

Brad Keithley💲📊
19.2K posts

@bgkeithley
Alaskan. Managing Director of Alaskans for Sustainable Budgets. As part of that, a weekly podcast & column. Away from that, theater, concerts, travel.



Alaska LNG just locked in ConocoPhillips on a 30-year gas supply deal. The FID is now within reach. Glenfarne's Alaska LNG now has supply agreements with ConocoPhillips, ExxonMobil, Hilcorp Alaska, and Great Bear Pantheon. That's enough contracted volume to support a Final Investment Decision for Phase One. Phase One is a 739-mile, 42-inch pipeline running natural gas from Alaska's North Slope to in state consumers. Phase Two adds LNG export facilities at Nikiski the piece that turns this into a global story. For years, Alaska LNG was talked about and never built. The gas is there. The demand exists. The problem was always getting producers to commit. ConocoPhillips just changed that calculus.






Wow. This is very interesting. @realDonaldTrump has invoked the Defense Production Act for "Natural Gas Transmission, Processing, Storage, and Liquefied Natural Gas Capacity." It does not specifically mention Alaska but it has to include the gasline. #akleg whitehouse.gov/presidential-a…



Here’s where a justifiable lessening of concern about a #LNG glut now could lead to an even bigger one later. Aspiring LNG projects are now emboldened, while traumatized LNG buyers and host governments maybe have had enough and will look for alternatives. @ColumbiaUEnergy #ONGT

Global LNG trade now exceeds gas pipeline trade. Definitely more of a headliner than it used to be. Note that the loss of Russian pipeline gas to Europe is slightly larger than Qatari capacity shutdown. It’s not coming back today, but it’s sitting there…waiting. @ColumbiaUEnergy




Brent crude topped $70/bbl for the first time since August as US-Iran tensions spiked after President Trump warned of a “massive armada” heading to the Persian Gulf, injecting a geopolitical risk premium into oil markets. Geopolitical fear is driving price pressure. oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-…

Jones Act alert. Yes, the largest LNG exporting country in the world cannot ship LNG from Texas to Boston. If you're looking for a starting point for a Jones Act EO waiver, this is it. Unlikely, as it's up against the most quietly effective lobby in DC. @ColumbiaUEnergy


It’s unclear how willing oil giants like Exxon Mobil Corp., Chevron Corp., ConocoPhillips and others are to pour substantial sums of money into a country run by a temporary US-backed government without established legal and fiscal rules. Exxon and ConocoPhillips didn’t respond to requests for comment Saturday. Chevron continues to operate in Venezuela under a special license from the US, it said in a statement. #oott bloomberg.com/news/articles/…


LNG ends the year at record output, and will not stop growing through 2030. 2025 marked the biggest year for supply growth since 2019 and if all goes according to plan, average growth over the next five years will be at least as much. A new era begins. @ColumbiaUEnergy

COMMODITIES 2026: #Asian refiners drawn to #US crude imports for economic and diplomatic gains 🔷 South Korea still Asia’s top US buyer, Thailand imports up 30% 🔷 Weak EFS, WTI discount to Murban make US crude appealing 🔷 US crude purchases strengthen relations via trade deals okt.to/nAerCq






“Can AI data centers tolerate >$5/mmbtu gas?” Is asking the wrong question The right question is, can the rest of our economy tolerate it?