Matteo Alpino

@JohnHolbein1 You might be interested in this one as well cambridge.org/core/journals/…

My own (somewhat limited) experience with close election RDDs is that they often produce very sensitive estimates that can swing wildly based on the inclusion/exclusion of covariates, the bandwidth one uses, the specification of the running variable, and the years one includes (to name a few). And yet, a whole cottage industry has been built around this design in Political Science. Lots of work to be done here!

Since we're talking about the validity of close elections RDDs today, I thought I'd drop a few recent articles about issues that arise in this space so that folks can have them all in one place. #1. Hartman (2021) shows that most tests of covariate balance around close election cutoffs fail to rule out large imbalances. Remember to equivalence test when testing for covariate balance! #2 Marshall (2022) shows that it is far from clear what effects you are estimating with close election RDD estimates of candidate characteristics. There are compound treatments at these cutoffs! #3 Stommes et al. (2023) shows that RDDs in political science, many of which are close election RDDs, are "underpowered to detect all but large effects." As with all low power tests, we should be wary not only about large standard errors, but also type M/S errors! #4 de la Cuest and Imai (2016) discuss the limited external validity of close election RDDs. Generalize beyond close elections with care!

Incredibly excited to be releasing this working paper today with colleagues Bob Hahn, @nhendren82, and @bsprungkeyser. We believe our framework captures the costs and benefits associated with climate change policy more fully than previous approaches. Our goal is to offer policymakers more complete information as they make decisions that could impact climate for generations to come.

Tre giornalisti di Domani rischiano fino a 9 anni di carcere. L'Ue rafforza la protezione delle fonti, mentre in Italia il giornalismo d’inchiesta diventa reato. Condividi il nostro appello #MediaFreedom #DomaniFreeJournalism editorialedomani.it/politica/itali…

⏰ Call for Papers - Deadline in 1 week! Early Career Workshop on the Environment, Climate Change & Disasters Info: eaere.org/events/support… 👥 Organized by: @GSSISocialSci @LaStatale @uniurbit ⚡️Keynotes: @GrafZivin @LudoGazze @giovamarin Support: @EAERE_envecon @IaereOf

State spending creates political support for state spending: new evidence @voxeu 🔗 cepr.org/voxeu/columns/… @bancaditalia @IMFNews @cepr_org

Meet our #Econjobmarket candidates ! Learn more about Federica Coelli @federicacoelli on her personal website 👉 federicacoelli.com/home

The CFP for the 4th Bank of Italy human capital workshop is now out: It will be on March 22nd in central Rome, with Lance Lochner as a keynote speaker! Apply before January 8th, more info at this link bancaditalia.it/media/notizia/… #EconTwitter

After your beach day, stop by our session at #EEAESEM23 at 6pm in 40.002: Energy Shocks: Impact on Households and Firms. 📈🔌 Organized by @lucacitino, with @christianbaye13 & @a_gerster Exciting line-up of papers from all over Europe 👇

#SUERFpolicybrief "Large shock, small adjustment – Evidence from the 2021 energy crisis" by Matteo Alpino, Luca Citino, and Annalisa Frigo, @bancaditalia #EnergyCrisis #PriceElasticity #EnergyDemand

Happy to share a new wp with @alpmtt and @AnnalisaFrigo "The effects of the 2021 energy crisis on medium-sized and large industrial firms: evidence from Italy" Link: bancaditalia.it/pubblicazioni/… A quick summary below 👇

The effect of climate change on the Italian economy, part 1: The damages dlvr.it/SmFl5v

@LudoGazze Possibly this paper could help academic.oup.com/jeea/article-a…

Hey #ClimateTwitter #EconTwitter do we have projections of e.g. number of hot days (however defined) by county AND MONTH OF YEAR in some future? In other words, in my setting it might matter if the extra hot days are all happening in 1 month, or if they're more spread out. 🫠

Pursue an Econ PhD? Check out Uni Oslo: jobbnorge.no/en/available-j…

Just when COP27 wraps up in Sharm el-Sheikh, I wrap up my PhD class in environmental economics @HarvardEcon. Here are some thoughts on how research can contribute to better agreements on climate and conservation:

Qual è l'effetto del cambiamento climatico sull'economia e sulla società? Ricerche recenti hanno dimostrato che l'impatto interesserà tutti i settori. Ne parlano @alpmtt, @lucacitino, @guidodeblasio e Federica Zeni lavoce.info/archives/98587…

Gli effetti del cambiamento climatico sull'economia italiana 👉sintesi divulgative dei lavori 🤔🧐😋 bancaditalia.it/pubblicazioni/… @alpmtt @lucacitino @sandoralp @MatteoParadisi @AnnalisaFrigo @carlo_bottoni @mcascarano @filonat @_AndreaPetrella @fradavid86 @RosarioBallator

@francelenzi twitter.com/LionHirth/stat…

posto che c'è un giorno di festa in più, come si può spiegare che le nomine (gli impegni per il trasporto di gas) per il mese di ottobre sono a -34% rispetto a un anno fa? In che stato è messa l'industria, -38,5%?

@rjhagen Bari?

Back in bella Italia! 😋❤️

Gli effetti del cambiamento climatico sull’economia italiana. Un progetto di ricerca della Banca d’Italia. 3 e 4 ottobre 2022. Qui il programma: bancaditalia.it/media/agenda/2…

@WielandVolker Let me stress that we only look at one policy reform: the extension of a fiscal rule to small municipalities. We cannot say whether overall fiscal policy implied a differential costs for HHs at different points of the income distribution in that period.

This research suggests that distributional consequences of austerity in Italy are primarily hurting high income earners rather than average earners. Perhaps time for some to adjust their "austerity tales".