ya3kov

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ya3kov

ya3kov

@_yakovsky

founder @3janexyz. leverage is a God-given right

Katılım Ocak 2021
798 Takip Edilen4.8K Takipçiler
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ya3kov
ya3kov@_yakovsky·
The financial system will eventually converge on a hyperfinancial singularity — one in which anything that can be financialized will be, driven by zero overhead coordination costs enabled by universal on-demand programmable cryptoeconomic trust.
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ya3kov
ya3kov@_yakovsky·
Structured credit changed your life more than Michael Jordan, the iPod, & Youtube put together by shaving 200bps off your mortgage. ABS, CDOs, synthetics are complex forms of financial engineering, and we believe they are the most fertile breeding ground for the next era of DeFi innovation. Learn about the risks below.
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3Jane@3janexyz

Structured financing for fintech lenders (ABF) is a $100B+ asset class with virtually no history of being exported into crypto markets, despite consistently generating 10%+ returns. Releasing a deeper analysis ahead of public launch: ➝ ELI5 warehouse loans & forward-flows ➝ Where the yield comes from ➝ Structured credit risk profile & loss distribution Full post below.

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ya3kov
ya3kov@_yakovsky·
The quality of The Economist’s analysis - the supposed last bastion of ruthless empiricism - has dropped off a cliff over the past year. A once-sharp knife, devastatingly blunted . End of an era, @TheEconomist.
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ya3kov
ya3kov@_yakovsky·
Index funds, ETFs, interest rate/credit default/currency swaps, structured securitizations, junk bonds, Bitcoin, and Ethereum were all invented in the past 50 years, more than 3,000+ years after Hammurabi’s Code.
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ya3kov
ya3kov@_yakovsky·
Barring civilizational collapse, at the current rate of financial innovation, many of the financial primitives that dominate 100 years from now probably have not been invented yet or will not exist in their current form-factor.
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ya3kov
ya3kov@_yakovsky·
17/ Your burrito bowl is financed by insurance and pension funds in the end.
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ya3kov
ya3kov@_yakovsky·
16/ As the lender scales they converge on the originate-to-distribute (OTD) model. It moves a lender from balance-sheet-heavy growth to capital-light platform economics that produces high margins and in turn high valuation multiples.
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ya3kov
ya3kov@_yakovsky·
15/ This allows Klarna to significantly bring down their cost of capital as well as scale their portfolio orders of magnitude to +$B's. In reality, this only works when you've bundled >$100m's of loans together, not $10.
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ya3kov
ya3kov@_yakovsky·
14/ Klarna invests time into having lawyers structure a tranched asset-backed securitization of burrito receivables, pay a rating agency to rate the tranches, and have bank sponsors pitch and sell the senior to insurance and pension funds at 5% coupon.
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ya3kov
ya3kov@_yakovsky·
13/ Asset-backed securitization (ABS) // 3 Klarna is now several years in business, proved out their loan tape, scaled to $15 purchases and wants to engineer an even lower cost of capital for themselves to keep a larger spread.
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ya3kov
ya3kov@_yakovsky·
12/ The credit fund might offer to buy $10 worth of future burrito purchases for $9.85. Private credit fund gets their double-digit IRR and Klarna scales their loan book without tying up equity, keeps an origination/servicing fee, and recycles capital. Extremely capital-efficient
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ya3kov
ya3kov@_yakovsky·
11/ Forward-Flow // 2 Klarna has purchased $4 of loans, proved their performance, & wants to scale to $10 of burrito purchases without raising equity to fund the warehouse first-loss slice. Klarna gets approached by a credit fund for a forward flow whole-loan purchase.
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ya3kov
ya3kov@_yakovsky·
10/ When Klarna started out in 2005, this was likely the only option they had given that it is the safest for the lenders/investors. Today, they still use this as a low-lift funding strategy to accumulate loans before reselling them in the broader ABS market (later).
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ya3kov
ya3kov@_yakovsky·
9/ Instead, Klarna approaches the bank and borrows $3 with interest, funds the $4 burrito order, & pledges the receivables as collateral with the bank at a 75% advance rate, keeping a first loss slice. Bank gets their yield and Klarna scales their loan book w/o giving up equity.
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ya3kov
ya3kov@_yakovsky·
8/ Warehouse // 1 Let's say Klarna wants to fund a $4 burrito order but only raised $1 in equity financing from VC A. So what do they do, do another round of diluting financing? No
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ya3kov
ya3kov@_yakovsky·
7/ Instead, Klarna underwrites & originate loans, finances or sells them to outside investors, retains an origination fee, and repeats the process across millions of consumers. In the U.S. they have a number of means at their disposal to fund their purchases.
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ya3kov
ya3kov@_yakovsky·
6/ Generally fintech lenders try not to actually hold these loans on their own balance sheet. They are a platform business, not a balance sheet business.
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ya3kov
ya3kov@_yakovsky·
5/ For a $100 order Klarna pays DoorDash: $96.00 Consumer pays upfront: $25.00 Net day-0 capital out: $71.00 Then Klarna receives: Day 14: $25.00 Day 28: $25.00 Day 42: $25.00 ~105% gross effective APY before losses and costs
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ya3kov
ya3kov@_yakovsky·
4/ DoorDash is happy to pay this fee because they indirectly recover it through consumer fees, merchant commissions, ad/promotional economics, and as an overall growth/customer acquisition strategy.
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ya3kov
ya3kov@_yakovsky·
3/ Pay-in-4 BNPL is a unique credit product in that there is no interest typically associated with loans. Instead, Klarna/Affirm earn the "APR" off something called a "merchant fee" paid out by DoorDash. That fee varies and isn't publicly disclosed, but it can vary. Let's assume its 4%
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ya3kov
ya3kov@_yakovsky·
2/ When you make an order, you have the option to pay interest-free in 4 installments. Klarna assesses your credit risk, looking at your credit data / other signals & then funds the order on your behalf. You get a burrito, DoorDash keeps a fee. So how does Klarna get paid?
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