Carm’s Sports Betting Locks

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Carm’s Sports Betting Locks@carmslocks·2h

4-0 L2 DAYS 🔥 D. Robinson o2.5 3PM (-106) ✅ Duncan gets it done FIRST PLAY of the 3rd quarter to make it 4 in a row L2 days. KPJ was a late scratch so this ends up being our only play today. Hitting near 70% post-ASB we’re so locked in 😤😤

3/19/26 NBA Player Prop #2 D. Robinson o2.5 3PM (-106 DraftKings) *Can also play o11.5 PTS* - No Cade tonight which means Duncan is CHUCKING threes, as he's hit 3 or more in ALL SEVEN games without Cade this season and we get a super friendly matchup against Washington. The Wizards are bottom-11 in threes made, attempted, and 3PT% as Duncan has shot 27 THREES in just three games against them this season. WITH Cade he's over in 15/18 wins vs. teams top-12 in pace and 13/16 wins vs. teams allowing the top-10 most points to SG's so as 14.5-point favorites WITHOUT Cade, I LOVE this spot and price.

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Carm’s Sports Betting Locks@carmslocks·14h

3/19/26 NBA Player Prop #2 D. Robinson o2.5 3PM (-106 DraftKings) *Can also play o11.5 PTS* - No Cade tonight which means Duncan is CHUCKING threes, as he's hit 3 or more in ALL SEVEN games without Cade this season and we get a super friendly matchup against Washington. The Wizards are bottom-11 in threes made, attempted, and 3PT% as Duncan has shot 27 THREES in just three games against them this season. WITH Cade he's over in 15/18 wins vs. teams top-12 in pace and 13/16 wins vs. teams allowing the top-10 most points to SG's so as 14.5-point favorites WITHOUT Cade, I LOVE this spot and price.

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Carm’s Sports Betting Locks@carmslocks·1d

GUARANTEE THAT 🧹🧹 J. Kuminga o4.5 REB (-125) ✅ K. Filipowski o2.5 AST (-120) ✅ J. McDaniels o2.5 AST (-156) ✅ I KNEW we had a banger card cooking up today. I rarely like 3 NBA plays in a day we just had to sweep 🤑 Been PRINTING post-ASB LET’S GOOO 📈📈

3/18/26 NBA Player Props *FULL CARD* 🥇J. Kuminga o4.5 REB (-125 Bet365) 🥈K. Filipowski o2.5 AST (-120 Bet365) 🥉J. McDaniels o2.5 AST (-156 DraftKings) I can almost guarantee we hit minimum 2/3 and profit. What I can absolutely guarantee is that these lines will move fast, lock these in ASAP 🔐🔐

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Carm’s Sports Betting Locks@carmslocks·1d

3/18/26 NBA Player Props *FULL CARD* 🥇J. Kuminga o4.5 REB (-125 Bet365) 🥈K. Filipowski o2.5 AST (-120 Bet365) 🥉J. McDaniels o2.5 AST (-156 DraftKings) I can almost guarantee we hit minimum 2/3 and profit. What I can absolutely guarantee is that these lines will move fast, lock these in ASAP 🔐🔐

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Carm’s Sports Betting Locks@carmslocks·3d

3/16/26 NBA Play of the Day T. Da Silva o16.5 PTS+REB (-115 Fanatics) - TDS is finally getting some meaningful minutes in the Magic rotation with both Franz Wagner and Anthony Black out injured. He's over this line in 7/8 games since Anthony Black went down two weeks ago and has seen HUGE volume over the last three games averaging 20.0 & 6.3 on 14.3 FGA's per game. And we get an EXCELLENT matchup here against Atlanta who allow the 3rd-most PTS+REB's to SF's and play at the 2nd-fastest pace as TDS had 15 & 6 and 20 & 4 in two games vs. Atlanta off the bench this season. And now he's seen 30+ minutes in 3 straight games as he's over in 10/12 games with 30+ minutes this season, only missing when he shot 25% or worse from the field. Plus we also have great rebounding upside as he can help off Dyson Daniels and snag 5+ rebounds which he's done in 8 of his last 10 as well.

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Carm’s Sports Betting Locks@carmslocks·6d

FIRST HALF CASHHHH 🤑 D. Robinson o10.5 PTS (-114) ✅ Duncan COOKED with 14 & 2 before halftime, easy first W of the night. Now Filipowski needs 14 points as well and we’ll sweep 👀🧹

3/13/26 NBA Player Prop #2 D. Robinson o12.5 PTS+REB (-114 FanDuel) *Can also play o10.5 PTS* - Detroit hosts the Grizzlies as 15.5-point favorites who allow the 5th-most PTS+REB's to wings as Duncan is over this line in 23/32 home games, 16/23 double-digit wins, and 13/17 games vs. bottom-8 PR defenses to wings. This is great, however, Ausar Thompson is out tonight which is a situation where Duncan has been CRUSHING this line. Duncan has at least 13 POINTS and 15 PTS+REB's in 7/8 games without Ausar Thompson, with his only miss being when he shot 1/7 from three. Duncan takes the MOST threes per game on the Pistons and Memphis allows the 7th-most 3PA at the 7th-highest percentage since the trade deadline. They also play at the 10th-fastest pace as Duncan is over in 19/25 games vs. teams top-12 in pace including 11 & 4 against Memphis earlier this year.

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Carm’s Sports Betting Locks@carmslocks·6d

3/13/26 NBA Player Prop #2 D. Robinson o12.5 PTS+REB (-114 FanDuel) *Can also play o10.5 PTS* - Detroit hosts the Grizzlies as 15.5-point favorites who allow the 5th-most PTS+REB's to wings as Duncan is over this line in 23/32 home games, 16/23 double-digit wins, and 13/17 games vs. bottom-8 PR defenses to wings. This is great, however, Ausar Thompson is out tonight which is a situation where Duncan has been CRUSHING this line. Duncan has at least 13 POINTS and 15 PTS+REB's in 7/8 games without Ausar Thompson, with his only miss being when he shot 1/7 from three. Duncan takes the MOST threes per game on the Pistons and Memphis allows the 7th-most 3PA at the 7th-highest percentage since the trade deadline. They also play at the 10th-fastest pace as Duncan is over in 19/25 games vs. teams top-12 in pace including 11 & 4 against Memphis earlier this year.

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Carm’s Sports Betting Locks@carmslocks·6d

3/13/26 NBA Player Prop #1 K. Filipowski o13.5 PTS (-112 DraftKings) - SOMEONE has to score the rock today for Utah as they're down Kessler, JJJ, Nurkic, Markkanen, Konchar, and George. Filipowski has 13 or more points in 17/21 starts this season without Nurkic and 7/8 without Nurkic and George, plus the added absences of JJJ, Lauri, etc. Not only do we have a ton of injuries to help Filipowski, but this is easily his FAVORITE matchup of his young career. Portland allow the 2Nd-most points to centers as Filipowski averages BY FAR the most PTS per 36 minutes against Portland in his career at 21.6. We had the SAME situation last month with JJJ, Nurkic, Markkanen, & George out against Portland and Filipowski had 15 points. And normally I would worry about foul trouble and a blowout but Utah gets blown out every game and Filipowski always ends with 3+ fouls so these happen every game for him and he still has a great hit rate.

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Carm’s Sports Betting Locks@carmslocks·12 Mar

3/12/26 NBA Play of the Day O. Ighodaro o7.5 PTS (-130 Bet365) - Excellent pricing here as this is at 8.5 with juice over on most books, which matters greatly for Oso who ONLY takes twos and shoots just 49% from the line, so we only need 4 made field goals here to cash. Oso is over this line in 7/11 games with Mark Williams out/limited as well as 13/16 games with 25+ minutes, which he's logged in 5 of his last 6 without Williams. One of those games was back in November against the Pacers where Oso dropped a SEASON-HIGH 17 points on 7/9 shooting as Indy allows the 5th-most points to centers. The Pacers give up the MOST made field goals in the paint at the 5th-best FG% which is PERFECT for Ighodaro who has attempted just 6 shots outside of the paint all season.

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Carm’s Sports Betting Locks@carmslocks·12 Mar

@mikewill567 Let’s just say I wouldn’t have taken it this morning had I known he’d sit tonight 🫠

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Deandre Gaines@mikewill567·12 Mar

@carmslocks Still like with Westbrook out ?

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Carm’s Sports Betting Locks retweetledi

Carm’s Sports Betting Locks@carmslocks·11 Mar

3/11/26 NBA Play of the Day D. DeRozan u15.5 PTS (-114 DraftKings) 🚨On an 11-2 POTD run🚨 - The Kings are in full tank mode which means letting the young guys play, which spells bad news for unc DeRozan. DeRozan has played 30+ minutes just twice since February 1st, and is under this line in 18/24 games with less than 30 minutes this season. And there's almost NO CHANCE he plays 30+ minutes tonight as the 36 year-old is on a back-to-back as he's under in 6/6 B2B's with under 30 minutes. In 11 B2B's this season, DeRozan is averaging 4.3 fewer points on -3.7% FG% and 3.4 fewer minutes. - They host the Hornets as 12.5-point underdogs who allow the 5th-fewest points to SF's and the 3rd-fewest to wings. When playing under 30 minutes, DeRozan is under in 14/18 losses by 5 or more points as well as in 10/10 games vs. teams bottom-13 in pace as Charlotte plays at the 5th-lowest pace in the NBA. Plus 74% of DeRozan's FGA are two-pointers outside the restricted area and Charlotte allows the 8th lowest FG% on BOTH midrange jumpers and non-RA paint looks. It's been 35 DAYS since DeRozan shot 50%+ on 10+ FGA's so granted he likely won't play a ton tonight I LOVE our odds here.

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Carm’s Sports Betting Locks@carmslocks·11 Mar

@QuentinLocks He’s cooked 🤝

3/11/26 NBA Play of the Day D. DeRozan u15.5 PTS (-114 DraftKings) 🚨On an 11-2 POTD run🚨 - The Kings are in full tank mode which means letting the young guys play, which spells bad news for unc DeRozan. DeRozan has played 30+ minutes just twice since February 1st, and is under this line in 18/24 games with less than 30 minutes this season. And there's almost NO CHANCE he plays 30+ minutes tonight as the 36 year-old is on a back-to-back as he's under in 6/6 B2B's with under 30 minutes. In 11 B2B's this season, DeRozan is averaging 4.3 fewer points on -3.7% FG% and 3.4 fewer minutes. - They host the Hornets as 12.5-point underdogs who allow the 5th-fewest points to SF's and the 3rd-fewest to wings. When playing under 30 minutes, DeRozan is under in 14/18 losses by 5 or more points as well as in 10/10 games vs. teams bottom-13 in pace as Charlotte plays at the 5th-lowest pace in the NBA. Plus 74% of DeRozan's FGA are two-pointers outside the restricted area and Charlotte allows the 8th lowest FG% on BOTH midrange jumpers and non-RA paint looks. It's been 35 DAYS since DeRozan shot 50%+ on 10+ FGA's so granted he likely won't play a ton tonight I LOVE our odds here.

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Quentin@QuentinLocks·11 Mar

FADE OF THE NIGHT🫡 DeMar DeRozan U 15.5 Points (-118 FanDuel | #LightTheBeam ) NBA Wednesday Prop #3🏀 ❤️50 LIKES FOR THE NEXT PROP! Time to fade DeMar, because let’s be real, he’s checked out for the year and so are the Kings. They will be without LaVine, Sabonis, Murray, Monk, Hunter and Cardwell for tonight’s game. Thus leaving DeMar and Russ and the tank squad. This game has a 12.5 point spread as both teams come off a game just last night. Even in close games, we have seen DeMar just not come out for the 4Q and play around 22-26 minutes. Hornets need to keep winning to keep Play-In hopes alive, so expecting an inspired unit once again. DeMar in losses on a B2B, has gone under this line in ALL 6 games with less than 34 minutes played…averaging just 8.7 PPG regardless of teammates. He’s had some sub-20 minute games in there. Not only is this a bad minutes spot, this is really a brutal matchup. The Hornets continue to play great defense…7th in defensive rating in L10 games. During that stretch, they are allowing the 3rd FEWEST points in the Midrange and the 8th FEWEST in the Paint Non-RA. This combines for 70% of his scoring production. When he plays 28 or fewer minutes, he’s gone under this line in ALL 6 games this season without LaVine, Sabonis and Murray. Overall just don’t see the minutes being here as the Kings look to continue their losing ways and the 36-year old DeRozan wants nothing to do with this season anymore. LIKE = TAILING❤️

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Carm’s Sports Betting Locks@carmslocks·11 Mar

11-2 POTD RUN 🚀🚀🚀 O. Okongwu o9.5 REB+AST (-130) ✅ COME ONNNNN 🤑 Easy winner as even with a REB taken away he cashes with 4 minutes to spare. We’re absolutely cooking right now why aren’t you tailing yet??? 💸💸💸

3/10/26 NBA Play of the Day O. Okongwu o9.5 REB+AST (-130 Bet365) 🚨On a 10-2 POTD run🚨 - Another just laughable line here given this matchup as Onyeka should SOAR over this. Okongwu has 10+ REB+AST's in 34/47 (72.3%) starts this season including 21/25 (84%) at home. He's also over in 17/19 GAMES vs. teams allowing the top-16 most REB+AST's to centers AND 17/19 vs. teams top-16 in pace. We just so happen to have a matchup with BOTH of those in play as Dallas play at the 5th-fastest pace and give up the 4th-most REB+AST's to centers. And the only misses in those matchups were due to 20+ point losses but they're 9.5-point favorites tonight as Dallas is 2-17 in their last 19 games and Okongwu is over in 20/24 wins as a starter.

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Carm’s Sports Betting Locks@carmslocks·10 Mar

3/10/26 NBA Play of the Day O. Okongwu o9.5 REB+AST (-130 Bet365) 🚨On a 10-2 POTD run🚨 - Another just laughable line here given this matchup as Onyeka should SOAR over this. Okongwu has 10+ REB+AST's in 34/47 (72.3%) starts this season including 21/25 (84%) at home. He's also over in 17/19 GAMES vs. teams allowing the top-16 most REB+AST's to centers AND 17/19 vs. teams top-16 in pace. We just so happen to have a matchup with BOTH of those in play as Dallas play at the 5th-fastest pace and give up the 4th-most REB+AST's to centers. And the only misses in those matchups were due to 20+ point losses but they're 9.5-point favorites tonight as Dallas is 2-17 in their last 19 games and Okongwu is over in 20/24 wins as a starter.

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