alwaysmoney

$AAOI about to go from deep red to big green

Am I really seeing this? Some warned of "crash or event ahead that may wipe a lot of bears" YESTERDAY And took credit for today's pullback and are like "ARE YOU AHEAD OF THE HERD? DID YOU LISTEN?" $SPY is literally down -1.20% in the last day and up .51%+ in the last 5 days

Did a full degen swing with $AAOI during the dip. Do not follow. Second largest position. Stop loss activated. Let's see how this ages.

The photonics sector just got hit over the last month and it handed you one of the best names in the entire space at a discount. $AAOI is the one I want to own. Here is the simple truth about what is happening. Every AI cluster on earth needs a way to move massive amounts of data between chips at insane speeds. That is photonics. It is the physical plumbing of the entire AI buildout. And as clusters get bigger the demand for that plumbing does not grow in a straight line. It explodes. $AAOI sits right at the center of it, and they have one advantage almost nobody else in the space has. They make their own lasers in-house. Most competitors buy their lasers from third parties which means they are stuck waiting in line for supply in a market where supply is the bottleneck. $AAOI controls their own. That is why two to three hyperscalers have told them they would buy every single transceiver they can produce. When you own the bottleneck input you can fill orders nobody else can. And the numbers back it up. Revenue grew 83% to a record $456 million. 2026 guidance raised to over $1.1 billion. $324 million in confirmed 800G and 1.6T hyperscale orders on the books. Capacity expansions across Texas. Management guided that supply will lag demand all the way through 2027. The order book is bigger than it has ever been. The stock got knocked down on a sector pullback and a dilution overhang that has nothing to do with the actual business. We have watched this exact pattern before. It sells off on fear and then re-rates right back as the buyers who understand the order book step in. The fear created the discount. The fundamentals never moved. A run back toward all time highs feels a lot closer than the current price suggests.

There's a Sto setup on $AAOI and I've got $260 as a target but idk something about the chart tells me down first. Then up but fails back down before we hit that target. The setup is on the 3D. Yes, anon I see the bear flag. I'm still already managing a 1/4 position in $AAOI shares 1/8 bought at $42 and another 1/8 bought at $138 for an avg of $90. Sold all of my $165 calls that I bought for $6 at $25. They expired tmr. I sold a few of them around $60 10 days or so ago (big mistake on my part holding the rest). Still 408% nothing to sneeze at. I'm prob interested in going back into a full position if we safely get past $183/$184. Today's touch of $189 was a bull trap. Would love, love to get back down to $148 but not sure that's happening anytime soon. $AAOI