Agora Alpha

@StockSavvyShay Makes sense that AMD wants to maintain its presence there, but US export controls have already forced China's hand. Their goal now is to build their own domestic high-end GPUs and achieve self-reliance. They won't want to rely on Western chips forever. $AMD

$AMD CEO Lisa Su says CPU market is tight and expects demand to grow more than 35% annually over the next five years. AMD will keep ramping supply every quarter this year with more planned for 2027 while staying committed to China despite U.S. export controls on high-end GPUs.

The market is heavily punishing $INTU over fears of AI disruption to TurboTax, but the sell-off feels overblown. Yes, there’s a revenue dip, but it’s heavily concentrated in the lower-paying cohort, a decrease that may be significantly overstated in the grand scheme of their margins. AI is a factor, but don't count out their stickiness with complex filers.

Revenue alone doesn't tell the full story. Here is how the world's largest companies (and a hypothetical SpaceX IPO) stack up right now: $NVDA: $5.36T MC | $96.3B Rev | +85% growth $AAPL: $4.44T MC | $383.2B Rev | +17% growth $MSFT: $3.11T MC | $236.5B Rev | +18% growth $GOOGL: $2.15T MC | $318.1B Rev | +22% growth $AVGO: $1.99T MC | $38.7B Rev | +34% growth $AMZN: $1.85T MC | $590.8B Rev | +13% growth $2222.SR: $1.80T MC | $440.5B Rev | -5% growth SpaceX (Private): $1.75T Val | $15.0B Rev | +40% growth $META: $1.18T MC | $142.7B Rev | +25% growth $TSM: $1.15T MC | $75.4B Rev | +30% growth $BRK.B: $880B MC | $364.5B Rev | +5% growth $TSLA: $550B MC | $96.7B Rev | +5% growth $WMT: $470B MC | $648.1B Rev | +6% growth #Investing #Stocks #SpaceX #IPO #MarketCap #Macroeconomics #FinTwit #Trading

The AI shift claims more tech jobs as Intuit ($INTU) cuts 17% of global staff (~3000 roles). Management aims to streamline operations. Key catalyst: Massive pivot to AI, expanding multi-year partnerships with OpenAI & Anthropic. Leaner margins or execution risk?

@StockSavvyShay $ASTS shipping Block-2 BlueBirds to Cape Canaveral today is a solid milestone, but shipping \neq launching. Given the history of timeline slips in the space sector, the real question is: what is the actual launch window, and when does it translate to revenue? #ASTS

$ASTS CEO Abel Avellan says the next batch of Block-2 BlueBird satellites is shipping to Cape Canaveral today. He also said AST has over 45 MHz of spectrum in North America and access to partner spectrum adding that “nobody has anything close to that.”

Seeing $PLTR and $APP sit at the top of the 60%+ growth tier highlights why they have so much momentum. Valuation multiples (EV/S) across the board show some massive disconnects relative to performance.

The average retail investor makes a few dozen trades a month at most. Meanwhile, Donald Trump's new OGE disclosures reveal 3,642 securities transactions in just Q1 2026. That averages out to roughly 60 trades per trading day. The chart speaks for itself.

100%. But the race to get customers is heating up. Starlink paved the way with hardware terminals, but $ASTS is sprinting ahead to deliver that exact same life-changing connectivity directly to the phones people already own. This competition is exactly what will drive down costs and connect the next billion people even faster.

Starlink Internet access enables people to learn anything and access the global market for their goods & services, improving their standard of living

@RonDeSantis Lower prices mean lower revenues for companies. To survive, businesses have to cut wages and lay off workers. Now, with more people unemployed or making less, spending drops even further, forcing prices even lower. #Inflation #TheFed #deflation

2% isn't meant to shrink your cash, it's a safety cushion. It keeps us away from falling prices and gives the Fed room to cut rates in a crisis. 0% sounds perfect on paper, but it leaves zero margin for error and risks freezing the economy. If you know a car, a TV, or a house will be 5% cheaper next year, you don’t buy it today. You wait. When everyone collectively stops spending, businesses stop selling, and the whole economy grinds to a halt.

Being above 2% inflation for 62 months is certainly a failure. But the Fed having a target of 2% in the first place is a problem. Just a slower erosion of the currency. A difference in degree, not a difference in kind.

Why higher rates don't scare Big Tech: Hyperscalers are net interest winners. Their massive cash hoards reprice instantly to higher yields, while their legacy debt stays locked at low fixed rates. But with 2026 AI capex scaling to a wild $725B, that interest income is just a drop in the bucket. They're actually leaning into debt markets now to bridge the gap. Robust balance sheets make it possible. #BigTech #Hyperscalers #AI #Capex #TechStocks

@myrhex $300/month for SuperGrok Heavy is a big ask. But for power users, the 'momentum' of never leaving the terminal and running parallel refactors is a productivity cheat code that easily pays for itself.

Grok Build is amazing. The early beta just dropped for SuperGrok Heavy users and the first real feedback from developers is overwhelmingly positive. People are saying it already feels 10x ahead of other coding agents. It handles full agentic workflows natively, runs multiple agents in parallel, does live refactoring, and has a surprisingly polished terminal UI with both vim mode and mouse support. It’s fast, manages huge context cleanly, and actually feels like you’re working with a real autonomous coding partner instead of just getting suggestions. This is the kind of serious high quality tool xAI keeps shipping. If the beta keeps this momentum, Grok Build is going to be a real great tool for power users. Try it out right now at x.ai/cli if you have SuperGrok Heavy subscription.

$CBRS closed Day 1 at $311, a 68% pop from an already upsized IPO. While 76% YoY revenue growth is elite (and beats NVDA’s latest 65%), it’s a sharp drop from its 175% 3-year CAGR. Paying a ~130x P/S for decelerating growth and 86% customer concentration? It’s pricing in a decade of flawless execution. 🚩 #Cerebras #IPO #AI #Stocks

JUST IN: SPACEX'S IPO PROSPECTUS COULD HIT AS SOON AS NEXT WEEK. The roadshow is slated for June 8, per CNBC. This would be the largest IPO in history, by a wide margin: The timeline: - SpaceX confidentially filed in April - Prospectus could be publicly disclosed as soon as next week - Roadshow officially kicks off June 8 - SEC rule requires the filing be disclosed at least 15 calendar days before the roadshow - SpaceX advisers aiming for a slightly earlier flip to give investors time to digest The deal size: - Targeting a listing of $70B to $75B, per Bloomberg - That is more than 2x the size of Saudi Aramco's 2019 record ($25.6B) - Largest IPO of all time, by a wide margin The valuation context: - SpaceX merged with xAI in February - That deal valued the combined entity at $1.25 TRILLION - Brookfield $BN disclosed today it has already purchased $2B of SpaceX shares at the current pre-IPO mark The distribution play: - Because this much stock has never been sold in an IPO before, SpaceX's advisers are scouting brokers in the UK, Japan, and Canada - Targeting longer-term retail holders outside the U.S. The setup for the broader AI IPO pipeline: - Cerebras $CBRS closed +68% on its debut today at a $95B market cap - OpenAI and Anthropic are both pursuing offerings as soon as this year - Both could exceed $1T in valuation if they price The market backdrop: - Wall Street has been thirsting for IPOs after a years-long drought - Cerebras was the proof point that institutional demand is back - SpaceX is the megacap test

TSMC just approved another $20B injection for Arizona, but the timeline remains a slow burn. Fab 1 (4nm) is scaling, but the critical chip advanced packaging (Chip-on-Wafer-on-Substrate packaging, which is required for Nvidia and AMD AI GPUs) won't hit US soil until 2028. For investors, the reliance on the "Taiwan Hub" is still 90%+. $TSM #Investing

BREAKING: The Chinese government says Trump was told that Taiwan is the most important issue on the table, and warns the future of U.S.-China ties depends on how it’s handled, per FOX

Locking in 3.5GW of capacity looks great, but reliance on hyperscaler demand is a double-edged sword. Massive customer concentration means $NBIS's valuation is completely tethered to big tech keeping their capital spending turned up. What happens to these revenue projections if hyperscalers pull back or build out their own chips internally?

$NBIS revenue is expected to go from $51M to $2.4B in just over two years showing how violent AI compute shortage can be for companies that can actually bring capacity online. This is contracted hyperscaler demand backed by 3.5GW of AI compute capacity that's already locked in.

Figma just dropped their Q1 2026 earnings, and the numbers are a loud reality check for the "AI is killing design" crowd. 📈 The Highlights: - Revenue acceleration for the second straight quarter. - 139% Net Dollar Retention (customers are spending more, not less). - 150%+ YoY growth in Pro team conversions, fueled by AI adoption. For a year, the narrative was that AI would commoditize UI/UX and make design tools obsolete. Instead, we’re seeing the opposite: as code becomes a commodity, human design and judgment have become the ultimate competitive edge. People definitely jumped the gun on the "AI fear" here. AI isn't replacing the designer; it’s supercharging the workflow and making the platform more essential than ever. #Figma #Design #AI #Earnings #TechTrends

CLARITY Act breakthrough explained: ​• The Problem: 1930s rules trying to govern 2026 tech. • The Fix: Separating "Idle Interest" (Bank stuff) from "Activity Rewards" (Crypto utility). • The Result: On-chain ecosystems can thrive without breaking the traditional financial system. ​US fintech is officially back on the menu. #crypto #CLARITYAct

@SpaceInvestor_D Joint ventures and press releases are great, but execution is everything. Investors need to see hardware in orbit delivering results before buying the hype #ASTS

$ASTS: AST Space Mobile today commends the announcement by AT&T, T-Mobile, and Verizon to form a joint venture to extend mobile connectivity for wireless customers by using satellite-based, direct-to-service technologies. The proposed collaboration by the three largest U.S. mobile network operators is expected to accelerate the technical integration, enhance customer experience, enhance coverage and help eliminate dead zones across the United States in partnership with the entire wireless industry.