Hard-core facts:
Europe is not in the position to demand anything right now as it’s being completely bypassed in the relaunch of strategic dialogue between the US and Russia and the new minerals deals between the US and Ukraine, thus it can’t pressure Russia on any concessions. Ukraine has signed the minerals deals with the US, which has a greater prirority than the deals with Europe due to the lack of security guarantees coming from Europe.
America has been squeezing Russian oil and gas in the last few months and the reality is that Russia needs more than talks at this stage. It urgently needs the ceasefire for the sake of its own economy’s stability and the legitimization of the Russian-controlled territories under Trump 2.0 amid Cold War 2 between America and the DragonBear. It will be much easier and beneficial from Russian perspective to achieve a ceasefire under Trump 2.0, however Russia won’t agree on any conditions imposed by Ukraine, Europe or even Trump. Moscow wants to fool everyone that it doesn’t seek a ceasefire and it will operate only on its own conditions. Thus, we are back to Istanbul 2.0 under Erdogan’s mediation. Any ceasefire that will emerge as an outcome of this negotiation process will only prolong the Russian war on Ukraine beyond 2028-2030. The goals still remain the same:
1. Full subjugation of Ukraine
2. Complete destruction of European security architecture
3. Russia’s geopolitical pole position amid Cold War 2 between America and the DragonBear
Macron, Merz, Starmer, and Tusk were supposed to discuss peace in Kiev. Instead, they are blurting out threats against Russia. Either a truce for the respite of Banderite hordes or new sanctions. You think that’s smart, eh? Shove these peace plans up your pangender arses!
@scottastevenson As usual from ribbonfarm, shallow navel gazing posing as intellect. Trivially disprovable - Roman empire, Barcelona - Eixample and Olympics, New York, Henry Ford, McDonalds, Starbucks, Internet Protocol etc etc. No wonder these guys (and it's always guys) hate college.
IMO the foundational reason why almost every startup fails is that management optimizes for legibility and naively tries to create a "rational utopia":
ribbonfarm.com/2010/07/26/a-b…
These are all true simultaneously:
1. Scaling up deep learning will keep paying off (unlock more applications, or higher performance on existing ones).
2. Scaling up deep learning isn't the path to AGI.
3. We aren't particularly close to AGI, and LLMs did not represent a step closer.
4. We're not anywhere near full deployment of existing deep learning techniques. A huge amount of value remains to be created with the tech we already have.
In 1986, the actor Jeremy Brett was admitted to a mental unit after a breakdown following the death of his wife.
The Sun ran a cover story (I have a copy) which stated
‘TV SHERLOCK IN NUT HOUSE’
Jeremy deserved his dignity.
1/2
William Shatner on his Blue Origin flight to space: "It was among the strongest feelings of grief I have ever encountered." variety.com/2022/tv/news/w…
It’s not that they’re reasonable or open-minded or cooly rational: it’s that they’re morally lazy, and they’d like extra credit for yawning while the world burns.