BH.DTL

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BH.DTL

BH.DTL

@backhandtl

Tennis From An Analytical View.🔬

Tennis Player Database➡️ Katılım Ağustos 2025
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BH.DTL
BH.DTL@backhandtl·
Some months ago, I published a simple tennis player database on here. To be truthful, it was just the very beginning of my project, and I wasn't working on it that much back then tbh. But I've spent the last half year pouring my heart into it, breaking through walls, and taking it to the absolute next level. Today, I'm incredibly proud to announce that BH.DTL is officially LIVE (again)! 🎾🚀 First of all, a massive thank you to all the cappers and people here on X who tested the beta in the background. Your feedback on performance and what to improve was invaluable. Through that phase, I gained so many new insights. I truly appreciate every single one of you and I'm very thankful. 🙏
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BH.DTL
BH.DTL@backhandtl·
𝐋𝐚𝐝𝐝𝐞𝐫 𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐞𝐧𝐠𝐞 €𝟏𝟎𝟎 - €𝟏𝟎.𝟎𝟎𝟎🪜 𝐀𝐓𝐏 𝐌𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐞 𝐂𝐚𝐫𝐥𝐨🇲🇨 𝐱 𝐇𝐨𝐮𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐧🇺🇸 We cashed Step 2! Rushing a ladder is usually how dreams go to die, but sometimes the board just screams at you. We ride the wave as I really like these two picks. 𝐋𝐚𝐝𝐝𝐞𝐫 𝐒𝐭𝐞𝐩 𝟑: 𝐓𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐲 𝐏𝐚𝐮𝐥 𝐌𝐋🇺🇸 + 𝐌𝐨𝐢𝐬𝐞 𝐊𝐨𝐮𝐚𝐦𝐞 +𝟑.𝟓 𝐆𝐚𝐦𝐞𝐬 (𝟏𝐬𝐭 𝐒𝐞𝐭)🇫🇷 | @ 𝟏.𝟖𝟖 𝟑𝟕𝟔.𝟔𝟗€ > 𝟔𝟗𝟐.𝟏𝟒€ ❤️ 𝐢𝐟 𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠 Tommy Paul🇺🇸 vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga🇦🇷 [Houston Final🇺🇸] Paul is skipping Monte Carlo to focus entirely on lifting this trophy at home, and I don't see him letting a first-time finalist spoil the party.  Burruchaga has had the week of his life. Taking out Tien, Nakashima, and then dismantling his countryman Tirante 6-1, 6-1. He’s a dark horse for a reason. However, the step up from a Challenger-level grind to an ATP Final against a Top 20 player like Paul is a massive mountain to climb. Paul is the master of first-strike efficiency on this green clay. He’ll use his superior court coverage to absorb Burruchaga’s power and redirect it with that lethal inside-out forehand. Burruchaga relies on rhythm and baseline tolerance, but Paul is going to rob him of time by taking the ball on the rise. I expect the American to use his experience and the home crowd to suffocate Burruchaga’s patterns and secure his first clay title. Ugo Humbert🇫🇷 vs. Moise Kouame🇫🇷[Monte Carlo🇲🇨] We’re tailing my friend @SopranosPicks on this one. I really like the Humbert on clay fade aswell. Red clay is statistically Ugo’s worst surface. His flat-hitting game needs pace and low bounces to thrive, and the gritty, high-kicking dirt of Monte Carlo offers none of that. On the other side, we have the young talent Moise Kouame. This kid is pure athleticism. After his breakthrough in Miami, he’s coming into this game with nothing to lose and a game that actually suits the dirt better than Humbert’s. While Humbert’s level should eventually prevail in the end, I expect him to start slow as he tries to find his timing on clay. Kouame is going to be flying around the court, using his heavy topspin and sliding ability to stay in points that Humbert wants to end early. By taking Kouame +3.5 games in the first set, we only need him to reach 3 games to cash this leg. I expect the youngster to keep this very competitive early on while Ugo is still figuring out his footwork. [If you don’t have +3.5 Games 1st Set on your book, +6.5 spread is also fine]
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Tony
Tony@SopranosPicks·
𝗧𝗛𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗜𝗡 𝗔 𝗥𝗢𝗪 3️⃣‼️ ✅ Rafael Jodar -3.5 @ -155 💵 +1.30U 𝗛𝗜𝗧 𝗟𝗜𝗞𝗘 𝗜𝗙 𝗖𝗔𝗦𝗛𝗘𝗗 ❤️ Cash the -4.5 if you took that too 😉
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Tony@SopranosPicks

POTD 🏦 𝗔𝗧𝗣 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗿𝗮𝗸𝗲𝗰𝗵 🇲🇦 (2U) Jodar -3.5 @ 1.65 / -154 Wager Placed on @Duelbits Hit 𝗟𝗜𝗞𝗘 if you’re tailing! 🍀 If I told you the bookmakers are giving you Jannik Sinner -3.5 for these odds against Marco Trungelliti how would you react? This is basically the same thing. Okay, maybe its not Sinner but its baby Sinner, also Jodar has the big three on this Marrakesh clay: The Power The Kick Serve The Ability To Take It Early And I realised something, Moutet was spamming drop shots and that didn’t work because these courts have a high bounce and that meant Marco could get to every single drop shot and return it comfortably but Jodar doesn’t hit drop shots, he hits WINNERS. I see one outcome: Jodar winning the title and the headlines writing themselves, a new star is officially born today. If your bookmaker doesn’t have -3.5, you can take -4.5 for one unit.

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BH.DTL@backhandtl·
We cash the 2nd Step!🔥 Jodar masterclass and first title✅
BH.DTL@backhandtl

Ladder Challenge €100 - €10.000🪜 ATP Monte Carlo🇲🇨 x Marrakech🇲🇦 Let’s go! Step 1 was a masterclass performance from Jodar and Dzumhur did exactly what we expected, and now we’re staring down a Step 2 Double that looks like a great spot. Ladder Step 2: Rafael Jodar ML🇪🇸 + Emilio Nava ML🇺🇸 | @ 1.93 €190.32 > €367.69 Leg 1: Rafael Jodar🇪🇸 vs. Marco Trungelliti🇦🇷 [Marrakech🇲🇦] Jodar is playing at such high level right now. That 6-2, 6-1 dismantling of Ugo Carabelli in the semis was terrifying. The ballstriking was nuts and his serve was firing. The Marrakech altitude is the X-factor here. In the thin air, Jodar’s serve and forehand become absolute missiles. Trungelliti is 36, and while his story of finally making a Top 100 debut and a tour final at this age is legendary, I don’t see him stopping Jodar from his first tour level title. He barely survived Sakamoto’s serve in the qualifiers, and Jodar‘s first serve is elite aswell but with better return game especially on clay.  Jodar’s Inside-Out forehand is going to relentlessly target Trungelliti’s backhand. Marco is a master of court geometry, but you can’t navigate the court if you're stuck three meters behind the baseline defending Jodar’s weight of shot. This is Jodar's arrival moment. The first of many titles! Leg 2: Emilio Nava🇺🇸 vs. David Goffin🇧🇪 [Monte Carlo🇲🇨] David Goffin is a good player on clay, but the old man is on his retirement tour and managed to get a win against Buse who was not at 100%. Before that he was coming off a four-match loosing streak and struggling against Buse. Now he’s running into a beast in Emilio Nava. Nava is tailor-made for the kicky, high-bounce conditions of Monte Carlo. He generates massive ball speed with a short, compact swing that is going to strip time away from Goffin. David’s service reliability has become a major liability. He‘s tossing in too many double faults and sit-up second serves that Nava is going to attack on-the-rise. Goffin’s game is built on high-frequency footwork, but at 35, the recovery just isn't there in extended exchanges. Nava is going to stretch him wide with that inside-out pattern and exploit Goffin’s lack of explosive lateral speed. I know Goffin has the history on clay, but Nava is the one with the ballstriking and the proactive return game today. ❤️ if tailing

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Tony
Tony@SopranosPicks·
POTD 🏦 𝗔𝗧𝗣 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗿𝗮𝗸𝗲𝗰𝗵 🇲🇦 (2U) Jodar -3.5 @ 1.65 / -154 Wager Placed on @Duelbits Hit 𝗟𝗜𝗞𝗘 if you’re tailing! 🍀 If I told you the bookmakers are giving you Jannik Sinner -3.5 for these odds against Marco Trungelliti how would you react? This is basically the same thing. Okay, maybe its not Sinner but its baby Sinner, also Jodar has the big three on this Marrakesh clay: The Power The Kick Serve The Ability To Take It Early And I realised something, Moutet was spamming drop shots and that didn’t work because these courts have a high bounce and that meant Marco could get to every single drop shot and return it comfortably but Jodar doesn’t hit drop shots, he hits WINNERS. I see one outcome: Jodar winning the title and the headlines writing themselves, a new star is officially born today. If your bookmaker doesn’t have -3.5, you can take -4.5 for one unit.
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BH.DTL
BH.DTL@backhandtl·
Monte-Carlo AI Predictions🇲🇨 AI went 10-1 yesterday🔥 - Martinez🇪🇸 to win against Juan Manuel Cerundolo🇦🇷 - Nava🇺🇸 to win against Goffin🇧🇪 - Garin🇨🇱 to win against Basilashvili🇬🇪 - Comesana🇦🇷 to win against Quinn🇺🇸 - Bautista Agut🇪🇸 to win Shevchenko🇰🇿 - Arnaldi🇮🇹 to win against Muller🇫🇷 - Dzumhur🇧🇦 to win against Blockx🇧🇪 - Norrie🇬🇧 to win against Kecmanovic🇷🇸 - Tabilo🇨🇱 to win against Fucsovics🇭🇺 - Monfils🇫🇷 to win against Griekspoor🇳🇱 - Humbert🇫🇷 to win against Kouame🇫🇷 by BH.DTL AI🤖
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BH.DTL@backhandtl·
Tough loss in the 3rd set and couldn‘t capitalize on his BP chances. Would play this again at these odds
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BH.DTL@backhandtl·
Challenger Wuning🇨🇳 Ryo Tabata ML🇯🇵 vs. Uisung Park🇰🇷 | @ 2.47 [1.5U] Renember his name🇯🇵 I’m loving this spot for Ryo Tabata in Wuning. Finding him as an underdog here feels like a massive oversight by the market, especially considering the tear he’s been on in the junior ranks and his smooth transition into the pros. Tabata is a special talent. Reaching the Australian Open Junior semi-finals earlier this year (and the Roland Garros semis last year) wasn't a fluke - it’s the result of a very mature, heavy-hitting game that is already starting to transition to Challenger level. In these fast outdoor conditions in Wuning, his ability to generate easy power is going to be the difference maker. While both play an aggressive style, their technical floor is very different. Tabata has that elite rally tolerance and, more importantly, a high net clearance that allows him to keep the ball deep and heavy. In these quick conditions, that depth is going to be a nightmare for Ui-sung Park. Park is a flatter hitter (which usually works well on fast courts) but he struggles when he’s pinned back and forced to create his own pace from defensive positions. Park is a respected doubles player, but his singles results have been inconsistent because his game often lacks the Plan B needed when his first-strike tennis isn't landing. Under the relentless pressure of Tabata’s inside-out forehand, Park’s timing is likely to fray. We’ve seen his forehand wing break down under heavy pace before, and Tabata has exactly the kind of weight of shot to force those technical errors. Tabata also brings superior movement to the court. His lateral coverage and ability to slide (even on these hard courts) allow him to turn defense into offense in a way that Park simply can't match. Tabata’s kick serve will also be particularly effective here, jumping out of Park's comfort zone and setting up those clinical serve+1 combinations. At these odds, you’re backing a future star against a doubles specialist who is often outmatched in the physical rallies in singles matches. I’m expecting the youngster to show exactly why he’s one of the most hyped names coming out of Japan right now. One of my favourite talents and someone to look out for later in the Asian swing. ❤️ if tailing
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BH.DTL@backhandtl·
This is shorten but basically: Both players are known for long rallies and a counter-punching approach, but Martinez is expected to have the edge in baseline quality. • Martinez’s powerful forehand and inside-out patterns will likely dominate Cerundolo’s defensive play • Cerundolo’s backhand may struggle under high-velocity attacks, and his underdeveloped net game could be exposed by Martinez’s tactics • Martinez’s superior stamina and relentless pressure are expected to wear Cerundolo down, eventually forcing errors and securing the win
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BH.DTL@backhandtl·
@DTLTennisBets No the predictions from my site are based on Matchup of the players tactically. Based on tactical matchup, form and surface fit. Ofc the AI is not always 100% right and I‘m not on the same side with it always but the analysis are good imo.
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DownTheLineTennisBets
DownTheLineTennisBets@DTLTennisBets·
@backhandtl Backhand question - odds are made up from an algorithm, AI basically and then move based on action in the market So can't one just say AI predictions is whoever is made the favorite initially ?
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BH.DTL@backhandtl·
@DTLTennisBets I mean his Winners and UEs are always at like 40-50 on both sides😂 But we are talking about old man Goffin here who is an UE machine himself nowadays
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DownTheLineTennisBets
DownTheLineTennisBets@DTLTennisBets·
@backhandtl When Nava is limiting the unforced errors he looks unbeatable, at times he can't keep the ball in the court though
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BH.DTL@backhandtl·
Ladder Challenge €100 - €10.000🪜 ATP Monte Carlo🇲🇨 x Marrakech🇲🇦 Let’s go! Step 1 was a masterclass performance from Jodar and Dzumhur did exactly what we expected, and now we’re staring down a Step 2 Double that looks like a great spot. Ladder Step 2: Rafael Jodar ML🇪🇸 + Emilio Nava ML🇺🇸 | @ 1.93 €190.32 > €367.69 Leg 1: Rafael Jodar🇪🇸 vs. Marco Trungelliti🇦🇷 [Marrakech🇲🇦] Jodar is playing at such high level right now. That 6-2, 6-1 dismantling of Ugo Carabelli in the semis was terrifying. The ballstriking was nuts and his serve was firing. The Marrakech altitude is the X-factor here. In the thin air, Jodar’s serve and forehand become absolute missiles. Trungelliti is 36, and while his story of finally making a Top 100 debut and a tour final at this age is legendary, I don’t see him stopping Jodar from his first tour level title. He barely survived Sakamoto’s serve in the qualifiers, and Jodar‘s first serve is elite aswell but with better return game especially on clay.  Jodar’s Inside-Out forehand is going to relentlessly target Trungelliti’s backhand. Marco is a master of court geometry, but you can’t navigate the court if you're stuck three meters behind the baseline defending Jodar’s weight of shot. This is Jodar's arrival moment. The first of many titles! Leg 2: Emilio Nava🇺🇸 vs. David Goffin🇧🇪 [Monte Carlo🇲🇨] David Goffin is a good player on clay, but the old man is on his retirement tour and managed to get a win against Buse who was not at 100%. Before that he was coming off a four-match loosing streak and struggling against Buse. Now he’s running into a beast in Emilio Nava. Nava is tailor-made for the kicky, high-bounce conditions of Monte Carlo. He generates massive ball speed with a short, compact swing that is going to strip time away from Goffin. David’s service reliability has become a major liability. He‘s tossing in too many double faults and sit-up second serves that Nava is going to attack on-the-rise. Goffin’s game is built on high-frequency footwork, but at 35, the recovery just isn't there in extended exchanges. Nava is going to stretch him wide with that inside-out pattern and exploit Goffin’s lack of explosive lateral speed. I know Goffin has the history on clay, but Nava is the one with the ballstriking and the proactive return game today. ❤️ if tailing
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BH.DTL@backhandtl·
Cashed the first step of the Ladder🔥
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BH.DTL@backhandtl·
Ladder Challenge €100 - €10.000🪜 ATP Monte Carlo🇲🇨 x Marrakech🇲🇦 Let’s get this Ladder Challenge back on track! (3rd Attempt🫠) We’re targeting a Step 1 Double to turn that €100 into €190. Ladder Step 1: Damir Dzumhur to Win a Set + Rafael Jodar ML | @ 1.90 €100 > €190.32 Leg 1: Damir Dzumhur🇧🇦 vs. Nicolai Budkov Kjær🇳🇴 [Monte Carlo] Look into my other writeup to get more analysis but Dzumhur is going to make Kjaer play an extra two or three balls in every rally, utilizing his slice and drop shots to frustrate the youngster. While Dzumhur might have his usual mid-match meltdown, his defensive IQ and ability to scramble are leagues ahead of Kjær’s current level on dirt. Taking him to win a set is the safety net we need, as he should realistically be favored to win the whole thing in these conditions. Leg 2: Rafael Jodar🇪🇸 vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli🇦🇷 [Marrakech] I love the spot for the young Spaniard, Rafael Jodar, against Ugo Carabelli. The conditions should favor Carabelli’s wall mentality and rally tolerance, but you shouldn‘t ignore the situational fatigue. Carabelli has been grinding out back-to-back three-setters. He looked physically spent and tactically off in his last outing against Van Assche, and now he has to face a surging youngster in the Marrakech altitude. Marrakech isn't your typical slow European clay. It‘d faster, and the altitude makes the ball fly. This is money for Jodar’s aggressive baseline game. His kick serve is going to be a nightmare to return in this thin air, jumping up and out of Carabelli’s strike zone. While Carabelli is a master of point construction, his workload is catching up to him. He lacks the explosive leg drive right now to handle Jodar’s first-strike tennis. Jodar is going to step inside the baseline and dictate with his heavy forehand, forcing a fatigued Carabelli into defensive scrambles he simply doesn't have the lungs for today. I’m backing the fresh legs and the altitude-friendly weapons of the Spaniard to secure the win. ❤️ if tailing
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BH.DTL@backhandtl·
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BH.DTL@backhandtl·
ATP Monte Carlo🇲🇨 Roberto Bautista Agut to win 1st Set🇪🇸 vs. Benjamin Bonzi🇫🇷 | @ 1.84 [1U] Bonzi is trash on clay. His flat-hitting game and reliance on his serve just don't translate to the slow, heavy dirt of Monte Carlo. Coming off a 2025 season where his clay record was virtually non-existent, it’s hard to imagine he’s suddenly found the clay-court game over the winter. Old man Agut still got it at 37. On this surface, his tactical IQ is still top-tier. RBA doesn't need raw power to beat you. He just needs to keep the ball deep, keep it flat, and wait for the unforced errors to pile up. In Monte Carlo, where the air is heavy and the courts are gritty, Bonzi's (French Classic) frustration is likely to boil over quickly. RBA's ability to absorb pace and redirect it with that legendary precision will make the court feel very small for the Frenchman. I absolutely love the 1st Set angle. At this stage of his career, RBA’s biggest enemy is the clock. While he still has the hands and the lungs for a sprint, a three-hour war in the sun is a different story. Taking him to clinch the first set is the smart play here. It capitalizes on his stamina concerns and Bonzi's typical slow start on a surface he hates. I expect the Spaniard to set the tone early and show the French that experience still carries a lot of weight in the desert. ❤️ if tailing
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BH.DTL@backhandtl·
@ghry2146 Don’t think it‘s that deep tbh. He has qualifiers today so I think he didn’t want to risk anything but we never know. Wouldn‘t bet on him at these odds though
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BH.DTL@backhandtl·
ATP Monte-Carlo AI Predictions🇲🇨 - Martinez🇪🇸 to win against Vukic🇦🇺 - Nava🇺🇸 to win against Halys🇫🇷 - Bautista Agut🇪🇸 to win against Bonzi🇫🇷 - Goffin🇧🇪 to win against Buse🇵🇪 - Basilashvili🇬🇪 to win against Struff🇩🇪 - Garin🇨🇱 to win against De Jong🇳🇱 - Maestrelli🇮🇹 to win against Blockx🇧🇪 - Shevchenko🇰🇿 to win against Pellegrino🇮🇹 - Arnaldi🇮🇹 to win against Kopriva🇨🇿 - Quinn🇺🇸 to win against Virtanen🇫🇮 - Dzumhur🇧🇦 to win against Budkov Kjaer🇳🇴 - Muller🇫🇷 to win against Choinski🇬🇧 by BH.DTL AI🤖
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BH.DTL@backhandtl·
ATP Monte Carlo Masters🇲🇨 Damir Dzumhur -1.5 Games🇧🇦 vs. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer🇳🇴 | @ 1.83 [2U] Dzumhur is a ticking time bomb, but still in these Monte Carlo conditions, he should be a clearer favorite against Budkov Kjær IMO. These courts are slow. Kjær is a solid talent (even though I don’t rate him as high as others) and a good player on Clay but he doesn‘t have the big weapons to hit trough Dzumhur IMO. On this gritty clay, those flat balls just sit up and beg to be redirected, which is exactly what Dzumhur lives for. We saw Kjær struggle against Henrique Rocha recently, and that’s the blueprint here. If you can’t get free points on your serve and you’re forced into 10+ shot rallies against a clay rat like Dzumhur, you’re going to have a bad time. Dzumhur might lose his mind at a ball mark or the umpire, but his defensive IQ and variety are leagues above Kjær’s right now. He’ll use the slice to keep the ball out of Kjær’s strike zone and those trademark drop shots to exploit the Norwegian’s movement. Kjær has the higher ceiling for the future, but right now, he doesn't have the Plan B required to dismantle a veteran grinder and counterpuncher in slow conditions. Dzumhur’s rally tolerance and ability to scramble will eventually force Kjær into those high-risk, low-percentage bail-out shots. As long as Dzumhur doesn't completely implode, his tactical edge on this surface should be enough to systematically break the kid down. ❤️ if tailing
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