Bruno

Actively looking for an AI-native finance role. semi-technical. interested in capital markets, emerging tech, and the incoming agent economy. bpedroso.com/resume

Believe you can make it happen as a startup founder. Seriously because if you don’t believe it then who will? In the beginning the odds are stacked against you. You kinda have to be irrational for a while. Just get after it.

the beautiful thing about reality is it often feels scripted in reverse and unpredictable in advanced. sometimes things work out so perfectly, we look back and say “it was meant to be” after you know that, there’s isn’t any other way to live than wholeheartedly believing that it’s rigged in your favor. there will never be any benefit in believing it won’t work out for you by the end of it, you often find that the things that are now accomplished; weren’t even the ones you originally set out to do and regardless of the outcome, you’ll be better off for having tried. there’s no substitute for effort

@NoahKingJr actually it was “go to sleep.”

The dumbest person you know is currently being told "You're absolutely right!" by Claude

@ItsKieranDrew so the UK really is like this then

just wait until winter

Claude when it’s done with your shit

one of my favorites

@alexolegimas say more, with less.

The act of writing in many ways has been a signaling exercise: a potential reader, seeing a 10,000 word essay, may judge that the writer had through enough about the topic to write 10,000 words and read on. Length was a signal of value (noisy, of course). Now that a 10,000 word essay can be produced in seconds, the process of inferring value and the decisions of the writer will need to change as well. It has always required effort to craft a concise, short piece that contained a lot of information. Now I think it will be required; more Hemingway, less Dostoevsky (alas, I love Dostoevsky so much more).

AI psychosis is real

@calilyliu but avoidable, anyone with basic metacognition should be able to snap out of it 🤞

loved reading this. i’d like to believe that no matter how much content you train a model on that the information asymmetry between the real human experience and anything that can be distilled into data will always produce a gap. LLMs don’t perform as well in cases where irrationality is present and needed. they assume rational behavior too often, and they’ll probably always lose out to irrational actors in markets and other mediums. maybe the skill to be developing will be in relentlessly exploiting the AI

one thing about studying math at princeton back in the day was realizing how useless the substance of this degree would be once i decided not to pursue a career as a mathematician (not everyone can become john nash, conway, or pardon) and instead pivot to mastering economically valuable tasks around what was tractably computable (ad tech lol) particularly skills for which experience accumulated with time cannot be replaced via a textbook, or easily mastered without significant financial investment (regardless of how many billies in endowment a university might have) and maybe it's survivorship bias talking but it seems like in this day and age, the remarkable feats we see being accomplished by AI are directly proportional to what is most cleanly explained and encapsulated via volumes upon volumes of "textbook" data or "textbook" environments (rip math & games & art, but not really, since that's all part of the fun) and where the gaps remain are where data, if any, are scarce and financially intractable to simulate successfully so maybe all this is to say if you want to AI-proof your "careers" go where there's no data where reality is messy, inconsistent, and nearly impossible to explain in words how things ought to and should be in full because if there is a way to stay ahead it will be in relentlessly exploiting the data gap

@buccocapital crashed out on it the other day, it was never a thing before 4.6, now i feel like i hear it every other day

I thought it was weird that Claude kept telling me to go to sleep so I went on reddit and there's hundreds and hundreds of people saying that Claude keeps trying to end the conversation by telling them to go to bed

@signulll the whole thing really does feel like a humiliation ritual, all you can do is laugh it off. plenty of wrong perspectives out there

venture capital is too easy to dunk on cuz variance is enormous & noise dwarfs even that. capital access should function as signal but inverts into negative signal disturbingly often which is a hilarious miscalibration of the whole apparatus. tho fair, evolution fucks up constantly too, so maybe selection pressure just is like this. case in point.. met a guy recently (only because i know someone at his fund) whose entire lore is early faang employee, never founded anything, now runs a vehicle. proceeded to grill me on products i actually built & scaled, which was its own kind of comedy. then monologued about network effects for 30 min without clocking that this meeting was actively decrementing his own. i love irony so so much.🤣

@icanvardar the psychosis is real, the average user isn’t skeptical enough of the output. it’s sad to see

most of what people call productivity and speed is just ai slop

@elonmusk @IterIntellectus we all seek to live in a just world

@IterIntellectus Those who do vicious torture and murder, where there is no doubt that they are guilty, should be executed for the good of the world or they will do it again to innocent victims!

there will always be a gap between what the insiders are working with and what’s generally available. i suspect the sheer asymmetry in capabilities is massive. it’s probably fair to say “only people in San Francisco really get what AI is capable of” hopefully the gaps not as big as i think

I think we are past the point where “only people in San Francisco get AI” is true. AI users are in every industry & they have access to the same models. SF is far from the epicenter of many of the craziest use cases I have seen in science, law, finance, marketing, education…

@paulg and the unsuccessful ones as well, sometimes that delusion and refusal to believe your executing on a sunk cost fallacy pays off. there’s no failing or succeeding, we’re all just putting in our time as the hobbyist; enjoying every second of trying to bring something to life

It's an unimpressive-sounding word, but one of the most powerful motivations is the motivation of the hobbyist. That's what keeps successful founders working on their companies long past the point when they've made enough to quit. It's their beloved project.