Brooke Kee

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Brooke Kee

Brooke Kee

@brokeexee

Shadow Copywriter. Prev at @coindesk @trondao and @binance

Toronto, Ontario Katılım Mart 2022
18 Takip Edilen45.8K Takipçiler
Brooke Kee retweetledi
Lauris
Lauris@lzminsky·
you can literally write down a general equilibrium ICAPM around this and it just clears. endogenous startup supply, heterogeneous fund tiers as agents, big funds with better category signal, and my favorite part, a non-pecuniary social cachet return as a preference parameter the core insight is that every tier of the capital stack is pricing recursively off the tier above it. Merton’s ICAPM but the consumption-portfolio problem cascades down the venture stack instead of across asset classes. so when Arian talks about small funds acting as “feeders,” that’s hedging demand. you stay in a category because the continuation value of being positioned there is highest the single state variable everyone downstream is hedging against is big fund category conviction. when that rotates, everything below it reprices overnight. cramming everyone into SF collapses monitoring costs and strips out information asymmetry, which makes the hedge tractable enough to actually act on. state variables again and all that burned seed capital is the system charges a risk premium for resolving who the category winner is. people look at this and see dysfunction or status games. but when returns are power-law and information is both extreme asymmetry and sequentially revealed, you need a mechanism that eliminates candidates in rounds to converge on a price. market clearing basically
arian ghashghai@arian_ghashghai

I generally bemoan the reality that Bay Area (and increasingly global) startup culture is devolving into an MBA-ified zero-sum tournament (akin to the law school/firm example Peter Thiel talks about in Zero to One), both for founders and VC participants The anatomy of the tournament: > VC firms (big firms carrying more weight) "request" startups in areas that are highly likely to have a highly valuable ($10B+) winner in the future > Upstream, many small seed funds that act as feeders to big firms begin investing in these areas (to serve their purpose as feeders -> show markups to LPs) > As much of this capital is in the Bay Area, it's easier to track the tournament by encouraging geographical concentration of the tournament participants (e.g. "you must be in SF if you're building AI apps"). Something like a VC-sanctioned hackerhouse is the extreme form of this > Syndicates of small seed funds will back the first wave of teams to stay in the business (the unfunded are eliminated, on to the next tournament) > Teams continue to get eliminated, with capital concentrating into fewer and fewer companies. > Ultimately, a handful survive. Big firms plow money into these tournament finalists to kingmake them as the category winners (ton of seed fund capital burned btw as collateral damage to enable the winners for the big firms to choose from) imo almost all the moves you see in mainstream Bay Area venture cater to the facilitation of this tournament. The technical "MBA" type (i.e. those that can build but are inherently interested in social cachet) is typically the one that participates (as "winning" in the tournament i.e. raising big fundraising rounds) generates social cachet (akin to getting into a good law school, or landing a shiny consulting job in a prior era).

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Brooke Kee retweetledi
Lauris
Lauris@lzminsky·
have you ever tried to obtain and compute replication costs for discrete proxies to FOMC decisions? The Demiurge of the volatility surface continues to speak, but only to those inside the apparatus. From outside, silence.
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Lauris
Lauris@lzminsky·
bullish
Lauris tweet media
CoinList@CoinList

The @USDai_Official whitelist sale on CoinList closed with over $19.4M committed 🎉 • Allocations will be sent via email • Full refunds available through March 20, 2026 at app.usd.ai • 100% unlock at TGE (expected March 2026) Congratulations to the entire $CHIP community!

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Lauris
Lauris@lzminsky·
great stuff. one addition of mine would be if you’re looking for arbitrage opportunities (and there are MANY) between tradfi binary options and binary event contracts, study the following: - Carr and Wu re: Variance Risk Premium - Bollwrslev, Gibson and Zhou (2011)
Roan@RohOnChain

x.com/i/article/2025…

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Lauris
Lauris@lzminsky·
an amazing read. the social contract has changed substantially. a good way to think about this is as if there was an external environment generating recurssive expectations for us in terms of ends + means thats over
Will@WClemente

x.com/i/article/2025…

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Brooke Kee retweetledi
Lauris
Lauris@lzminsky·
We’re reenacting DeFi Summer with agent money games and you’re still PVPing memecoins on Solana
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Lauris
Lauris@lzminsky·
i told the girl that im dating that theres a city in China called “chong ching” and she called me racist
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Brooke Kee retweetledi
Lauris
Lauris@lzminsky·
a bunch of tourists and Bangkok-based scammers are going to leave Yay. We can focus on: - permissionless settlement - open source market creation and asset origination - financial software that both humans and agents can use at warp-speed exciting
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