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I remember a time when a student approached me with a rather thought-provoking question: “When and why does a dominant ruling party lose power?” It was a question that invited reflection, and I took a moment before responding.
I explained that ruling parties, regardless of their dominance, can find themselves on the losing end of an election when they begin to see their victory as permanent. This overconfidence leads them to overlook signs of growing dissent among the party cadres and electorate, ignore the undercurrents of anti-incumbency, and fail to take proactive measures to address these issues.
As the reality of their potential defeat becomes undeniable, these parties often resort to hasty, panic-driven responses, which only seal their fate, culminating in their eventual defeat at the polls.
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