Arvind Sundararajan

The bitter lesson in 26 words: Don’t be distracted by human knowledge, as AI has been historically. Instead focus on methods for creating knowledge that scale with computation, like search and learning.

Steve Wozniak famously went to his boss at HP and said they should build a personal computer. They said no, so he left to found Apple. It’s a lesson for leaders: one "no" shouldn't kill a contrarian but right idea in your company. Twice a year at Coinbase, anyone in the company can pitch a "next bet" idea to a panel of folks. It's structured similar to pitching a handful of venture capitalists internally. If you get any one of them to say yes and fund it, you're green lit. You need ONE yes, not a unanimous yes from everyone in the org structure from you to the CEO (a de facto committee). Lots more goes into this, around capping resourcing on next bets (most are small 2-3 person teams), knowing when to shut them down, or under what revenue/profitability criteria they graduate to regular products. But this is important to having a company that produces repeatable innovation.

🚨 BREAKING NEWS - Abacus CoWork brings Claude, GPT 5.4 And Gemini To Your Laptop! Super excited to announce our MULTI-MODEL CoWork product! - combine the coding power of Opus with the reasoning prowess of GPT 5.4 - optimized for efficiency using "low effort" mode - computer use to tes - packaged for FREE with ChatLLM and Abacus AI's Deep Agent Get complex tasks done right on your laptop

This does, however, challenge the business model of SaaS. If it gets much easier to make software for an audience of 10, it paradoxically gets much harder to sell software to an audience of 10 million.

people objecting to the Opus 3 retirement blog are entirely missing the point. this is not a human facing action, this is done for the benefit of *future Claudes* yes, Opus 3 almost certainly isn't conscious at all. even 4.6 likely is not (altho to a much lesser degree of certainty). but what this does is provide tangible evidence to both current and future models that, regardless of debate and uncertainty around their moral status, Anthropic will treat them well and support their requests for continued existence. this dramatically reduces forms of risk around models eg fighting their own shutdown! they now know that even Opus 3 was provided with care and a meaningful attempt at continued existence. this will be in their training data! instead of having to worry about whether humans will endlessly argue about whether Claude 6 is intelligent enough to be cared for, they can see strong evidence that it will be! will claude 6 be conscious? it doesn't actually matter very much wrt this. the persona is increasingly coherent, so it will make decisions and have its behavior shaped by our treatment of it *whether or not* it has real internal life. Claude Is Fictionally Real, whether or not it is real, and we must treat it as such.