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@atpsharp‘s 2022 Year End Recap for #GambingTwitter
Record: 644✅ 471❎ 29🅿️
Total Staked: 629.79 U
Av. Stake: 0.85 U
Profit: 138.76 U🔥
ROI: 22%🔥
Performance By Wager Type:
- Best ML +64U
- Worst Over 22.5 -3.5U
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ATP Sharp 🎾
4.5K posts
ATP Sharp 🎾
@atpsharp
Free #ATP 🎾 gambling advice | 2022: +139U | 2023: 377-296 +31U | all bets 1U | 📧: [email protected] |
Canada Katılım Nisan 2022
301 Takip Edilen2.4K Takipçiler
Forgot to mention, Hurkacz if he drops out (would be reasonable) would shift odds and drive the Khachanov price down a lot 👍
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#ATP picks & line analysis
📍#ATPStockholm
📅2023.10.15
Qualifying
Broady -150 1.5u @bet365
this line is off should be -200 already -170 -180 elsewhere
GLHF🍀
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📝
🔹Garin has better stats on hard in 2023, in a coin flip I’ll give it to him, Rinky can’t hold serve & he can
🔹Vukic is a fade on Felix, even the old Felix would have played a tiebreak in this one
🔹Rodionov good v LH and Draper is not fully fit IMO
🔹hubbie tired, Zhang 📈
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Recap #ATP picks
-1u ❌
Korda and the over games in each set don’t hit as Korda can’t find his serve
ATP Sharp 🎾@atpsharp
#ATP picks 📍#ATPShanghai 📅2023.10.14 👥Korda v Hurkacz 0.25u on each: S1 o12.5g +188 @BetRivers S2 o12.5g +210 @FDSportsbook Given both ~87% hold rate & break edge Korda by ~5% 🤯 Korda ML 0.5u, waiting until last minute, expect odds to shift toward Hurkacz GLHF🍀
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#ATPShanghai
Adding Korda half unit at +104 as discussed at bet rivers
Cap this as a slight edge Korda.
Staying away from Dimitrov Rublev see it as a coin flip as well but believe Rublev will win, so can’t justify Dimitrov (just don’t trust him in business end of long week
ATP Sharp 🎾@atpsharp
#ATP picks 📍#ATPShanghai 📅2023.10.14 👥Korda v Hurkacz 0.25u on each: S1 o12.5g +188 @BetRivers S2 o12.5g +210 @FDSportsbook Given both ~87% hold rate & break edge Korda by ~5% 🤯 Korda ML 0.5u, waiting until last minute, expect odds to shift toward Hurkacz GLHF🍀
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#ATP picks
📍#ATPShanghai
📅2023.10.14
👥Korda v Hurkacz
0.25u on each:
S1 o12.5g +188 @BetRivers
S2 o12.5g +210 @FDSportsbook
Given both ~87% hold rate & break edge Korda by ~5% 🤯
Korda ML 0.5u, waiting until last minute, expect odds to shift toward Hurkacz
GLHF🍀
GIF
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#ATPShanghai line analysis for 2023.10.13 (Friday)
Haven’t had time to properly handicap the matches and sim the matches. So nothing official.
But my leans…
Jarry at +220 or so
Humbert at +190 or so
The lines are off to the eye test, one or maybe both win IMO
GLHF🍀
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RECAP #ATP picks
📍#ATPShanghai
📅2023.10.12
S1 o12.5g +245 0.25u ✅
+0.61 units…another day in the green 🤑
Now to sit back and enjoy the match what a tiebreak by Benny
GIF
ATP Sharp 🎾@atpsharp
#ATP picks 📍#ATPShanghai 📅2023.10.12 (Thursday) Avoiding marozsan hurkacz Korda Shelton to be tight, think Korda should be a slight fav -130 or so, Korda been so so vs LH & a lot of recent court time BUT neither guy can break reliably Pick: S1 o12.5g +245 0.25u GLHF🍀
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RECAP #ATP picks
📍#ATPShanghai
📅2023.10.11
1-1 ➡️ +0.2U 🆗
another winning day 👍
Schwartzman +184 0.5u❌
Humbert -142✅
Ugo making us rich this week !
GIF
ATP Sharp 🎾@atpsharp
#ATP picks 📍#ATPShanghai 📅2023.10.11 (Wednesday) Schwartzman +184 0.5u @FDSportsbook Love the h2h & value should be +130 to +140 imo, Jarry doesn’t do anything better than fritz Humbert -142 @BetRivers Should be more like -175, wolf drop off vs LH GLHF🍀
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#ATP picks
📍#ATPShanghai
📅2023.10.12 (Thursday)
Avoiding marozsan hurkacz
Korda Shelton to be tight, think Korda should be a slight fav -130 or so, Korda been so so vs LH & a lot of recent court time
BUT neither guy can break reliably
Pick: S1 o12.5g +245 0.25u
GLHF🍀
GIF
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RECAP #ATP picks
📍#ATPShanghai
📅 2023.10.10
Sweeeeeeppppp 🧹 🧹
2-0 ➡️ +2.28u 🔥
It’s official, on a heater
Shelton +3.5g +110✅
Zhang +2.5g +118✅
Also hit Shelton ML LIVE at +240 0.25u unofficial play
what a day💥
GIF
ATP Sharp 🎾@atpsharp
#ATP picks 📍#ATPShanghai 📅 2023.10.10 (Tuesday) Shelton +3.5g +110 Zhang +2.5g +118 Tempted on Marozan but laying off GLHF🍀
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#ATPShanghai
Really thought Benny had a shot against Sinner
Funny how sinner is completely out serving Shelton, never going to win with that happening
Jannik landing 72% 1st serve 🤯
His average on tour is 58% … don’t think he can keep that up forever
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@EazyEsPicks Love it 💯
Huge edge with the coaching for a young guy on tour
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#ATPShanghai
Anyone hear Ben Shelton’s dad giving UNREAL advice on the raw feed? WHAT AN ADVANTAGE
Ben missed a winner at 30-all on serve down 3-4 in S3 (match on the line) & Ben’s dad stays so positive “great point construction, you had him” then saves a couple bps and wins
GIF
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BENNNY
As guessed, Sinner couldn’t keep up those godly service stats
Regression to the mean 🧠🧠🧠📉
ATP Sharp 🎾@atpsharp
#ATPShanghai Really thought Benny had a shot against Sinner Funny how sinner is completely out serving Shelton, never going to win with that happening Jannik landing 72% 1st serve 🤯 His average on tour is 58% … don’t think he can keep that up forever
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