Amaç Herdağdelen

295 posts

Amaç Herdağdelen

Amaç Herdağdelen

@amacinho

Bologna Katılım Nisan 2009
854 Takip Edilen407 Takipçiler
Amaç Herdağdelen
Amaç Herdağdelen@amacinho·
@EclecTweetz That’s true, average score is computed as a trimmed mean. That means max- and min-scoring judges have a more indirect influence. That doesn’t mean a biased judge cannot effect the results (they are replacing an unbiased judge nonetheless).
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Jim
Jim@EclecTweetz·
@amacinho Aren't the highest and lowest judges' marks removed from the final tally? Wouldn't the French judge's score have been removed then? 🤔
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Amaç Herdağdelen
Amaç Herdağdelen@amacinho·
The scoring scandal in Olympic ice dance bugged me enough to visualize the data. The French judge was a clear outlier. She scored the French couple higher and the US couple lower than every other judge.
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Amaç Herdağdelen
Amaç Herdağdelen@amacinho·
@DanW9 I’m really sorry I couldn’t live up to your integrity standards, and I’ll try to do better next time. But hey, thanks for giving me the opportunity to set the record straight!
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Dan 🚡
Dan 🚡@DanW9·
@amacinho Yes. But it is somewhat hypocritical not applying these standards to your own analysis and focus on the French judge only.
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Amaç Herdağdelen
Amaç Herdağdelen@amacinho·
@DanW9 If both scored the average of the other 7, the French couple would still keep gold by 0.19 points! But “what if” analysis may be a red herring: consistent bias on both sides is very problematic and casts doubt on the integrity of judging.
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Dan 🚡
Dan 🚡@DanW9·
@amacinho What if you remove both the French judge and the American judge?
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Amaç Herdağdelen
Amaç Herdağdelen@amacinho·
If the French judge had scored like the average of the other eight in both segments, gold and silver would have flipped. No other single judge's removal changes the result. Data from skatingscores.com/2526/oly/sr/da…
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Amaç Herdağdelen
Amaç Herdağdelen@amacinho·
French judge's bias was consistent. She favored the French couple and punished the US couple on nearly every scored item. The US judge, who only served on the Free Dance panel, showed a similar bias favoring the US pair, but it was more muted, especially on the anti-France side.
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Sol Messing
Sol Messing@SolomonMg·
Important corrective paper and solid work from @cbarrie - don't mistake game simulations as evidence of intelligence if the game is in the training data.
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Amaç Herdağdelen
Amaç Herdağdelen@amacinho·
@cbarrie Thanks for sharing! Our psychometric replications also question LLMs as naive subjects. E.g, how can they truly simulate naive subjects on a social trust survey with the survey and literature itself leaking into their training data? osf.io/preprints/soca…
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Amaç Herdağdelen
Amaç Herdağdelen@amacinho·
@SolomonMg @cbarrie Pre-print here: osf.io/preprints/soca… Some argue LLMs can replace naive subjects in psych experiments. We find their evidence unsound: models aren't just contaminated by training data—the entire relevant literature IS their training data..
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Amaç Herdağdelen
Amaç Herdağdelen@amacinho·
@SolomonMg @cbarrie What a timely coincidence. Our new paper w/ Bogdan State argues (and shows why) that LLMs replicating psych phenomena doesn't prove naive subject capability, as a large portion of social science literature is already in their training data.
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Burak Bal
Burak Bal@egretimemur·
Şehirlisi, köylüsü, okumuşu, okumamışı, politizesi, apolitiği fark etmiyor; halkımız pazar günü olan biteni henüz anlayamamış (ben hariç değil), açıklayamıyor. Veri üretmenin eskisine nazaran kolay olduğu bir çağda yaşamamız büyük nimet.Bilenler, becerebilenler el atsa da anlasak
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Amaç Herdağdelen
Amaç Herdağdelen@amacinho·
@xinmingd @DinaPomeranz @jenniferdoleac I was curious about the hypothesized actual, mechanistic aspects (e.g., reading tweets, FB group posts versus talking on the phone). For example, how do we know "The transmission channel is the social media platforms" and not some other social process that links the two regions?
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Xinming Du
Xinming Du@xinmingd·
@amacinho @DinaPomeranz @jenniferdoleac Remote crimes are driven by social media (not pollution). Mechanism lies in media's persuasion effect. Psychological theory and empirical evidence are summarized in 2.1. In short, people may imitate what they observe, or the underlying anger is evoked after reading bad content.
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Amaç Herdağdelen
Amaç Herdağdelen@amacinho·
@xinmingd @DinaPomeranz @jenniferdoleac I may have missed it, but do you discuss what possible mechanisms may link air pollution to increased remote crime rates? Section 9 discusses mechanisms for local effects. Is the idea ↑pollution -> ↑aggressive social media posts -> ↑crime in remote, socially linked regions?
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Xinming Du
Xinming Du@xinmingd·
@DinaPomeranz @jenniferdoleac Good question! I take advantage of the spatial difference: pollution is concentrated near polluters. Geographically remote but online networked areas see more crimes. Besides, I rule out pollution transport channel, remote areas observe zero pollution effect.
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Amaç Herdağdelen
Amaç Herdağdelen@amacinho·
Sokağa çıkma yasağının uygulandığı, eski genel nüfus sayımlarının bebek isimlerine olan etkisini merak ettiniz mi? Ben ettim. Çıkan sonuçlar çok makul ve hemen inanacaksınız. herdagdelen.com/isimler/say%C4…
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Amaç Herdağdelen
Amaç Herdağdelen@amacinho·
Bir bebek ismi olarak Nisa'nın Nisan aylarında popülerleşmesi bize muhafazakar kesimin isim tercihlerinde sekülerleşme eğilimi hakkında ipucu verebilir mi? Bence verir. Yeni isim notum: herdagdelen.com/isimler/nisa/
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Akin Unver
Akin Unver@AkinUnver·
yeni doğana Vargas ismi verilebiliyor mu?
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Amaç Herdağdelen
Amaç Herdağdelen@amacinho·
Ebrar Karakurt'un bebek isimlerine olan etkisini görmek için şimdiden sabırsızlanıyorum.
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Amaç Herdağdelen
Amaç Herdağdelen@amacinho·
Ebrar Alya etkisine güvenimi arttıran bir sebep aynı etkiyi Alya ismi için de görmemiz. Ebrar'dan farklı olarak Alya'ya olan ilginin devam ettiğini görüyoruz.
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Keşfet

@EclecTweetz @DanW9 @CBarrie @SolomonMg @cbarrie @egretimemur @ani_arsizi @CilekAgaciDEV