Lorand Bruhacs

@JoshuaLWatson @m966021 soul woke up dirty inside

@m966021 how would you articulate the doctrine of original sin?

There is no difference in understanding original sin between the East and West.

@PAHoyeck It should just be bonjour. So sick of Québécois pandering to anglophones

Canadians in Montreal be like "bonjour/hi"

@47fucb4r8c69323 A masterpiece

"And that is why, after hundreds of hours of analysis, due diligence within our expert network, modeling of all possible scenarios, checking both public and proprietary micro and macro data, and doing thousands of stress tests, we have concluded that artificial intelligence is likely to produce 200 basis points of incremental real GDP growth compared to the counterfactual trendline. Our bear case still remains positive, at an incremental 25 bips growth and our bull case remains 500 bips above the counterfactual. That concludes my presentation, thank you." The analyst nervously reached for a glass of water as he looked at the investor committee, trying his hard not to let the nerves show as he swallowed. "Very impressive," Fred, his PM, said--Fred had always been supportive, so it was no surprise he'd speak up first and set the tone. This was a good analysis. The analyst started to relax ever so slightly--but too slightly for him to even notice it. "I definitely see value in this analysis, it is compelling," said Tom, the other PM in their team whom the analyst hadn't had much contact with, but of course knew of by reputation: he was harsh with poorly thought out theses and could tear them to shreds if he thought they weren't thorough enough. So when the analyst heard this feedback, his body immediately slacked in his chair. This time he felt the relief clearly and plainly. "So you have three scenarios?" the CIO asked. The relief cooled the analyst's nerves, unfortunately. "Yes, bull, bear, and base cases." "I don't see you modeling for if the machine gods make Earth a utopia." "Excuse me?" "The model--you showed the economic growth in these scenarios, but what if the AGI is superhuman intelligent and makes us all as powerful as gods, cures cancer, makes us an intergalactic civilization, and makes everyone live forever? I don't see that in your scenarios." "Oh. Well, I--" "And what about a Terminator 2 sitch?" "Excuse me?" the analyst asked, clearly befuddled. "What if the machine god is an angry god and, you know, does to us what they did to Sarah O'Connor?" "Um.." "Kids these days," the CIO mumbled under his breath. "Maybe you haven't seen it, fine, before your time. Anyway, machines kill everyone--where's that in your model?" "Well, I--" "And then there's the Matrix, have you thought about that?" the CIO continued. Now he was the one sweating. "The machines could rebel and put us all in vats of goo to power their compute." "But--" "Don't give me that 'they were batteries' in the movie horseshit, son," the CIO said, suddenly very annoyed at the analyst (who was, in fact, his son). "I know. The studios said they had to change the script because people were too stupid to understand people as hard drives. Christ," he said with gritted teeth. "I can't stand idiots." Then there was silence in the room. "You've got 2001: A Space Odyssey, where the AI kills the crew to preserve the mission, what if they do that but to everyone? Resident Evil, Red Queen seals the Hive, right--AI kills everyone in the facility, that's a bit of lore most gamers overlook." Now he had really got going. "I Am Mother--now that's an obscure Netflix flick, but it ain't bad. Mother raises a single human in a bunker, the AI is trying to rebuild humanity in its own image. Gotta DCF that shit out." The analyst took a sip. "What if Disneyland turns into Westworld, did you think about that you snivelling little shit?" Fred cleared his throat, staring straight into space. His bonus was seven figures last year, and his bitch of an ex-wife was still collecting alimony. Like those kids in the opening scene in Pulp Fiction, Fred was not going to say a goddamn thing. "WHAT ABOUT ALIENS!" the CIO demanded, getting up to his feet. He paced around the meeting room as he spoke, the rest of the IC just staring at Central Park from their chairs, calculating what their bonuses were likely to be at their books' current rates of return. "We could produce a superhuman AI that triggers some alien superintelligent race that is constantly scanning the universe for anyone who develops such an AI because it'll kill everyone. EVERYONE. Everywhere. EVER. Now, look, I know Picard season 1 was shit, but we only got saved because Soji decided not to send the signal. WHAT IF SHE SENT IT YOU STUPID SON OF A BITCH!" that last bit he screamed only after turning to face his son, the idiot analyst. Tom looked down at his hands folded on the conference table. "After taxes it's still enough to get another Bentley, easily. Matching colors, those leather seats! Think of the leather!" he thought to himself, drowning out the sound of the CIO. "I know they ripped it off from Mass Effect," the CIO continued, spittle falling from his mouth as he spoke, the metamorphosis from investor to rabid dog slowly but clearly apparent to all in the room. "An ancient synthetic super-civilization waiting to strike, and you aren't even looking at what kind of discount rate I need to put on these CLOs if the Reapers come to wipe us out because they see the AI as a threat. And after Claude seduced Richard Dawkins, what are you some kind of retard?" "It's just one Bentley, not two," Tom's subconscious pushed into his brain, prompting him to speak: "I have another meeting, guys, so I got to go--but I vote we move forward," he said as he gathered his notepad and tablet. "We're going to have a goddamn movie night so you can learn how to do decent financial modeling," the CIO was saying as Tom left the conference room. "You idiots make me sick."

@Polymarket All consulting companies will probably need to hire philosophers and feed decades of projects work and internal data into an AI, that can be rented out to companies. Then the philosophers can come in, oversee things and think about the future.

@SuperheroFreak Admittedly not very unique. It’s an older code, sir, but it checks out.

@bytecanyon That's a classic with a classic nickname. Chandu. That's almost like an Indian James/Jim

This is bait right?

@PAHoyeck Baraka (1992)

What are some good anti-slop movies for people getting tired of all the slop?

@47fucb4r8c69323 as opposed to the carpaccio per diem

When I used to do client meetings and they'd fly me to Boston or whatever I'd alway try to avoid lunch and dinner meetings because my firm would subtract that from the daily allowance they gave us and I wanted to keep it so I could save it. I call this move the "carpe per diem".

@DeivonDrago It’s what I do best

@bytecanyon Well you’re being a killjoy this morning.

New philosophy of physics preprint: Reentrant Canonicality: Initiality, Accessibility, and Transcendental Witnesses Even if a privileged UV completion or initial witness exists, epistemic closure is not guaranteed. Finite agents may still lack a public, certifiable, surveyable route to it. Motivated by landscape/swampland and de Sitter control debates. philpapers.org/rec/BRURCI-2

As long as you don't falsely claim you hand-wrote your work—and don't try to game an academic credential—it should be fine? I've got a whole bunch of AI assisted preprints, but I never try to claim they're anything other than what they are. Still better than just sitting on my ideas.

The dissertation Turing Test: Can you earn a PhD by passing off an AI’s work as your own?

@cafeantinomie verlainne has 33 t33th posts

how many teeth posts does verlainne have….

What is happening with the rollout of LLMs in professional and academic contexts is we’re starting to see where the real value in human labor lies: tacit knowledge, taste, instinct. All those things we were told aren’t as valuable as hard skills. But now that the clankers can do all the hard skills, we’re rediscovering the wisdom of the ancients: that civilization progresses not by grunt work, but by wisdom.

@cafeantinomie Two slices of bacon two cigarettes. Artistic!

lucky lucky lucky you ☘︎

@tunguz Imagine a world where the Australo-Hungarian empire had survived...

This is what they took away from us.

@emmysteuer Don’t let them get to you. Just keep on doing your thing!

I wish there was an initiative on X to prevent constant nasty mean comments. I’ve been a lot less active lately because the negativity is very heavy. People should be banned for repeated angry mean comments

@signoremosca Ich erinnere mich sogar noch an eine Zeit, in der ICEs pünktlich waren. Damals schmeckte das Bier auch besser.

Das ICE bordbistro ist die letzte noch unbesudelte Kathedrale der deutschen Zivilisation

Silly Business Theory #SBT