Aggressive Value

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Aggressive Value

Aggressive Value

@aggresivevalue

25 yrs investing in the markets. Deep value/ asymmetric opportunities. Nothing posted here is financial advice. Just another opinion. DYODD

Katılım Ağustos 2021
149 Takip Edilen8.3K Takipçiler
Aggressive Value
Aggressive Value@aggresivevalue·
#oil futures now at 87 for rest of year and 75 for ‘27. Yes OIH is flat since war broke out.
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Aggressive Value
Aggressive Value@aggresivevalue·
$MU “Peak margins” Uh what do you want 112%?
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Aggressive Value
Aggressive Value@aggresivevalue·
$MU If you eating theFUD being peddled spend a few minutes listening to the 6PM call
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Aggressive Value
Aggressive Value@aggresivevalue·
For those wondering why $MU report was below trendforce 100% upside in q 1 revs. Part is from HBM pricing being locked in for majority of 26 volumes. The other is the quarter doesn’t include March. December was up less.
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SuspendedCap
SuspendedCap@ContrarianCurse·
Now, if Memory turns out is no longer cyclical, then ce la vie But if you did wanna short this - this is basically the polar opposite version of the -30% GMs at the trough
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Aggressive Value
Aggressive Value@aggresivevalue·
A lot of “priced in “ talk on $MU. Is 2 years of $100 per year EPS priced in? How about 3? Or 5? (Which is hynix chairman’s forcast). While nobody knows if any of these will play out they are distinct possibilities. Short at your own risk.
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Trade Whisperer
Trade Whisperer@TradexWhisperer·
@OInvests The outlook will be good but I am unsure what the market wants, a 100% beat on outlook might be difficult..
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Trade Whisperer@TradexWhisperer·
$MU earnings after the bell. Holding, adding, or waiting for the print? What's your trigger to buy more?
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Aggressive Value
Aggressive Value@aggresivevalue·
ATH on $MU. looking for $15 eps and $23+ guide for next q. Consensus 8.79 / 11. Will be interesting to see how market reacts.
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Aggressive Value
Aggressive Value@aggresivevalue·
Tio2 prices continue to rise in China this week on the back of sulphuric acid increases. $CC $TROX
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Aggressive Value
Aggressive Value@aggresivevalue·
$VG Company has said every $1 per MMBTU is additional 600 million EBITDA for the year. This is for cargoes that aren't locked for year already. With CP almost sold out for year and Plaq 1 commisioning end Oct, most of open cargoes are APR-OCT. At current levels for TTF, it's almost 5 billion added EBITDA.
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Aggressive Value
Aggressive Value@aggresivevalue·
$KLXE. If oil production doesn’t increase in current backdrop they should do 30 million in FCF in 26 or 1.50 a share. If it goes up substantially as by Ukraine FCF could be 5. This is your war hedge. Levered stub.
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