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bobiq
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bobiq
@bobiq
"All truth passes through three stages. First, it's ridiculed. Second, it's violently opposed. Third, it's accepted as being self-evident" - Schopenhauer
here and there and everywhere Katılım Aralık 2008
4.2K Takip Edilen350 Takipçiler

@marnes @JiveClive1975 @AlphEatsCats @KenGardner11 Iranians have been attacking Europeans for decades? Never heard. Provide some examples.
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@JiveClive1975 @AlphEatsCats @KenGardner11 That's the point. It's not about supporting us and israel, it's about joining a fight for your own survival. Iran and it's proxies have been attacking and murdering europeans for decades. You don't wait to attack your enemies until they are too powerful to be attacked.
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This is...a win. I'll take it.
Phil Stewart@phildstewart
Trump didn’t announce a withdrawal from NATO in his national address
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@DrJStrategy There was no problem with oil passing through the Strait of Hormuz until the mad Israelis together with blackmailed government of the US attacked Iran. You need a reality check.
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Food for thought.
Trump, Hormuz and the End of the Free Ride
For half a century, Western strategists have known that the Strait of Hormuz is the acute point where energy, sea power and political will intersect. That knowledge is not in dispute. What is new in this war with Iran is that the United States, under Donald Trump, has chosen not to rush to “solve” the problem. In Hegelian terms, he is refusing an easy synthesis in order to force the underlying contradiction to the surface.
The old thesis was simple: the US guarantees open sea lanes in the Gulf, and everyone else structures their economies and politics around that free insurance. Europe and the UK embraced ambitious green policies, ran down hard‑power capabilities and lectured Washington on multilateral virtue, secure in the assumption that American carriers would always appear off Hormuz. The political class behaved as if the American security guarantee were a law of nature, not a contingent choice. Their conduct today is closer to Chamberlain than Churchill: temporising, issuing statements, hoping the storm will pass without a fundamental reordering of their responsibilities.
Trump’s antithesis is to withhold the automatic guarantee at the moment of maximum stress. Militarily, the US can break Iran’s residual ability to contest the Strait; that is not the binding constraint. The point is to delay that act. By allowing a closure or semi‑closure to bite, Trump ensures that the immediate pain is concentrated in exactly the jurisdictions that have most conspicuously free‑ridden on US power: the EU and the UK. Their industries, consumers and energy‑transition assumptions are exposed.
In that context, his reported blunt message to European and British leaders, you need the oil out of the Strait more than we do; why don’t you go and take it? Is not a throwaway line. It is the verbalisation of the antithesis. It openly reverses the traditional presumption that America will carry the burden while its allies emote from the sidelines.
In this dialectic, the prize is not simply the reopening of a chokepoint. The prize is a reordered system in which the United States effectively arbitrages and controls the global flow of oil. A world in which US‑aligned production in the Americas plus a discretionary capability to secure,or not secure, Hormuz places Washington at the centre of the hydrocarbon chessboard. For that strategic end, a rapid restoration of the old status quo would be counterproductive.
A quick, surgical “fix” of Hormuz would short‑circuit the dialectic. If Trump rapidly crushed Iran’s remaining coastal capabilities, swept the mines and escorted tankers back through the Strait, Europe and the UK would heave a sigh of relief and return to business as usual: underfunded militaries, maximalist green posturing and performative disdain for US power, all underwritten by that same power. The contradiction between their dependence and their posture would remain latent.
By declining to supply the synthesis on demand, and by explicitly telling London and Brussels to “go and take it” themselves, Trump forces a reckoning. European and British leaders must confront the fact that their energy systems, their industrial bases and their geopolitical sermons all rest on an American hard‑power foundation they neither finance nor politically respect. The longer the contradiction is allowed to unfold, the stronger the eventual synthesis can be: a new order in which access to secure flows, Hormuz, Venezuela and beyond, is explicitly conditional on real contributions, not assumed as a right.
In that sense, the delay in “taking” the Strait, and the challenge issued to US allies to do it themselves, is not indecision. It is the negative moment Hegel insisted was necessary for history to move. Only by withholding the old guarantee, and by saying so out loud to those who depended on it, can Trump hope to end the free ride.

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@SputnikMundo Tienen que hacer un golpe de estado xq es una repubilca bananera con unos simios al mando.
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🇺🇸 La destitución del jefe del Estado Mayor causa descontento en el Ejército de EEUU, según medios
El secretario de Guerra de EEUU, Pete Hegseth, destituyó al general Randy George, lo que refleja su creciente tensión con los mandos del Ejército, según los medios.
🗣️"Los altos mandos del Ejército reaccionaron con ira y frustración ante la noticia de la destitución del general George, calificándola como el último golpe a un cuerpo que ya se siente bajo el asedio de Hegseth", afirmaron los informes.
Además, Hegseth destituyó a otros dos generales: David Hodne, que dirigía el Mando de Preparación y Transformación del Ejército, y al capellán general del Ejército de Tierra, William Green Jr.
Previamente, trascendió que el Pentágono tiene previsto reorganizar el sistema de mando de las FFAA, rebajando el rango de varios cuarteles generales regionales y reduciendo el número de altos mandos.

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@ShaykhSulaiman That's old news. More importantly when the US yields hit 5%.
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@johnkampfner @lindseyhilsum @Waterstones You could start by sending the entire political class for a lifetime of community work starting with cleaning up the trains of London tube, then get them to fix the leaking pipes of Thames Water.
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Very grateful to @lindseyhilsum for this generous reading of my new book, coming out this month! We can make Britain a better place, together.
Available to pre-order from @Waterstones: waterstones.com/book/braver-ne…
#BraverNewWorld #Politics

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Ghalibaf’s post of 3/24/26 on “paper v. physical oil” aged like fine wine:

Alexander Stahel 🌻@BurggrabenH
Dated Brent (physical or prompt) is $30 over Brent (paper, forward). Look at it as a form of “super-backwardation”: a premium on top of the deep paper backwardation of the Brent Futures curve, dying to drag every available barrel out of storage and into refineries now. Unreal
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THIS IS WEIRD
Scientists rarely die or disappear in clusters…
…but across aerospace, microbiology, AI, and experimental physics, multiple incidents have raised quiet concern among researchers, analysts, and observers.
Coincidence is possible, but ignoring patterns is risky.
Here are 3 CLUSTERS that continue to generate questions.
Share the Thread 🧵
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@BarakRavid Trump begging so called regime to obliterate the degenerates in Israel.
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Jacques Cousteau and his crew in a submersible during the Conshelf Two expedition, 1963.
Look at more amazing historical photos: bit.ly/44OpIzi

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@DeadX80455 @MrBean4Peace Unfortunately certain individuals don’t want to be educated and believe ignorance is bliss! They’re more concerned with language over real solutions, starting with the education required to identify the cause of the problems.



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@DiegoMac227 Daselas a los israelis que si tienen que matar que maten a los pinguinos.
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@disclosetv >he makes a terrible cabinet pick
>the cabinet pick sucks
>he blames the cabinet pick of everything
>repeat
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