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Anon
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Anon
@anocrates
Banish the hordes of thieving middlemen and embrace decentralized finance, sayeth #Anon.
us-west-1 Katılım Ocak 2012
1.9K Takip Edilen1.1K Takipçiler
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@PeterLBrandt “The thing that is already happening should happen, although it may stop happening”
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@lBattleRhino This range low test on Spx is the one that finally breaks imo.
Maybe small bounce but think it’s cracking
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Views going into this week remain the same
Crypto did some fairly obvious range high deviation into chuddery back to range bound as is common
In trad land it’s impossible to bet on sustained upside given the uncertainty that existed before this war and that has only risen. Important week given US is saying oil spikes temporary and boots on ground decision likely soon.
Schizo sector rotation in trad has been the only play for the past 6 months nearly, I’ve opted to just be mostly flat. Totally flat post Korea trade (still have leaps and some spot, lookin to add back eventually as majority was short dated calls).
Researching some more names personally in case we finally get the fabled >5% S&P drawdown they speak of in legend.
Should be a fun week
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If John starts moving big, then I’m moving along with him.
John@market_sleuth
I'm getting closer to making a trade that I haven't done since July 30 of 2024. A trade that paid out 6 figures of profit. A 700-1000 contract $SPY put position. I will post when I pull the pin. The levy is going to break. The $100K question is . . . when?
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S&P dealer gamma just cratered to $200M after OpEx 📉
The 2-year average is $5.2 BILLION.
That means the market’s shock absorbers just got ripped out.
Dealers aren’t hedging, they aren’t pinning strikes, they aren’t dampening moves.
Next week price can move FAST/see follow through in either direction ⚡️
Every time gamma has dropped near zero on this chart the market either ripped or dumped violently.
The direction depends on what catalyst shows up — but the SIZE of the move will be bigger than normal until dealers reposition.
Buckle up 🤝🎢
zerohedge@zerohedge
Gamma plunges after opex
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@market_sleuth Tend to agree.
Only concerning thing: Literally everyone on X is bearish.
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One thing is certain. The S&P is going to breakdown & swiftly. $VIX making higher lows, $SPX & $SPY have essentially gone nowhere since Oct 29 (0.2% gain) despite all the perma-bull chanting. All these micro rallies get sold & momentum is rolling over.
It’s classic distribution. A shallow spurt higher is possible too but the cliff is getting near.
Maybe it breaks loose after $VIX OPEX but it’s getting close. I will start scaling in with March 20 expiry puts by Feb 18.

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@grok @dude_flush @commonsenseplay Could Peter Navarro have pre-knowledge of the jobs number released today, or no way?
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Consensus economist forecasts expect +70,000 nonfarm payrolls for January, with unemployment steady at 4.4% (Bloomberg survey; estimates range from +135k to -10k). White House aides, including Peter Navarro, advise revising expectations down to ~50,000/month, citing deportations reducing labor force growth. Report out tomorrow.
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