Cepheus

2.5K posts

Cepheus

Cepheus

@cepheusgg

chasing consistency and momentum in markets and life

Katılım Ekim 2017
1K Takip Edilen427 Takipçiler
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Cepheus
Cepheus@cepheusgg·
flourishing in my own lane, everything else is just noise be kind, head down and keep grinding
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Cepheus
Cepheus@cepheusgg·
@Bl4ngk intraday it was flipping dVWAP and 1D-rVWAP, with confluence of wVAL / pwVAL / pdVAL, so potential signs of reclaim for me flows could change from NYO, you're right, once the NYO highs were taken again, it was probably shifting from balance to trend, taking out 80.5k at least
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Blangk
Blangk@Bl4ngk·
@cepheusgg How did you gauge that dDay VWAP was going to hold as the high we just created had lot of Buy excess and we also fixed the double top created by Asia and Lon session
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Cepheus
Cepheus@cepheusgg·
$BTC long mean reversion from last night which I decided to hold due to monthly value rotation🫡 bias: intraday bearish, mVAL bullish entry: dVAL sd2 confluence: mVAL / orderflow puke / 2W cVAH I faded opportunities to compound today post NYO (annotations in chart)
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Cepheus
Cepheus@cepheusgg·
this turned out to be an insane rotation day holy shit
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Cepheus
Cepheus@cepheusgg·
I took a scratch on the 1st trade which I longed at pwVAL but momentum continued down forgot to share TPO confluence this is a great lesson on why after a big trending day, it is good to wait for balance to form on the next day, with higher EV long setups for mean reversions
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Magus
Magus@TraderMagus·
You say "gm" I share trading value
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Cepheus
Cepheus@cepheusgg·
$OPEN and $SYM were stopped from the recent weakness
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Cepheus
Cepheus@cepheusgg·
positioned into some stocks based on the daily trends yesterday $OPEN $RKLB $SYM got into $TSLA at the lows 3 weeks back
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Cepheus
Cepheus@cepheusgg·
maybe today's bottom yesterday's top type shit
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Cepheus
Cepheus@cepheusgg·
devastating pa today, grind down but not really lmao
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Cepheus
Cepheus@cepheusgg·
@zedbanana8 i've been a watcher and not a doer, for the past few months on this coin🤣
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Zed Banana
Zed Banana@zedbanana8·
vvv market maker seems to love bear div into sweep of swing low before continuation higher. $20 was a big psychological level tho, so be cautious imho if trying for this setup again:
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Cepheus retweetledi
Kieran Duff
Kieran Duff@kieran__duff·
Trading is three pillars: a data-driven edge, risk management, and psychology. Each one is roughly as important as the others. Most people who fail aren't failing because of psychology in isolation. They're failing because they've got a weak edge, no real position-sizing framework, and the psychological wear is what shows up first in the equity curve. Strip the edge out and the calmest mindset in the world won't print money. Strip the risk framework out and even a real edge gets wiped on the first sharp drawdown. The mind is what carries you through a 4-week losing stretch you've already proven, statistically, the strategy can survive. It's not what generates the alpha. The £1000 psychology course doesn't say that. It can't. The product would shrink. So you get 12-week programmes on managing fear, journaling drills, breathing exercises, and very little on whether your edge actually exists or your sizing is calibrated to your statistics. Where the actual ROI sits, in my experience: networking with traders, fund managers, and people running real businesses. I've learnt more from one good conversation with a working PM than from any paid course. If you want to work on psychology, fine. Work on it. Read the books. Journal the trades. But don't outsource the diagnosis to someone who is selling one product and has every incentive to tell you it's the only thing missing. Edge × conviction × size. Psychology is what holds the conviction together. It doesn't replace the edge or the sizing.
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Cepheus
Cepheus@cepheusgg·
@docXBT love the repetition/routine approach which i've been influenced to do the same! would you think there are trade offs to not trade alts with relative strength setups? or you prefer the consistency and do not see a point at the stage you're at?
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Doc
Doc@docXBT·
My relationship with trading has changed from being in a hyper alert state 24/7 scanning/trading every coin to a daily btc ny session lock in and clock out. Buy cheap spot. Trade some corn. Forget the rest. ex: Long bias today off the pw values. Daily waps as guide. 4 Ws, 1 L.
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Cepheus
Cepheus@cepheusgg·
time to develop new comp above 79k?
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Cepheus
Cepheus@cepheusgg·
@btc_charlie yes pls we need to cook up some new type of gen wealth
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Charlie
Charlie@btc_charlie·
Crypto needs something new like NFTs. Anyone cooking anything like that?
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