A Pauper

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A Pauper

A Pauper

@a_pauper

Katılım Aralık 2019
54 Takip Edilen8 Takipçiler
Kale Zelden
Kale Zelden@kalezelden·
So, the marshmallow test is a significant indicator after all?
Sukh Sroay@sukh_saroy

A team of researchers in New Zealand followed 1,037 babies from the day they were born for the next 45 years to find out what actually determines a successful adult life, and the strongest predictor they found had almost nothing to do with intelligence or family wealth. The findings have been published in the most prestigious scientific journals in the world. Almost no parent has heard of them. His name is Avshalom Caspi. Her name is Terrie Moffitt. They are a husband and wife research team based at Duke University and King's College London, and the study they have spent their careers running is called the Dunedin Multidisciplinary Health and Development Study. It started in 1972 in a single hospital in Dunedin, New Zealand. Every baby born there in a 12-month window was enrolled. 1,037 of them. The study is still running today. The retention rate is the part that should astonish anyone familiar with how research usually works. After more than 45 years, over 90 percent of the original participants are still being tracked. Most longitudinal studies lose half their sample inside ten years. The Dunedin team has lost almost nobody. They measured everything. Blood. DNA. Brain scans. Income. Criminal records. Romantic relationships. Drug use. Dental health. Sleep. Mental health. Lung function. They flew participants who had moved abroad back to Dunedin every few years for a full day of assessments. Some of those people now live in seven different countries. They still show up. For the first decade of life, the team did something nobody else was doing systematically. They measured each child's self-control. Not IQ. Not family income. Not parenting style. Self-control. They watched 3-year-olds in a research lab and rated their ability to wait, regulate frustration, follow instructions, and resist impulsive reactions. They added teacher ratings. They added parent ratings. They added the children's own self-reports as they grew older. They combined all of it into a single highly reliable score. Then they did the thing nobody else had the patience to do. They waited. When the data came in at age 32, the result was so consistent it should be illegal to teach a child without it. The children who scored lowest on self-control at age 3 grew into adults with worse physical health, more substance dependence, lower incomes, more credit card debt, higher rates of single parenthood, more criminal convictions, and worse mental health than the children who scored highest. The pattern was not subtle. It was a clean gradient. Every step up in childhood self-control produced a measurable step up in adult outcomes across every domain the team could measure. The detail that should disturb every parent reading this is what happened when the researchers controlled for the obvious objections. When they controlled for IQ, the effect held. When they controlled for family income and social class, the effect held. When they compared siblings inside the same family, the sibling with lower self-control still had worse adult outcomes than the sibling with higher self-control. Same parents. Same house. Same dinner table. The trait was running independently of everything researchers expected to explain it. The paper landed in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences in 2011. The title was as plain as it gets. "A gradient of childhood self-control predicts health, wealth, and public safety." It has been cited thousands of times since. Almost no policy maker has acted on it. The reason most people resist this finding is that it sounds like a sentence handed down before the child could speak. If the trait that determines your adult life is locked in by age 3, the rest of your life is a formality. The Dunedin researchers say that is the wrong way to read the data. They found something else in the same paper that almost nobody quotes. Some of the children whose self-control scores improved between childhood and adolescence ended up with adult outcomes far better than their early scores predicted. The trait is not destiny. It is a muscle. Children who learned to wait, regulate, and resist between ages 5 and 15 caught up with kids who started ahead. Self-control is the one childhood trait nobody seems to teach on purpose anymore. Schools focus on test scores. Parents focus on activities. Coaches focus on performance. The part of the brain that decides between five seconds from now and five years from now is left to develop on its own, and the data shows it usually does not. The most uncomfortable part of the research is the cost calculation Moffitt and Caspi ran. They estimated that if a country could move the bottom 20 percent of children up one rung on the self-control ladder, it would measurably reduce healthcare spending, welfare dependency, and incarceration costs at the national level. The intervention is cheaper than almost any other public health investment available. Almost no country has tried it at scale. The reason adults struggle with money, weight, addiction, and relationships is rarely intelligence. It is the gap between what you want right now and what you want in ten years, and which side of that gap your nervous system is built to listen to. Most people lost that fight at age 4 and never went back to learn the technique. You were not behind because life dealt you a bad hand. You were behind because the part of you that decides between right now and the rest of your life was never taught how to choose. The good news is the muscle is still there. Almost nobody trains it after age 10. You can be the one who does.

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A Pauper
A Pauper@a_pauper·
@kevinnbass @richardrohlin Translation: If you are operating from a left-worldview, it is completely normal for translations of historical texts to impose a feminist viewpoint to puncture patriarchal mystification. It is not ideological, because it is simply The Truth™️; only dissenters are ideological.
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Kevin Bass
Kevin Bass@kevinnbass·
Emily Wilson: This is a feminist translation, meant to puncture patriarchal mystification. The Right: This is a mistranslation meant to ideologically defile The Odyssey. The Left: No, it's a completely normal translation. There's no ideology. Wow, right-wingers are weird.
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A Pauper
A Pauper@a_pauper·
@jgreenhall @sympractical For what purpose was the book introduced into the cosmos of the oral mind? For what purpose is the LLM being introduced into the cosmos of the literate mind?
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Jordan Hall
Jordan Hall@jgreenhall·
LLM's will do (are doing, have almost done) to the literate mind what the book did to the oral mind. But while the literate mind lost something in the transition, it gained as well. So also will the [to be named later] mind. Navigating the topography of semantic space is neither trivial nor degenerate. And notice: it is neither alphabetic no ideographic.
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A Pauper
A Pauper@a_pauper·
@anishmoonka “All men by nature desire to know.” - Aristotle - Metaphysics
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Anish Moonka
Anish Moonka@anishmoonka·
In the 1970s, David Premack wondered if a chimpanzee could be taught to ask a question. He taught Sarah 130 plastic word-tokens. She answered his questions easily. After years of work, she had never asked one of her own. Sixty years later, no signing ape has. A four-year-old human asks about 25 questions an hour. Paul Harris at Harvard counted them: kids ask their parents around 40,000 questions between ages two and five. Premack even worked out a method for teaching an ape to ask. Hide a snack the chimp expects. Wait for her to sign "where is it." He never bothered running it on Sarah. She spent her sessions answering his questions, never asking her own. A normal kid, he pointed out, asks "what that? who making noise? when Daddy come home?" on a loop. Washoe the chimpanzee, the first one taught American Sign Language, knew 250 signs. She could request food. She could sign her name. She once saw a swan and called it "water bird," a sharp invention for an animal she had no sign for. She never asked what the swan was, or where it came from, or anything else. Koko the gorilla knew about 1,000 signs. Kanzi the bonobo understands more than 3,000 spoken English words. Nim Chimpsky, Herbert Terrace's chimp at Columbia (named to mock the linguist Noam Chomsky), strung 125 signs into more than 20,000 combinations. His longest stretch was "give orange me give eat orange me eat orange give me eat orange give me you." He never asked a thing. Joseph Jordania, a researcher in Melbourne, thinks this is the line between us and them. To ask a question, you first have to know that the person across from you knows something you don't. Apes do not seem to get to that step, even after a lifetime of being talked at by humans. Human kids cross that line around their fourth birthday. Apes never do.
Ezzy@ezzyskii

Scientists have been communicating with apes via sign language since the 1960s; apes have never asked one question.

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A Pauper
A Pauper@a_pauper·
@annielcrawford Annie, isn’t it obvious? We’re just that smart. Smarter than everyone ever. We’re just smart smart smart all over the place. Because progress progresses. Right?
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Annie Crawford
Annie Crawford@annielcrawford·
WSJ argues that it's all a psyop to cover our own tech development. Several things can be true at once. Where are we getting the knowledge for this super-secret tech?
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Jonathan Pageau
Jonathan Pageau@PageauJonathan·
When I was 14 years old, I met a young man at camp. We called him Scooter at the time, but now he is Lazarus, though I have come to know him mostly as Crow, which is what I will call him here. Crow is extremely ill with a genetic condition called Marfan syndrome, which means that his body is breaking down, and he needs serious open-heart surgery to survive. If you can, please support his family with his GiveSendGo campaign, as his syndrome makes it nearly impossible to work. You can just click the link and give what you can. But for those who are interested, I would like to tell you the absolute crazy story of my friendship with Crow. Scroll down for more.
Jonathan Pageau tweet media
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A Pauper
A Pauper@a_pauper·
@PageauJonathan Praying for you and this event. It’s important. For those who cannot attend, will the talks be available online?
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Grizwald Grim, synchrony harmonicist
There's something you're forgetting. There's something you're distracted from. Reply with what it was to help the Others.
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A Pauper
A Pauper@a_pauper·
@annielcrawford All of the GenAI in the world is powerless unless and until the identities it creates are embedded and allowed to organize material realities. Basically, it’s a recapitulation of Adam naming the animals, where AI now stands in the place of Adam.
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A Pauper
A Pauper@a_pauper·
@annielcrawford Lots of good thoughts there. My pushback would be disembodied meaning does lack power. In this sense, AI is really artificial meaning-making (AMM); the power of AI is when that AMM is embodied - either indirectly through influence upon humans or directly through robotics.
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A Pauper
A Pauper@a_pauper·
Midwestuary Qst: If the modern world traded meaning for power, and the post-modernists identified that everything is power (indicating that modernity had reached it fullness), is it unavoidable that solving the meaning crisis involves surrendering power to reacquire meaning? 1/2
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Annie Crawford
Annie Crawford@annielcrawford·
If modernity was the exchange of meaning for power, we might need to trade power back for meaning to recover from the attendant crises. The AI moment seems to me the attempt to have both.
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A Pauper
A Pauper@a_pauper·
@wrestlewithpigs @IntelliJennce @JoelWebbon So, it is because of your inner goodness and perfection that Christ died for you? I think you are misreading the twist made to the Gospel message that @IntelliJennce is pointing to: “You are so perfect, so worthy, that God sent His Son to die for you.” This is not the Gospel.
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Calling out your blasphemy
Calling out your blasphemy@wrestlewithpigs·
@IntelliJennce @JoelWebbon Are there women’s only churches that are hearing this? Lol Crazy to think that Jesus died for you is a bad thing and we shouldn’t preach it. Or you ACTUALLY believe that men hear the exact same message and reject it an find truth themselves? Such a foolish take.
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Joel Webbon
Joel Webbon@JoelWebbon·
Young men are returning to religion (primarily Christianity). Young women are not. Pastors need to be prepared to guide young Christian men through a world filled with godless women.
InteractivePolls@IAPolls2022

GALLUP POLL: 42% of men aged 18-29 now say religion is "very important" in their lives — a sharp jump from just 28% in 2022-2023. Monthly religious attendance among young men has climbed to 40% (up from 33%), the highest level in over a decade. news.gallup.com/poll/708410/yo…

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A Pauper
A Pauper@a_pauper·
Kanika@KanikaBK

Anthropic asked the Vatican for help because their AI was moving too fast for them to control. A 60 year old Catholic priest who used to be a tech executive is now writing the rules for how Claude thinks. Here is how a man of God ended up inside one of the most powerful AI companies on earth. His name is Father Brendan McGuire. He runs a small parish in Los Altos, California. Some of Silicon Valley's top AI researchers sit in his pews on Sundays. But before he was a priest, he was one of them. Studied cryptosystems at Trinity College Dublin in the 1980s. Moved to America. Became the executive director of PCMCIA, the organization that basically standardized how memory cards work in every computer. Had degrees in engineering and software. Could have been a millionaire in the Valley ten times over. He walked away from all of it to serve God. But then Anthropic called. Chris Olah, one of Anthropic's co-founders, reached out to him directly. McGuire said they were basically asking the Vatican for help because the industry was moving so fast down this road that they needed someone to pump the brakes. His words: "They basically were asking for direct help from the Vatican to convene and help the industry, because the industry was going so fast down this road." So this priest, along with a Vatican Bishop named Paul Tighe and a tech ethics director from Santa Clara University, sat down and helped rewrite the Claude Constitution. That is the set of rules that tells Claude what it can and cannot do. What it should care about. How it should think. A priest helped write the conscience of an AI. And it gets wilder. Anthropic actually sued the US government because the Pentagon wanted to use their AI for autonomous warfare and domestic surveillance. Anthropic said no. Got effectively blacklisted for it. Catholic scholars then filed a federal court brief defending Anthropic, saying their ethical limits represent "minimal standards of ethical conduct for technical progress." McGuire almost filed his own brief. He said "they are having a moral conversation. They may not call it moral, but I call it moral." Meanwhile this 60 year old priest is now writing a novel using Claude about a monk and his AI companion. The working title is "The Soul of AI: A Priest, an Algorithm, and the Search for Wisdom." He also said something that stuck with me. "I think we have to help these machines be tilted towards good, otherwise they are just going to reflect back the good and evil of the world. That is a horrifying thing, right?" The biggest AI companies in the world are building machines that think. And the person they called to make sure those machines have a conscience was not another engineer. It was a priest.

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A Pauper
A Pauper@a_pauper·
@dokimazete I’m not sure how two abstract principles create a more robust framework, but you do you, I guess.
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A Pauper
A Pauper@a_pauper·
Deadpan claim to a position that is obviously contradictory to a long-held position I’ve publicly made. 4/1. Haha. Isn’t it funny?
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A Pauper
A Pauper@a_pauper·
@kalezelden @roddreher Christ died and is risen to save real people from real sins. Yes, psychological/spiritual barriers are there. But instead of only seeing how awful/impossible the repentant path would be, we can continue to acknowledge it and offer it when appropriate.
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