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3 万赚 40 万,老鼠仓内幕被捕。一名曾在 1 月,参与逮捕委内瑞拉总统的美军士兵,被联邦探员逮捕并正式起诉。
这名士兵被指控,通过预测市场 Polymarket,押注这次行动的结果,并从中获利 40 万美元。
起诉文件称,这名叫 Van Dyke 的军士长,在 12 月下旬注册了 Polymarket 账户,从 12 月 27 日到今年 1 月 2 日,他一共下注约 3.3 万美元,分成 13 笔。
其中一些下注,发生在抓捕行动的前几个小时。联邦当局称,Van Dyke 参与了抓捕行动的规划和执行。
他现在面临多项指控,包括非法利用政府机密信息谋取个人利益、盗窃非公开政府信息、商品欺诈、电信欺诈,以及进行非法金融交易,一共 5 项罪名。
预计牢底要坐穿了。


Meguro-ku, Tokyo 🇯🇵 中文

一个普通人用打火机在Polymarket上赚了两万美元,听起来像童话故事,但确实发生了
天气交易最近变得热门起来。
他的个人资料页面:polymarket.com/profile/0x2a35…
事情是这样的:
四月十五日,巴黎的最高气温是十八摄氏度。
#Polymarket 市场上这个选项已经达到了百分之九十九的概率。
在结果确认前三四十分钟,某个气象站记录到温度突然飙升到二十二摄氏度。
而其他气象站仍然显示十八摄氏度。几分钟后,温度又恢复正常。
#Polymarket 正是使用这个特定气象站的数据来确定交易结果。
有人用打火机加热了这个气象站的传感器,人为制造了从十八摄氏度到二十二摄氏度的虚假温度飙升,就在最终计算前的关键时刻。
这让他们赢得了一个赔率达一百八十倍的赌注,将小额投资变成了大约两万一千美元的利润。
为什么没有更多人这样做呢?
说起来,这种操作听起来简单,但风险可不小。
气象站通常有防护措施,而且这种行为可能涉及法律问题。
更重要的是,#Polymarket 肯定会加强监控,防止类似事件再次发生。
这位"打火机交易员"或许只是碰巧发现了系统漏洞,但下次还能这么幸运吗?

中文
chan retweetledi
chan retweetledi

史上最廉价的预测市场操纵案
一支吹风机 + 一台没锁的气象站 = 34,000 美元
让我们跟着 @KayraMeow 一探究竟 ⬇️
0xMedia@0xmediaco
谁能想到,吹风机都能成操纵预测市场的工具! 据 @aaronjmars 的爆料,Polymarket 巴黎天气盘口近日疑似遭遇了一次极其离谱的线下真实 有人盯上了戴高乐机场跑道附近一台几乎无防护的法国气象局温度传感器,提前以极低价格埋伏小概率结果,随后再用吹风机加热设备短暂抬高探头周围温度,让读数瞬间冲到 22°C,最终推动市场按该结果完成结算 整件事最荒诞的地方就在于,攻击者并没有入侵预测市场协议、也没有攻破预言机,更没有用什么复杂的链上漏洞。他只是找到了预测市场结算链条中被忽视的一环:现实世界的数据采集端 该男子分别在 4 月 6 日和 4 月 15 日两次实施相似操作,累计获利约 3.4 万美元。也就是说,这更像是一次有预谋、有验证、可重复的现实数据操纵。法国气象局事后发现异常,并已提起刑事指控 如果一个天气市场可以因为一台裸露探头被短暂加热而被扭曲,那所有依赖单点现实数据源结算的预测市场,理论上都值得重新审视 你在预测市场交易的是概率,还是某个人离气象传感器有多远?
中文

Last month, we published our enhanced market integrity rules to combat insider trading.
When we identified a user trading on classified government information, we referred the matter to the DOJ & cooperated with their investigation.
Insider trading has no place on Polymarket. Today's arrest is proof the system works.
English
chan retweetledi

This guy literally hacked Polymarket with a hair dryer 💀
Happened in Paris.
On Polymarket, temperature bets were settled using a single sensor near Charles de Gaulle Airport.
He figured out the exact location, showed up in person, and placed a bet on an “impossible” outcome 22°C when the market expected 18°C.
Then he pulled out a hair dryer and heated the sensor.
The artificial spike got recorded as the daily high → market settled → he cashed out.
Did it twice.
Walked away with ~$34K.
While everyone’s arguing over indicators and alpha, this guy is out here doing IRL market manipulation.

English
chan retweetledi

holy fuck, a hair dryer at a Paris airport broke Polymarket weather markets & made someone $34,000 richer
- polymarket was settling Paris temperature bets on a single Météo France sensor sitting near the Charles de Gaulle runway perimeter - basically unguarded
- the guy bought the long-shot outcome (like "22°C" when everyone expected 18°C) for pennies, since nobody thought it'd hit
- then he walked up to the probe and briefly heated the air around it with a portable heat source, spiking the reading just long enough to register as the daily max
- temperature snapped back to normal in minutes, the market resolved in his favor, and he cashed out - twice, on April 6 and April 15, before Météo France caught on and filed charges
hyperstitions.

English

Ads are live in the US and Japan.
I've invested 6 figures in $FLORK and haven't taken any profit. Some might call that crazy, but this project is something I genuinely care about.
@HeyFlork is my baby. Seeing it succeed at the level it deserves is the whole point.
We have a 2-year-old community. Real people who've stuck around because they believe in what we're doing. That's not common in this space.
dextools.io/app/ether/pair…
English

@Salihak44894992 well how can the og say they are og if they can't even create a meme by their own ?
stealing is bad but i got your vision the true og will be the one adding value in the long run and not only stealing content from others
English

‘Flork the og lp is here for 3years’
Indeed but the guys who bought this before the100x pump are 2 days old and are using our work to pump the other flork
Here s the original video not cropped ofc
x.com/heyflork/statu…
Bid the real og who provided actual meme to the space
Flork On ETH@FlorkEthOG
Hi yall, something is happening… $FLORK #meme
English

Nature’s own palette 🎨
Happy Earth Day!🌎 🌳
美国黄石国家公园是人生必须打卡的地方之一🥰
如果可以,值得去很多遍!
#EarthDay #Yellowstone #Vibes #Aesthetics
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