C11R

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C11R

C11R

@_unknown_trader

It's always possible to wake someone who's a sleep, but no amount of noise will wake someone who is pretending to be asleep.

United Kingdom Katılım Ağustos 2016
164 Takip Edilen198 Takipçiler
C11R
C11R@_unknown_trader·
$NOW sitting at $96 right at the gamma zone floor ($95.86) This is the launchpad zone. Here’s the setup: Magnet strike: $97.50 (+1.6%) Call wall: $105 (+9.4%) -> up from $100 Put wall: $90 (-6.3%) → your stop zone Options positioning: SUPPORTIVE Win prob: 67% Confluence: 76 Momentum: 72 Hold above $95.86 and market makers are likely supporting price here. Break below and $90 becomes the next magnet. R/R looks favorable. Watching closely. 👀 #NOW #OptionsFlow #GammaZone
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C11R@_unknown_trader·
$NOW could start to go CRAZY on Monday The weekend is when the news spreads. Trump just filed his 2026 stock transactions and he put $3.31 MILLION into a single company. That company? $NOW ServiceNow. The President of the United States just backed this stock with millions of his own money. 👀 But it gets even better. @unusual_whales just launched a trading Autopilot and $NOW is in the mix, just under 5% This means people can now literally autopilot their way into the same trade as the President. Set it. Forget it. Let it run. Right now it’s nearly the weekend. Most retail hasn’t seen this yet. By Monday morning they will. When people realise Trump is holding $3.31M in $NOW AND there’s an Autopilot ready to follow the trade, breakout could be around the corner. Unless Trump ruins it over the weekend that is, as it’s getting crazy with Iran. marketplace.joinautopilot.com/landing/1011/1… $NOW #ServiceNow #UnusualWhales #Autopilot #Stocks #Trump
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C11R
C11R@_unknown_trader·
@TheRonnieVShow I’m sure you said SaaS was dead recently 😳 glad you’ve changed your mind. 😉
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RonnieV
RonnieV@TheRonnieVShow·
Let me simplify for you. Semis -> SaaS
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C11R
C11R@_unknown_trader·
The 'SaaSpocalypse' is OVER. Smart money is rotating BACK into software right now and most retail investors are going to miss it entirely. Here's the evidence THE SETUP: HOW BAD WAS IT? The MSCI Software Index crashed 21% YTD by February 2026. IGV (the software ETF) fell 30% from its September 2025 peak, wiping out $2 TRILLION in market cap. Forward P/E multiples collapsed from 84x in 2021 all the way to 22.7x, falling BELOW the S&P 500 average for the first time in the entire cloud era. Wall Street called it the "SaaSpocalypse." The fear? AI agents would make software licenses obsolete overnight. They were wrong THE SIGNAL: INSTITUTIONAL MONEY IS ALREADY IN • A Goldman Sachs survey in February 2026 showed 49% of institutional allocators planned to INCREASE software exposure the highest net figure since 2017. • On April 13, institutional buying lifted IGV by over 6% in just 48 hours. That's not retail. That's funds quietly loading up. • JP Morgan called the software sell-off "overblown" based on "broken logic" arguing AI disruption fears were pricing in worst-case scenarios that won't materialize. • Morgan Stanley told clients to BUY 9 AI-hit software stocks at a discount. • Michael Burry — the man who called the 2008 housing crash — just publicly said this sell-off is a "reflexive positive feedback loop" and initiated new positions in software names. When Burry, Goldman, JPMorgan AND Morgan Stanley all agree? Pay attention. THE PROOF: STOCKS ALREADY MOVING • ORACLE (ORCL): +40% in ONE month. Revealed $553 billion in Remaining Performance Obligations. a 325% year-over-year increase. AI demand is flooding into its cloud infrastructure. • MICROSOFT (MSFT): Reclaimed $420 after dipping below $400. Up 12% in 30 days. Copilot is no longer a threat to its SaaS dominance, it's become a premium revenue layer ON TOP of it. • SERVICENOW (NOW): Authorized a $5B buyback including a $2B accelerated repurchase. "Now Assist" AI engine surpassed $600M in Annual Contract Value. Companies don't do $5B buybacks at the bottom unless they know something. • PALO ALTO NETWORKS (PANW): +30% off lows. Platformization is working. Cybersecurity spend is recession-proof. • SALESFORCE (CRM): Trading at just 14x forward earnings. Introduced "Agentic Work Units" as a new billing model, this is how they SOLVE the seat compression problem, not get killed by it. THE THESIS: WHY THE BEARS GOT IT WRONG The "AI kills SaaS" narrative ignored one thing: enterprise switching costs. Salesforce has 20 years of customer data, 150,000 employees of institutional knowledge, and integrations into 500+ enterprise tools. A startup can't replicate that in a weekend. The real shift isn't AI replacing software. It's software companies CHARGING FOR AI OUTPUT instead of human seats. Consumption-based billing is the new model and it actually expands revenue potential, not shrinks it. Private equity smelled the blood. Thoma Bravo and Vista Equity are reportedly preparing multi-billion dollar take-private bids for cash-flow-positive mid-cap SaaS companies that got cut in half. When PE starts circling? The floor is in. THE BOTTOM LINE Valuations hit decade-lows. Institutions are buying. Stocks are already moving. PE is circling. This isn't speculation. The rotation back into software has already started. The only question is: are you early, on time, or too late? $IGV $ORCL $NOW $MSFT $CRM $PANW #SaaS #TechStocks #SectorRotation #Investing
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C11R
C11R@_unknown_trader·
Yesterdays
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C11R
C11R@_unknown_trader·
$NOW Dealer flows told the story yesterday. Spot sat at the bottom of the gamma zone, below the magnet, with a falling put wall and a rising call wall. Classic short‑gamma, upward‑pull setup. Today the entire options surface shifted higher. magnet ↑, call wall ↑, put wall ↑, gamma zone ↑. That’s not noise. That’s dealers hedging up the curve. Yesterday’s board was bullish. Today’s board confirmed it.
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C11R
C11R@_unknown_trader·
Software has been the punching bag for months while semis + cyclicals took all the flows. But the tape is starting to whisper: rotation might be shifting. Compressed multiples + washed‑out sentiment = prime setup if money rotates back into SaaS.Not calling a bottom, just saying the asymmetry is getting interesting. $MSFT $NOW
The Wall Street Journal@WSJ

Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square hedge fund has taken a new stake in Microsoft after a recent decline in the share price on.wsj.com/3PohUPC

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C11R
C11R@_unknown_trader·
@AdamVoulstaker You’re funny, your reply contradicts what you’ve said.. 🤡
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Adam Voulstaker
Adam Voulstaker@AdamVoulstaker·
what are the $NOW people going to do on here when it goes to $72? Its a service desk CRUD - I cannot believe the noise on here for it If people only knew what it actually is - its expensive SD software that anyone can replace
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C11R
C11R@_unknown_trader·
$NOW hitting $72 isn’t realistic. It’s your opinion. At $72 the valuation implies distress, but the data says the opposite: 22%+ subscription growth cRPO +22.5% $4.45B FCF (TTM) $3.37B cash / –$970M net debt Analyst consensus: $145 Lowest target: $85 (still nowhere near $72) A move to $72 would require a collapse in growth, margins, cash flow, AND sentiment. None of that is happening. $NOW is undervalued, not distressed. #NOW Short it if your that confident, I’ve bought because I’m confident I’ll do I’m out of it. I’m
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Adam Voulstaker
Adam Voulstaker@AdamVoulstaker·
@_unknown_trader no. how does all of twitter wank silly over this $NOW That is absolute bumsick going to $72.
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C11R@_unknown_trader·
100% , it’s been like clockwork. That opening flush has been the trade every single day. Would love to see some real buyers step in early for once. Certainly wouldn’t want to be trying to trade this at the minute, @realDonaldTrump holding could be the catalyst $NOW needs to breach $100
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OptionsWithGordon
OptionsWithGordon@GordonOptions·
@_unknown_trader Every day SaaS stocks eep NOW drops the fist 30 mins to an hour before it finds its footing. Let's see how it goes today and if we see any change in character
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C11R
C11R@_unknown_trader·
$NOW order book is telling a story 👀 what the Level 2 is really showing… 🟢 SUPPORT: Monster bid walls at $90.50 (1,060 shares) and $90.30 (1,000 shares) stacked back to back. Buyers are DEFENDING the $90 level hard. That’s not retail, that’s conviction. 🔴 RESISTANCE: 1,487-share wall sitting at $92.00. Biggest block on the entire board. Price isn’t going anywhere until that gets absorbed. 74 cents ($90.81 bid / $91.55 ask) — wide for a name like this. The market is in a tug of war right here, right now. Above $92? Ask side thins out fast. A clean break there and this thing could rip with very little overhead supply. Below $90.30? Support gets thin quickly. Flush to $89 or lower becomes very real. 🏛️ CATALYST WATCH: Reports indicate Donald Trump @realDonaldTrump holds a position in $NOW. Presidential holdings don’t stay quiet for long, political visibility on a stock historically brings retail attention, media coverage, and momentum. If this gets amplified, it adds a whole new layer of buying pressure on top of already strong fundamentals. The setup: Value buyers stepping in near 60% below fair value estimates. Momentum traders cautious at resistance. A potential political catalyst brewing in the background. One level to watch: $92.00 Break it = explosive move up Lose $90 = fast flush down Smart money is watching. Are you? 👀 As always just sharing my opinion on the data.
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C11R@_unknown_trader·
ŞNOW - I didn't trust the headlines so I pulled the filings myself. Confirmed: Trump bought $3.31M worth of shares.That's not noise - that's one hell of a statement. 🚀 👀 🚀 davemanuel.com/2026/05/14/tru…
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C11R@_unknown_trader·
ŞNOW - Shorts might be in trouble. With Donald Trump now confirmed as a buyer, the risk profile just flipped. Short interest jumped +26% MoM to 49M shares - and when a high-profile investor steps in, shorts often rush to cover before the tape turns against them. A surprise catalyst + crowded short positioning = fuel for a squeeze. Watch the order book. Things could get fast. 👀
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C11R@_unknown_trader·
$NOW - @realDonaldTrump is in, when you look at the information surrounding his investment behaviour, Trump typically aligns himself with companies that demonstrate resilience, market opportunity, and operational strength. His history suggests he avoids deploying capital into businesses that lack viability or long-term potential.
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NoLimit@NoLimitGains

🚨 Donald Trump just revealed which stocks he’s buying in 2026 FULL LIST: VOO IWB NOW NVDA RSP ADBE WDAY ORCL MSFT AVGO SNPS CDW PG CDNS TT TXN FIS MSI ETN XLI TDG AMZN JBL COST AXON COMT KRUS DELL BA UBER IEMG AAPL XLK NVR SMCI GOVT ICE KLAC FFIV AVB XEL ARES WM EFA CRM PNC DVA GOOGL NWSA WST HD CVNA IEX NFLX VTI TOMORROW, every fund over $100M must legally disclose their Q1 2026 trades to the SEC. Every major filing will be posted on @InTheAssembly so follow them with notifications. If you don’t follow them, you will regret it.

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C11R@_unknown_trader·
My final ranking on overall fundamentals: 🥇 $NOW - Best fundamentals, full stop. Profitable, $4.6B FCF, 22% growth at $14B scale, net cash fortress, trading at historic discount. This is what "buy the dip on a best-in-class business" looks like. 🥈 $U - Credible turnaround, GAAP profitability imminent, Vector AI accelerating, clean balance sheet. Higher risk, but the story is real. 🥉 $CRWV - Hypergrowth is real ($99.4B backlog). But $25B in debt and $730M/qtr in interest expense is not a fundamentals story — it's a conviction trade on AI infrastructure dominance. High ceiling, brutal floor. 4th $BBAI - Improved balance sheet, defense AI narrative, but declining revenue + 15x forward sales = speculation, not investment. High beta, thin coverage, too small. $NOW at these prices is the clearest answer in this group on pure fundamentals. $CRWV for high risk tolerance + 5-year horizon. $U for believers in the turnaround. $BBAI for traders, not investors. Always look at the data, not advice to purchase just an opinion.
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C11R@_unknown_trader·
I deep-dived into $BBAI, $U, $NOW, and $CRWV from top to bottom revenue, margins, debt, balance sheets, guidance, AI positioning, valuation. Because of a video I saw by @felixprehn I’ve added $NOW to the deep dive as his focus was $BBAI, $U and $CRWV One is a no-brainer at current prices. One is a high-wire act. One is a turnaround. One you probably shouldn't touch👇 $NOW - ServiceNow. The winner. Not close. The stock is down 30% YTD on geopolitical noise (Middle East deal delays). But the business? Flawless. Q1 2026: $3.77B revenue, +22% YoY. RPO backlog at $27.7B, +25% YoY. GAAP profitable. FCF $4.6B TTM. Net cash +$5.5B. Now Assist AI ACV customers growing +130% YoY. Targeting $30B revenue by 2030. Key metrics: - Rev TTM: $13.96B - Gross Margin: 76.6% - Fwd PE: 20.5x - FCF: $4.6B - PEG: 0.81 - Net Cash: +$5.5B A forward PE of 20.5x on 20%+ growth with 77% gross margins and $4.6B in FCF is an anomaly. 32 analysts Strong Buy consensus. Avg PT: $184 vs ~$89 today. The $NOW bear case requires believing geopolitical headwinds are structural, not temporary. I don't buy it. Full-year 2026 guidance was just RAISED by $205M to $15.74–$15.78B - 20.5–21% growth. Operating margin guided at 31.5%. FCF margin 35%. The company has beaten the high end of guidance virtually every quarter for years. This is not a broken business — it's a discounted one. The stock is down because of fears. The business is up because of fundamentals. That gap is the opportunity. $U The turnaround story. Most improved. Remember the runtime fee catastrophe of 2023? This isn't that company anymore. New CEO, new playbook, numbers proving it. Q1 2026: $508M revenue, +17% YoY. Strategic revenue +35% YoY. Vector AI growing +15% sequentially — expected to surpass $1B run rate by end of 2026. Adj. EBITDA margin 27% (+800bps YoY). Cash $2.15B and growing. Targeting GAAP profitability by Q4 2026. FCF up 9x YoY. Key metrics: - Q1 Rev: $508M - Strategic Growth: +35% YoY - Adj EBITDA Margin: 27% - Cash: $2.15B - FCF Q1: $66M The M&A amortization drag (ironSource) is almost entirely gone by Q4 2026, which is what flips them GAAP positive. This is a self-healing balance sheet story not dependent on any external catalyst. $CRWV The high-wire act. Jaw-dropping growth, terrifying leverage. If you believe AI infrastructure demand is a multi-decade secular wave, this might be the most important infrastructure company built this decade. But the balance sheet will give you nightmares. Q1 2026: $2.08B revenue, +112% YoY. FY2026 guidance: $12–13B. Backlog: $99.4B. Adj. EBITDA margin: 56%. 10 customers committed to $1B+ spend. Nvidia: $6.3B take-or-pay backstop + $2B equity stake. BUT: $24.9B in debt. $740M GAAP net loss in Q1. $7.7B in Q1 capex alone. Current ratio ~0.46. Q2 guidance missed consensus. Key metrics: - Q1 Rev: $2.08B (+112%) - Backlog: $99.4B - Adj EBITDA: 56% margin - Total Debt: $24.9B - Q1 CapEx: $7.7B - P/S: ~9x fwd Bull case: $99B backlog at a $38B market cap - if 60% converts, upside is extraordinary. Bear case: $25B debt + $650–730M in Q2 interest expense alone. One demand slowdown = restructuring story. $BBAI - The speculative play. Weakest fundamentals of the four. The balance sheet cleanup is real. The defense AI narrative is compelling. But the numbers tell a rougher story. FY2025 revenue: $127.7M, DOWN 19% YoY. GAAP net loss: $293.9M. 2026 guidance: $135–165M (+17% midpoint). Cash: $462M. Debt reduced 90%+. Market cap ~$2B - that's ~15x forward sales on a business that just shrunk. Only 2 analysts cover the stock. Key metrics: - FY25 Rev: $127.7M (-19%) - Net Loss: $293.9M - Mkt Cap: ~$2B - P/S fwd: ~14x - Analyst coverage: 2 - Beta: 3.05 The 90% debt reduction is genuinely impressive. But paying 15x forward sales for a company with declining revenue at sub-$150M scale is a narrative trade, not a fundamentals trade. High beta (3.05), illiquid, momentum-driven. Not for the faint of heart. youtu.be/KgzthZdu8Rk?si…
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