Melody Arayi

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Melody Arayi

Melody Arayi

@arayi

so basically i am very smol • aliquid ex nihilo • veritas ubique est

Nowhere Katılım Eylül 2008
282 Takip Edilen469 Takipçiler
Melody Arayi
Melody Arayi@arayi·
@MinisterSpew @JoshWalkos That's the thing I've encountered most myself. As a medical outlier, I've been absolutely horrified by how many people will just go back into the scripts about how afraid they are of sub-100% vaccine coverage, making it clear I'm acceptable collateral damage to them.
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Finton Elder
Finton Elder@MinisterSpew·
Expect this to be met with a shrug by the medical establishment, hiding what they're collectively thinking: "you can't make an omelette without breaking eggs" (i.e., the ends justify the means). this is the collectivist mentality upon which the vaccine religion is based, and a hard fckn nut to crack.
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Champagne Joshi
Champagne Joshi@JoshWalkos·
The unpublished Henry Ford study is explosive in its implications. At its core, the data reveal a stark divide between children who received vaccines and those who did not. When measured in incidence rates per one million patient-years, the differences are not subtle. They are dramatic, and they cut across a wide spectrum of chronic conditions. The most basic finding is that vaccinated children experienced nearly two and a half times the overall rate of chronic health conditions compared to their unvaccinated peers. The number sits at 277.3 cases per million patient-years among vaccinated children against 111.7 for the unvaccinated, producing an incidence rate ratio of 2.48 with tight confidence intervals. That is not a minor signal, it is a flashing red light. Asthma stands out as one of the most glaring disparities. The rate was over four times higher in vaccinated children, 145.6 cases compared to only 35.6 among the unvaccinated. Atopic diseases such as eczema and allergies were also elevated, with vaccinated children facing a 2.64-fold higher risk. Autoimmune conditions were even more striking, with vaccinated children showing an incidence more than six times greater than their unvaccinated counterparts. Neurodevelopmental outcomes were perhaps the most disturbing category. Disorders in this group were more than six times higher in vaccinated children. ADHD was present in 262 cases among the vaccinated group, yet zero among the unvaccinated. Learning disabilities, intellectual disabilities, tics, and other developmental impairments all followed a similar pattern. Speech disorders were four times higher among the vaccinated group, and developmental delays nearly four times higher as well. Mental health disorders overall were 3.5 times higher. Even seizure disorders, while less dramatic, still trended upwards with a relative risk of 1.63. One of the most telling features of the data is how often the unvaccinated column registers as zero or near zero. ADHD, learning disabilities, intellectual disabilities, and tics had no cases recorded in the unvaccinated population. Critics will argue this reflects underdiagnosis, since unvaccinated children typically see doctors less often. But the sheer size of the disparity suggests something more. A minor diagnostic gap might be plausible, but the gulf revealed in these numbers is difficult to dismiss as mere chance or office visit frequency. Taken together, the Henry Ford analysis suggests vaccinated children are not only more likely to be seen by physicians but also genuinely more likely to be diagnosed with an array of chronic and developmental problems. Even if one accepts the possibility of detection bias, the magnitude of the differences requires serious investigation rather than casual dismissal. If the signal were a modest ten or twenty percent increase, one could argue it away. When the risks climb to four, five, or even six times higher, the argument of bias alone becomes increasingly fragile. The larger point is this. Whether or not one accepts every conclusion of the Henry Ford team, this study provides a powerful signal that chronic conditions deserve a deeper look in relation to vaccination. Current post-marketing surveillance systems are primarily designed to catch rare acute events such as anaphylaxis or febrile seizures. They are not equipped to track long-term patterns in asthma, autoimmune disease, or developmental disorders. By design, they will not see what this study has begun to uncover. To dismiss this analysis outright because it has not yet passed through peer review is an act of intellectual laziness. Publication is not the only measure of value, and in today’s climate researchers face professional punishment for producing findings that challenge the dominant narrative.
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Melody Arayi
Melody Arayi@arayi·
there are two different ways people use the word "normalize" one basically means "the fact that the margins exist shouldn't be something with a huge emotional charge" which is pretty reasonable the other means "the margins should become the statistical norm" 🤮
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Melody Arayi
Melody Arayi@arayi·
Life's too short to wear boring glasses 😘
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Melody Arayi
Melody Arayi@arayi·
still mostly ignoring this platform & focusing on irl stuff / realigning with my core values it's taking longer than I expected to recover/integrate after playing around with SF subcultures for so long leftists, rationalists, and hackers do not generally build good community
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Melody Arayi
Melody Arayi@arayi·
@atroyn the rationalist movement as a whole, including most of the communities adjacent to EA, is plagued by that turns out that when you build a community around signaling rationality/intelligence you get more rationalization than rationality & more obfuscation than intelligence
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anton 🇺🇸
anton 🇺🇸@atroyn·
the people who want to tell you how ‘risky’ ai is and how we should plan for the ‘long term future of humanity’ didn’t have enough foresight, and were not able to assess the risk that their best buddy sam bankman was not a genius but a low rent scam artist
anton 🇺🇸@atroyn

buddy, you failed to predict or even notice the possibility that one of your most significant donors with whom you corresponded regularly was an outright scammer, i don’t think it’s ‘the public’ who has problems understanding risk

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anton 🇺🇸
anton 🇺🇸@atroyn·
regardless of how exactly this shakes out - and it’s looking increasingly likely that this was a poorly executed power grab by mental defectives - it’s important to remember that ‘effective altruists’ have been consistently wrong about literally everything
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Melody Arayi
Melody Arayi@arayi·
@duolingo Why did I just win 3rd in the tournament semifinal, then this morning get kicked down ALL THE WAY back to gold?? So frustrating and demotivating. That's what, nine levels lost? The competition really helps keep me on track and this just feels really bad.
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Melody Arayi
Melody Arayi@arayi·
Getting used to self-promotion is like 100x more harrowing than megadosing psychedelics 😂
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Melody Arayi
Melody Arayi@arayi·
@karishannon Wait, you're seriously head of engi at Universe these days? That makes me so much more interested in using it for my new project!
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Melody Arayi retweetledi
Handwaving Freakoutery
Handwaving Freakoutery@Freakoutery·
I finally stopped ignoring the Culture War Freakout about gas stoves this morning, and when I pulled the science up it was SO BAD I ABOUT FELL OUT OF MY CHAIR. Share this. The whole thing is a lie. hwfo.substack.com/p/the-gas-stov…
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Melody Arayi
Melody Arayi@arayi·
so I guess I should probably curate my follows and go from there if I want to use this thing
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Melody Arayi
Melody Arayi@arayi·
on the other hand, there's a strong overlap between the people I met in tech and the ones who will be interested in my new asd/adhd elitist project
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Melody Arayi
Melody Arayi@arayi·
it feels like it's going to take a lot of work to make my twitter feed useable now that I'm not doing tech things anymore
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Melody Arayi
Melody Arayi@arayi·
@StarfireCodes Welcome back to Twitter, which I still don't really use but now I might. I finally gtfo'd those super low vibe fb circles. It was never the same without you 💜
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Melody Arayi
Melody Arayi@arayi·
You have no idea how often I get the urge to climb a tree
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Melody Arayi
Melody Arayi@arayi·
Could have predicted Shopify's layoffs by the insane shit they were doing in recruiting... They gave a technical test on UNIT TESTING to my data scientist. The level of totally nonstandard cross functionality they were seeking says a lot about the state of their company.
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Melody Arayi
Melody Arayi@arayi·
I wrote 2200 words explaining how I and my synesthesia interact with the concept of egregores this afternoon for my blog at smol.substack.com ✌️
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Melody Arayi
Melody Arayi@arayi·
when I work at starbucks, at approximately 2:30, they turn the A/C to walk-in freezer mode and I stop being able to get things done because I’m too busy shivering I have started packing a blanket in my backpack when I go to starbucks to work
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Melody Arayi
Melody Arayi@arayi·
I love when the rain goes horizontal, however briefly 😍
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Melody Arayi
Melody Arayi@arayi·
You wanna hook a girl up with another jar or what? I'd be super grateful, I miss my pickles already 🥲
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Melody Arayi
Melody Arayi@arayi·
I uhhh still ate the ones that didn't touch the floor much anyway. 😅Turns out writing 2200 words in an afternoon can sure work up an appetite. But I am seriously sad about nearly a full 52oz container of pickles breaking and dropping, and I now have pickle juice ALL over me 😣💦
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Melody Arayi
Melody Arayi@arayi·
Okay, so... @GrillosPickles... I love your pickles, and I just got home from a LONG writing session excited to eat a snack plate with some pickles, tomatoes, and cheese on it. I pulled it out of the fridge... and THIS happened, sending pickles ALL OVER THE FLOOR 😱😭
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