Cepheus
2.5K posts

Cepheus
@cepheusgg
chasing consistency and momentum in markets and life
Katılım Ekim 2017
1K Takip Edilen427 Takipçiler
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@Bl4ngk intraday it was flipping dVWAP and 1D-rVWAP, with confluence of wVAL / pwVAL / pdVAL, so potential signs of reclaim for me
flows could change from NYO, you're right, once the NYO highs were taken again, it was probably shifting from balance to trend, taking out 80.5k at least
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@cepheusgg How did you gauge that dDay VWAP was going to hold as the high we just created had lot of Buy excess and we also fixed the double top created by Asia and Lon session
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$RKLB sold 50% here after tagging 1.618 fib
riding the 1H trend for the remaining position until it breaks
I tend to use fibs for price discovery only


Cepheus@cepheusgg
$RKLB in price discovery from daily trend strength
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@zedbanana8 i've been a watcher and not a doer, for the past few months on this coin🤣
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Cepheus retweetledi

Trading is three pillars: a data-driven edge, risk management, and psychology. Each one is roughly as important as the others. Most people who fail aren't failing because of psychology in isolation.
They're failing because they've got a weak edge, no real position-sizing framework, and the psychological wear is what shows up first in the equity curve.
Strip the edge out and the calmest mindset in the world won't print money. Strip the risk framework out and even a real edge gets wiped on the first sharp drawdown. The mind is what carries you through a 4-week losing stretch you've already proven, statistically, the strategy can survive. It's not what generates the alpha.
The £1000 psychology course doesn't say that. It can't. The product would shrink. So you get 12-week programmes on managing fear, journaling drills, breathing exercises, and very little on whether your edge actually exists or your sizing is calibrated to your statistics.
Where the actual ROI sits, in my experience: networking with traders, fund managers, and people running real businesses.
I've learnt more from one good conversation with a working PM than from any paid course.
If you want to work on psychology, fine. Work on it. Read the books. Journal the trades. But don't outsource the diagnosis to someone who is selling one product and has every incentive to tell you it's the only thing missing.
Edge × conviction × size.
Psychology is what holds the conviction together. It doesn't replace the edge or the sizing.
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$RKLB in price discovery from daily trend strength

Cepheus@cepheusgg
positioned into some stocks based on the daily trends yesterday $OPEN $RKLB $SYM got into $TSLA at the lows 3 weeks back
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managed to nail the local top, pulling back now 🙏
strong signs when momentum shifted since yesterday with the loss of 1H trend / wVAH / 1D-rVWAP / dVWAP
didn't manage to take any short tho



Cepheus@cepheusgg
Q2 going as planned bitcoin:native 82-84k has been the first POI which I was aiming for: yVAH / pqVAH / 1D 200ema took a chunk of profit here and left a small moon bag <90k is still on the table, but will hunt for new trades next...
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Q2 going as planned bitcoin:native
82-84k has been the first POI which I was aiming for: yVAH / pqVAH / 1D 200ema
took a chunk of profit here and left a small moon bag
<90k is still on the table, but will hunt for new trades next...



Cepheus@cepheusgg
thanks for playing bitcoin:native trade is still ongoing since its uptrending, but tp'd >50% here and leaving a bag the setup was based on a bullish sweep of pwVAH / weekly open / 4H trend
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