Adil

11.9K posts

Adil banner
Adil

Adil

@adilsultan

Co-Founder https://t.co/sVXtgWlcjP Former King's College, Stimson, IISS Research Fellow Tweets are personal opinion

Islamabad, Pakistan Katılım Aralık 2009
303 Takip Edilen5.4K Takipçiler
Adil
Adil@adilsultan·
A few thoughts on Pak-Saudi SMDA that I wrote last year to clarify some misconceptions about the extended nuclear deterrence. strafasia.com/pak-saudi-defe…
brief.@brief_pk

Pak-Saudi - The Strategic Mutual Defense Agreement signed at Al Yamamah Palace on September 17, 2025 has never been tabled in Pakistan's parliament. No committee has examined it. No elected body has debated it. Pakistan's Defense Minister suggested at signing that nuclear capabilities "will be made available" to Saudi Arabia. Within 48 hours, he walked it back. The text remains classified. What is on the record is a photograph of two men shaking hands, and the word of institutions that have never needed parliament's permission to conduct foreign policy. The question this raises is not about the pact's legality. It is about its necessity. When Middle East tensions escalated in March 2026, an estimated 1,500 to 2,000 Pakistani troops were already stationed on Saudi soil before a single clause of the September agreement was formally invoked. That is the baseline, not the deployment ceiling. On top of it: Pakistan Air Force IL-78 tanker aircraft repositioned from Nur Khan to Masroor on March 1 for onward movement to Riyadh. LY-80, FM-90 and Anza-series air defense batteries, still under Pakistani command, were integrated into Saudi Arabia's layered air defense network within days. F-16 Block-52 jets arrived at King Abdulaziz Air Base. CDF Asim Munir flew to Riyadh on March 7 and formally activated the pact, or did he? But the military relationship he activated had been running without interruption for fifty years. At its peak in the late 1970s and through the 1980s, estimates placed Pakistani military personnel in Saudi Arabia at between 50,000 and 60,000. The numbers drew down. The institutional thread never broke. Then there is Raheel Sharif. Pakistan's former army chief has commanded the 43-nation Islamic Military Counter Terrorism Coalition, headquartered in Riyadh, since May 2017. He did not need a new pact to be embedded in Saudi Arabia's security architecture. He was already its military commander, a position he has held for nearly a decade across multiple Pakistani governments, none of which appointed him to it and none of which can remove him. He is the operational interface between Pakistan's military establishment and the Gulf's most powerful monarchy, and he answers, in practice, to institutional loyalties that predate the Sharif government and will outlast it. The same architecture extends to Bahrain. Pakistan provides substantial manpower to the Bahrain Defense Force under a bilateral arrangement so embedded that when regional tensions escalated in March, Bahrain's king specifically thanked Pakistan for its "solidarity," a word that in Gulf diplomatic register carries operational weight, not ceremonial. These are not new commitments. They are old ones that no Pakistani voter was ever asked to authorize and no Pakistani parliament was ever asked to renew. So what does the September 2025 pact actually do? Brookings noted at signing that it went far beyond the standard language of cooperative security announcements, and that its nuclear ambiguity was not a drafting oversight. The vagueness serves both governments. Riyadh gets a signal to Tehran and Washington that Islamabad is committed at a level that now has a named legal instrument behind it. Islamabad gets Gulf liquidity, a Saudi vote at the IMF when the next program review arrives, and the standing claim that the nuclear dimension was never formally confirmed, which is technically accurate, because the text was never released. What Pakistan does not get is a parliamentary record. No elected body authorized the commitment of its armed forces. No constitutional mechanism was engaged. No public accounting of what the nuclear dimension, undefined as it is, would require Pakistan to do or risk. The pact was signed by men who were not elected to sign it, covering capabilities that remain undeclared to the population that would bear the consequences of using them. That is not a defense agreement. It is the Pakistani military doing what it has always done: conducting foreign policy in its own name, leaving the civilian government to explain it afterward, and daring anyone to raise the constitutional question in a country where constitutionality has always been an argument you lose before you finish making it.

English
0
3
3
596
Adil retweetledi
China pulse 🇨🇳
China pulse 🇨🇳@Eng_china5·
🔴 Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi visits Arlington National Cemetery, paying respects and laying flowers on the graves of American soldiers who occupied and humiliated Japan — including Charles Sweeney, the pilot who dropped the nuclear bomb on Nagasaki.
English
1.3K
3.6K
10.2K
838.6K
Adil retweetledi
Al Mayadeen English
Al Mayadeen English@MayadeenEnglish·
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has drawn sharp criticism for comparing Jesus Christ to Genghis Khan, a remark seen as deeply offensive to millions of Christians. Such a comparison is not merely provocative; it reflects a strikingly flawed understanding of history and morality. Equating Jesus Christ with one of history’s most ruthless conquerors reveals less about historical reality and more about the moral framework guiding those who make such claims. #WestAsia #Palestine #Christianity
English
103
350
835
30K
Adil retweetledi
Furkan Gözükara
Furkan Gözükara@FurkanGozukara·
Absolute bombshell. Jamie Rubin confirms a historic peace deal with Iran was completely within reach. Iran offered to freeze enrichment, but Israel intentionally sabotaged the deal because they want a permanent war, not peace.
English
152
4.1K
9.1K
203K
Adil
Adil@adilsultan·
Iran's leadership may have done many wrongs in the past and so have several other leaders around the world but digging history at this juncture would be seen as an attempt to justify the actions of anti-Iran alliance, which also include several Muslim countries besides USrael.
Fidato@tequieremos

I’ve just started @vali_nasr’s new book ‘𝐼𝑟𝑎𝑛'𝑠 𝐺𝑟𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑆𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑔𝑦: 𝐴 𝑃𝑜𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝐻𝑖𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑦’ and I have to say, some of the stuff in there is pretty mind-blowing. He writes that back in year 1980, Iran provided Israel with intelligence that it used in bombing Iraq’s nuclear facility at Osirak in June 1981—which Iran too had sought to destroy in September 1980. Mansour Farhang, the Islamic Republic’s first ambassador to the United Nations, attended a meeting in which Khomeini approved receiving Israeli aid, provided it remained secret. At this point, mused Farhang, perhaps for Khomeini the Qur’an was only “holy” because “it was full of loopholes.” Arms sales from Israel to Iran totalled an estimated $500 million annually between 1981 and 1983, and most of it was paid for by Iranian oil delivered to Israel. According to one Iranian arms dealer, roughly 80% of the weaponry bought by Tehran immediately after the onset of the war with Iraq originated in Israel. In a speech on August 24, 1981 just weeks after Israel bombed Osirak using Iranian intelligence Khomeini stood before the world and angrily denied that any cooperation with Israel had taken place. He claimed Iran's enemies were spreading false rumours to undermine the Islamic Revolution. He even invented a conspiracy theory on the spot claiming that Saddam Hussein was actually an ally of Israel who had "forced" Israel to destroy his own nuclear facilities. Meanwhile, Iran even agreed to allow Israeli fighter jets to land on Iranian soil in case of an emergency during the operation against Iraq.

English
3
8
31
1.7K
Adil retweetledi
Gandalv
Gandalv@Microinteracti1·
The F-35 was supposed to be unkillable. That was the whole point. Lockheed Martin spent thirty years and four hundred billion dollars, the most expensive weapons programme in human history, building an aircraft that the enemy simply could not see. Not on radar. Not on infrared. Not on anything. The F-35 was not just a fighter jet. It was a theological statement. America’s way of saying: we have moved beyond the reach of your missiles, your sensors, and your prayers. Iran apparently didn’t get the memo. Somewhere over Iranian airspace on March 19, 2026, an IRST system, infrared search and track, the kind of sensor your grandmother could probably explain, looked up, found the F-35, and locked on. Not because Iranian engineers are geniuses. Because the F-35, it turns out, is extremely hot. All that engine. All that thrust. All that carefully sculpted stealth geometry, and the bloody thing glows like a kettle. The heat signature data Iran now holds is not just embarrassing. It is a gift that keeps giving. To Moscow. To Beijing. To every procurement ministry on the planet that has been quietly wondering whether to spend the money on systems designed to kill this aircraft. The answer, as of this week, is yes. And here is the bit that should really worry the Pentagon. You can patch software. You can redesign coatings. You cannot reprogramme a pilot’s brain. Every F-35 driver who takes off from here on knows, actually knows, that someone down there might be able to see them. That changes everything about how they fly. Caution replaces aggression. Hesitation replaces instinct. Four hundred billion dollars. And in the end, it was done in by a heat sensor. Tremendous. Gandalv / @Microinteracti1
Gandalv tweet media
English
2.4K
9K
29.9K
3.8M
Adil retweetledi
H
H@9935isara·
H tweet media
QME
2
47
333
19.5K
Adil retweetledi
Furkan Gözükara
Furkan Gözükara@FurkanGozukara·
Trump casually threatens to use nuclear weapons to end the war "in two seconds" while sitting right next to the Prime Minister of Japan—the only country to ever suffer an atomic bombing. The host calls him a complete sociopath.
English
313
4.2K
11.8K
271.7K
Adil retweetledi
The Economist
The Economist@TheEconomist·
The reckless campaign against Iran will weaken America’s president. That will make him angry. Be warned: he makes a very bad loser econ.st/4lA7lEQ
The Economist tweet media
English
2.3K
16.7K
46.4K
2.8M
Adil retweetledi
Kerry Burgess
Kerry Burgess@KerryBurgess·
Professor Marandi publicly eviscerating an establishment interviewer live on air...
English
433
5.1K
17.3K
286K
Adil
Adil@adilsultan·
Apparently the global public opinion is overwhelmingly in favour of Iran defending itself, while most govt's have opted to side with the US & Israel. This reflects degeneration of politics and the democratic principles.
English
0
3
12
218
Adil retweetledi
Furkan Gözükara
Furkan Gözükara@FurkanGozukara·
Absolute sociopath. Trump literally admits on tape that he might continue bombing Iranian oil facilities "just for fun." This phrase will live in infamy as conclusive proof that a madman is running the US military.
English
226
5.9K
12.8K
229.3K
Adil retweetledi
Maleeha Lodhi
Maleeha Lodhi@LodhiMaleeha·
Did this meeting call on the US and Israel to stop attacking Iran ? Did it choose to ignore who started the war and is continuing to bomb Iran ? Ministerial meeting calls on Iran to ‘immediately and unconditionally’ halt attacks in Gulf dawn.com/news/1983661
English
257
1.4K
3K
67.6K
Adil retweetledi
Furkan Gözükara
Furkan Gözükara@FurkanGozukara·
LMAO this is first major break between bad buddies 😭🤣😂
Furkan Gözükara tweet media
English
1.7K
6.2K
42.7K
2.4M
Adil retweetledi
Furkan Gözükara
Furkan Gözükara@FurkanGozukara·
Massive revelation. Israel intentionally assassinated Iranian negotiator Ali Larijani to sabotage a peace deal. Then they blew up Qatar's natural gas facilities to lock the US into a permanent regional war. They are destroying the world.
English
268
11.5K
39.3K
719.4K
Adil retweetledi
Ghida Fakhry
Ghida Fakhry@ghida_fakhry·
General Petraeus making the case for attacking Iran—dismissing the conclusion of Oman’s FM (now echoed by the UK National Security Advisor) that talks had made significant progress and a deal was within reach. He barely let the question be asked—shutting down any discussion.
English
52
86
647
389.6K
Adil retweetledi
Arnaud Bertrand
Arnaud Bertrand@RnaudBertrand·
This is probably the most important article of the month: an op-ed by Oman's Foreign Minister, who mediated the talks between the U.S. and Iran, in which he writes that the U.S. "has lost control of its foreign policy" to Israel. He repeats that a deal was possible as an outcome of the talks (something confirmed by the UK's National Security Advisor, who also attended: x.com/i/status/20341…) and that the military strike by the U.S. and Israel was "a shock." Interestingly, given he is one of Iran's neighbors and given that Oman has been struck multiple times by Iran since the war began (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Iran…), he writes that "Iran’s retaliation against what it claims are American targets on the territory of its neighbours was an inevitable result" of the U.S.-Israeli attack. He describes it as "probably the only rational option available to the Iranian leadership." He says the war "endangers" the region's entire "economic model in which global sport, tourism, aviation and technology were to play an important role." He adds that "if this had not been anticipated by the architects of this war, that was surely a grave miscalculation." But, he adds, the "greatest miscalculation" of all for the U.S. "was allowing itself to be drawn into this war in the first place." In his view this was the doing of "Israel’s leadership" who "persuaded America that Iran had been so weakened by sanctions, internal divisions and the American-Israeli bombings of its nuclear sites last June, that an unconditional surrender would swiftly follow the initial assault and the assassination of the supreme leader." Obviously, this proved completely wrong, and the U.S. is now in a quagmire. He says that, given this, "America’s friends have a responsibility to tell the truth," which is that "there are two parties to this war who have nothing to gain from it," namely "Iran and America." He says that all of the U.S. interests in the region (end to nuclear proliferation, secure energy supply chains, investment opportunities) are "best achieved with Iran at peace." As he writes, "this is an uncomfortable truth to tell, because it involves indicating the extent to which America has lost control of its own foreign policy. But it must be told." He then proposes a couple of paths to get back to the negotiating table, although he recognizes how difficult it would be for Iran "to return to dialogue with an administration that twice switched abruptly from talks to bombing and assassination." That's perhaps the most profound damage Trump did during this entire episode: the complete discrediting of diplomacy. If Iran was taught anything, it is: don't negotiate with the U.S., it's a trap that will literally kill you. The great irony of the man who sold himself as a dealmaker is that he taught the world one thing: don't make deals with my country. Link to the article: economist.com/by-invitation/…
Arnaud Bertrand tweet media
English
308
8.4K
19.3K
1.2M