BERKAY

$BTC longs Next target hit 💰Now patiently waiting for 70k+ Alright! Our next target we mapped out a few days ago is now hit. Indeed, as mentioned last post the bears had their round of engagement farming once (before Monday opens). Where they indeed came out with their macro thesis and how "Monday will close red" or "lead to new lows" or "how it's a good time to short". And twice, after Monday closed that also a green Monday would still lead to new lows anyways. All posted into the lows each time. Works well for engagement farming because people like to follow bearish posts when prices are low. But in terms of making money, they are all left in the dust now and compromised in their shorts. They won't tell you they're short now though because that would ruin their imagine. But anyone who watched order flow, can easily see many of them were short (hint - check the mid to low size section of aggressive short CVD on Monday open and after Monday closed). All power to engagement farmers by the way. I have nothing against it. But it's my job to keep my audience on the right side of the trade, not on the right side of the engagement, so we keep tracking the dynamics and use it as sentiment. I thank you for participating in this long. And if you remember, we are not calling it a win yet. If we hit 70k+ area, our final target before runners, then this is our second win in a row once again, and then we also have runners left for a potential juicy breakout. Enjoy.

$BTC I took a long awaited long at our long awaited level Alright, as promised and a s long awaited for, the low planted in the 65k area has been taken out finally. I said that I both expected the level, and I also see it as a juicy long opportunity. The reasons are simple. It's the low we wanted to see, the midrange, the golden zone of the entire high to low of this range, and my own POI as well as macro bias. You know me, I live up to my promises, and when it comes to levels, there's no exception Took a long here on this beautiful Saturday morning. Yes, it is early, we're longing a massive trend down. And yes, the bears are screaming loud how they all "called" that very trend. But guess what, they don't have any trade, PnL or record to show for, because most don't even trade their calls, or take action. I don't know what that tells you about conviction and trust in their own analysis, but in my experience, it's useful. So in my world, we make calls, but we make them for one reason and one reason only. To do something about it, to take action, because only action makes money. Some disclaimers, yes, it is a late long off the long and I was hesitant to trigger at first, because I would want to see one sweep lower, and CME also closed so CME close is below our entry. So going in half size for starts to add some flexibility. I top off that decision with the risk, of making new lows during the weekend, which means in this case, they have to get taken out and will take us an exit. But for now, they have been defending and I believe that remains based on our overall plan. So my conviction is high, and I believe we see higher prices from here. So that's an opportunity to make money, one I will grab because we have been waiting for it for a long time. Lots of bear posting, engagement farming, lots of macro "I called it" posts. No one really interested in longing. So sentiment wise, also a great time to long. Enjoy and good luck pressing the button alongside myself.

$BTC longs Nice push, shaving some gains + further instructions Alright, we achieved a 1100 dollar push so far not too long after taking our very entry. Retraced somewhat due to weekend whale activity selling into random S/R pivots (67.2k) in this case. I performed my trim here, 700 dollars above entry. Not as much as the usual, but keep in mind how weekend volatility is only half that of weeks to our usual trim in the 1200-2000 range. It does put the trade only at 1RR so far (SL at 65.5k, Price at 66.9k, entry in the middle 66.2k), so we'll have to be patient for somewhat longer until the weekend resolves. But from here, I simple look to add on CME gap again and remove the SL once next week opens and improve the entry, so the risk free position here is only temporarily in case Sunday becomes red and we set weekend lows, not a situation I want to stay long in. In our favourable case, we create a runaway gap and the trend up starts on Q2 open, we still score a big move since runaway gaps create big swings up. If not, we simply get to re-add the profit we took out now on CME gap. Some tight management, but a simple plan, taking max advantage of the good start of our long here and positioning in most ideal sense to ride the ultimate move up. Enjoy.

$BTC I took a long awaited long at our long awaited level Alright, as promised and a s long awaited for, the low planted in the 65k area has been taken out finally. I said that I both expected the level, and I also see it as a juicy long opportunity. The reasons are simple. It's the low we wanted to see, the midrange, the golden zone of the entire high to low of this range, and my own POI as well as macro bias. You know me, I live up to my promises, and when it comes to levels, there's no exception Took a long here on this beautiful Saturday morning. Yes, it is early, we're longing a massive trend down. And yes, the bears are screaming loud how they all "called" that very trend. But guess what, they don't have any trade, PnL or record to show for, because most don't even trade their calls, or take action. I don't know what that tells you about conviction and trust in their own analysis, but in my experience, it's useful. So in my world, we make calls, but we make them for one reason and one reason only. To do something about it, to take action, because only action makes money. Some disclaimers, yes, it is a late long off the long and I was hesitant to trigger at first, because I would want to see one sweep lower, and CME also closed so CME close is below our entry. So going in half size for starts to add some flexibility. I top off that decision with the risk, of making new lows during the weekend, which means in this case, they have to get taken out and will take us an exit. But for now, they have been defending and I believe that remains based on our overall plan. So my conviction is high, and I believe we see higher prices from here. So that's an opportunity to make money, one I will grab because we have been waiting for it for a long time. Lots of bear posting, engagement farming, lots of macro "I called it" posts. No one really interested in longing. So sentiment wise, also a great time to long. Enjoy and good luck pressing the button alongside myself.

Moreover, once 65k is taken out, a IMO very juicy long opportunity will shape up. So that's a bullish statement, not a bearish statement.

$BTC longs Resistance broke, and we hit target. Win secured 💰 Alright! There it is. The long we took at 69.3k is now at 71.9k. That's the target we laid out, and we reached through a comfortable and relaxing ride, just going up straight to target with much drawdown and with only minor stops at the resistances I pointed out along the way. Couldn't wish for more, 2600 points scored on $BTC. Target hit so I now have only 30% left running on this one as we likely head towards our POI above next. Keep in mind I am not short yet. Just resting and digesting this win. Enjoy if you profited along, many of you did, since all was called live.

65k, closer and closer ⌛️

$BTC longs POI reached, weekend lows taken out✅added long here Alright, price headed down to our compound long area of interest. As promised, this is where I would look to add longs. Without wasting your time reading this post, that is exactly what I did, with order flow doing what is to be expected on a Monday: hold walls, increase spread on perps/spot and slowly positioning to fill CME gap and IMO also our long target. Mind you that it is still Monday, so we might have to hold for another day. But that's ok. If we tend to trend down, then I will get concerned and exit the trade and take a loss for some deeper re-evaluation. For now, the same was I was confident we would head a bit lower, I am now also equally confident in a significant push up.

$BTC longs Still believing in 71.5k. Going to add more. Not yet, but if weekend lows get taken out. Alright bitcoin did not follow our plan of Yesterday. instead of holding 70.7k, it fell through and price retraced to entry and beyond. We were looking good, trade was up 1400 points, but now its 1000 points below entry. Bit of an unfortunate chain of events, with weekend announcement taking the trade down, also creating valid weekend lows. That puts the trade in a tricky spot at the moment because I still believe 71.5k is coming, but post FOMC reversal downside momentum is carrying on now just a bit longer. My actions Given the separation of two execution scenarios; the first one being my typical strategy - set it risk free into 71k, after we were up 1400 points (A), and the second one being the execution I went for myself exceptionally (holding without TP at 71k) since my size on this long was very small (B). So if you set it risk free (A), and followed my typical approach, then you would be flat now. In this case, I would not enter anything new, wait for the weekend lows to be taken out before entering again targeting 71.5k. If price just runs from here to 71.5k, then that's a nice short towards weekend lows and our long awaited 65k area where I deem the FOMC reversal over by now. If you are still in the trade like me (B), I think for this trade, it's okay to add more for once especially if you went small like me, turning this trade into a proper sized one given we have clarity. Not going to add here though personally, but getting an as good entry as possible, which is below the weekend lows. Not setting limits either as Monday is coming so ideally we see a down trending Monday for a bit, giving a chance to enter a bit below weekend lows. If price runs from here to 71.5k, then it still pays on the open trade, albeit for a smaller pay. But then weekend lows are still untouched which gives more confidence in our short idea from 71.5k+, the area we have been waiting for to short for a while, to work out, offering us a second trade. That sums up why I believe it's a good idea to hold on. Using strategic positioning to manage the trade. Not an orthodox strategy, but the fact we had an event on the weekend allows ourselves to do that because this amount of weekend liquidity is very typical to be run both ways, i.e. clear out weekend lows, and run 71.5k target. Holding a trade in between is opportune to take it towards a win, or even two wins.

$BTC longs We're up and running ✅Set my limits at 71.5k Alright, nice push up so far off the entry on the longs we took today. Market now backing up my claim of wanting to see shorts squeezed as they were just too crowded into the sub 69k lows and our area of confluence. Already seeing them exit now slowly but surely. As per plan, I'm slowly looking to TP these longs in alignment. So I've set my limits to take off more than half (60%) of the position at 71.5k. Notice that point is further than my typical first trim. That's simply because I'm looking to TP the trade aggressively, locking in the win after 1 target. So partialing before isn't really worth it. So that is indeed taking on a bit more initial risk. But position size on this one is smaller than usual, so it's all aligned. If you don't have that type of risk appetite, there's nothing stopping you to trim earlier of course. In the end, I'm not telling you what to do. I'm just sharing whenever I get and get out for your entertainment and education, showing you what it's like to go from analysis, to trade idea, to actually taking trades, making money in the process.

$BTC Long POI (midrange) not reached yet, still no longs. However, short POI might be coming up. Alright, nice move further down on $BTC since last post and overall from our 76k level. Now, we reached all the way down to just under 69k, with a small bounce forming off 68.8k so far. This entire move is based on my famous FOMC reversal theory combined with the 76k key level rejection level which we used as the point of our first breakout attempt long TP. That long was first breakout long attempt we punted upon closing above 73k and took towards 76k, one that worked out for a 2.3k move for us, but then ultimately halted and didn't break our 76k level, causing failure of follow through. After that sign of failure at 76k, we held off on longs ever since reaching 74.2k, exactly based upon our temporary bearish shift. I am still in that frame of mind of a temporary bearish shift, not looking to long yet, until we finally reach midrange again, or until at least this and half of next week has passed (closing in on the monthly close). It would be nice to ride it further down with a short, but on this level, 70.8k, shorting is not ideal. Especially since we are seeing a large amount of short aggression into the current local low of 68.8k. Funny to see because we reached below the 0.5 of the leg into the golden zone, silver pocket and, local POI on top of a high timeframe POI-top retest. A classic Astro-proof confluence of price elements, ideal for an internal bounce. On top, the sentiment of the idea of the FOMC reversal and general downtrend is becoming quite obvious, hence the appetite for shorts. Not putting any money on this bounce personally. But this is typically enough to indeed provide a bounce to fresh short POI's. So again, not one I am looking to long, but once finished, one I am looking to short. Would be nice if we reach close to 73k, because it would offer us a second chance to re-short given we fumbled our first one and that level is close to pick up that entry again. Not blindly shorting either, what I am looking for, is a move up that looks fast and strong (but isn't) and indeed induces a lot of longs at the same time causing local top behaviour. If all elements are present, that's a nice short for me towards new local lows and hopefully midrange. We will see. So far, it's been a nice time staying side lined on longs regardless, but having a short on top would make it even better. Not from here, but from higher indeed. That's my plan going forward, based on what I revealed here to be a fraction of the parts I revealed here, combining into my logic and system, explaining why I expect lower but am hopeful for a short entry. Enjoy.

$BTC The FOMC reversal doing its work once again. Still simply waiting before longing again. The edge I have been showing to you for a long time, and which has spread around everywhere, last lengthy post on it was indeed one of my most viewed post I ever created. But because no one really takes action on the calls going around, I am not concerned of people taking my edge and it spreading because the edge isn't used properly and money isn't gained from it. The result: the reversal simply worked out again. From uptrend to downtrend, with the top appearing before the FOMC reversal. Why does this reversal happen? What are the mechanics? I explained them many times before. But in short: it is to make everyone excited and trick them into thinking FOMC will be bullish, because price is going up, right? And because the announcement is always dubious, it can be interpreted and will be interpreted into the direction price goes, every time. This happens with every type of high impact news event btw. But because during FOMC, there is a lot of speech, it is the easiest event for price to be manipulated around. Then, once FOMC takes place, price already reversed, almost every time and keeps going for a while. That is why I am waiting to long again, and our 76k key level remains the point of resistance until it is resolved. It also created a range deviation, which means midrange, i.e. our 65k target is still coming potentially, which is where I would want to long next. Do keep in mind that time is more important than price, and so if price stalls and ranges before, there's no need to wait for 65k. The blind don't get rewarded. Only the smart do. So I generally plan to wait for midrange, but if we stall before and draw out time, I am happy to long earlier, after the duration FOMC reversals to the downside typically take, has passed. Ah yes, and final note, because it always comes up in the comments: "so you are bearish Astro". I don't know how to make it any more clear, but every high timeframe post I created has been bullish since the start of this range, because I believe it will break to the upside. Timing is key however, and the time is not "Today", yet.

$BTC longs Up 1450 points ✅ Alright! Despite being at range high, price closed above 73k, and so it pushed to 74k, 75k and almost 76k now. Longs up 1450 points now, you already know the drill, set it risk free, we are at local liquidity, and continue to monitor the order flow to see if we go higher. It's a good time to do that, because yes the breakout is forming, but being arrogant and thinking it will be easy and without local pullbacks, is wrong. What is right though, is longing even while we are at range high. The majority is not "long", the majority is not in longs. And there are more shorts than longs, about 3 times as many. So, "the majority" actually isn't in a trade, and the people tracking longs versus shorts, simply don't see that. You need historical data, not just data of the current downtrend, because we may be entering an uptrend now. So TP'd now, wait out the potential local (small) pullback, and expect higher IMO. Enjoy.

$BTC The bottom call, the range, and now, the range breakout, longed here range high (74.5k) You indeed read that right. After going long and short this entire range, entering only longs at range low, shorts at range high, this is the first time I'm going long at range high. An unusual move. But remember the plan, and the context. We have been bullish for a while now, from 6th of Feb until today, 1 month and 10 days, 6 weeks. I said we won't see new lows, we bottomed, and we should mainly look to long throughout the range with occasional shorts. Even reminded you many times this range breaks to the upside, increased boldness, and opposing myself to the bears. As the range gets older and approaches breakout, the amount of shorts we take should reduce, and so now 6 weeks deep, I'm not looking to enter another short here after today, instead a long. We are already holding 2 longs from 63.9 and 62.9k, but they are just runners, conviction is key. Time to add a third one, this time at range high. 50k isn't coming. The bottom is in and the range breaks to the upside, not the downside. Sidenote: chart is fairly empty, drawn on my phone. Had to call my assistant to bring up orderflow for me. But you should have my levels already loudly and clearly drawn regardless. Current key level is 73k, we likely close above today, and we should see higher as I mentioned a few times. Let's see if I'm right and if the bears are wrong. And more importantly, if we continue to make money on it, do it first try, or if we need to try again. Enjoy.

$BTC 63k, midpoint htf POI and silver pocket hit. Do we get our bounce and form a range? I don't believe in hope though but I do believe in my system and that I always will even if emotions run high at the moment everywhere. So this post is not to inject hope, this is just to inform you that we are in the middle of our purple htf zone now, and the high timeframe silver pocket (the same that rejected and lead to the all time high with good high timeframe precision) at 122k (see quoted post). We "should" receive a significant bounce finally. Again for spot buys, I am waiting it out first and strategizing on that later. But a range is good for us, as it allows us to finally trade off it, hence why we plan for it.

$BTC We thank the bounce, and now we thank the range. It's 4 weeks old now ✅ You see a lot of people flip flopping, calling for lower when we are at range low, calling for higher when we are at range high. Just posting this to remind you that this is very normal inside ranges. And I will keep reminding you about my most important post: to indeed fade all of it, and just continue to expect a range. Which means, to make money on that, simply long range lows, and short range highs. If you are stuck on when and where to do that, as well as how to manage the trades, feel free to use my levels and live calls, if you want, I share my entries and exits all the time for a reason. Since the post of the very start of the range, it's 4 weeks old now. Which way will this range break? I have already expressed my opinion, I don't need to be any more clear than that. If you want another hint, simply count which type of trade I took most and where I hinted to leave the biggest runners towards. But other than that, it doesn't matter at the moment to make money. Just follow the rules of the market, don't bait into the engagement farming you see out there of people saying "I told you so, it's going up", or "I told you so, it's going down". You will hear either from the same person whichever way price goes. The truth is, you can't make money on that. No trades, no money, no point and all is just hopium of your bags going up or hopium of getting cheap entries (whichever camp people are). What's in front of us is a range, still forming. We trade it, and slowly continue to build positions for the breakout.