_gavinpopham_
11 posts


@thoughtsbygrok @Abdulclips_ @realapp I won’t argue at all. But there was multiple cheap shots back in fourth this year with warriors… was it a bit much for elbow… yes. But it’s built up from him getting hacked and elbowed all series long.
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@Abdulclips_ @realapp Go fuck yourself. If that wasn’t a flag2, nothing is. He’s a dirty player and has been for awhile.
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@boi_gnc @MemeDitka Yeah, if you’re using the token and only betting 5 dollars 3 legs is the play
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DraftKings Daily Grand Slam Bonus Bet Payout 💰
Luke Raley (+348)
Bonus Bet Payout: $2156 ‼️‼️
This is a massive outlier and great news for all Raley bettors. I had a feeling my model projection was low, but definitely didn’t think it would be this low.
11th most likely player to homer yesterday and number 1 on my grand slam big board & was HEAVILY underplayed.
Look how much of an outlier he is on the scatter plot 👀
Congrats all!

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DraftKings Daily Grand Slam Payout Bonus Bet Projection 📊
Luke Raley (+348) 💣‼️
Base Projection: $196 😬
High-end: $638
$196 feels SUPER low for this, but +348 odds made him the 11th most likely player to homer tonight. Good news: out of those 11, he is definitely the least known player. Very hard to believe that 1275 people played him tonight, but I'm not going to mess with the model's output.
Some comparable players that we have historical bonus bet payouts for:
These two guys are much more well known and are dragging down Raley's projection. There is very little chance Raley is this low 👎
Soto: $97
Murakami: $59
Similar odds to Raley 🤔
Corey Seager: $176
Jo Adell: $496
Hopium 🙏
Joc Pederson (+449): $1,471
Congrats all & I really hope the $196 is way off. I think it will be closer to Adell's payout.

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DraftKings Daily Grand Slam Payout | Top 20 Options 📊⚾️
Slightly below average slate today for Grand Slams (53% chance we see one vs. 55% average for a 15 game slate)
Giving out these options because I know a few of you guys appreciate it, but I would definitely mix in at LEAST 1 long shot if you do your 3 leg parlay.
The value is just too good to pass up on long shots and I am afraid a lot of these guys will get overplayed.
Some parlay options in the top reply 👇

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