Be kind to Grains!

@icooperTrades Still, with all this volatility is there a good chance that the next leg up will happen also in a fast manner like we saw last week?

@ccnicula Not likely after yesterday's sell off. Ill post an update tonight.

#Sugar up 3.4% today and getting close to the bottom of the parallel which will be resistance. I closed my long today just before the close as whilst it probably goes a little higher, I don't want to get greedy. Medium term, I see many #commodities (wheat, cocoa, coffee, rice) all going higher so I am not interested in any shorts for now. BUT if it pulls back to $14 again I will go long again.

@CMoffiziell @Hellmann1899 I liked Dino but when you consider that since the game away at @bayer04_es the performance of Eintracht was , with 1-2 exceptions modest, we all have to agree he was given enough time to rebalance the ship. And now when you see how Riera started we all wished he came earlier …

.@Hellmann1899 hat noch einmal auf das Aus von Dino Toppmöller zurückgeblickt und selbstkritische Worte gefunden #SGE #Eintracht fr.de/eintracht-fran…

@javia316 @icooperTrades @icooperTrades any change of views in cocoa? After 3 days of suffering given the change of month, tomorrow shall be a clear up?

@javia316 @icooperTrades Right! All the supply chain gets more risky hence asking for a premium

#Cocoa continues to get hammered and is down 5.4% today. It is now at the 2900 support level and it conitnues to look a good buy in this area. This is very oversold and there is a bull divergence on the daily RSI. I have just started a long position and looking for a move to at least $3400. NOTE: as with all positions I start. I am prepared to be wrong and will add if it drops lower. Cocoa has a lot of support between 2000-3000 (I have posted my charts about this recently) so I will DCA in and the risk reward here looks very good.

@CMoffiziell @11RIERA11 The man is a genius in all his actions during the past 4 games. For me is astonishing how he transformed Collins over night : playing now left defender and mastermind of the 2 goals against Freiburg. For me Collins was a lost cause since months. I still have my doubts abt Kaua…

Es ist erfreulich, wie präzise @11RIERA11 beim Interview noch einmal auf die Wichtigkeit des Spiels ohne Ball eingeht. Gefühlt geht es in Deutschland seit Jahren nur um das Spiel gegen den Ball und – wenn überhaupt – um das Verhalten mit Ball am Fuß. Riera sagt: "Spieler müssen lernen, dass sie sich bewegen, auch wenn sie nicht der Empfänger des Balls sind. Sie müssen auch das Spiel ohne Ball beherrschen, nicht nur mit Ball. Manchmal muss man sich bewegen, damit der Ball eine andere Linie erreicht. Daran arbeiten wir." Erste Fortschritte in diesem Bereich sind in meinen Augen deutlich erkennbar, der 1:0-Führungstreffer dient in meinen Augen als Beleg dafür. Ich bin gespannt, was Riera da noch kurz- und mittelfristig in dieser Saison bei der #SGE bewirken kann.

@icooperTrades Anyway … I think you are very upset to have missed the chance in selling WTI at 69 ; 75 USD currently on ig.com …

@ccnicula I don't think they will be big movers as I don't think Iran (or any of the other middle east countries) are large coffee or cocoa suppliers. But I am not an expert on the fundamentals side. If anyone else know more, please share????

@ChrisK22115858 @icooperTrades I still hope peace will prevail. It will be a very dangerous move to start a war with all the possible implications. This clown at the White House is a disaster. A medical case

@ccnicula @icooperTrades Today we have obvious reason, don't You hear war drums 😉

#Gold flat today so no change on the chat=rt. Still not fully confirmed the break above $5100 so it is still quite possible to drop back below that level. If it does drop, the orange line is the key support to watch. Above, if it can get a daily close above $5238 I would then favour a move to at least $5420. $GLD $GLL $GDX

@ChrisK22115858 @icooperTrades No down day today in gold and silver dear Krzysztof…

@ccnicula @icooperTrades Precious metals are more complicated for me. Right now oil is "simple", because most important is political premium about $10. The biggest problem is white house locator - or rather his instability 😉

@GDXTrader @rohlfs_werner Man, is end of the month so a bearish stance is allowed

#COFFEE Coffee continues to consolidate just above a clearly defined horizontal support zone, reflecting a market in pause rather than reversal. Bears still hold momentum, as prior downside pressure has yet to be meaningfully challenged, and today’s small inside-range candle underscores indecision and compression. From a psychology standpoint, this type of price action often favors the prevailing trend, raising the risk that this consolidation is simply a bear flag forming at support. Even if bulls attempt a pivot here, a marginal higher close won’t be enough, buyers need to prove intent with a wide-range bullish candle, a close near the highs, and minimal wicks to signal real conviction. Without that kind of decisive follow-through, a bounce remains suspect, and patience is key as the coffee market shows its hand. Access daily technical analysis videos of various commodities including #COFFEE, join our chat room, explore trading strategies, and see my personal trades, all with a focus on commodities and stocks within their markets, at goldeneyeanalysis.com. $JO $CANE $BJO $WEAT $CORN $SOYB $DBA $SGG $NIB $BAL $WOOD $JJG $GRU $LND $ADM $BG $TATE $KDP $SBUX $DUNK $PEET

@ChrisK22115858 @icooperTrades The 10 usd premium you see it as of now or at the potential bounce to 68-69 usd ?

@ChrisK22115858 @icooperTrades I would say that also the previous metals have a political premium of 300-400 usd in gold

@icooperTrades Wonderful take!

#Oil was down early today and looked like it might lose the parallel and the $65 support level. But it has recovered to be up 1.3% currently. This continues to be a bull flag and probabilities favour a move up to the orange resistance line at around 68-$69. I think much of this move is related to people not wanting to hold shorts as we get towards the weekend with the risk over Iran so high. My plan and levels remain the same as the previous days - I would short the orange line if hit on a monday or tuesday but not at the end of the week. I would also short any spike up on military action. #USoil #Crude #Brent #WTI

@ChrisK22115858 @icooperTrades The patience and serenity of Master Cooper in looking at the market instilled in me the most important element : the power of waiting

@ChrisK22115858 @icooperTrades Plus, the weekend is near and you know well when Trump strikes- all previous weekends were kinda a bullish. I played AG short yesterday evening and ON. But now prefer to wait and see how Monday looks like.

@icooperTrades Similar in gold

@icooperTrades Very few people look at the fact that silver gained from last Tuesday about 15-16 usd within 6 sessions. Is this a strong move? Where are the days of Dec- Jan with major daily gains ? Waiting for the elevator now …

#Silver up 4.6% today and having a good move. It's still below the $£92 resistance level and whilst it stays below, this remains a bear flag pattern for me. Probabilites remain in favour of more downside and none of my targets have changed. I have just posted on #gold that social media sentiment has flipped back so bullish that I still think there is more pain to come. The fact I can see so many people telling me that none of the technicals matter and that silver goes up to $200 with no pull backs, makes me more confident that lower will come. As always though, I am open to being wrong and won't get everything right. So not financial advice and everyone comes to their own conclusion.

@icooperTrades Does the long tail of today in cocoa tell a positive story?

@ccnicula It has been stronger in the past couple of days. But it is right at the bottom of the chart so it has less room to drop so should be stronger

#Cocoa has had a 74% drop from the Dec 2024 high and is now into an area with a lot of support that dates from 2008 to 2023 (before the huge run up started). Cocoa still looks weak but from a trading perspective, it is now in a zone where the risk reward looks good. Price is currently slightly below the 3400 support zone and I would want to see that hold today if I was going to enter a long. If 3400 breaks, 2900-3000 is next support and I would buy there if I wasn't already in a position. To the upside, if price can hold 3400, 3760 and 4000 are resistance areas. NOTE: Whilst this is a good support zone, as I have said several times recently, I do not think I will be entering a long at the minute until it reaches 3000 or I see a sign of strength. My concern at the minute is that its below the mid line of the parallel and still looks weak. My entry triggers could involve the following; - A bottoming tail (involving a spike a selling volume and then quick reversal) - Bull divergences on the daily RSI (there are none currently) - a Regain of the mid line of the parallel and 3400 with bull flag consolidation for a few days