BetsfromtheBoot

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BetsfromtheBoot

BetsfromtheBoot

@betsfromtheboot

Bayou Born, Premium Sports Content Creator & DFS Player from LOUISIANA.

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BetsfromtheBoot
BetsfromtheBoot@betsfromtheboot·
MARCH MADNESS: SATURDAY - ROUND 2 - "EVENING SLATE" BE$T BET #16 TOURNAMENT RECORD: BE$T BETS: [12-2-0] +$1,677.35 🔥 PARLAYS: [5-9-0] +$1,836.51 🔥 FUTURES: [0-2-0] -$135.00 WHY? Massive Safety Margin: The standard Over/Under line for this game is set significantly higher, between 146.5 and 147.5 points. Betting on 138.5 is an "Alternate Total" that provides an 8-9 point cushion below what oddsmakers actually expect. ADD THE 100% PROFIT BOOST... MAGIC! High-Scoring Offenses: Both teams are prolific scorers. Gonzaga ranks 22nd nationally, averaging 84.8 points per game, while Texas is not far behind at 83.2 points per game. Combined, their season averages (168 points) are nearly 30 points higher than this 138.5 line. Historical Trends: In their most recent meeting, the two teams combined for 167 points (Texas won 93-74). Value Boost: The original odds were heavily favored at -290 because of how likely it is to hit. However, a FANDUEL 100% Profit Boost was applied, improving the odds to -145, making the payout much better for a highly probable outcome. METRICS: • Gonzaga (KenPom #12 overall, #3 seed) Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 121.3 (32nd) Adjusted Defensive Efficiency: 93.8 (10th) Adjusted Efficiency Margin: +27.50 (12th) Adjusted Tempo: 68.6 (114th — moderate, efficient half-court with transition bursts) • Texas (KenPom #33 overall, #11 seed) Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 124.2 (16th) Adjusted Defensive Efficiency: 104.4 (85th) Adjusted Efficiency Margin: +19.78 (33rd) Adjusted Tempo: 66.9 (212th — deliberate, physical SEC grind) Simulated Score: Gonzaga 78 – Texas 72 Total: 150
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BetsfromtheBoot
BetsfromtheBoot@betsfromtheboot·
MARCH MADNESS: SATURDAY - ROUND 2 - "EVENING SLATE" BE$T BET #16 TOURNAMENT RECORD: BE$T BETS: [12-2-0] +$1,677.35 🔥 PARLAYS: [5-9-0] +$1,836.51 🔥 FUTURES: [0-2-0] -$135.00 WHY? Elite Defense: Houston features one of the most dominant defenses in the country, ranking 5th nationally by allowing only 62.9 points per game. They just held their first-round opponent, Idaho, to only 47 points. Controlling the Pace: Houston plays with a very slow, methodical tempo (ranked 351st in adjusted tempo), which typically limits the total number of possessions and scoring opportunities for their opponents. Forcing Turnovers: The Cougars lead the nation in turnover margin (+6.9). Recent Defensive Success: In 35 games this season, Houston's defensive discipline has led to the UNDER cashing 21 times. METRICS: • Houston (KenPom #5 overall, #2 seed) Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 124.8 (13th) Adjusted Defensive Efficiency: 91.0 (4th) Adjusted Efficiency Margin: +33.76 (5th) Adjusted Tempo: 63.4 (351st — one of the slowest nationally, elite control) • Texas A&M (KenPom #34 overall, #10 seed) Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 119.7 (49th) Adjusted Defensive Efficiency: 100.0 (34th) Adjusted Efficiency Margin: +19.72 (~34th) Adjusted Tempo: 70.2 (39th — faster, high-volume SEC style)
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BetsfromtheBoot
BetsfromtheBoot@betsfromtheboot·
MARCH MADNESS: SATURDAY - ROUND 2 - BE$T BET #15 TOURNAMENT RECORD: BE$T BETS: [10-2-0] +$1,335.35 🔥 PARLAYS: [5-9-0] +$1,836.51 🔥 FUTURES: [0-2-0] -$135.00 WHY? Statistical Dominance: Duke enters the game with a 33-2 record and a national-best average scoring margin of +20.5 points per game. Rebounding Advantage: Duke ranks 10th nationally in rebounds per game (37.2) and is expected to neutralize TCU's primary strength, which is offensive rebounding. Motivation Factor: After a narrow 71-65 escape against No. 16 seed Siena in the first round, coach Jon Scheyer and his players have emphasized a more aggressive, focused approach for today's matchup. METRICS: • Duke (KenPom #2 overall, #1 seed) Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 127.4 (6th) Adjusted Defensive Efficiency: 89.7 (1st) Adjusted Efficiency Margin: +37.66 (2nd) Adjusted Tempo: 65.4 (287th — deliberate, controlled pace) • TCU (KenPom #43 overall, #9 seed) Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 115.3 (81st) Adjusted Defensive Efficiency: 97.4 (21st) Adjusted Efficiency Margin: +17.86 (~43rd) Adjusted Tempo: 67.6 (171st — moderate, physical Big 12 style) Simulated Score: Duke 76 – TCU 64
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BetsfromtheBoot
BetsfromtheBoot@betsfromtheboot·
MARCH MADNESS: SATURDAY - ROUND 2 - BE$T BET #14 TOURNAMENT RECORD: BE$T BETS: [10-2-0] +$1,335.35 🔥 PARLAYS: [5-9-0] +$1,836.51 🔥 FUTURES: [0-2-0] -$135.00 WHY? Strong Momentum: Michigan State (26-7) is coming off a dominant 25-point victory (92-67) over North Dakota State in the first round.CBS Sports +1 Elite Distribution: Led by Jeremy Fears Jr. (averaging 9.2 assists), the Spartans rank fourth nationally in assists per game (18.7), showcasing a highly efficient offense.FOX Sports +1 Interior Dominance: Senior center Carson Cooper is coming off a career-high-tying 20 points and 10 rebounds, providing a size advantage that Louisville's frontcourt may struggle to contain.CBS Sports +1 Betting Value: The image shows a 100% Profit Boost, which improved the original odds from -210 (heavy favorite) to -105 (nearly even money). This significantly increases the payout for a team already expected to win. METRICS: • Michigan State (KenPom #9 overall, #3 seed) Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: ~123-125 (top-20-25 range) Adjusted Defensive Efficiency: ~94-96 (top-15-20, elite Big Ten D) Adjusted Efficiency Margin: ~+28-30 (top-10) Adjusted Tempo: ~68-70 (moderate, physical with transition push) • Louisville (KenPom #20 overall, #6 seed) Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 123.7 (20th) Adjusted Defensive Efficiency: 98.6 (24th) Adjusted Efficiency Margin: +25.07 (~20th) Adjusted Tempo: 69.8 (58th — moderate-fast, high-volume scoring) Simulated Score: Michigan State 79 – Louisville 73
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BetsfromtheBoot
BetsfromtheBoot@betsfromtheboot·
MARCH MADNESS: SATURDAY - ROUND 2 - BE$T BET #13 TOURNAMENT RECORD: BE$T BETS: [10-2-0] +$1,335.35 🔥 PARLAYS: [5-9-0] +$1,836.51 🔥 FUTURES: [0-2-0] -$135.00 WHY? High-Scoring Recent Games: In their first-round matchups yesterday, both teams significantly exceeded this total. Saint Louis scored 102 points against Georgia (total: 179), and Michigan scored 101 points against Howard (total: 181). Offensive Powerhouses: Michigan averages 87.2 points per game, while Saint Louis averages 87.7 points. Combining these averages (174.9) suggests a final score well above the 161.5 line. Pace of Play: Oddsmakers set this high total (one of the highest on the slate) because both teams play at a fast pace and have highly efficient shooters. METRICS: • Michigan (KenPom #3 overall, #1 seed) Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: ~125-128 (top-10, ~8th in some rankings) Adjusted Defensive Efficiency: ~92-94 (elite, #1 nationally in some metrics) Adjusted Efficiency Margin: ~+35-37 (top-3) Adjusted Tempo: ~68-70 (moderate, efficient push with strong transition/rebounding) • Saint Louis (KenPom #32 overall, #9 seed) Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 120.1 (43rd) Adjusted Defensive Efficiency: 100.1 (35th) Adjusted Efficiency Margin: +20.02 (~32nd) Adjusted Tempo: 71.3 (19th — faster, high-volume shooting/3s) Simulated Score: Michigan 88 – Saint Louis 80 Total: 168
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BetsfromtheBoot
BetsfromtheBoot@betsfromtheboot·
MARCH MADNESS: FRIDAY - ROUND 1 - "LATE NIGHT SESSION" BE$T BET #12 We got IOWA ML pending... they lead by 10 early in the 2nd Half. Miami ML also another BE$T BET we have in the cue... this is #12: TOURNAMENT RECORD: BE$T BETS: [8-2-0] +$967.35 PARLAYS: [2-9-0] +$278.68 FUTURES: [0-2-0] -$135.00 WHY? Elite Offensive Firepower: Both teams are among the nation's best at putting the ball in the hoop. Miami (FL) ranks 34th nationally in scoring at 81.9 PPG, while Missouri averages a healthy 79.7 PPG. Shooting Efficiency: This isn't just volume; it's accuracy. Miami holds the 10th-best shooting percentage in the country (50.1%), and Missouri is right behind them at 18th (49.1%). High efficiency usually leads to more points in a shorter amount of time. Defensive Vulnerabilities: Neither team has been locked in defensively lately. Missouri has allowed at least 78 points in three straight games, and Miami gave up 84 and 92 points in recent ACC contests. Betting Trends: The "Over" has hit in six of Missouri's last nine games, including their most recent two. METRICS: • Miami (FL) (KenPom #30 overall) Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 121.3 (32nd) Adjusted Defensive Efficiency: 100.8 (40th-41st) Adjusted Efficiency Margin: +20.46 (~30th) Adjusted Tempo: 67.6 (168th — moderate, half-court preferred) • Missouri (KenPom #51 overall) Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 119.6 (50th) Adjusted Defensive Efficiency: 104.0 (79th) Adjusted Efficiency Margin: +15.59 (~51st-52nd) Adjusted Tempo: 66.3 (246th — slower, SEC grind style) Simulated Score: Miami 76 – Missouri 73 [Total: 149]
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BetsfromtheBoot
BetsfromtheBoot@betsfromtheboot·
MARCH MADNESS: FRIDAY - ROUND 1 - "AFTER NOON SESSION" PARLAY TOURNAMENT RECORD: SIDES: [6-1-0] +$887.35 TOTALS: [0-0-0] +/- $0 PARLAYS: [2-7-0] +$292.68 FUTURES: [0-1-0] -$100.00 BET: BONUS BET / $523.82 [We HIT yesterday's BONUS BET parlay... let's CASH another this afternoon!
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BetsfromtheBoot
BetsfromtheBoot@betsfromtheboot·
MARCH MADNESS: FRIDAY - ROUND 1 - "AFTER NOON SESSION" BE$T BET #10 TOURNAMENT RECORD: SIDES: [6-1-0] +$887.35 TOTALS: [0-0-0] +/- $0 PARLAYS: [2-7-0] +$292.68 FUTURES: [0-1-0] -$100.00 WHY? Elite Offensive Efficiency: Iowa ranks 19th nationally in field goal percentage, shooting 49% from the floor. They are also superior at the free-throw line, which is often the deciding factor in close tournament games. The "McCollum-Stirtz" Factor: Iowa's guard Bennett Stirtz (20.0 PPG) is considered the best player on the floor for this matchup. His synergy with head coach Ben McCollum—who has a stellar 14-4 record in win-or-go-home games—gives Iowa a schematic advantage. METRICS: • Iowa (KenPom ~#24-25 overall) Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 121.7 (31st) Adjusted Defensive Efficiency: 99.3-99.4 (30th) Adjusted Efficiency Margin: +22.38 (~24th-25th) Adjusted Tempo: 63.1 (358th — one of the slowest in D1) • Clemson (KenPom ~#38-39 overall) Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 116.4 (72nd) Adjusted Defensive Efficiency: 97.4 (21st) Adjusted Efficiency Margin: +19.02 (~38th-39th) Adjusted Tempo: 64.3 (333rd — also very slow)
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BetsfromtheBoot
BetsfromtheBoot@betsfromtheboot·
MARCH MADNESS: FRIDAY - ROUND 1 - "AFTER NOON SESSION" BE$T BET #10 TOURNAMENT RECORD: SIDES: [6-1-0] +$887.35 TOTALS: [0-0-0] +/- $0 PARLAYS: [2-7-0] +$292.68 FUTURES: [0-1-0] -$100.00 WHY? Offensive Efficiency: Utah State boasts one of the most efficient offenses in the nation, ranking in the top 15 for field goal percentage (49.8%) and top 25 for assists. They average 83 points per game, significantly outscoring Villanova's 77.6 average. Elite Performance as Favorites: The Aggies have been incredibly reliable when favored this season, posting a 26-4 straight-up record in that role. Safety Net (10 Up to Win): With the way Utah State can score in bunches, a 10-0 run is not out of the question. So I have applied the 10 up to win instantly on this play.
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Nicolas Hulscher, MPH
Nicolas Hulscher, MPH@NicHulscher·
🚨HUNDREDS of studies now confirm COVID-19 “vaccines” are one of the largest carcinogenic exposures in HISTORY They increase your risk of 7 major cancers — based on 2 studies involving 8.7 MILLION people. CDC data shows over 138,000 excess cancer deaths in the U.S. since 2021.
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BetsfromtheBoot
BetsfromtheBoot@betsfromtheboot·
MARCH MADNESS: FRIDAY - ROUND 1 - "AFTER NOON SESSION" BE$T BET #9 TOURNAMENT RECORD: SIDES: [6-1-0] +$887.35 TOTALS: [0-0-0] +/- $0 PARLAYS: [2-7-0] +$292.68 FUTURES: [0-1-0] -$100.00 WHY? Significant Line Value: Most sportsbooks have this line set at +11.5. By taking the "Alternate Spread" of +17.5, you are getting an extra 6 points of safety. Even if Tennessee wins by 17, your bet still wins. Elite Offensive Firepower: Miami (OH) enters this game with one of the most prolific offenses in the country, averaging 90.6 points per game (ranked 2nd nationally). Their ability to score in bunches—including a First Four record 89 points against SMU—makes them very difficult to blow out by 18+ points. Momentum vs. Rust: The RedHawks (32-1) have immense momentum following their First Four victory, while Tennessee (22-11) has had a layoff since their conference tournament, potentially leading to a slow start for the Volunteers. Strong ATS Performance: Miami (OH) has been highly reliable for bettors this season, posting a 20-10 record against the spread (ATS). In contrast, Tennessee is just 15-18 ATS and has struggled to cover large double-digit spreads, going 5-6 when favored by 11.5 or more. Expert Consensus: Multiple betting models favor Miami (OH) to cover even the smaller +11.5 line, with some OF my simulations even predicting an outright upset.
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BetsfromtheBoot@betsfromtheboot·
We ran it back with Texas... play-in game winner moves in again. CASH DAT!
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BetsfromtheBoot
BetsfromtheBoot@betsfromtheboot·
We continue to CASH DAT during the MADNESS!
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BetsfromtheBoot
BetsfromtheBoot@betsfromtheboot·
High Point spittin'
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BetsfromtheBoot
BetsfromtheBoot@betsfromtheboot·
MARCH MADNESS: THURSDAY - ROUND 1 - BE$T BET #6 TOURNAMENT RECORD: SIDES: [4-0-0] +$802.35 🔥 TOTALS: [0-0-0] +/- $0 PARLAYS: [1-4-0] -$56.26 FUTURES: [0-1-0] -$100.00 WHY? The Foul & Free Throw Mismatch: This is the most cited advantage. Texas A&M is highly aggressive but prone to fouling, ranking 325th nationally by committing 19.3 fouls per game. Saint Mary's is the No. 1 free-throw shooting team in the country (80.5%–81.1%), meaning they can build a lead at the line even if their field goal shooting is cold. Dominance on the Glass: Saint Mary's ranks 4th in the nation in rebounding margin (+11.3 per game), while Texas A&M ranks significantly lower at 228th (-0.2 margin). The Gaels' size and disciplined rebounding are expected to limit the Aggies' second-chance points, which are critical to their offense. Tempo Control: While A&M wants a high-speed "track meet" (94th percentile for quickness), Saint Mary's is famous for a methodical, slow pace (80th percentile for slowest tempo). Analysts believe the Gaels' 7th-ranked scoring defense (allowing only 64.6 PPG) will successfully "suck the will" out of the game and frustrate A&M's rhythm. Efficiency Edge: Despite the slower pace, Saint Mary's has a more efficient offense than A&M, averaging 120.4 points per 100 possessions compared to the Aggies' 119.7. They shoot a superior 39% from three-point range. PROJECTED SCORE: St. Mary's 74-70 METRICS: Saint Mary's Gaels: Adj. Offensive Efficiency 123.7 (#20) Adj. Defensive Efficiency 98.6 (#25) Adj. Efficiency Margin +25.17 (#20) Adjusted Tempo 64.0 (#297) Texas A&M Aggies: Adj. Offensive Efficiency 121.5 (#49) Adj. Defensive Efficiency 103.0 (#40) Adj. Efficiency Margin +18.5 (#39) Adjusted Tempo 73.1 (#29)
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BetsfromtheBoot
BetsfromtheBoot@betsfromtheboot·
MARCH MADNESS: THURSDAY - ROUND 1 - BE$T BET #5 TOURNAMENT RECORD: SIDES: [4-0-0] +$802.35 🔥 TOTALS: [0-0-0] +/- $0 PARLAYS: [1-4-0] -$56.26 FUTURES: [0-1-0] -$100.00 WHY? The "First Four" Momentum Texas enters this game with the advantage of having already played on the tournament stage this week. They defeated NC State 68-66 in the First Four on Tuesday. Historically, teams coming out of the First Four have a strong track record of winning their next game due to increased rhythm and adjusted tournament nerves. BYU's Key Injury & Recent Struggles The Cougars have been a different team since losing star guard Richie Saunders (18 PPG) to a torn ACL in mid-February. The Slide: Without Saunders, BYU went 4-5 down the stretch, including double-digit losses to non-tournament teams like West Virginia and Cincinnati. Lack of Depth: Outside of AJ Dybantsa and Robert Wright III, analysts note a lack of reliable volume shooters, which could allow Texas to double-team BYU's primary threats. Texas’ Physical Edge at the Rim The Longhorns have specific statistical advantages that can neutralize BYU’s offensive firepower: Free Throw Dominance: Texas ranks 4th nationally in free-throw rate. Players like Dailyn Swain and Matas Vokietaitis excel at drawing fouls, which can slow the game down and put BYU's thin rotation in foul trouble. Rebounding: While BYU is strong, Texas has been elite on the glass recently. Chendall Weaver is highlighted as a factor for second-chance points that can keep the score within the 2.5-point margin. Elite Mid-Range Game: Both defenses struggle to guard the mid-range. If Tramon Mark—who hit the game-winner against NC State—can exploit these gaps again, Texas has the scoring balance to stay competitive.
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BetsfromtheBoot
BetsfromtheBoot@betsfromtheboot·
The ARIZONA INVITATIONAL has begun!
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BetsfromtheBoot@betsfromtheboot·
MARCH MADNESS: THURSDAY - "ROUND 1" BE$T BET #4 TOURNAMENT RECORD: BE$T BETS: [3-0-0] +$602.35 ROUND 1 - BE$T BET *BET RESET TOKEN APPLIED BET: $240.00 / $440.00 WHY? Elite Defense: Nebraska ranks 17th in the country in defensive efficiency and is especially strong on the perimeter, holding opponents to just 29.9% from three-point range. Offensive Discipline: The Cornhuskers play a "meticulous" style, avoiding turnovers and unnecessary fouls that give underdogs easy points. Talent & Resume Gap: Nebraska finished tied for second in the Big Ten with nine Quad 1 wins, whereas Troy did not record a single win against an NCAA Tournament team this season. Location Advantage: The game is in Oklahoma City, which is expected to provide a significant home-court-like environment for Nebraska fan NUMBERS IMPACT? Nebraska Cornhuskers Nebraska enters the tournament with an elite defense, ranked among the top 10 nationally. Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 114.0 (Ranked 55th overall). Adjusted Defensive Efficiency: 92.2 (Ranked 7th overall). Adjusted Efficiency Margin: +21.52 (Ranked 20th overall). Adjusted Tempo: Approximately 67.0 possessions per 40 minutes (calculated based on recent game averages). Troy Trojans Troy is a gritty, defensive-minded team that relies on second-chance points but struggles with consistent shooting. Adjusted Offensive Efficiency: 113.5 (Ranked 141st overall). Adjusted Defensive Efficiency: 103.4 (Ranked 166th overall). Adjusted Efficiency Margin: -0.71 (Ranked 163rd overall). Adjusted Tempo: Approximately 68.5 possessions per 40 minutes (tending to play slightly faster in transition but slow in the half-court). Matchup Impact: The massive gap in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency (7th vs. 166th) is why Nebraska is a double-digit favorite. While Troy scores over 80 points per game, they do so against much weaker defenses; Nebraska's 7th-ranked unit is expected to limit them significantly.
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BetsfromtheBoot@betsfromtheboot·
The HUNTED are now the HUNTERS...
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