J.P. Capital
2.3K posts

J.P. Capital
@_j__f
Private Fund Manager. This is never financial advice. https://t.co/tqpyMBSDiT
Investor Katılım Eylül 2020
66 Takip Edilen317 Takipçiler
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@aleabitoreddit Bad take. They are already processing Stablecoins (Mastercard Engage) in their networks and 140m is a joke vs. the 51T they process.
bvnk.com/blog/why-bvnk-…
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I’m surprised markets aren’t pricing in long term disruption of card networks + interchange like $V and $MA.
By $CRCL and $COIN.
From Global Markets Head at Circle:
"Over the past nine months, AI agents completed 140 million payments with a total transaction volume of 43 million US dollars.
Among these, 98.6% were settled in USDC, with an average transaction amount of only 0.31 US dollars."
Card networks and % fee payment processors like $PYPL are likely going to be cooked?

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@Finding_Moats 2/ and they had like 2% Market Share at peak. In theory, the US Gov could provide such a solution, and California has tried, but it never gained any traction. $INTU does not compete on price.
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@Finding_Moats 1/ Intuit has had competition that offered free tax filling for decades. A few years ago, Xero tried to capture share in the US market. It did not work, they are 50x the size at least in NA. Before acquiring Credit Karma, they had a free tax offering (which was then divested)
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@WillBiddy_ I don’t think their pricing power is that insane. AI implementation is something every company will do. I’m not saying they won’t compound but I don’t see them compounding at 20%.
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Insane pricing power, ai implementation to reduce costs, cost per unit is increasing while cyclical demand for total-losses is down (as it does from time to time historically), amount of vehicles for total loss claims will continue to increase with rising repair costs!
Also it’s compounded at an insane rate over the past couple decades.
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@P_Earns24 @QualityInvest5 Just read the case of synchrony. They switched to VS, saved 2 million of 18B of revenue and lost the ability to securitize at attractive rates.
I’d suggest being knowledgeable about a business before you comment on it.
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@P_Earns24 @QualityInvest5 FICO 10T can score the same amount of credit eligible individuals than VS.
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It’s not about saving 3 bucks on a credit pull, it’s about the total addressable market my friend.
VantageScore can address millions of credit invisible consumers that classic FICO models entirely ignore.
Lenders may use Vantage to underwrite profitable customers they literally couldn't approve otherwise
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@P_Earns24 @QualityInvest5 And it would also actually increase the overall cost of the system to have VS in the securitization market. No one would benefit from this.
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@P_Earns24 @QualityInvest5 VS and FICO Score are not comparable. They diverge in both directions. You‘d need a completely separate set of LLPAs, systems. Etc. It just adds uncertainty if you have a double rating for investors. $FICO is a *natural* monopoly.
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@P_Earns24 @QualityInvest5 It’s the same dynamic as with $SPGI and $MCO. Other agencies may be cheaper in the rating, but it’s not worth it as you pay more coupon.
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@P_Earns24 @QualityInvest5 This is also a stupid logic. I’m sorry. VantageScore has been around for over 20 years now. It was always cheaper than $FICO. Even if it were for free it would not make a dent. The economics just don’t allow it, as you pay a higher coupon when securitizating the debt.
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There’s a reason many of the world’s best investors spend so much of their time reading and walking rather than constantly watching the markets.
1. Reading compounds knowledge and sharpens judgment.
2. Perhaps more importantly, it helps tune out the noise. When you’re reading or walking, your mind is focused on ideas — not the daily movements of stocks.
Protecting your psyche as an investor is incredibly important.
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@QualityInvest5 The credit bureaus are bundling VantageScore for 0$ when u buy an $FICO score from them. Why? They still earn money on the markup. $FICO direct licensing is directly hurting their revenue, as barely anyone uses VantageScore because securitization.
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