ARCKEA

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ARCKEA

ARCKEA

@_arckea

Market maker for assets under Special Treatment (ST) status

Katılım Kasım 2021
24 Takip Edilen624 Takipçiler
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ARCKEA
ARCKEA@_arckea·
🧵 1/5 - ST status: reality check According to our data, only ~20% of projects that receive ST (Special Treatment) status on exchanges manage to recover and exit it. ~80% don’t make it. ST is not temporary by default. For most, it’s the beginning of the end. #CryptoMarket
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ARCKEA
ARCKEA@_arckea·
The main event of March: Meta acquires the Moltbook project with the $MOLT token. On March 11, they confirmed the acquisition. $MOLT is building an entire ecosystem of AI agents, where many projects have their own tokens and internal economies - such as $ODAI.
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ARCKEA
ARCKEA@_arckea·
The more countries are under sanctions, the more they turn to crypto. Iran is a clear example: → ~7.5% of Bitcoin’s total hashrate in 2021 → ~2–3% today - still a meaningful share
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ARCKEA
ARCKEA@_arckea·
3. Liquidity doesn’t come back Capital doesn’t “believe again” - it looks for new stories with higher upside. Money doesn’t rotate back into old alts.
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ARCKEA
ARCKEA@_arckea·
2. Narratives die Every cycle brings new trends. DeFi → NFTs → AI → what’s next Old tokens simply lose attention.
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ARCKEA
ARCKEA@_arckea·
90% of altcoins from the previous cycle will never make a new ATH. Reasons 👇
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ARCKEA
ARCKEA@_arckea·
Now more than ever, it’s worth revisiting Elliott Wave Theory. Elliott’s model describes the market as repeating cycles driven by crowd psychology. ➡️ 1–2–3–4–5 (trend move up or down) ➡️ A–B–C (correction)
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ARCKEA
ARCKEA@_arckea·
We will not see $POL at $0.5 and here's why: MATIC had a fixed supply, while POL is inflationary; Strong L2 competition (Arbitrum, OP, Base); The market is gradually losing interest; If MATIC traded above $1, then the potential of $POL is 1 cent.
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ARCKEA
ARCKEA@_arckea·
Most coins will not survive until 2027 #crypto
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ARCKEA
ARCKEA@_arckea·
Why DEX will never fully replace CEX DEX gives you custody. CEX gives you infrastructure. Deep liquidity, tighter spreads, fiat rails, compliance, institutional access - that’s where CEX dominates. DEX is freedom. CEX is efficiency.
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ARCKEA
ARCKEA@_arckea·
When should a spread be considered wide? Up to 0.1% - optimal 0.1–1% - excellent, strong liquidity for smaller markets 1–2% - acceptable for low-cap pairs 🚫 Above 2% - dangerous for trading. High execution costs and weak market depth. Spread defines market quality.
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ARCKEA
ARCKEA@_arckea·
Spread is the clearest indicator of market quality. Tight spread = strong liquidity, real competition between buyers and sellers. Wide spread = weak depth, higher slippage, unstable price. Before looking at volume, look at the spread.
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ARCKEA
ARCKEA@_arckea·
Without a Market Maker, a token often “dies” after listing. No liquidity → wide spreads. Thin order books → small trades crash the price. Early holders dump → panic starts. Trust fades. Listing ≠ market. Without structure and two-sided liquidity, there’s no real market.
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ARCKEA
ARCKEA@_arckea·
AMM / Simple Example: Let’s imagine a $SHIB / $DOGE pool. It contains: 100 SHIB 100,000 DOGE The price of SHIB = $1,000 Why? Because the asset ratio is 1:1000. Now the formula: x * y = k Where: x — amount of SHIB y — amount of DOGE k — constant In our case: 100 * 100,000 = 10,000,000 This number does not change. Now someone buys 10 SHIB SHIB in the pool decreases. DOGE increases. Let’s say after the trade the pool has: 90 SHIB 111,111 DOGE Check: 90 * 111,111 ≈ 10,000,000 The constant is preserved. But now the price of SHIB: 111,111 / 90 = $1,234 The price increased. This is the classic AMM model used in Uniswap v2 pools. In an AMM, there is only a formula and the asset balance. The larger the buy, the stronger the ratio changes. That’s why large trades cause slippage.
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BillionAireSon 🛡️
BillionAireSon 🛡️@BillionAireSon·
Dead projects: - Monad - Starknet - Zksync - Srcoll - Aleo - Mina - Linea - Boba network – Aptos – Cosmos – NEAR – Rootstock – Cardano – Stellar – Cronos – Axelar – Astar – Bittensor – Celo – Zircuit – EOS – Sonic – Injective – Kaia – Kava – Lisk – Metis – Tezos - Wormhole - Movement - Kinto - Celestia - Blast - PIN AI - Midas - Kinto - Metis - 0G - Polygon zkEVM - Berachain - Story These chains were so popular at some point
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ARCKEA
ARCKEA@_arckea·
$BERA surged +45% in the past 24 hours. Over the week, it’s up +86% ! Everyone expected a dump after the unlock of 63.7 million BERA (about 41% of the circulating supply), but it didn’t happen. The unlock that everyone feared became fuel for the pump. Price broke above the psychological $1 level but failed to hold. Let’s see whether it can maintain support around the $0.70 area.
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ARCKEA
ARCKEA@_arckea·
Top projects in MultiversX ecosystem 👇 $MEX - the flagship DEX and the main source of DeFi liquidity on MultiversX, listing only vetted tokens. $BOBER - a community-driven token with its own ecosystem, where issuance and development are fully governed by the community. $XOXNO - a leading DeFi aggregator in MultiversX, combining NFT infrastructure, trading, and ecosystem tools. The ecosystem looks promising 👀 Which project would you add to this list?
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ARCKEA
ARCKEA@_arckea·
Markets don’t crash on facts. They crash on narratives people believe.
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ARCKEA
ARCKEA@_arckea·
Right now, the Epstein files feel like a black swan for the global economy. Why did Bitcoin drop below $70,000 exactly now? Why has it lost nearly 20% of its value in just 7 days? Why is there growing discussion around Vitalik Buterin selling ETH? Altcoins are bleeding and printing new lows. Many of them are priced as if Bitcoin were still trading around $16,000. Take Polygon as an example - one of the most widely used networks with a massive ecosystem, processing around 6 million transactions daily, and hosting one of the most popular prediction platforms, Polymarket. Yet the $POL token continues to hit new lows.
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ARCKEA
ARCKEA@_arckea·
x.com/_arckea/status… Full thread above 👆
ARCKEA@_arckea

Right now, the Epstein files feel like a black swan for the global economy. Why did Bitcoin drop below $70,000 exactly now? Why has it lost nearly 20% of its value in just 7 days? Why is there growing discussion around Vitalik Buterin selling ETH? Altcoins are bleeding and printing new lows. Many of them are priced as if Bitcoin were still trading around $16,000. Take Polygon as an example - one of the most widely used networks with a massive ecosystem, processing around 6 million transactions daily, and hosting one of the most popular prediction platforms, Polymarket. Yet the $POL token continues to hit new lows.

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ARCKEA
ARCKEA@_arckea·
There is an interesting pattern that is rarely discussed openly. Every time stories about elites, closed circles, shadow money, and a loss of trust in institutions enter the public narrative - Bitcoin falls first, not rises. By logic, it should act as a safe haven. But in reality, markets first reduce risk, and only later rethink the meaning of decentralization. In moments like these, Bitcoin stops being an idea - and becomes just another asset.
ARCKEA@_arckea

Even the name Satoshi Nakamoto has resurfaced in discussions around the Epstein files. Some build theories. Some speculate. Others simply add fuel to the fire. We will never know who Satoshi really was. That uncertainty has always been part of Bitcoin’s DNA.

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