Zyo

$BE earnings after hours today. After the $ORCL news on expanding fuel cell usage instead of turbines (For what seems to be air permitting reasons), it will be incredibly interesting to hear what Bloom management has to say about what they're hearing from Hyperscaler customers in terms of what is important to them. If we hear that clients are prioritizing speed to power, low noise, low emissions, modular deployments, and high CHP efficiency, these would all be bullish developments in projecting $FCEL ability to close the data centers part of their 1.5 GW sales pipeline. $BE is sold out and cannot serve these smaller data center sites, so the next best option for edge data centers that have these requirements for regulations / permitting could be $FCEL.

Q saying everyone can become a good trader. “Every single one of you can. Could do this, no rocket science involved. It’s when you try the rocket science training that’s when bad things happen. You trading observe what’s going on. You learn some basic chart patterns that have worked for 100 years. You learn some basic risk management and boom. No advanced mathematics needed. There’s not really that much brain power needed to make it in this. Really, I think a brain dead person could do this.“

I've initiated positions in $CPSH as a US AlSiC pure play chokepoint. They represent ~25% of the near-term semi-grade AlSiC market. Their customers: - U.S. Navy (War) - U.S. Army (War) - U.S. Dept. of Energy (Energy / Nuclear) - U.S. Space Force / NASA (Space) - Lockheed Martin ( $LMT ) - Raytheon ( $RTX ) - Northrop Grumman - General Dynamics - The U.S. Navy uses $CPSH for ballistic protection systems of the newest carriers (like the USS Gerald R. Ford and USS Abraham Lincoln). As well as other fleets like the Danish Navy through Lockheed. - US Army uses $CPSH for 40mm Tungsten Warheads and UH-60 Black Hawk Helicopters. - The US Dpt of Energy uses $CPSH for impact limiters when transferring nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level radioactive waste via rail. - U.S. Space Force / NASA uses $CPSH for GPS satellites and it sits in many electronic systems in the International Space Station. (Also not including Mars Rover missions) - Lockheed, Raytheon, Northrop, and General Dynamics uses $CPSH for missile heat-shielding components. AlSiC housings for radar systems, and thermal management materials. AlSiC or (aluminum silicon carbide) is a well known material composite that handles extreme thermal conditions for many applications above from space to defense. But as architectures from $NVDA Rubin to scale up to 2300-2500W in 2027-2028, that same material may be used AI due to heat warpage. My thoughts were that the tiny TAM material used to handle extreme changes in heat from hypersonic missiles to rocket nose cones may likely be used for AI deployments. This is similar to how InP (niche TAM for Telecom) became a bottleneck as photonics scaled up. Or how Toto's fine ceramics for toilets were critical to memory. AlSiC (esp. post-processing) may become a potential chokepoint as AI ramps up to Rubin generation chips. Majority of the world's AlSiC production still originates in East Asia (Denka,Sumitomo, BYD, JFC). But CPS is currently the primary "US/Western hedge" and CPSH states they represent roughly 25% of the near-term available AlSiC market (CPS Technologies AGM Presentation). And that percentage of the supply chain is only worth ~$100 MC right now. Their balance sheet: $12.7M – $13.8M (pro-forma) cash. Almost 0 debt. Inventory ~5.4M, Liabilities: ~$5.06M (eg. $3.53M for aluminum and silicon carbide) Y/Y revenue is 8.8M, up +107.29%. Y/Y Net income is up 207.96K (+119.94%). Healthy balance sheet and US Government strategic interest + Defense Contractors gives $CPSH low downside risk at $100M or even at $200M as the leading Western AlSiC supply chain. There were new contracts eg. $15.5M order from the leading Semi likely ~Infineon last October, that more visibility into revenue upside. And they are expanding production (funded by their Oct 25th raise), which hints to higher demand. "We believe we are the world leader in the design and manufacture of AlSiC... Many of our products are designed specifically for a single customer application, making us the sole-source provider for those components." (10-K filings) TLDR: The AI upside depends entirely on a material pivot by big tech. Similar to the Toto toilet maker for memory type but the AI fit seems strong. But the benefit is that its existing list of US DoD contractors gives the company lower downside risk. This is just my own personal thesis I wanted to share. But personally I've taken positions in $CPSH as an AlSiC play (and long US supply chains) as it may play an important role with thermal warpage with AI in 2027-2028 as we expand to 2000W+.

이번 $POET 사태를 보면서, 나의 주식 투자에 대한 과거의 극한의 경험 몇 개를 공유합니다. 1. 대략 지금으로부터 25년 전, 비상장으로 투자한 주식이 9750% 까지 상승했습니다. 나는 이 회사의 기술력을 100% 믿었고, 증권계좌 없는 가족, 가까운 친구에게 강권하다시피 계좌를 만들게 하고 주식을 사라고 했구요. 내가 몇백 퍼센트, 몇천 퍼센트 오르는 그 구간을 나의 확신에 찬 기술적 분석을 바탕으로 그들도 같은 수익을 누리길 바랬으니까요. 그 회사는 어느 날 갑자기 무지한 집단에 의해서 법적 고발을 당합니다. 2~3주 매일 하한가를 맞이했습니다. 주변 가까운 지인에겐 저는 죽일 죄인이 되었습니다. 2. 스타트업이 대기업과 M&A가 진행되었습니다. M&A 진행 공시까지 났습니다. 공시로부터 1개월 뒤 두 회사는 하나의 회사가 된다고. $POET 의 계약공시나 마찬가지였던 것이죠. 주가는 4일 연속 상한가를 포함해서 순식간에 100% 이상 올랐고, 한달뒤 합병 전날 밤 8시가 넘어서 M&A가 취소됩니다. 회사의 기술이 없어서가 아닌 그 대기업과의 이해관계에 있는 회사의 훼방으로. 주가는 M&A 공시 후 고점에 비해서 75%가 빠졌습니다. 주주 중에는 실제 분신을 시도하는 일까지 나왔습니다. 회사의 기술적 잠재 가치가 변하진 않았어도, 그 기술적 잠재가치가 항상 주가로 그대로 반영되지 않을 수도 있고, 전혀 기술적이지 않은 외부의 예상할 수도 없는 미친 변수들로 믿고 투자한 주주들이 완전 나락으로 갈 수 도 있다는 것을 정말 피눈물 나게 배웠습니다. 이 이후로는 종목 추천은 하지 않습니다. 기술적으로 분석이 필요하면, 엔지니어의 심리상 파고 들고 싶고, 정리한 것을 공유하고 싶은 것은 어쩔 수 없어서 기술에 대해서 떠들긴 아직도 많이 합니다. 해당 기술을 알고, 투자로 연결할지 말지, 투자로 들어가서 언제 빠져 나올지는 스스로의 운과 판단에 맡기시고, 스스로 책임지시면 됩니다. 기술적인 장점도, 어떤 것이 수익 모델인지도 모르는 회사에 도박처럼 그냥 들어가는 것 보다는요.

interesting to note the only US company that is a confirmed supplier to unitree is also one of the most heavily shorted in the mkt

These infographics are getting really good! - Small trims extended names $MRVL $SNDK - Execute on opportunistic shorts $AMD $MRVL - Identify pullback candidates $CRWV $NBIS $RKLB - Wait for proper entry setups - Clear the deck in preparation for big earnings on Wednesday

$TSEM (risk-entry) So this name finally digested its way to the 21ema & a support gap (& a $200 round number price tag), after a valid BO from the base. Volume wise not typically the "low volume digestion", but on elevated volume. These volume are decreasing though for the past consecutive 3 days, potentially signalling sellers exhaustion and buyers start stepping in (can see better on 15min chart) as the price is closer to the support zone. Remember only price pays though. A confirmation entry would be upon taking out today's HoD, but in my personal context of overall portfolio traction with recently freed up capital, I am fine with initiating a risk entry here. In view of the coming earnings on May 13, 2026, and that total portfolio is still leveraged beyond 100% with memory names at 40% (already trimmed hard today), new exposure in this risk entry is limited to a smallish 3%.

This is the exact entry model I used to add 2 new swing positions in $PL and $UAMY today. I waited for the 15/30 min pivot to reclaim against the 9EMA, entered as momentum started turning back up, and kept my stop tight at LOD. That gives me immediate invalidation, and if the setup works, I’m quickly sitting in the trade with cushion instead of chasing strength later. Same process every single day. The real challenge usually isn’t the entry, but it’s knowing which names deserve attention and which ones should be ignored. That’s where stock selection, group strength, and relative strength against the overall market become very important. And if I’m focused on the right names, execution becomes much simpler! $UAMY + $PL: