CRYPFLOW

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CRYPFLOW

CRYPFLOW

@_Crypflow_

BTC & ALTCOINS Macro analysis | No noise, just TA | Spotting the big waves 🌊 | Trade less, earn more.

No financial advice Katılım Ağustos 2022
319 Takip Edilen5.3K Takipçiler
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CRYPFLOW
CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_·
My view on trading 📈 Some people ask for daytrading tips, but here’s my take: I don’t chase every candle or stare at micro-charts. I focus on weekly/monthly setups that spark major moves. I spot macro trend reversals so I trade less, profit more. Time is our most valuable asset, so I refuse to be glued to the screen 24/7. 🎯 My mission: Build freedom, not another 9–5. ⚡ Trade smarter, not harder: Spot the macro trends that matter. Ready to catch the next big wave? 🌊 #CrypFlow #Crypto #FinancialFreedom
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Jeremy
Jeremy@Jeremy514262102·
@_Crypflow_ Was this all that Steve wanted for Christmas in 2923 was this cross? Rings a bell
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CRYPFLOW
CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_·
$BTC - MACD cross incoming? Back in March, I shared the 12D MACD bullish cross and why I was paying attention to it. Every previous time this signal appeared, the cycle bottom was already in. Yes, in 2015 BTC still formed a double bottom afterwards. But even then, Bitcoin only went slightly lower before the real expansion phase started. Now BTC is close to triggering that same signal again. And honestly… what makes this cycle so interesting is how early some of these higher timeframe signals are starting to appear during a bear market. If the MACD confirms bullish again, it adds another piece to the bigger reversal picture that’s slowly starting to build. Does that guarantee the bottom is in? No. Because history also shows something else. In March 2020, BTC experienced a major correction after rallying too hard, too fast without building strong market structure first. So even if the bottom is already in… a large correction later in 2026 is still probable. And if that happens, that’s likely the moment you want to load up aggressively again.
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CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_

$BTC – The signal that confirms a Bitcoin bottom The 12-Day MACD bullish cross. Look what happened every time it appeared: 🔹 2015 → cycle bottom was already in 🔹 2019 → cycle bottom was already in 🔹 2022 → cycle bottom was already in Not once did Bitcoin make a lower low after this signal. Every previous time, the bear market was already over. Historically, this cross has been one of the best moments to accumulate Bitcoin for the next bull run. Put a buy alert on this indicator. Because if this cycle follows the same playbook… This signal will appear again in 2026. Repost so more people see this.

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CRYPFLOW
CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_·
$BTC (2W) - A major signal just triggered. Bitcoin just triggered a signal rarely seen this early in a bear market. The 2W RSI just closed back above 45 again. Historically, reclaiming that level marked the transition out of the bear market environment. There was only ONE time where BTC reclaimed 45 during a bear market… and then lost it again. That was in July 2015. Back then, Bitcoin failed to break the multi-month downtrend and eventually formed a double bottom. This time, BTC already broke the downtrend. A few months ago, several higher timeframe signals were pointing toward the possibility of a lower cycle bottom. And to be clear, that’s still possible. But this cycle is also starting to show signals we’ve never seen this early during a bear market before. If the bottom is already in… it would surprise a lot of people. This alone doesn’t confirm the transition into the bull. We have to wait for confirmation from other higher timeframe charts as well.
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CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_

$BTC (2W) – This is when the bull market starts This is the level that matters. Every cycle… once the RSI breaks above ~45 on the 2W, that’s when things start to shift. And it never happens in isolation. Each time that level was reclaimed, BTC also broke its multi-month downtrend. 2015 → break → bull run 2019 → same 2023 → same Even during the covid crash, RSI lost 45 briefly… reclaimed it and the move that followed was massive. Now we’re back there again. RSI is curling up nearing 45… and price is still sitting below that downtrend. If anything, this is the early stage where things can change… but haven’t yet. Break both → transition to bullish environment Fail → Bearish continuation Very important weeks ahead. Watching that level closely.

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CRYPFLOW
CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_·
@xm_build Possible, yes. That’s why the 50 SMA reclaim is the final confirmation for me. The other 2 signals already triggered, now BTC needs to hold the structure together.
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CRYPFLOW
CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_·
$BTC (1W) - One signal left. Every previous cycle, Bitcoin needed 3 things to transition from a bear market back into a bullish environment: → reclaim -14 on the wave trend → break the long-term downtrend → reclaim the 50 SMA Right now, 2 out of 3 already happened. 1. The wave trend reclaimed -14 again. 2. BTC broke back above the multi-month downtrend. That’s exactly how previous cycle reversals started building. Now only one major confirmation is left: the 50 SMA. And historically… after reclaiming the 50 SMA, Bitcoin never made a lower low again. One signal left.
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CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_

$BTC – This is when the bull run starts There are two things that have consistently defined Bitcoin’s cycles: → The 50 SMA → The -14 level on the wave trend When both are lost… it’s not just a correction anymore. It’s a bear market. You can see it clearly: → 2022: lost the 50 SMA + lost -14 → full bear market → Momentum stayed below that level for months Until: → 2023: broke the long-term downtrend → Reclaimed -14 → Reclaimed the 50 SMA That was the moment the bull run started. Not the bottom. The confirmation. In previous posts I shared the bear market confirmation. Now it’s time to focus on the other side of the cycle. This is what needs to happen: → Break the long-term downtrend → Reclaim -14 on the wave trend → Reclaim the 50 SMA This is where cycles shift. Bookmark this.

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CRYPFLOW
CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_·
@wauwda Seeing more and more higher timeframe signals starting to align now as well. Wave trend reclaiming -14, multi-month downtrend break, 2W RSI back above 45… Now the 12D MACD cross. Interesting times ahead.
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CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_·
Because some BTC pairs already started showing strong relative strength while BTC itself was still structurally weak. INJ/BTC and TAO/BTC for example already gave strong HTF reversals and I’m up more than 100% on both while already taking out initials. But overall I’m still positioned cautiously and looking to add more aggressively if BTC gives a bigger retrace/reset again.
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CRYPFLOW
CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_·
Still mostly in cash at the moment. I did buy around 10% BTC exposure near 65K when the weekly RSI dropped below 30, but besides that I’ve mainly been adding exposure to large cap altcoins. Looking to add more exposure once we get a proper reset on the weekly stochastic RSI again.
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CRYPFLOW
CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_·
@banes_jim Same here. The higher timeframe structure is starting to resemble that 2019-2020 transition more and more.
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CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_·
@jaysmontoya Exactly. That’s what makes this setup so interesting to me. In 2015, RSI reclaimed 45 before BTC broke the downtrend… and price eventually got rejected there. This time, BTC already broke the downtrend first.
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Jason Montoya
Jason Montoya@jaysmontoya·
@_Crypflow_ downtrend broke before the reclaim this time. in 2015 RSI crossed 45 while price was still under the multi-month trend. that sequence flip is what actually matters here
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CRYPFLOW
CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_·
@Linnearen3l2 Exactly. That’s why I said this signal alone doesn’t confirm the transition yet. But historically, this signal only gave one false trigger in 2015.
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Linnea
Linnea@Linnearen3l2·
@_Crypflow_ Still need more HTF confirmation before calling the bottom
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CRYPFLOW
CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_·
INJ/BTC (1W) looked completely dead 2 months ago. After months of bleeding lower, most people stopped paying attention to it. Back in March, I shared this setup while price was sitting at HTF demand. But underneath the surface, the structure slowly started tightening again. RSI compressed into the downtrend. Price held HTF demand. Momentum stopped falling apart. Now the breakout finally happened. INJ/BTC broke out of the multi-month downtrend while RSI is breaking out as well. And if you zoom out, this is starting to look very similar to the 2022 setup. Back then we first saw: - breakout - retest - then full expansion Now INJ/BTC is being rejected where it found support on the retest in previous cycle. If this turns into a successful retest of the downtrend again ansd we break that resistance… The next expansion phase could start faster than most expect.
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CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_·
$BTC (1W) - The battle with the 200D SMA continues. Bitcoin tried to break above the 200D SMA again, but got rejected for the second week in a row. Now price is pulling back toward a potential retest of 78K. At the same time, RSI is coming back to retest the multi-month breakout. This is an important moment for bulls. If RSI holds this breakout and turns back up, this likely turns into a successful retest after the downtrend break. BTC also needs to hold above the 80 level on the stochastic RSI to keep bullish momentum alive. Lose this area → and momentum starts cooling off again. Hold it → and the higher timeframe reversal structure remains intact.
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CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_

$BTC (1W) - resistance at the 200 day SMA Bitcoin is currently getting rejected around R2 (~82.5K) while also running into the 200D SMA. In prior cycles this SMA proved to be very difficult to break through. What matters now is how BTC reacts from here. After the breakout above the downtrend, bulls want to see Bitcoin hold above the bull market support band into the weekly close. If that happens the band starts turning back into support. Lose it and momentum cools off again. Interesting weekly close ahead.

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CRYPFLOW
CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_·
100% on $INJ. I took out my initials. The interesting part isn’t the gain itself. It’s how the move started. INJ was sitting at the bottom of the macro channel while RSI and structure started mirroring previous cycle lows. That’s usually where larger waves begin forming before sentiment shifts. I expect a correction soon, but structurally this is exactly why I focus on higher timeframe compression zones. Now playing with market money. All risk is gone.
CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_

$INJ (1W) - Back at the bottom of the channel. Price and RSI look almost identical to the previous cycle low. If it plays out the same… the path is already mapped.

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CRYPFLOW
CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_·
$VELO (1W) - This is how larger reversals start building. VELO is currently showing a double breakout: - Price breaking a multi-month downtrend - RSI breaking its downtrend as momentum starts shifting higher That alone already changes the structure. But the really important level is still higher. The level I’m watching is 0.008. Why? Because reclaiming 0.008 would mean: - Reclaiming important higher timeframe market structure - Breaking back above the multi-year downtrend - Confirming a much larger trend shift That’s when things can start moving very quickly. Most people only pay attention once the move is already far gone. But structurally, this is usually how bigger waves begin.
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CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_·
$UNI (1W) - Double breakout UNI is currently breaking out of a multi-month downtrend in both price and momentum. That’s the first step. But the important part now is the reclaim. Right now, UNI is getting rejected at a key higher timeframe market structure level that previously acted as support. If UNI can reclaim $3.9 and hold above it, the trend shift becomes much more significant and I'll add to my position.
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CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_·
$HBAR (1W) - Double breakout This is how larger cycle reversals usually begin. Back in March, I pointed out that $HBAR was building a very similar structure to the one that led to the previous expansion: 1. Downtrend compression 2. Break of structure 3. Expansion higher Now the next phase is starting to develop. HBAR is currently: - Breaking a multi-month downtrend in price - Breaking a multi-month downtrend in RSI A bearish cross on the stochastic RSI could temporarily slow down the expansion phase. But don’t get fooled by short-term momentum resets. Zoom out and look at the bigger picture. These types of higher timeframe breakouts don’t happen very often. And historically, when both price structure and momentum shift together after a long compression phase, the upside potential becomes very significant.
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CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_

$HBAR (1W) - Similar structure Last time this structure appeared: 1️⃣Downtrend compression 2️⃣Break of structure 3️⃣Explosive move higher Now a similar setup is forming again. Two things to watch: 🔹Price downtrend break 🔹RSI downtrend break

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CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_·
@MrCuddles172 Srr, Forgot to answer your question. Max target is 0.8, but will be taking profits on the way up.
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Mr. Cuddles
Mr. Cuddles@MrCuddles172·
@_Crypflow_ Looking good Flow - HBAR is a great choice! What’s your top price prediction assuming BTC goes parabolic?
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CRYPFLOW
CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_·
$HBAR (1W) - Similar structure Last time this structure appeared: 1️⃣Downtrend compression 2️⃣Break of structure 3️⃣Explosive move higher Now a similar setup is forming again. Two things to watch: 🔹Price downtrend break 🔹RSI downtrend break
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CRYPFLOW@_Crypflow_·
$RENDER (1W) - Breaking out Price is attempting to break a multi-month downtrend. At the same time: - RSI already broke out and is now holding the retest and pushing back above 50 - Stochastic RSI pushed back into the high momentum zone and needs to stay above 80 to keep bullish momentum going. The important level above is $2.7 That’s the key market structure reclaim level. I bought some when RSI was deeply oversold near the lows and will add to my position if 2.7 gets reclaimed. That's when the higher timeframe trend will shift and the next expansion phase can start.
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