on_grd
2.1K posts


I'm smoking some good stuff at addicted.fun
Thanks a lot @addicteddotfun
[ drop your stoner card here👇]
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"Its over for alts"
Not really...
Have to be realistic when managing expectations, especially the speed of which some of these cycles playout.
I see them more as rotations now, as only a select few sustain multi-month runs, most last just weeks.
Adapt well, and the alt market offers plenty of opportunities.
All this posturing about fuck bears - higher (for alts) = often leads to trouble, blinding people to the downside risk as they become overly aggressive and blow out.
End of the day conditions are and will once again be prime for those who can trade markets proficiently well.
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If you’re looking to adopt a dog… the $BERT @bertcoincto team built this AI dog adoption thing you can check out >> @woofhub
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How Much Money Should You Use?
We’ve covered risk percentages and stops, but let’s talk about how much of your capital to actually allocate to the market.
Start with Financial Security
Before anything else, make sure you have a rainy day fund. We invest only money we can afford to lose.
That means funds you won’t need for billsor emergencies. The last thing you want is to pull out of a position just because real life comes calling.
How to Allocate Your Capital
There’s no one-size-fits-all answer here since risk tolerance and goals vary from person to person. That said, here are some general approaches depending on account size and risk appetite:
1. Small Account (<$10k) – High Growth Goals, High Risk
Trading Allocation: 30-100% (after proven success in paper trading)
Spot Allocation: The rest, focused on lower market cap coins for short-term holds aiming for 2-5x returns.
The best way to grow a small account is by creating cash flow. Any extra money you can invest monthly will make a big difference over time.
2. Medium Account ($30k-$250k) – Balanced Growth and Risk
Trading Allocation: 20-50% depending on preference.
Spot Allocation: A barbell strategy. Split between solid assets like BTC/ETH/SOL and smaller caps for higher growth potential.
At this level, you can start making meaningful gains through spot holds while still trading actively.
3. Large Account ($1m+) – Focus on Stability and Long-Term Growth
Trading Allocation: 3-20% for most (unless you’re a pro).
Spot Allocation: Lean towards high-conviction, lower-risk bets like BTC, ETH, and SOL. Incorporate low-risk yield farming or staking to generate passive income.
For most people with large accounts, moving down the risk curve is the way to go. Long-term stability and compounding can deliver significant returns.
If you’re a professional trader, feel free to push those trading percentages higher, but in that case, you likely don’t need me telling you what to do. 😉
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Want to Make It in Crypto? Here’s How.
The #1 factor in whether you "make it" in the markets is Risk Management.
Why? Because you need to survive before you can thrive.
Poor risk management can leave you in a spot where you have to win the next trade or it’s game over.
With good risk management you get damn near infinite chances to succeed.
You’ve probably heard “Time in the markets over timing the markets.” While there’s truth to that, as traders, we do need to time the markets, it’s how we make money. But without proper risk management, we never get that chance.
If you're not sure where to start, this upcoming week, I’ll be posting daily about the different aspects of risk management.
Follow and turn on notis so you don’t miss it😉
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Since the local BTC lows on Friday, almost the entire bounce this weekend is from a single entity on Binance Perps that has hammered over $450 million in buys in 500 BTC blocks at a time (during the lowest liquidity hours of the market).
Curious what the endgame is right before the start of Mt Gox distribution. With a position of this size, in order to exit they'll either need to run the market high enough to cause a short squeeze, or end up becoming a massive cascade risk if the market goes against them.
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Trading Fundamentals: Understanding Support & Resistance
One of my favourite technical analyis tools is Support/Resistance.
It's simple. When looking at price, certain levels will have more trading interest and in those higher interest areas usually 1 side is stronger than the other.
If we come to support, that being any levels below current price, then the buy side or demand is stronger.
If instead, we come to resistance, any level above current price, then the sell side or supply is stronger.
Once a level breaks it flips. This means that if you get above resistance, it often turns into support and vice versa.
One of the simplest rules to keep in mind is that support and resistance are more likely to hold than not. However, the nuance here is that you need to understand which levels to look for and how to draw them.
So how do we identify a basic support or resistance level? Well, we start by looking at the Highs and Lows of the market, places where price pivoted.
A horizontal S/R level is made up of at the very least 2 touches. There's the initial move into an area. This creates an 'Area of Interest.' Once price rejects in that same region again you have a level.
So in this example, we see the initial spike form an area of interest, before price rejects from the same region again. This level is then further confirmed through the 3rd bounce.
One more thing to keep in mind is that a level will get stronger only for a bit before getting substantially weaker.
What does that mean? Well, once there's 3 touches we can obviously draw a support level, but each subsequent touch will make the level weaker and weaker.
We can see this reflected in the following price action. Once price initially came back to the level we can see a strong reaction but each following touches becomes more and more muted before finally breaking the level.
We got lots more to talk about with S/R but it's too much for 1 post so please do follow & RT for more, it truly is appreciated <3


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I cant fight. but i am quite confident i can make more money than you
Start from $5k.. 3 month time.. only get to pick stocks, crypto (no small caps), etc. Whoever turns the 5k to 500k first wins.
We both put $5 million into escrowWinner takes all. @Cobratate @TateTheTalisman
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