@Atlantislq Just wait for another Ai generated video with Israel president, now with 7 fingers 😁 everyone will panic again. Will be a perfect time to get out through small limit orders I guess
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dionysiosfirst
6.9K posts
dionysiosfirst
@brightdio
Digital Asset Analyst: Tokenomics, Financial Modeling & Risk @zscdao fellow Δ, Γ, Θ, V, ρ DMs open
Web3 Katılım Mart 2021
276 Takip Edilen574 Takipçiler
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This guy prints money with his own bot on Polymarket
He has made over 49K predictions, generating $1.65M in total profit with a 55% win rate
His trading is focused on Up/Down markets
5-min: 21,800 markets
15-min: 23,200 markets
Despite a modest win rate, he prints strong profits consistently
His profile: @k9Q2mX4L8A7ZP3R?via=mahera777" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@k9Q2mX4L8A7ZP…
If you wish, you can connect it to copy trading below
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@predicttime_ @iatskar @gondorfi watched some highlights and they cracked me up, will be watching the whole thing in a minute
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@mopozeuX @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Dunno why people are giving openai that leading position
during the most recent interaction's with it it feels it has gotten stupid in general questions (not coding) and it is too pleasable
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Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
An interesting market to think about. The AI sector is developing rapidly and top models are constantly releasing updates.
If Gemini was considered a leader until recently, now Anthropic occupies the first 2 leading positions.
Polymarket evaluates the chances as follows:
> OpenAI - 26%
> xAI - 25%
> DeepSeek - 9%
OpenAI really has every chance to take the first place. They are currently actively engaged in updates to their AI, which are released every month.
By June 30, we can expect GPT-5.3 / 5.4 versions from them, and maybe even 5.5.
I would put Gemini next to them, I think they will definitely release version 3.5, and maybe they will even have time to release version 4 (unlikely).
Also, do not forget that Anthropic can also probably release versions of Claude 4.7 / 5 and consolidate their positions.
If we talk about Grok, it is much weaker than the first three that I described, but its progress is noticeable much faster. Elon Musk is actively promoting it, but the real chances of becoming a leader by June 30 are about 5%.
What do you think about this market?
MopOzeu | Eternity@mopozeuX
Polymarket trader earned $1,928,950 in 2 weeks His profile: polymarket.com/profile/%400x2… This trader joined Polymarket only in March 2026 and started making his first bets on March 3. He mainly trades in high-risk markets related to sports, esports, and crypto. Here are his best deals: > Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? - NO at 31.2c —> $1,043,151 profit > Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07? - YES at 36.7c —> $458,281 profit He is now one of the top 5 traders who have made a profit in the sports category. Perhaps next month he will already be top 1. I will keep an eye on his deals further.
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are they preparing something bigger than it looks?
feels like more than just a feature update
something quietly building behind the scenes on @Chance_ 👀
Chance@Chance_
Loading... █▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ 10%
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@thelordofpolym I want a market on Mentions for CS2 that would be fun
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CS2 fans can now view Polymarket charts during breaks between matches featuring their favorite esports teams
BLAST Premier 💥@BLASTPremier
Vitality stonks through the roof on Polymarket 📈 #BLASTPremier
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@thelordofpolym Han they are trying to pass this though to us...😆
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Breaking News🚨: Jeffrey Epstein is alive and well.
That’s what many people thought when they saw this guy, but he’s not Jeffrey Epstein. He just looks a lot like him.
The man from that Florida video had to set the record straight, saying he’s not Jeffrey Epstein after people online said he looked like him
The probability that Jeffrey Epstein will be confirmed to be alive before 2027 is 6%, according to Polymarket
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@stacyonchain was waiting to hear the amount but it cut at the most interesting moment 😅
will definitely watch the whole thing now
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Still calling yourself “just a trader”? That’s the problem
All your answers are in this video.
If you think this is your final form you’re limiting yourself
Your real edge isn’t charts, it’s the ideas in your head
So stop hesitating
Stop playing small
Make decisions
Build something bigger
Watch the new video or stay exactly where you are
Predict Time@predicttime_
@iatskar @gondorfi YouTube: youtu.be/162cBdj3pxU
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@nofadsec Sports must something this one is really good at (predicting I mean)
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This guy on Polymarket just turned a single day into a six-figure run
Over $250K in positions
At one point showing ~$150K profit in 24h
Huge bets on sports markets
NBA, spreads, match winners
One position alone: ~$48K with ~+78%
Another: $20K+ with ~+40%
Not spraying bets
Just a few high-conviction plays with size
That’s the difference
capital + timing + conviction
Polymarket isn’t small anymore
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@paonx_eth well now he knows what to work on
does its with trial and error, the hard way 😁
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My friend made $1,800 in a week on Polymarket
81.2% win rate. 1,870 trades
i asked: did you bootstrap it?
He didn't know what that meant
Two weeks later he was down $1,100
not because the strategy failed - because he never knew his worst case drawdown
Here's the difference between a strategy and a lucky streak 👇
Bootstrap - run the same trades thousands of times with random reshuffling
if the win rate holds -> it's structural edge
if it collapses -> it was luck
His strategy held: [79.4% - 83.8%] across every simulation
Sharpe ratio: 1.89 - 2.41
Worst-case drawdown: -13.4%
He hit it. Unprepared
Now we know the edge is real
but Bootstrap doesn't tell you where to enter
That's what Markov Chain is for
It simulates thousands of paths a contract can take
from any price zone to resolution
Watch what 10,000 simulated markets look like:
- Low zone (10-30%): most contracts stay low or slowly grind up
- Mid zone (30-60%): the chaos zone - real price discovery
- High zone (60-100%): fast - 25% reach YES resolution each step
Entry rule: price < 50% of Markov probability -> buy.
One backtest is a guess
10,000 simulations is a system
Read the full article for a deeper breakdown
Noisy@noisyb0y1
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@Lutchyn13 @PolymarketSport @PolymarketTrade Playing it safe predicting the score, I see clever move
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Roma vs Bologna
Here, I also expect a repeat of the first match.
Roma are essentially the main favorites of the tournament, but Italiano and the team have shown that they won’t give up their quarterfinal spot easily.
Bologna has found good form recently, and I expect them to score at least one goal. The Gasperini team shouldn’t disappoint their fans either.
My prediction on Polymarket: both teams to score
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@CryptoLorenzo2k you almost look alike, how did you even find such nft pfp that would look like you?
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@Atlantislq you might get secure a sweet return and at the same time they will actually hold a referendum
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Are these the easiest 53% annual returns of my life or will Canada actually allow this to happen?
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The Pilot episode of the @predicttime_ podcast is live and I got you a tasty piece with the founder of
@gondorfi
Enjoy watching!
Predict Time@predicttime_
Pilot episode of the Predict Time podcast with @iatskar, founder of @gondorfi. Enjoy watching!
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@PolyDekos @Polymarket That is insane! How is this even possible, a really good one to copy
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I've finally found the perfect option for copy trading - 99% WIN RATE
$752,005 in total revenue. 25,574 forecasts. No interruptions since January 2025 on @Polymarket
No panic. No speculative markets. No big bets.
99% Win Rate. 25,574 deals. This isn't a fluke - it's a system.
His profile - @sharky6999" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@sharky6999
For copying, I recommend using Fors: app.fors.market
Dekos@PolyDekos
$739 → $1,817,710 betting on NBA spreads This Polymarket trader entered with $739 in November 2025. No complex models, no insider information, no high-profile bets No setbacks. No panic. Just edge by edge. his profile - @gatorr?via=dekos2911" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@gatorr?via=de…
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While all this quants in the timeline are printing millions with AI, you’re still lost in simulation models and deep research agents.
Don’t worry - I found solution for you. 18k stars on GitHub. Your own financial analyst right in your pocket.
An autonomous financial research agent that thinks, plans, and learns as it works - Dexter.
> 2-command install, 30 seconds to set up
> full Claude skill set + agentic search APIs
> real-time market data straight from financial datasets MCP Server
> text it on WhatsApp for research if u want (financial Jarvis living in your phone)
Just paste GitHub link into ChatGPT/Claude/Grok or any other LLM and it will walk you through the two-click install.
Everything else is handled by Dexter.
It performs analysis using task planning, self-reflection, and real-time market data.
Code is 100% open source and available on GitHub:
github.com/virattt/dexter
Save this post so you don't lose the links.
cvxv666@antpalkin
Chinese quant built a simulation of how SPX price reacts to any global event. He’s already made over $100k - with full blockchain proof. He knows exactly where price will go. More than 40 years of SPX trading history have been loaded into MiroFish simulator (18k stars on GitHub) AI analyzed every single moment in that trading history. Now this guy has a fully functional SPX price prediction system. His wallet: @moisturizer?via=cvxv666" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@moisturizer?v…
Dozens of successful SPX price-prediction trades and hundreds of tests across other stock markets. Here’s exactly what you need to replicate his stack: - market data APIs (SPX price, use Alpha Vantage or Quandl) - data pipeline (use Python) - feature engineering (for output signals like RSI, MACD) - seed dataset for MiroFish (convert data into structured context) - multi-agent simulation (macro strategist, earnings analyst, sentiment analyst agents etc.) - probability forecast (run different scenarios) - trading / decision Model (SPX futures ES, SPY ETF) Save this pipeline if you want to run a similar simulation on your own data. You can feed the whole thing to your Claude and build your first (even small) simulation model together. English