Jim Albert
135 posts

Jim Albert
@albertbayes
Statistician, Bayesian, Phillies fan
Katılım Temmuz 2009
53 Takip Edilen543 Takipçiler

R by Example 2nd Edition (Jim Albert and Maria Rizzo 2024) is published!
lnkd.in/gkGYy4WTPrint

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World Series Special: Batting Order baseballwithr.wordpress.com/2024/10/25/wor…
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@thorn_john @tangotiger @_Ben_Clemens Maybe Lindsey (1963) didn't present the runs expectancies in matrix form, but the the E(T, B) column in Table 1 of that paper contains the same values as a function of outs and runners on base:

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@albertbayes @tangotiger @_Ben_Clemens George R. Lindsey examined the subject but did not produce a base-out matrix, in "An Investigation of Strategies in Baseball," George R. Lindsey, Operations Research Vol. 11, No. 4 (Jul. - Aug., 1963), pp. 477-501 (25 pages).

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Terrific piece from @_Ben_Clemens with a focus on RE24 (run expectancy by the 24 base-out states)
RE24 is the single most important metric to understand baseball and statistics, and also is the bridge between old-school and new-school
The irony is that its the least-used metric
FanGraphs Baseball@fangraphs
The Myth of Luis Arraez blogs.fangraphs.com/the-myth-of-lu…
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@thorn_john @tangotiger @_Ben_Clemens No, I think George Lindsay introduced runs expectancy in 1963, over 60 years ago, in an Operations Research article.
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@tangotiger @_Ben_Clemens Did run expectancy first appear in Hidden Game of Baseball 40 years ago?

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Baseball Datasets Update baseballwithr.wordpress.com/2024/10/10/bas…
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Predicting Aaron Judge's HRs -- 2024 Edition baseballwithr.wordpress.com/2024/08/26/pre…
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Joey Votto and the 100 Best OBP Seasons baseballwithr.wordpress.com/2024/08/23/joe…
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Modeling Player's Exit Velocities, Part II baseballwithr.wordpress.com/2024/08/05/mod…
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Modeling to Extract a Player's Competitive Swings baseballwithr.wordpress.com/2024/07/29/mod…
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Discount on Analyzing Baseball Data with R, 3rd Edition baseballwithr.wordpress.com/2024/07/19/dis…
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Midseason Home Run Predictions baseballwithr.wordpress.com/2024/07/19/mid…
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Count and Home Biases in Called Strikes baseballwithr.wordpress.com/2024/07/13/cou…
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MLB Teams are Hiring Bayesians! baseballwithr.wordpress.com/2024/07/07/mlb…
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Balls are Traveling Further in 2024 in Progressive Field baseballprospectus.com/news/article/9…
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