakening → gold rallying. Gold has rebounded strongly from below $4,000 to above $4,100. But $4,100-$4,150 is a key resistance zone – holding above depends on this week's Fed tone. 7. ₿ BTC Stands Above $65,000 – ETH Hits 14-Day High **BTC stood above $65,000**, hitting as high as $65,577; ETH surged 3.25% to $1,967**, a 14-day high. **$213M liquidated in 24 hours, with short liquidations accounting for over 75%. The Fear & Greed Index rose to 30. 💬 BTC has bounced from 58K in early July to above 65K – up over 12% in three weeks. Oil crashing → inflation fears easing → rate-hike expectations cooling → liquidity expectations improving → crypto rallying. But $67,000 remains strong resistance. This week's tech earnings and the Fed decision are the real directional catalysts. 🔥 Big Picture Today's market has one narrative: US-Iran ceasefire – oil crashes – global assets breathe a collective sigh of relief. Three transmission chains running simultaneously: US-Iran pause → Brent from $100+ to below $90 → inflation fears ease → bonds rally, rate-hike expectations cool Oil crashing + rate expectations cooling → US futures surge, Asian stocks higher → risk-on returns Oil crashing + dollar weakening → gold back above $4,100, BTC above $65,000 → precious metals and crypto rally across the board Three core questions: How long will the ceasefire hold? The Houthis are still hitting Saudi targets, Ukraine opened a new front – Middle East risks are far from over. The US-Iran "pause" is a prelude to talks, not the end of conflict. Will the Fed hike this week? Markets price ~36% odds. Goldman says "at least one dissent in favor of a hike, but most voters unlikely to push for a move this week". Warsh's stance remains the biggest悬念. Can AI earnings sustain the rally? Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, and Meta all report this week. Whether massive AI capex can translate into profits will determine if the Nasdaq continues to rally or heads back down. Four super-events this week (July 27-31) : Fed rate decision (July 30) – hike or hold? Microsoft, Meta earnings (July 29) – the AI story's first big test Apple, Amazon earnings (July 30) – the consumer tech barometer BOJ rate decision (July 31) – can the yen hold 163? #USIranCeasefire #OilCrash #Fed #TechEarnings #DXY #JPY #Gold #Bitcoin #AICapex #MarketUpdate

📆 全球市场速览 · 2026年7月27日 1. 🕊️ 美伊暂停互袭，油价暴跌近6% 特朗普下令美军暂停持续近两周的对伊空袭，已连续两晚未发动打击。伊朗军方随即宣布相应停止对等打击。双方进入短暂休战窗口，为重启谈判打开大门。 但胡塞武装周六袭击了沙特红海沿岸石油设施，乌克兰在里海水域袭击一艘伊朗商船造成船员死亡——中东风险并未完全消失。 布伦特原油周一亚盘暴跌5%-7%，一度跌破90美元/桶；WTI原油跌超5%至84美元附近。欧洲天然气价格一度跌7.8%。 💬 油价从上周四的100美元上方暴跌至90美元以下——“战争溢价”正在快速挤出。但胡塞武装仍在袭击沙特，乌克兰又开辟了新战线。100美元的油价让双方都有动力坐下来谈，但停火能撑多久？ 本周的央行决议和科技巨头财报才是真正的市场焦点。 2. 📈 美股期货大涨，亚洲股市集体高开 美股期货全线走高——纳斯达克100期货涨超1%，标普500期货涨0.6%-0.8%。上周五美股收盘涨跌不一：道指涨0.46%报51947点，标普500微涨0.05%报7411点，纳指跌0.64%报24975点。 日经225高开0.86%，韩国KOSPI高开1.73%。 💬 油价暴跌=通胀担忧缓解=加息预期降温=风险资产反弹。但本周才是真正的考验——微软、苹果、亚马逊、Meta四大科技巨头携手SK海力士、三星电子集中放榜。AI资本支出的巨额投入能否换来回报，将决定这轮反弹能走多远。 3. 🏛️ 美债收益率回落，10年期降至4.65%附近 受油价暴跌缓解通胀担忧影响，美债收益率全线走低。10年期美债收益率一度跌5.3个基点至4.65%，2年期跌5.1个基点至4.309%。此前30年期美债收益率曾触及5.16%，为2007年6月以来最高。 市场对美联储本周加息的押注从上周的35%以上小幅回落至约36.3%。 💬 油价回落给债市带来了喘息，但10年期收益率仍在4.65%以上——远高于年初水平。油价暴跌只是“暂停键”，不是“结束键”。美联储7月29日的利率决议才是真正的方向选择。 4. 💵 美元回落，日元暂时脱离40年低点 美元指数跌0.25%报101.23。美元兑日元跌0.2%报163.585，为7月10日以来最大跌幅。上周五美元/日元曾触及163.98，创1986年以来新低。欧元涨0.2%报1.1397美元，英镑涨0.2%报1.3353美元。 💬 油价暴跌+地缘风险降温=美元避险买盘消退。但日元仍在163以上——离40年低点仅一步之遥。日本央行的“口头干预”已经失效，市场在等待真正的行动。日元能否守住163，取决于本周美联储和日本央行的利率决议。 5. 🛢️ 原油：从100美元上方暴跌至90美元以下 布伦特原油跌5%-7%至约91美元/桶，盘中一度跌破90美元；WTI原油跌5%以上至约84美元/桶。 此前布伦特原油上周四曾突破100美元/桶，WTI上周收涨超10%。布伦特本月迄今仍累涨逾25%。 💬 美伊暂停互袭是油价的“速效救心丸”——三周暴涨47%之后，市场终于喘了一口气。但胡塞武装仍在红海活跃，乌克兰开辟了里海新战线。90美元的布油是“停火价”——如果谈判破裂，100美元随时回来。 6. 🥇 黄金重返4100美元，白银大涨超3% 现货黄金跳空高开，涨超1%至4100美元/盎司上方。现货白银涨超3%突破60美元/盎司。 上周五金价收报4053美元/盎司。 💬 油价暴跌→通胀担忧缓解→加息预期降温→美元走弱→黄金反弹。黄金从4000美元以下强势反弹至4100以上。但4100-4150是短期阻力区——能否站稳取决于本周美联储决议的基调。 7. ₿ 比特币站上65000美元，以太坊创14日新高 比特币站上65,000美元，最高触及65,577美元；以太坊大涨3.25%至1,967美元，创近14日新高。过去24小时全网爆仓2.13亿美元，空单爆仓占75%以上。恐惧与贪婪指数回升至30。 💬 BTC从7月上旬的58K反弹至65K以上——三周反弹超12%。油价暴跌→通胀担忧缓解→加息预期降温→流动性预期改善→加密货币反弹。但67,000美元仍是强阻力。本周科技巨头财报和美联储决议才是真正的方向催化剂。 🔥 整体判断 今天的市场只有一个叙事：美伊停火，油价暴跌，全球资产集体松一口气。 三条清晰的传导链正在同时运转： 美伊暂停互袭 → 布油从100+暴跌至90以下 → 通胀担忧缓解 → 美债反弹、加息预期小幅回落 油价暴跌 + 加息预期降温 → 美股期货大涨、亚洲股市高开 → 风险偏好全面回归 油价暴跌 + 美元走弱 → 黄金重返4100、比特币站上65000 → 贵金属和加密货币全面反弹 三个核心问题： 停火能持续多久？ 胡塞仍在袭击沙特，乌克兰开辟新战线——中东风险远未消失。美伊“暂停”是谈判的前奏，而不是和平的终章。 美联储本周会加息吗？ 市场定价约36%概率。高盛认为“至少会出现一张反对票，但多数投票者不太可能在本周推动加息”。沃什的立场仍是最大悬念。 AI财报能撑起反弹吗？ 微软、苹果、亚马逊、Meta四大巨头本周放榜。AI资本支出的巨额投入能否转化为利润，将决定纳指是继续反弹还是重回跌势。 本周（7月27-31日）四大超级事件： 美联储利率决议（7月30日凌晨）——加息还是暂停？ 微软、Meta财报（7月29日）——AI故事的第一次大考 苹果、亚马逊财报（7月30日）——消费科技的风向标 日本央行利率决议（7月31日）——日元能否守住163？ #美伊停火 #油价暴跌 #美联储 #科技股财报 #美元 #日元 #黄金 #比特币 #AI资本支出 #市场复盘

📆 Global Markets Snapshot · July 24, 2026 1. 🛢️ Oil Breaks $100 – Nasdaq Posts Worst Drop in a Month Brent crude broke above $100/bbl, unleashing full-blown panic over inflation and rate hikes. US markets plunged across the board – Dow -506 points (-0.97%) at 51,711; S&P 500 -1.21% at 7,408; Nasdaq -2.15% at 25,137 – its worst single-day drop in a month. The Magnificent Seven bled $797 billion in market cap in a single day – the worst wipeout since April 2025. **Tesla cratered 14.5%** – Q2 free cash flow turned negative, capex surged 142% YoY. **Google plunged 7%+** – AI spending accelerating, capex guidance raised to $205B, free cash flow turned negative. Amazon -4%+, Meta -3%+. Semis bucked the trend – Micron +3%+, SK Hynix ADR +2.5%; the Philly Semi only -0.54%. Defense stocks soared – Lockheed Martin +10%+. SpaceX defied the selling, +2%+. 💬 Oil breaking $100 was the last straw. Alphabet and Tesla earnings sent a unified signal – **AI's massive capex is devouring profits, with returns nowhere in sight**. The Mag 7 losing $800B in market cap is the market voting with its feet: stories are getting too expensive. The Philly Semi barely fell – money is rotating from "storytelling" software names into "real earnings" hard tech. 2. 🛢️ Brent Stands Above $100 – Up 47% in Three Weeks Brent crude closed +7.04% at $100.69/bbl**. **WTI closed +6.17% at $92.19/bbl. WTI briefly surged 8% intraday. US strikes on Iran have now entered their 13th consecutive night. Trump said he is "seriously considering" restarting large-scale combat operations against Iran. The Houthis continue attacking Red Sea tankers. Shipping risks in both the Bab el-Mandeb and the Strait of Hormuz are spiking across the board. 💬 From $68 in early July to $100 today – up 47% in three weeks. The dual strait crisis (Hormuz + Bab el-Mandeb) has simultaneously choked off global energy supply chains. The US signaling potential large-scale military strikes – the conflict is escalating from "maritime skirmishes" to "full-scale war." Oil above $100 is no longer a short-term phenomenon – it's the new pricing baseline. 3. 🥇 Gold Loses $4,100 – Rate-Hike Fears Intensify **Spot gold closed -1.96% at $4,049.09/oz**, briefly plunging $100 intraday. COMEX gold -2.40% at $4,052.30/oz**. **Silver -3.45% at $57.63/oz. 💬 Oil above $100 → inflation panic → rate-hike expectations surge → dollar strengthens → gold crashes. **Gold has proven once again: in the face of "rising real yields," geopolitical hedging doesn't matter.** $4,100 was support – now it's resistance. If the 10-year yield continues climbing (already at an 18-month high of 4.70%), gold could test $4,000 again. 4. 📈 Treasury Yields at 18-Month High – Rate-Hike Odds Surge The 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.700% – an 18-month high. The 2-year yield closed at 4.355% – a 17-month high. Market pricing has pivoted sharply – traders now price a 35%+ probability of a rate hike next week – up from ~10% just one week ago. September hike odds have surged to ~80%. 💬4.70% on the 10-year is the highest since late 2024. Markets are repricing "higher for longer" at the fastest pace in years. If oil stays above $100, the July 29 FOMC could go from "non-event" to "the most important meeting of the year." The 2-year at a 17-month high – short-end markets are betting real money on the Fed restarting hikes. 5. 💵 Dollar Above 101.4 – Yen Approaches 164 DXY +0.33% at 101.44. Rising Middle East tensions are pushing oil higher, fueling fears that the Fed will hike rates to combat inflation. USD/JPY broke above 163, hitting as high as 163.98 – the yen's weakest level since November 1986. Japan's finance minister reiterated readiness for "decisive action." EUR/USD -0.33% at $1.1372. The ECB held rates steady as expected. 💬 163 is broken – the 40-year line of defense has finally fallen. Oil above $100 → Fed rate-hike expectations surging → US-Japan yield gap widening → yen heading toward 164. Japan's verbal intervention has completely lost its bite. Goldman believes the BOJ will hold rates this month, with the next hike potentially delayed until January 2027 – meaning more yen weakness ahead. 6. ₿ Bitcoin Shows Rare Resilience – Holds 65K Amid AI Carnage **BTC at ~$65,400**, down less than 1% on the day, still up ~3% for the week. ETH -3% at $1,879; DOGE -5%; SOL -3% at $76. ~$251M liquidated. Most notably: the Mag 7 bled $800B – but Bitcoin barely moved. Throughout July, BTC has closely tracked AI trades – but this time, there's a rare decoupling. 💬 Comment: BTC has bounced from 58K in early July to 65K – up 12% in three weeks – showing impressive resilience amid the AI selloff. But $65,000-67,000 remains a strong resistance zone. **Oil above $100 → inflation panic → rate-hike expectations surging → dollar strengthening** – this chain is still pressuring crypto's upside. The CLARITY Act's odds of passing by year-end have dropped to 32% – regulatory uncertainty remains a wildcard. 🔥 Big Picture Today's market has one narrative: Oil breaks $100 – global assets get repriced. Three transmission chains running simultaneously: Dual strait crisis → Brent above $100 (up 47% in 3 weeks) → September hike odds at 80% → 2-year yield at 17-month high Oil above $100 + rate-hike panic → Mag 7 bled $800B → Nasdaq posts worst drop in a month Oil above $100 + rate expectations → DXY above 101.4 → yen breaks 163 (first time since 1986) Three core questions: Will oil keep rising? Brent is already above $100. Trump is "seriously considering" large-scale combat operations against Iran – if all-out war breaks out, oil could hit $120 or higher. The White House's next move will decide everything. Will the Fed hike next week? One week ago, odds were only 10%. Today, they're above 35%. If oil-above-$100 panic persists until July 29, the FOMC could become the most important monetary policy event of 2026. How long can tech's "AI story" hold? Alphabet raised capex to $205B, free cash flow turned negative; Tesla capex surged 142%, free cash flow turned negative. Markets are punishing "burning cash for stories" – AI needs faster monetization, not more spending. Today (July 24) to watch: Trump's Iran decision – all-out war or continued airstrikes? Red Sea / Hormuz shipping – is the dual strait crisis worsening? USD/JPY at 164 – will Tokyo finally act? US futures – can Asian markets catch a bid? #OilAbove100 #Fed #USIran #StraitOfHormuz #Nasdaq #TechStocks #AIBubble #TreasuryYields #DXY #JPY #Gold #Bitcoin #MarketUpdate

📆 全球市场速览 · 2026年7月24日 1. 🛢️ 油价破百，纳指创一个月最大跌幅 布伦特原油突破100美元/桶，彻底引爆了市场对通胀和加息的恐慌。美股三大指数全线重挫——道指跌506点（0.97%）报51711点，标普500跌1.21%报7408点，纳指暴跌2.15%报25137点，创一个月以来最大单日跌幅。 科技“七巨头”市值单日蒸发7970亿美元，创2025年4月以来最惨烈表现。特斯拉狂泻14.5%——Q2自由现金流转负，资本支出同比暴增142%。谷歌跌超7%——AI烧钱加速，资本开支预测上调至2050亿美元，自由现金流转负。亚马逊跌超4%，Meta跌逾3%。 芯片股逆势分化——美光科技涨超3%，SK海力士ADR涨2.5%；费城半导体指数仅跌0.54%。军工股大涨——洛歇马丁劲升逾10%。SpaceX逆势涨超2%。 💬 油价破百是压垮市场的最后一根稻草。Alphabet和特斯拉的财报共同传递了一个信号——AI的巨额资本支出正在吞噬利润，而回报遥遥无期。科技“七巨头”市值蒸发8000亿美元，市场在用脚投票：故事的代价太贵了。费城半导体指数仅跌0.54%，资金正在从“烧钱讲故事”的软件股，转向“赚真钱”的硬科技。 2. 🛢️ 布油站上100美元，三周暴涨47% 布伦特原油期货收涨7.04%，报100.69美元/桶。WTI原油期货收涨6.17%，报92.19美元/桶。盘中WTI一度大涨8%。 美军已连续第13晚对伊朗发动空袭；特朗普表示正“认真考虑”重启对伊朗大规模作战行动；胡塞武装持续袭击红海油轮；曼德海峡与霍尔木兹海峡航运风险全面飙升。 💬 从7月上旬的68美元到今天的100美元——三周暴涨47%。双海峡危机（霍尔木兹+曼德）同时引爆，全球能源供应链正在被直接掐断。美方表态拟发动大规模军事打击——冲突从“海上摩擦”升级为“全面战争”的可能性正在上升。油价破百不再是短期现象，而是新的定价基准。 3. 🥇 黄金失守4100美元，加息预期全面升温 现货黄金收跌1.96%，报4049.09美元/盎司。盘中一度暴跌100美元。COMEX黄金期货跌2.40%报4052.30美元/盎司。现货白银收跌3.45%报57.63美元/盎司。 💬 油价破百→通胀恐慌→加息预期飙升→美元走强→黄金暴跌。黄金再次证明：在“实际利率上行”面前，地缘避险不值一提。4100美元曾是支撑，如今已成阻力。如果10年期美债收益率继续攀升（已创18个月新高4.70%），黄金可能进一步下探4000美元。 4. 📈 美债收益率创18个月新高，加息概率飙升 10年期美债收益率收报4.700%，创18个月新高。2年期美债收益率收报4.355%，创17个月新高。 市场定价急剧转向——交易员对下周美联储加息的押注在一周内从约10%急升至逾35%；9月加息概率已飙升至约80%。 💬 10年期美债收益率4.70%，是2024年底以来最高水平。市场正在以最快的速度重新定价“更高更久”的利率路径。油价破百如果持续，7月29日的FOMC会议将从“无关紧要”变成“年度最重要会议”。2年期收益率创17个月新高——短端市场在用真金白银押注美联储重启加息。 5. 💵 美元站上101.4，日元逼近164 美元指数收涨0.33%报101.44。中东局势推升油价，市场担心美联储加息应对通胀。 美元兑日元升破163，一度触及163.98，创1986年11月以来最低水平。日本财务大臣重申“必要时采取果断行动”。欧元兑美元跌0.33%报1.1372。欧洲央行如期维持利率不变。 💬 163破了，40年防线彻底失守。油价破百→美联储加息预期飙升→美日利差继续扩大→日元跌向164。日本财务省的口头干预已经彻底失效。高盛认为日本央行本月将维持利率不变，下一次加息或推迟至明年1月——这意味着日元还要继续贬值。 6. ₿ 比特币展现罕见韧性，AI抛售中守住65000 比特币报约65,400美元，当日下跌不到1%，本周仍上涨约3%。以太坊跌3%报1,879美元；狗狗币跌5%；Solana跌3%报76美元。全网爆仓约2.51亿美元。 最值得关注的是：科技“七巨头”市值蒸发8000亿美元，但比特币几乎没动。整个7月比特币都紧密跟随AI交易波动，但这次出现了罕见的脱钩迹象。 💬 比特币从7月上旬58K反弹至65K——三周反弹12%，且在大规模AI抛售中展现出惊人韧性。但65,000-67,000美元仍是强阻力区间。油价破百→通胀恐慌→加息预期飙升→美元走强，这条传导链正在给加密货币的反弹施加压力。CLARITY法案年底过关概率已跌至32%——监管不确定性仍是隐忧。 🔥 整体判断 今天的市场只有一个叙事：油价破百，全球资产大重置。 三条清晰的传导链正在同时运转： 双海峡危机 → 布油破100（三周暴涨47%）→ 9月加息概率飙至80% → 2年期美债收益率创17个月新高 油价破百 + 加息恐慌 → 科技七巨头市值蒸发8000亿美元 → 纳指创一个月最大跌幅 油价破百 + 加息预期飙升 → 美元站上101.4 → 日元跌破163（1986年以来首次） 三个核心问题： 油价会继续涨吗？ 布油已破100。特朗普称正“认真考虑”重启对伊朗大规模作战——如果全面战争爆发，油价可能冲向120美元甚至更高。白宫的下一步决策将决定一切。 美联储下周会加息吗？ 一周前概率仅10%，今天已超35%。如果油价破百的恐慌持续到7月29日，FOMC会议可能成为2026年最重要的货币政策事件。 科技股“AI故事”还能讲多久？ Alphabet资本开支上调至2050亿美元、自由现金流转负；特斯拉资本支出暴增142%、自由现金流转负。市场正在惩罚“烧钱讲故事”——AI的盛宴，需要更快的变现，而非更多的烧钱。 今日（7月24日）重点关注： 特朗普对伊作战决策——全面战争or继续空袭？ 红海/霍尔木兹海峡通航状况——双海峡危机是否进一步恶化？ 美元/日元164——日本当局会出手干预吗？ 美股期货走势——亚洲盘能否止跌？ #油价破百 #美联储 #美伊冲突 #霍尔木兹海峡 #纳指 #科技股 #AI泡沫 #美债收益率 #美元 #日元 #黄金 #比特币 #市场复盘

香港Wiki Expo现场气氛超棒！🇭🇰 今天听了几个座谈会，收获满满！ 我们在CBCX展位跟社群朋友们聊得非常开心～如果你也在展会里，欢迎过来打个招呼！ #WikiExpo #CBCX #HongKong #Web3 #Blockchain #PanelDiscussion

Great energy at Wiki Expo Hong Kong🇭🇰 Great insights from the panels today thus far! We’re having a blast at the CBCX Booth connecting with the community. If you're at the expo, swing by and say hi! #WikiExpo #CBCX #HongKong #Web3 #Blockchain #PanelDiscussion

📆 Global Markets Snapshot · July 23, 2026 1. 🔥 Oil Approaches $100 – Fed Rate-Hike Odds Surge to 31% Wednesday marked the 11th consecutive night of US strikes on Iran. Secretary of State Rubio said Iran is "not serious about negotiations" and the US will "take necessary measures" if they lack sincerity. The Houthis declared a blockade on Saudi Red Sea shipping, threatening tankers in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. Iran's Revolutionary Guard warned that mines have been laid in the southern航道 of the Strait of Hormuz. Oil surged further – Brent crude briefly broke above $95/bbl intraday, closing +3.36% at $94.07/bbl; WTI closed +2.95% at $86.83/bbl. WTI has already broken above $88/bbl in Asian trading. 💬 The "dual strait crisis" – Hormuz + Bab el-Mandeb – has simultaneously exploded. Five tankers have already rerouted away from Bab el-Mandeb. Oil has surged from $68 in early July to nearly $95 – up nearly 40% in three weeks. Traders have boosted their bets on a Fed rate hike this month from 10% a week ago to 31%. Oil hitting $100 by year-end is now a mainstream Wall Street view. 2. 📉 US Stocks: Three Indices Edge Lower, SpaceX Hits New Post-IPO Low US markets closed lower across the board – Dow -6.06 points (-0.01%) at 52,218.58; Nasdaq -146.30 points (-0.57%) at 25,690.90; S&P 500 -10.24 points (-0.14%) at 7,498.96. Rising oil weighed on risk appetite – CNBC noted high oil prices could push up consumer prices, leading to Fed rate hikes. Individual stocks: SpaceX -6.7%, hitting a new post-IPO closing low; SK Hynix -3.8%; Nvidia +2.3%; Super Micro +20% on strong Q4 margin guidance; Dell +9%. Most tech giants fell: Meta -2%+, Microsoft -2%, Google, Amazon, Tesla -1%+, Apple -0.56%. Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index -1.8%, NetEase -6%+. European markets all rose: FTSE 100 +1.24%, CAC40 +0.89%, DAX +0.58%. 💬 Surging oil is becoming the biggest macro headwind for US stocks. Fed rate-hike odds have surged from 10% to 31% in a week – the "inflation → rate hikes → valuation compression" chain is running at full speed. Alphabet raised its AI capex guidance to potentially over $200B after earnings, but markets are voting with their feet: AI needs faster monetization, not more spending. 3. 🏛️ Treasuries: Yields Rise Across the Curve, 2Y Hits 17-Month High Treasury yields continued climbing – 10-year yield closed at 4.668%, just shy of its 2026 high set in mid-May; 2-year yield closed at 4.302%, hitting a 17-month high; 30-year yield stood above 5.15%, its longest consecutive streak above 5% since 2007. Fed funds futures traders now price a 31% probability of a rate hike this month, up from 10% a week ago; 75% probability of at least a 25bp hike by September. 💬The 30-year yield is now firmly above 5% – "5% risk-free" is becoming the new normal. The 2-year yield at a 17-month high – markets are betting real money on the Fed restarting hikes. As long as oil stays hot, Treasury selling pressure won't stop. The July 29 FOMC meeting is turning from "non-event" into "the most important meeting of the year." 4. 💵 Forex: Yen Breaks Below 163 – First Time Since 1986 DXY at 101.11, -0.08%. USD/JPY broke below 163, hitting as low as 163.24 – the yen's weakest level since December 1986. Every 100 yen now buys just HK$4.78. Bloomberg reported BOJ officials are open to faster rate hikes than economists currently expect. Overnight index swaps now price an 80% probability of a BOJ rate hike in October. But Finance Minister Katayama's verbal intervention warning – "bold action when needed" – did little to lift the yen. 💬 63 is broken – a 40-year line of defense has finally fallen. Surging oil + Fed rate-hike expectations + Japanese fiscal stimulus = a perfect storm for yen weakness. SMBC Nikko Securities notes that if authorities don't intervene, 165 is the next key level. The BOJ's "verbal intervention" has completely lost its bite – markets are waiting for real action. But against the Fed's rate-hike tide, how long can intervention hold? 5. 🛢️ Oil: Brent Briefly Breaks $95 – "Dual Strait Crisis" Sparks Supply Panic Oil surged sharply on Wednesday – **Brent closed +3.36% at $94.07/bbl**, hitting as high as $95.47 intraday – its highest since June 11; **WTI closed +2.95% at $86.83/bbl**. WTI has already broken above $88/bbl in Asian trading. Brent's 3-month contango spread widened to $9.26/bbl – the largest backwardation since May 22, signaling extreme near-term supply tightness. Geopolitical risks escalated across the board: 11th consecutive night of US strikes on Iran; Trump threatened to bomb Iranian bridges and power plants if Tehran continues attacking Hormuz shipping; Iran's Guard warned mines have been laid in the southern Hormuz航道; the Houthis declared a blockade on Saudi Red Sea shipping, threatening tankers in Bab el-Mandeb. EIA data showed US crude inventories unexpectedly rose by 2M barrels (vs. expected 1.1M draw). 💬 The "dual strait crisis" is rewriting global energy logistics. Five tankers have already rerouted away from Bab el-Mandeb – the extra cost and transit time of routing around Africa are being priced into oil. Asian refiners are already planning alternative routes from Saudi's Yanbu port via the Suez Canal or around Africa. Brent from $68 in early July to $95 intraday – up nearly 40% in three weeks. Trump's threat to bomb Iranian infrastructure means the conflict could spread from the sea to Iran's domestic facilities. Oil hitting $100 by year-end is no longer alarmist – it's becoming the base case. 6. 🥇 Gold: 4-Day Winning Streak to $4,130 – Briefly Spiked $100 Intraday **Spot gold closed +1.28% to +1.32% at $4,129.99-4,131.09/oz**. It briefly surged nearly $100 from its intraday low to above $4,160, hitting a two-week high of $4,165.92/oz before paring gains. **Silver closed +1.59% to +1.63% at $59.69-59.725/oz**. COMEX gold +1.46% at $4,135.9/oz. 💬 Gold has rallied for four straight sessions, bouncing from below $4,000 to $4,130 – up over 3% in a week. Geopolitical heat + dollar weakness + technical buying – three catalysts aligned. But $4,200 remains strong resistance – surging oil is pushing real yields higher, capping gold's upside. Gold's "safe-haven"属性 is locked in a tug-of-war with "rate pressure." 7. ₿ Crypto: BTC Consolidates at $66K – ETH Hits Two-Week High **BTC consolidated around $66,000**, trading at ~$66,055-66,189. It ranged between $65,553 and $66,542 intraday. **ETH briefly hit $1,956 overnight** – a two-week high – before paring to ~$1,932. 63,829 traders liquidated in 24 hours, totaling $182M – longs accounted for 58%. The Fear & Greed Index was at 31, down from 33, still in "Fear" territory. US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw two consecutive weeks of net inflows. The CLARITY Act's latest draft was released, but its passage odds on Polymarket have dropped to 32%. 💬 BTC is consolidating near $66,000 after bouncing from 58K in early July – **up nearly 14% in three weeks**. But oil approaching $95 → inflation fears rising → Fed rate-hike odds surging to 31% – this chain is putting pressure on crypto's rebound. $66,000-$67,000 remains strong resistance – breaking through needs more catalysts. The CLARITY Act is the biggest regulatory variable on the horizon. 🔥 Big Picture Today's market has one narrative: Oil approaches $100 – global assets get repriced. Three transmission chains running simultaneously: Dual strait crisis → Brent approaches $95 (up 40% in 3 weeks) → Fed rate-hike odds surge to 31% → Treasury yields rise across the curve (2Y at 17-month high) Oil surge + rate-hike expectations → US stocks under pressure → Nasdaq underperforms (AI valuations squeezed) Oil surge + Fed expectations → DXY holds above 101 → yen breaks 163 (first time since 1986) Three core questions: **Will oil break $100?** Brent is already approaching $95. The "dual strait crisis" is threatening both Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb simultaneously. If conflict escalates further, $100 is just a matter of time. Will the Fed hike in July? Market pricing has surged from 10% to 31% in a week. If oil stays hot and pushes up July inflation, the July 29 FOMC could go from "non-event" to "the most important meeting of the year." What happens after yen breaks 163? 163 was a 40-year line of defense. SMBC Nikko Securities notes 165 is the next key level if authorities don't intervene. The BOJ's "verbal intervention" has completely lost its bite. Today (July 23) to watch: US-Iran escalation – 11th night of strikes, Trump threatens Iranian infrastructure Red Sea shipping – 5 tankers have rerouted, more may follow Fed rate-hike odds – will 31% climb higher? USD/JPY at 163 – will Tokyo finally act? #Oil #Fed #USIran #StraitOfHormuz #BabElMandeb #TreasuryYields #DXY #JPY #Gold #Bitcoin #USStocks #MarketUpdate

📆 全球市场速览 · 2026年7月23日 1. 🔥 油价逼近100美元，美联储加息概率升至31% 周三，美军对伊朗发动连续第11晚打击。美国国务卿卢比奥表示伊朗“对谈判并不认真”，称若伊朗无诚意“将采取必要措施保护我们的利益”。胡塞武装宣布封锁沙特红海航运，威胁攻击曼德海峡油轮。伊朗革命卫队警告称霍尔木兹海峡南侧航道已布设水雷。 油价继续飙升，布伦特原油盘中一度突破95美元/桶，最终收涨3.36%报94.07美元/桶；WTI原油收涨2.95%报86.83美元/桶。WTI亚盘已突破88美元/桶。 💬 霍尔木兹海峡 + 曼德海峡“双海峡危机”同时引爆。5艘油轮已选择避开曼德海峡改道。油价从7月上旬68美元到逼近95美元——三周暴涨近40%。交易员对本月美联储加息的押注已从一周前的10%飙升至31%。油价年底破100美元已成为华尔街主流预期。 2. 📉 美股：三大指数小幅收跌，SpaceX再创上市新低 美股三大指数尾盘震荡走弱，集体收跌——道指跌6.06点（0.01%）报52218.58点；纳指跌146.30点（0.57%）报25690.90点；标普500指数跌10.24点（0.14%）报7498.96点。 油价上涨压制风险偏好，CNBC称高油价可能推高消费品价格从而导致美联储加息。 热门个股方面：SpaceX跌超6.7%，再创上市以来收盘新低；SK海力士跌超3.8%；英伟达涨超2.3%；超微电脑因Q4利润指引超预期暴涨近20%；戴尔涨9%。 大型科技股多数下跌：脸书跌超2%，微软跌近2%，谷歌、亚马逊、特斯拉跌超1%，苹果跌0.56%。 纳斯达克中国金龙指数收跌1.8%，网易跌超6%。 欧股全线收涨：英国富时100涨1.24%，法国CAC40涨0.89%，德国DAX涨0.58%。 💬 油价的持续暴涨正在成为压制美股的最大宏观逆风。美联储加息预期从一周前的10%飙升至31%——“通胀—加息—估值压缩”的传导链正在以最快速度运转。Alphabet财报后上调AI资本支出预估至可能超2000亿美元，但市场正在用脚投票：AI的故事需要更快的变现，而非更多的烧钱。 3. 🏛️ 美债：收益率全线走高，2年期创17个月新高 美债收益率连续攀升——10年期美债收益率收报4.668%，距离5月中旬创下的2026年高点仅差不到2个基点；2年期美债收益率收报4.302%，创逾17个月新高；30年期美债收益率站上5.15%，为2007年以来最长连续站上5%的纪录。 联邦基金期货交易员预计本月美联储加息概率为31%，高于一周前的10%；9月至少加息25个基点的概率为75%。 💬 30年期收益率连续站上5%，“5%无风险利率”正在成为新常态。2年期收益率创17个月新高，市场正在用真金白银押注美联储重启加息。油价不降温，美债的抛压就不会停止。7月29日FOMC会议正在从“无关紧要”变成“年度最重要会议”。 4. 💵 汇市：日元跌破163，创1986年以来新低 美元指数报101.11，微跌0.08%。 美元兑日元跌破163关口，低见163.24，创1986年12月以来新低。每百日圆兑港元见4.78算。 彭博社报道称，日本央行官员对以快于经济学家预期的速度加息持开放态度。隔夜指数掉期显示日本央行10月加息概率已升至80%。但日本财务大臣片山皋月重申“必要时采取大胆行动”的口头干预后，日圆仍在163附近徘徊。 💬 163破了——40年的防线终于失守。油价暴涨 + 美联储加息预期升温 + 日本财政刺激 = 日元贬值的完美风暴。SMBC日兴证券指出，若当局不干预，165是下一个关键关口。日本央行的“口头干预”已经彻底失效，市场在等待真正的行动——但逆着美联储加息潮干预，能撑多久？ 5. 🛢️ 原油：布油盘中突破95美元，“双海峡危机”引爆供应恐慌 周三国际油价大幅收高——布伦特原油收涨3.36%报94.07美元/桶，盘中一度触及95.47美元，创6月11日以来最高；WTI原油收涨2.95%报86.83美元/桶。WTI亚盘已突破88美元/桶。 布伦特原油3个月期价差扩大至每桶9.26美元，为5月22日以来最大逆价差，反映市场预期短期供应极度吃紧。 地缘风险全面升级：美军连续第11晚打击伊朗；特朗普威胁若伊朗继续攻击霍尔木兹海峡船只将轰炸其桥梁或发电厂；伊朗革命卫队称海峡南侧航道已布设水雷；胡塞武装宣布封锁沙特红海航运，威胁攻击曼德海峡油轮。 美国EIA数据显示上周原油库存意外增加200万桶（预期减少110万桶）。 💬 “双海峡危机”正在改写全球能源版图。5艘油轮已避开曼德海峡改道——绕行非洲的额外成本和运输时间正在被计入油价。亚洲炼油商已开始规划从沙特延布港经苏伊士运河绕行。布油从7月上旬68美元到盘中95美元——三周暴涨近40%。特朗普威胁轰炸伊朗桥梁和发电厂，意味着冲突可能从海上扩大到伊朗本土基础设施。油价年底破100美元已非危言耸听。 6. 🥇 黄金：四连阳站上4130美元，盘中一度暴涨近100美元 现货黄金收涨1.28%-1.32%，报4129.99-4131.09美元/盎司。盘中一度较日内低点大涨近100美元至4160美元上方，触及两周高位4165.92美元/盎司，但未能站稳。 现货白银收涨1.59%-1.63%，报59.69-59.725美元/盎司。COMEX黄金期货涨1.46%报4135.9美元/盎司。 💬 黄金四连阳，从4000美元下方反弹至4130美元——一周反弹超3%。地缘冲突升温 + 美元走软 + 技术性买盘，三大利好共振。但4200美元仍是强阻力——油价持续高烧推高实际利率，正在限制黄金的反弹空间。黄金的“避险属性”正在与“利率压制”反复拉锯。 7. ₿ 加密货币：BTC盘整6.6万美元，ETH触及两周高点 比特币在66,000美元关口震荡，报约66,055-66,189美元。盘中于65,553至66,542美元间波动。 以太坊昨夜一度冲上1,956美元，改写近两周高点，随后回吐涨幅暂报1,932美元附近。 过去24小时全网63,829人爆仓，爆仓总额1.82亿美元，多单占58%。恐惧与贪婪指数报31，较昨日33回落，连续处于“恐惧”区间。 美国比特币现货ETF连续两周净流入。CLARITY法案最新草案发布，但能否在参议院闯关仍不明朗，Polymarket押注其年底前过关概率跌至32%。 💬 BTC在66,000美元附近高位盘整，从7月上旬58K反弹至66K——三周反弹近14%。但油价逼近95美元→通胀担忧升温→美联储加息概率飙至31%——这条传导链正在给加密货币的反弹施加压力。66,000-67,000美元是强阻力区间——突破需要更多催化剂。CLARITY法案的进展是近期最大的监管变量。 🔥 整体判断 今天的市场只有一个叙事：油价逼近100美元，全球资产重新定价。 三条清晰的传导链正在同时运转： 双海峡危机 → 布油逼近95美元（三周暴涨40%）→ 美联储加息概率飙至31% → 美债收益率全线走高（2年期创17个月新高） 油价暴涨 + 加息预期升温 → 美股承压收跌 → 纳指跑输（AI估值压缩） 油价暴涨 + 美联储加息预期 → 美元维持101上方 → 日元跌破163（1986年以来首次） 三个核心问题： 油价会破100吗？ 布油已逼近95美元，“双海峡危机”正在同时威胁霍尔木兹和曼德海峡。如果冲突继续升级，油价破100只是时间问题。 美联储7月会加息吗？ 市场定价已从一周前的10%飙升至31%。如果油价持续高烧推高7月通胀，FOMC会议可能从“无关紧要”变成“年度最重要”。 日元163破了之后呢？ 163是1986年以来的40年防线。SMBC日兴证券指出，若当局不干预，165是下一个关键关口。日本央行的“口头干预”已彻底失效。 今日（7月23日）重点关注： 美伊冲突升级——连续第11晚打击，特朗普威胁轰炸伊朗基础设施 红海航运状况——5艘油轮已改道，更多船只可能跟进 美联储加息预期——31%的概率会否继续攀升？ 美元/日元163——40年新低之后，日本当局会出手吗？ #油价 #美联储 #美伊冲突 #霍尔木兹海峡 #曼德海峡 #美债收益率 #美元 #日元 #黄金 #比特币 #美股 #市场复盘

🚀 See you tomorrow at WikiExpo Hong Kong! We’re counting down to WikiEXPO Hong Kong 2026 – and we can’t wait to connect with fellow traders, liquidity providers, and innovators. 📍 Where: Hopewell Hotel, Hong Kong 📅 When: 23–24 July 2026 🎯 Booth: B8 (CBCX) Come by to chat about the new era of cross‑asset allocation, liquidity dynamics, and how we’re bridging the globe through smarter trading. Let’s make these two days count. See you there! 👋 #CBCX #WikiEXPO #HongKong #Liquidity #Trading #Finance #Zeuspace #Networking

🚀 明天香港见！ 我们在 WikiEXPO Hong Kong 2026 的展位已准备就绪，期待与各位交易者、流动供应商和行业伙伴面对面交流。 📍 地点：香港合和酒店 📅 时间：7月23–24日 🎯 展位：B8（CBCX） 来聊聊跨资产配置、流动性管理，以及我们如何用技术连接全球市场。 明天见！👋 #CBCX #WikiEXPO #香港 #流动性 #交易 #金融

📊 未来投资，拼的不是预测，而是配置。 当资产关系不断变化，固定比例策略越来越难控制风险。 在 @ME_NEWS 阅读 Zeuspace 负责人 Dr. Andy Cheung @DrZeuspace 🔄 每2-3个月动态再平衡 🏦 固定收益重回底仓 🥇 黄金长期战略配置 📦 加密资产分阶段布局 💵 保持流动性——危机中最大的武器 “地图在变，但罗盘仍然指示方向。” 📖 全文：me.news/contents/297891 #资产配置 #全天候策略 #宏观 #加密资产 #Zeuspace

🗺️旧的资产定价逻辑正在失效。 黄金可与利率同涨，美元与黄金阶段性同升，比特币在风险事件中率先遭抛售——这些“反常识”现象，正成为新常态。 📈在 @ME_NEWS 阅读 Zeuspace 负责人 Dr. Andy Cheung @DrZeuspace “今天的相关性是动态的、非线性的，且不断变化。” 市场变了，地图也要换。 📖 全文：me.news/contents/297890 #资产配置 #宏观 #加密资产 #黄金 #Zeuspace