Batuhan Odabasoglu

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Batuhan Odabasoglu

Batuhan Odabasoglu

@batodabasoglu

MechEng building Fulcrum, a systematic trading engine. Sharing the process, not signals. Views are my own. Not financial advice. #NFA

Katılım Temmuz 2024
65 Takip Edilen17 Takipçiler
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Batuhan Odabasoglu
Batuhan Odabasoglu@batodabasoglu·
A quick disclaimer, since I'll be sharing Fulcrum's progress here. Everything I post is general market commentary and educational content, not personalized investment advice. I'm not a registered investment adviser, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Backtested and hypothetical performance figures are labeled as such. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results, and all trading carries risk, including the risk of losing your principal. I may hold positions in instruments I discuss. Following this account isn't a signal service or a copy-trading arrangement, and no current offering here requires a license to publish. Do your own research, and talk to a licensed professional before making financial decisions.
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Batuhan Odabasoglu
Batuhan Odabasoglu@batodabasoglu·
@GuyTalksFinance Very clear example. The monthly cost of the same house almost doubled mainly because of higher interest rates. Do you think this kind of payment shock will keep pushing more people toward renting long-term?
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Finance Guy
Finance Guy@GuyTalksFinance·
In 2020 the average selling price of a home was $392,000 with a 3.7% interest rate. That’s a $1,400 monthly payment. Today in 2026 that same house will cost you $515,000 with a 7% interest rate. That’s a $2,700 monthly payment. Double the payment for the same house.
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Batuhan Odabasoglu
Batuhan Odabasoglu@batodabasoglu·
@TheAlphaThought Same goal here. The day your portfolio outearns your job, the job turns from necessary into optional. What's the number where that flips for you?
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THE DIVIDEND DOMINATOR
THE DIVIDEND DOMINATOR@TheAlphaThought·
A goal of mine: I want my portfolio to make more money in a month than my job does. Not because I want to quit. But because it means my money is working harder than I am. That's leverage.
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Batuhan Odabasoglu
Batuhan Odabasoglu@batodabasoglu·
The return is real, but almost nobody actually holds through the exact drawdown that earns it. It's less about time in the market and more about surviving the one specific stretch where everyone wants to quit. What's the longest drawdown you personally sat through before it turned?
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Mike Romano
Mike Romano@MikePLTR·
Imagine you just started investing recently, you’re probably thinking “SCREW THIS” and putting your money in your savings account to compound at 2% annually 😂 Time in the market provides the necessary experience to understand this too shall pass.
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$DC
$DC@benxchain·
@matt_gray_ underrated take, systems > hustle every time
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MATT GRAY
MATT GRAY@matt_gray_·
The fastest path to wealth is systematizing what already works.
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Miami Futures Trader
Miami Futures Trader@MFT_Get_Funded·
What's the best investing habit you've developed?
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Batuhan Odabasoglu
Batuhan Odabasoglu@batodabasoglu·
Backtest ran 2005–2026, cost-adjusted. Hypothetical performance, not a guarantee of future results. General information, not investment advice. What's the best-looking backtest you've had to talk yourself out of?
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Batuhan Odabasoglu
Batuhan Odabasoglu@batodabasoglu·
The pattern holds across almost everything we've tested: a return stream is either correlated with the core and strong, or independent and weak. Never both. If something looks too good standing alone, check what it's correlated with before you check what it earns.
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Batuhan Odabasoglu
Batuhan Odabasoglu@batodabasoglu·
One of FVLCRVM's rejected strategies backtested to a 23% CAGR — two points better than what we actually run live. We killed it anyway. Here's why a better number was the wrong signal:
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16VC
16VC@16vchq·
Describe your startup in 3 words. We'll reply to a few with our first impression.
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Batuhan Odabasoglu
Batuhan Odabasoglu@batodabasoglu·
Backtested (hypothetical) performance, 2005–2026 (2026 = YTD). Currently tracked in live paper-trading, not yet real-money audited. Costs and slippage are modeled at a fixed estimated rate; execution timing has been stress-tested. Past/backtested performance does not guarantee future results. Not investment advice.
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Batuhan Odabasoglu
Batuhan Odabasoglu@batodabasoglu·
2011 was a bad year for Fulcrum's backtest: -20.7%. The S&P 500 was up almost 2% that year, and Berkshire was down less than 5%. Full year-by-year comparison since 2005 below, wins and losses both. Which year would you want explained first?
Batuhan Odabasoglu tweet media
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