Den NlIas

67 posts

Den NlIas

Den NlIas

@alexandre_addeh

Thanks God 🤲🏾

Katılım Kasım 2021
49 Takip Edilen38 Takipçiler
Den NlIas
Den NlIas@alexandre_addeh·
@DanielTNiles ⏩I POST ALL TRADES FOR FREE I share my real-time buy/sell TRADE alert on WhatsApp, free to join ✅ ➡️Copy search input Reply “stock-VIP” to WhatsApp:+12627315635 My WA link:wa.me/12627315635/?t…
English
0
0
0
26
Den NlIas
Den NlIas@alexandre_addeh·
@DanielTNiles 1 Agentic AI driving better GPU:CPU ratio (8:1 → 4:1 or lower) 2 Billion-dollar advanced packaging deals expected in H2 3 EV/Sales still 20-35% below TSM & AMD 4 -23% pullback cleaned overbought technicals My strategy analysis ! as follows 👇 👇 👇
English
1
0
2
292
Dan Niles
Dan Niles@DanielTNiles·
Multiple ways to win w/ $INTC. 1) GPU:CPU ratio from 8:1 to 4:1/1:1 w/ Agentic AI, 2) potential $AAPL foundry ramp before YE, 3) Billion $ packaging deals likely coming, 4) EV/Sales ~20-35% below $TSM & $AMD 5) -23% from 5/11 pk to 5/19 trough removes overbought technicals.
English
38
28
325
40.9K
Den NlIas
Den NlIas@alexandre_addeh·
@DanielTNiles Many of my Twitter followers have already joined my WhatsApp FREE TO JOIN My Real-time trading alerts and investment strategies Market forecast analysis Reply with "2026" to my WhatsApp number +16814844750 I POST ALL TRADES FOR FREE api.whatsapp.com/send?phone=168…
English
0
0
0
30
Den NlIas
Den NlIas@alexandre_addeh·
@DanielTNiles ⏩I POST ALL TRADES FOR FREE I share my real-time buy/sell TRADE alert on WhatsApp, free to join ✅ ➡️Copy search input Reply “stock-VIP” to WhatsApp:+12627315635 My WA link:wa.me/12627315635/?t…
English
0
0
0
25
Den NlIas
Den NlIas@alexandre_addeh·
@DanielTNiles Multiple ways to win w/ $INTC .Details are as follows 👇 👇 👇
English
1
0
3
438
Den NlIas
Den NlIas@alexandre_addeh·
@DanielTNiles Many of my Twitter followers have already joined my WhatsApp FREE TO JOIN My Real-time trading alerts and investment strategies Market forecast analysis Reply with "2026" to my WhatsApp number +12627315635 I POST ALL TRADES FOR FREE api.whatsapp.com/send?phone=126…
English
0
0
1
78
Den NlIas
Den NlIas@alexandre_addeh·
@DanielTNiles Watch oil & bond yields closely. When they stabilize/decline for fundamental reasons (not demand destruction), get aggressive on stocks. Until then, cash is king. 10 of last 12 recessions followed oil spikes. My trading strategy 👇 👇 👇
English
1
6
12
907
Dan Niles
Dan Niles@DanielTNiles·
S&P +0.1% last wk, masks the troubles under the surface with oil +10% to $105 & 2/30 yr bond yields +18 bps. I said last wk in multiple interviews that either oil/ylds are wrong or the stock mkt is. Much like on Friday, I am expecting more convergence this wk. Both April CPI & PPI came in higher than expected last week stoking the fears that the rising oil prices from the Iran war which started in late February is now impacting inflation. In addition, there was some troubling developments in the semiconductor sector which has spearheaded the recent 18% rally in the S&P with a 69% gain in the SOX index from March 30th to Thursday May 14th. The Korean Kospi, which had been up 89% ytd through Thursday led by memory manufacturers Samsung Electronics +143% and Hynix +201% had its biggest intraday spread in history on Friday which triggered a temporary trading halt. The Kospi from an intra-day high of +0.8% finished down 6.1% with Samsung/Hynix closing down 6.6%/5.9%. This week, we will get some important earnings releases from $TGT on Wednesday and $WMT on Thursday with combined sales of ~$850B on how the consumer is handling the increase in gas prices. Most analysts are expecting solid results. This would match statements from the credit card companies and larger banks which indicated a resilient consumer when they reported. However, $MCD in reporting their quarterly earnings in early May, talked about a slowdown they were seeing in the lower-end consumer $NVDA results on Wednesday will speak to the health of the AI trade. While I expect another beat & raise quarter, the stock has declined each of the past 3 quarters in reaction to earnings the next day. The 5.5% decline in reaction to their January quarter results where revenues were 3% above consensus and they guided 7% above for the next quarter was particularly noteworthy. The stock was also up 43% from 3/30-5/14. This is a very different risk vs reward than on April 5th when I wrote "$NVDA and $GOOGL remain my favorite ways to play agentic AI while the server microprocessor vendors are key new beneficiaries from the increase in orchestration needed." As an aside, Google was up 47% from 3/30-5/14. From a bigger picture basis, the number one thing I am focused on when investing is risk vs reward. I posted on X on March 31st “History May not Repeat Itself but it Often Does Rhyme” comparing 2026 to 97/98 where macro scares caused the S&P to have intra-year declines of 11% and 19% but finished the years up 31% and 27%. I also mentioned again the benefits of Agentic AI “So names like $INTC and $AMD should benefit.” End of March was a great risk vs reward for investing. As I stated in interviews last week, however, the risk versus reward over the short-term is now very different. The S&P bounced 18% from March 30th through Thursday May 14th led by the Semiconductor Index that surged 69% but: 1) oil has risen to $105 versus $84 on April 17th when a resolution seemed more likely and versus the mid-$60s before the Iran war started 2) bond yields are at new highs for the yr with the 30 yr firmly above 5% and 2 yr firmly above 4% and up over 20 bps and 35 bps since April 17th 3) recent data seems to indicate that rising oil prices is seeping into inflation Until oil and bond yields look like they are going to come back down for good reasons versus bad ones like demand destruction, I have little interest in getting aggressive on stocks. This is why on my podcast with @WilfredFrost on Tuesday I said “hold more cash.” x.com/DanielTNiles/s… Longer-term, I still believe two of the most powerful forces driving the market remain intact 1) AI capex now up ~70% vs ~30% at the start of the year driven by the advent of Agentic AI in early 2026 2) the desire for easy money policies by new Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh though his hands are seemingly tied at the moment by rising inflation metrics Mid-term elections are also coming up in November and if oil prices are not down by then, historical precedence says the incumbent party is going to suffer significant losses. This is a powerful incentive to resolve the Iran situation sooner rather than later. In summary, in the near-term the risk vs reward for stocks seems poor unlike in late March. My key to when it makes sense to get more aggressive again rests with oil and bond yields given 10 out of the last 12 recession were preceded by a sustained surge in oil prices.
English
56
59
507
65.6K
Den NlIas
Den NlIas@alexandre_addeh·
@DanielTNiles I share my real-time TRADE alert (entry & exit points) on WhatsApp, free to join ✅ 📷Copy search input Reply “join” to WhatsApp: +17403589050 Here’s the link : wa.me/17403589050/?t…
English
0
0
0
13
Den NlIas
Den NlIas@alexandre_addeh·
@DanielTNiles I share my real-time TRADE alert (entry & exit points) on WhatsApp, free to join ✅ 📷Copy search input Reply “join” to WhatsApp: +19432559670 Here’s the link : wa.me/19432559670/?t…
English
0
0
0
14
Den NlIas
Den NlIas@alexandre_addeh·
@DanielTNiles S&P +0.1% last wk, masks the troubles under the surface with oil +10% to $105 & 2/30 yr bond yields +18 bps. I said last wk in multiple interviews that either oil/ylds are wrong or the stock mkt is. Much like on Friday, I am expecting more convergence this wk My strategy plan. 👇
English
1
0
0
306
Dan Niles
Dan Niles@DanielTNiles·
I love my conversations with @WilfredFrost and having the time to get more deeply into topics. He focuses on the big picture and how to frame things not just short-term but also long-term. I hope you enjoy it.
Wilfred Frost@WilfredFrost

HOLD MORE CASH - says legendary tech investor @DanielTNiles in this week’s episode of The Master Investor Podcast, just six weeks after he correctly called for a more aggressive risk-on approach at the end of March, since when Nasdaq has surged 25%. SEMIS: “So in the short term, are semis at the most overbought they've been since 2000 or 1995 before they had horrific corrections? Absolutely.” IRAN WAR: “If it going to take a lot longer for this situation at the Strait of Hormuz to get sorted out, then you're going to see stock prices collapse to catch up with where bond yields & oil prices are. I don't think that's the case. But, I'm viewing things as you should be sitting with a lot of cash.” MEGA CAP WINNER: “It's obviously Google. They have the full stack & they're the ones you should bet on...they've got everything & they've got the massive cashflow to fund it.” However, the shift to Agentic AI should sustain earnings upgrades this year, making today more like 1998 than 99/00, but be prepared for 30-50% AI trade pull-back in early 2027. We also discussed what the shift to Agentic AI means for $NVDA (not ideal), Intel $INTC (great) and $AMD (good); why concerns over $META are NOT overdone; why $AAPL fortunes should improve; why $AMZN & $MSFT are struggling short term, & why $GOOGL shines bright. Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 02:39 Why today feels like 1998, NOT 1999/2000 05:25 Agentic AI suggests more upside to bull market 07:52 But Iran War could derail things 11:18 Agentic AI means CPU’s over GPU’s 13:35 Semis are overbought 17:51 Is shift to CPUs bad for Nvidia? 19:13 Google the standout performer 21:15 Apple leadership transition 23:45 Meta concerns not overdone 25:37 Google best placed 27:36 30-50% AI crash by early 2027 30:01 Concerns about OpenAI 34:27 Upcoming IPOs, oil, bonds signal problems 36:16 Hold more cash 37:48 Kevin Warsh a positive, but watch bonds 45:44 Conclusion: 1998 or 1999?

English
31
27
411
107.5K
Den NlIas
Den NlIas@alexandre_addeh·
First driving lesson win! Stalled 5x, laughed harder, but finally nailed parallel parking. Shoutout to my patient instructor—you’re a legend! #NewDriverVibes #LearningOnTheRoad
Den NlIas tweet media
English
0
0
2
41
Den NlIas
Den NlIas@alexandre_addeh·
"Spring clean + upcycle old items = less clutter, more charm! From vintage teacups to old jeans, turn 'trash' into treasure—your space (and the planet) will thank you. What’s your go - to upcycle hack "
Den NlIas tweet media
English
0
1
0
26
Den NlIas retweetledi
Lenbc
Lenbc@ChakkitWonginta·
"Watched my fur baby go from tiny pawful to full-on zoomies pro Every messy meal, every stolen sock—worth every second. Love you, my little troublemaker! #PetGrowth #FurBabyJoy"
Lenbc tweet media
English
0
2
1
13