Ben
11.3K posts

Ben
@beems34
A fool thinks himself to be wise, but a wise man knows himself to be a fool.
Cascadia Katılım Ocak 2012
1.2K Takip Edilen283 Takipçiler
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Darryn Peterson was an absolute warrior today for #kubball. Nothing but respect for that kid.
#RockChalk
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UPDATE: Paige Spiranac Has Some Good News & Bad News About Her "Great Cans" s.barstool.link/c/article-3565…

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No voter ID, especially when combined with mail-in ballots, means the system is engineered to make fraud impossible to prove.
Everyone knows that you can barely get through your week without showing ID for the most banal activities, like shopping at Costco.
The only reason to ban ID is to hide massive voter fraud.
Katie Miller@KatieMiller
The reality is there's mass amounts of cheating in our elections. Just because there's an engineered lack of data, does not mean there isn't data to the contrary. The new CBS/YouGov poll shows that 80% of Americans support Voter ID including 80% of black Americans & 77% of Hispanic Americans. Yet why is it that Congress seems so intractable to wanting to pass a such a popular policy?
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Taylor Frankie Paul has responded to a leaked video from 2023 that appears to show her throwing metal stools at her ex, Dakota Mortensen, while her child is nearby.
A spokesperson for Paul said: “It’s sad to see the latest installment of his never-ending, desperate, attention-seeking, destructive campaign to harm Taylor without any regard for the consequences for their child. Releasing an old video, which conveniently omits context, on their son’s birthday is a reprehensible attempt to distract from his own behavior. Thankfully, the public has seen this act before and knows who he is and sadly, many will recognize this pattern of manipulation, both in his actions on the show, and from their own experiences.”
variety.com/2026/tv/news/t…

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@MarkAGunnels St. John's played in a crappy Big East conference and beat one good team (UConn) all year. Bring it on!
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JUST IN: The Strait of Hormuz blocks the fertiliser from shipping. China just blocked it from being replaced.
Beijing has instructed exporters to suspend overseas shipments of nitrogen and potassium fertiliser blends. Urea. NPK mixes. The molecules that American, Indian, Bangladeshi, and African farmers need to plant are now gated at two chokepoints simultaneously: a 21-mile waterway controlled by provincial commanders with sealed radio orders, and a government directive issued from Zhongnanhai that requires no radio at all.
One third of global seaborne fertiliser trade transits Hormuz. China is the world’s largest fertiliser producer. When the strait closed and China suspended exports in the same month, the global food system lost its primary supply route and its primary alternative supplier at the same time. There is no third source at this scale. There is no backup to the backup.
Urea has surged roughly 40 percent since the war began. CBOT March futures settled at 610.50. The peak at New Orleans touched $683. Those prices were set by the Hormuz blockade alone. China’s ban adds a second floor underneath them. Even if the strait reopened tomorrow, Chinese urea would not flow until Beijing lifts the directive. Even if Beijing lifted the directive, the strait would still need to reopen, insurance to normalise, and vessels to be available. The two gates operate independently. Both must open for the molecule to move.
China’s logic is transparent. Hormuz disrupted global supply. Prices surged. Chinese domestic farmers face the same planting windows as everyone else. Beijing chose to protect its own agriculture by hoarding the molecule the rest of the world needs. This is the same country that is simultaneously drawing commercial crude reserves at a million barrels per day, running military exercises near Taiwan, receiving discounted Iranian oil through the permissioned strait, and restricting the phosphate exports it suspended months ago. Every decision serves one objective: China first. The rest of the world absorbs the shortage.
The American farmer is now squeezed from two directions. The Gulf urea he used to buy cannot transit the strait. The Chinese urea that could have replaced it is embargoed by Beijing. Domestic US production covers roughly 75 percent of normal needs, but normal needs assumed Gulf and Chinese imports filling the gap. The gap is now unfillable on any timeline that matters for spring planting.
USDA projects corn falling to 94 million acres. Soybeans rising to 85 million. The RFS mandate consumes 43 percent of a shrinking corn crop. The cattle herd sits at 86.2 million, a 75-year low. The protein cascade runs from corn to feed to meat to eggs to dairy to the grocery shelf. China’s ban did not create that cascade. The Hormuz blockade created it. China’s ban removed the last exit ramp.
Oman crude at $154. Brent at $102. WTI at $93. Gold at $5,000. The Fed holding at 3.50 to 3.75 with PCE revised to 2.7. Trump telling Israel to stop hitting gas fields. Iran threatening to burn the Gulf to ashes. Four countries’ energy infrastructure offline. And now the world’s largest fertiliser producer has locked its warehouse and told every farmer on Earth that the key is in Beijing, not for sale, and not available until further notice.
Two gates. One molecule. No alternative. The calendar closes in four weeks.
open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

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@klseaboldt St. John's is 17th in kenpom and lost to every good team they played except for UConn. They're not a prolific scoring team, either. As a KU fan, I'd much rather play them than Arkansas or Wisconsin, for example.
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@ESPNLunardi How do Vanderbilt and Alabama get 4 seeds over Texas Tech and Kansas? Seems like way too much weight is being placed on the conference tournaments.
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@SleeperChiefsKC @FTFonFS1 @DannyParkins Trading a 1st round pick for a player who's trending to be a bust is how NFL GMs lose their job.
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Hypothetical trade.
Jaguars receive | Round 1, Pick 29.
Chiefs receive | WR Brian Thomas Jr.
#ChiefsKingdom would you make this deal?
Via @FTFonFS1
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@MarkAGunnels Duke is the #1 team in kenpom and already beat KU by double digits. I'd rather have Florida in our region.
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