Bear Bullington

370 posts

Bear Bullington

Bear Bullington

@britplay

Malta Katılım Şubat 2021
713 Takip Edilen122 Takipçiler
I Sell Options Guy
I Sell Options Guy@RentYourStocks·
Me to my wife tomorrow... 7am - We're going to the farmer's market 725am - Second thought, I'm going golfing with the boys 745am - Change of plans, the boys are going to the farmers market 8am - Honey, the farmer's market is cancelled, the boys are coming over for Pancakes. Put something cute on.
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David Hunter
David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian·
Here is my latest interview, recorded 3/13/26, with Dave Russell @GoldCore. Lots of good discussion about the markets and macro, especially the metals markets and the miners. youtube.com/watch?v=SoZIpt…
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Bear Bullington
Bear Bullington@britplay·
Great post on sizing, similar to Soros or Druckenmiller style
Luc@investingluc

My Position Sizing, a Guide: (position sizing = what % of your account you risk on a trade) I personally use a combination of conviction-based sizing and pyramiding, meaning I sized based on how strong my thesis is + add size as the trade works. Here's a loose version of my style, as it applies to a+ setups. To start, I have zero problem putting 35%+ of my account into a high conviction, thematic long idea in a strong market environment. So let's say we have one of those situations in front of us. I have a $100K account, and I am putting up $35K for this trade. Starter position is typically 10-25% of full position, with entry during a basing of price or a retest of prior breakout at key levels. Stoploss is a daily candle close below those predetermined levels, usually around <5% on commons...so essentially you're only risking 5% of the starter position (<2% total risk to acct). Next add is another 20-30% of position size, and again I'm *pyramiding*, so only adding as the trade proves me right (usually on higher lows). > breakouts holding > pullbacks bought > relative strength > thematic leader > key levels respected I'm adding on weakness within a strong uptrend on a leader. Next is the meaty add....typically increasing position 35-45% to position size, now I'm roughly at 80-90% of my full position. By this point: - the trend is solid/established - the market is confirming - stock is behaving I tack on the last 10% of the position on any flushes within the trend or shakeouts that hold structure. Full $35K position now. But you're probably thinking: 1) where does my stoploss move to? 2) when do I exit? Well as you are adding / increasing position sizing, you raise your stop to reduce risk. Simple example: - starter entry at $100, stop at $95 (risking 5%) - second add at $110 on a dip now instead of keeping stop at $95… you might move it up to: - $100 (breakeven on starter) - or higher depending on structure So now you’ve increased size, without increasing total risk. For exiting + scaling out, I usually take profit for a few reasons: > any abnormal extension from trend (ex: stock pops 15% on news) > if the catalyst has passed > thesis fundamentally changes > momentum starts to stall (in theme or mkt env) > I hit my price target or level ...else I stay in. I can go into this more in depth, but here are some youtube videos on pyramiding + similar strategies. - pyramiding by @theshortbear - position sizing @qullamaggie - scaling into positions @markminervini 💙Luc

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Colin
Colin@colin_gladman·
Curious if this painful lesson is in the room with us now?
Colin tweet media
Avx@ToptionsAvx

@colin_gladman Bulls are going to teach the bears a painful lesson

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Bear Bullington
Bear Bullington@britplay·
@doclindenbrook I meant moon, it will fligh so high that you will be tired of it going up, each day you will say why is up again, i can't handle it anymore, can we have at least a flat day
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Doc Lindenbrook
Doc Lindenbrook@doclindenbrook·
@britplay "will moon", LOLz. Assume you meant "will move", but if $GLD goes to The Moon, I will take it!
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Bear Bullington
Bear Bullington@britplay·
@LivingITMoney There was some correction just after GTC, but did not last much. But yeah, people might start taking some profits in the short term. Long term though the sector is really bullish, unless capex is reduced due to a recession or credit issues
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Cliff
Cliff@LivingITMoney·
@britplay I have to feel it’s closer to euphoric short term top, can’t chase here
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Cliff
Cliff@LivingITMoney·
Holy shit bro every time I look $LITE $COHR $AXTI $SNDK are all up 10%. Why didn’t I full port here in January 😂
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Cliff
Cliff@LivingITMoney·
Not going short unless we see $675 later today. Just don't have a good feeling with whole timeline short...
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Bear Bullington
Bear Bullington@britplay·
$IREN deal is coming
IREN@IREN_Ltd

Day 1 at @NVIDIAGTC What an awesome first day - it was great to connect with thousands of developers, researchers, and business leaders to hear what they're most excited about for the week ahead. #GTC2026

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