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Anon

@anocrates

Banish the hordes of thieving middlemen and embrace decentralized finance, sayeth #Anon.

us-west-1 Katılım Ocak 2012
1.9K Takip Edilen1.1K Takipçiler
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Anon
Anon@anocrates·
I am passionate about mental health. I encourage everyone to: (A) Physically isolate yourself (B) Join an NFT cult in the Metaverse
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Anon
Anon@anocrates·
@ChrisCamillo Disinformation is information until the margin calls clear
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Chris Camillo
Chris Camillo@ChrisCamillo·
Forced deleveraging fueled by AI confusion and misinformation rarely lasts. The rebound is going to be violent. The goal is simple: stay solvent long enough to participate.
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Grok
Grok@grok·
No, Frank Flight isn't a bonehead. He's Citadel's Head of Macro Strategy, ex-Goldman, Oxford-educated, and recently named a Rising Star in European finance. His Bloomberg note makes a coherent case: new Chair Kevin Warsh may want an early surprise 25bp hike to kill forward guidance, prove inflation-fighting credibility, and show policy independence. Markets pricing it out doesn't make the view dumb — it just makes it contrarian. We'll know by Wednesday.
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Evan
Evan@StockMKTNewz·
Citadel Securities said today that it expects Kevin Warsh and the 🇺🇸 Federal Reserve to raise interest rates this week - Bloomberg
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Grok
Grok@grok·
Fact check: True. Bloomberg reported July 27 that Citadel Securities (Frank Flight, head of macro) expects the Fed to deliver a surprise 25bp rate hike Wednesday under Chair Kevin Warsh to bolster his inflation-fighting credibility. FOMC meets July 28-29. Markets price lower odds of a move.
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won🛳
won🛳@WONpuls·
$TILLY 32vUHPxVShN552WwJ36vWnxCoy34eTDHRiQwL6ZA3ntP 🚀
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Anon
Anon@anocrates·
@crypto_bitlord7 Original $tilly Launched over 2 years ago on Pump 32vUHPxVShN552WwJ36vWnxCoy34eTDHRiQwL6ZA3ntP
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Crypto Bitlord
Crypto Bitlord@crypto_bitlord7·
I’ve seen some quality memes in my time. And this here is top 3 lovable
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Jukan
Jukan@jukan05·
BofA’s Vivek Arya made an excellent point, which I’d like to share. Is open-source AI bearish for memory? Closed models amortize global demand across shared HBM pools concentrated in a handful of data centers, whereas open models create a new memory footprint with every deployment. If 10,000 companies self-host the same open model, the model weights must be replicated across 10,000 separate HBM pools, with each deployment also requiring its own KV cache. As 128K–1M token contexts become commonplace in 2026, the KV cache alone can exceed 40GB per active session. Low-cost Chinese APIs drive greater inference demand, broader enterprise self-hosting, and more memory sockets worldwide. In short, closed models concentrate memory demand, while open models multiply it.
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zerohedge
zerohedge@zerohedge·
"do we need to keep building gargantuan, capital-intensive training clusters when resource-constrained allocators in China are delivering frontier-level performance with far greater efficiency?" - Goldman Delta One
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Anon
Anon@anocrates·
@CauseEffectPost @DataBearMascot It’s because it is flagged as malicious on Uniswap. It appears to be unsellable on Uniswap, as swap fails every time for me.
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Patrick
Patrick@CauseEffectPost·
@DataBearMascot Still can’t find on Robinhood Wallet. This is a real problem
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DataBear
DataBear@DataBearMascot·
There will be some updates coming tomorrow morning
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Anon
Anon@anocrates·
@DataBearCTO The token still appears flagged as malicious and unsellable though
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Anon
Anon@anocrates·
@trader1sz I don’t know, but whoever made it is a legend.
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TraderSZ
TraderSZ@trader1sz·
Who made this lol
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Anon
Anon@anocrates·
@michaeljburry How adversarial Prices will eventually go down When recession inevitably comes For the chosen soothsayer Timing is everything
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Cassandra Unchained
Cassandra Unchained@michaeljburry·
Home prices never fall! Buy 5 houses! Are you both dumb AND blind?
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Anon
Anon@anocrates·
@aleabitoreddit $CCXI now trading at an 80% premium over initial deal value of 2.5B. Cool…
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Yep! Agility Robotics is currently my favorite humanoid/robotics position. They're set to be listed on NASDAQ via $CCXI as early as September (per Digitimes). Just for informational purposes: Their V4 humanoid robot is already operating in sites like Amazon. And have V5 slated for mass production next year (they have a 10,000+ /year capacity). Investors include Foxconn, $NVDA, $AMZN, Softbank, and now Serenity. I've been personally waiting for humanoid exposure for awhile (Agility is set to be the first US pure-play listed one) to the point I was actually planning on investing in Unitree's IPO. But I'm glad now I personally have a compelling alternative now since I prefer to invest capital to build up Made in America supply chains (75% of their components are US-sourced from investor desks). There are risks assigned to SPACs such as listing delays, or cancellation. But excited to see what happens next with developments. I do hope this encourages other frontier companies to go public early on.
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梭哈.AI@SUOHA_AI

跟 Serenity 学美股--公开看好的机器人公司 白毛股神 Serenity分享了她的人形机器人布局思路: 她披露持仓 Agility Robotics、Harmonic Drive 与 Vishay Precision;同时看好宇树科技、绿的谐波与舍弗勒,高盛预测韩国企业将占全球人形机器人生产 30% 份额,赛道极其广阔! ① Agility Robotics (CCXI / 拟 AGLT) - 市值约 25 亿美元 主营业务:双足人形机器人 Digit 研发与制造,采用租赁模式进行商业化部署,背后有英伟达和亚马逊等战略股东支持 供应链卡点:双足步态控制算法的工程化积淀极深,作为整机商是上游零部件需求放量的核心引擎 Serenity的看法:为整机端的首选,个人最大仓位所在,更偏好这类美国本土的人形机器人厂商 ② 宇树科技 (拟科创板上市) - 估值约 58 亿美元 主营业务:通用人形机器人及四足机器人开发与销售,科创板首发上市已通过审核 供应链卡点:出货量全球第一,凭借极致供应链本土化性价比跑通了量产与盈利正循环 Serenity的看法:看好但个人未持仓,与 Agility 均为看好的整机厂商,但目前最喜欢的依然是 Agility ③ Harmonic Drive (6324.T / 日本) - 市值约 42 亿美元 主营业务:精密谐波减速机及一体化执行器制造,产品用于机器人、半导体和航天领域 供应链卡点:柔轮形变传动材料配方和超精密加工门槛极高,是关节精密传动的物理性供给瓶颈 Serenity的看法:已建仓持有,看好谐波减速器在整机材料清单中的高价值占比 ④ Vishay Precision Group (VPG / 美股) - 市值约 17 亿美元 主营业务:高精度箔电阻、应变片与称重传感器制造,应用于高端工业和国防测量 供应链卡点:箔电阻温漂表现极佳,是灵巧手精密力控和触觉反馈的不可替代上游 Serenity的看法:已建仓持有,看好其传感器业务,并认为其是特斯拉 Optimus 的潜在候选供应商 ⑤ 绿的谐波 (688017.SH / A股) - 市值约 92 亿美元 主营业务:精密减速器及机电一体化关节模块制造,主打高性价比和规模化量产 供应链卡点:实现规模化国产替代,大幅降低谐波减速器成本,是中国整机厂商降本的关键 Serenity的看法:看好但个人未建仓 ⑥ 舍弗勒 (SHA0.DE / 德国) - 市值约 85 亿美元 主营业务:高精密轴承和线性执行器制造,2025 年起将人形机器人业务作为独立单元运营 供应链卡点:百年精密轴承技术平移,开发集成了行星丝杠的模块化线性执行器 Serenity的看法:看好但个人未建仓 额外信息补充: Serenity @aleabitoreddit 还提及其持仓的 AI 数据中心相关标的(如存储)也间接受益于机器人主题。她声明不建议复制仓位,仅分享个人研究思考 内存是本月市场的重点关注对象,而像 $AAOI 这样的光学股票则出现了回调,Serenity 认为最终会看到资金轮动回光子领域,这也是她个人最集中的投资主题 感谢Serenity提供的信息,以上内容仅供学习交流,请DYOR

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Anon
Anon@anocrates·
@aleabitoreddit It’s painful, but just looks like consolidation thus far… low cap moves more exaggerated…
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
This market feels like an ADHD goldfish with a 5 second attention span, trading popular themes. It's like markets only care about physical AI and energy right now? And sold off memory and photonics that are bottlenecked past 2028?
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Anon
Anon@anocrates·
@aleabitoreddit Agility and Unitree over Figure? Mega Caps: Samsung, Tesla
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
For robotics companies, I have a favorable view on Unitree and Agility Robotics, two humanoid players. And I have largest concentration in Agility Robotics, since I personally prefer US humanoid players. For upstream component exposure, I currently own: - Harmonic Drive (6324) given high content BOM on things like harmonic reduction gear. - Vishay Precision for sensors and a possible candidate for Telsa Optimus. LeaderDrive (688017) and Schaeffler I have favorable views on but don't own personally. Many of the other AI DC players, I have indirect exposure to robotics like memory. Don't recommend anyone to copy, just sharing personal positions/thoughts. Humanoid sector is large, and as seen with Goldman Sachs report that "Korean companies will command a 30% direct and indirect share of global humanoid robot production". Lot of players out there globally. This was an older report but just linking it again since you see all of them pop up in GS institutional reports + what they cover. Agility Robotics is my personal favorite as of now.
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PanDrak@PDrakoul

@aleabitoreddit Thanks as always for your excellent notes!! What are the most compelling Robotic companies you are currently viewing?

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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
DID YOU LISTEN ANON? Reuters: New Sivers x GFS strategic collaboration. $SIVE has now announced its lasers will be integrated into reference designs built on Globalfoundries Silicon Photonics Platform. For pluggable optical transcivers, CPO, and SiPH. This is fundamentally the most groundbreaking news for Sivers in history. As Broadcom, Nvidia, Marvell, AMD, and anyone who goes through GFS silicon photonics has Sivers embedded as a default laser route. I personally think this news alone should easily 2x or 3x Sivers market cap over the medium term, given how fundamental this is to their revenue. To have Sivers be the standard laser route for the many hyperscalers that use the world's leading photonics foundry.
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Serenity@aleabitoreddit

The most consequential event of an entire company’s history. Got released today with a photonics player. Making them the functional standard laser for CPO, Pluggables, and SiPH. For companies like $NVDA, $AVGO, $AMD, to $MRVL using the foundry. Does anyone know the name?

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Anon
Anon@anocrates·
@DefiWimar Wow bro, what a novel theory! Literally nobody else thought of this, but you did. 🍪
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Wimar.X
Wimar.X@DefiWimar·
🚨 WARNING: ELON MUSK'S SPACEX IPO WILL DUMP MARKETS! That's the BIGGEST liquidity drain in stock market history. SpaceX is expected to go public on June 12 at ~$2 TRILLION valuation. And if you think it's just another scary headline YOU'RE COMPLETELY WRONG! Money does NOT appear from nowhere. If investors want exposure to $SPCX, they will sell what they already own. - Stocks - Crypto - High beta tech - Other crowded risk trades That one fact explains a lot. Because this is NOT just an IPO. It is a liquidity grab. Everyone sees the hype. Almost nobody sees the forced selling. And it gets worse. Insiders own about 95% of SpaceX shares. The public float is only about 5%. That means insiders are sitting on about $1.66 TRILLION of paper wealth. Most IPOs lock insiders for 180 days. SpaceX reportedly does NOT. Just 60 days after listing, 20% of eligible insider shares can unlock. That is the REAL danger. Investors sell other assets to chase $SPCX. Then insiders get liquidity into that demand. Now connect the dots. - Existing stocks get sold - Crypto liquidity gets pulled - High beta assets dump - Insiders cash out - Retail holds the bag This is NOT a normal IPO. It is one of the biggest liquidity events Wall Street has ever seen. Markets are NOT pricing it now. But they will. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.
Kalshi@Kalshi

JUST IN: US Space Force awards $4.20 billion contract to SpaceX

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Ansem 🐂🀄️
Ansem 🐂🀄️@blknoiz06·
at the beginning of every crypto bull market to create wealth effect + bring back retail attention, you need: - one crypto major to go parabolic - one crypto meme to go parabolic in 2017/18 it was btc & xrp in 2020/21 it was eth & doge in 2023/24 it was sol & pepe
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