Charlton Gunn

@ChrisCamillo @DumbMoneyTV Pokémon is picking up

Should be holiday shopping. Instead knee deep in holiday product social arb research. Anyone seeing anything interesting? I’ll share my best find on this week’s @DumbMoneyTV

@S3XYFuture @TeslaBoomerMama @grok does this indicate Interactive Brokers is overlevered?

I am being told that less than 20% of the $TSLA shares I was holding outright (not on margin, not loaned out) are eligible for voting because of... "firm financing deficit" 🤨 @TeslaBoomerMama

@PrivatEquityGuy “If you could start again and go all in on either realestate or businesses, what would you choose and why?”

Next week I'm having a podcast with a gentleman who manages a $4 billion portfolio with a total of 110 investments. Based on all previous lessons, he has built a well-diversified portfolio of real estate and traditional businesses. "There are a lot of sizable projects that we're managing at the moment. One being to build 10,000 homes." Even though he is relatively low-profile, he said yes to coming on the podcast. What would you like to know?

Trump/Elon War Changes Everything $TSLA x.com/i/broadcasts/1…

@NolanAntonucci I’m keeping a small position into earnings, mainly based on a small PE (although I think this is the case due to the holiday quarter) - I am not confident in this quarter though

$ANF reports on Wednesday. Hollister is seeing continued yr/yr search interest increases, but Abercrombie has stayed flat, so I don't have conviction either way. (What appears to be a recent bump for both doesn't look real when I look at the 30- and 90-day views, and some weird/troublesome news about an old CEO recently throws of search volume and sentiment.) Any thoughts?

@_milankovac_ The person who is being simulated is a great dancer!

Here's a little more, and no cables this time ;) It's all real-time speed, zero CGI, fully learned in Simulation & zero-shot transferred to real. Besides the fact that it's fun, we had to make significant improvements to our robot model in Sim, domain randomization and other techniques which will directly transfer to more practical situations as well (robust walking, and agile full-body control in general). We also learned quite a few things on our hardware and tuned our power profile. I hope it is getting pretty clear that Tesla is much more than an amazing car (!) company: it's the place to be for transformational real-world AI.

Why has the Nasdaq been hit harder than the S&P500? Companies in the Nasdaq usually have higher multiples (PE, revenue multiples, etc.) than companies in the S&P, but… 50-60% of the Nasdaq is software businesses, who are not directly impacted by tariffs. $HOOD $PLTR $QQQ

The sports betting markets have to be some of the most inefficient. Other markets that are reasonably efficient include financial, forex, commodities, energy and crypto markets. These markets do not have clear discrepancies between the true value and a given price.

OVERNIGHT TRADING ON THE LAST DAY OF Q1: $PLTR -5.24% $HOOD -5.61% $TSLA -4.99% $NVDA -3.29% $GOOGL -1.62% $AAPL -1.13% $META -2.19% $AMZN -1.74% $SPY -0.79% $QQQ -1.37% $IWM -0.97% $HIMS -4.94% $SOFI -5.65% $AVGO -3.26% $TSM -1.97% $INTC -1.81% $SMCI -4.26%

5.Call your friends with no reason Many people are lonely. Call one or two friends a week, asking about their work, their relationships and family. You will benefit more than them as you will feel energised after speaking to them.

4.Luck is not real People who perceive themselves as lucky are more successful than people who view themselves as misfortunate. Everything is a measurement of probability, not luck.

5 Most important lessons from Anthony Pompliano’s book ‘How to Live An Extraordinary Life’ 🧵 @APompliano

@adcock_brett This is huge

A fleet of F.02 humanoid robots was shipped today from Figure They are being delivered to our commercial customer and will never return Excited to be shipping humanoid robots into the real world, LFG!!

Flattening UGG search traffic - will begin exiting $DECK this week

Confident to keep my position in $ONON. Uncertain about UGG search volume for $DECK. trends.google.com/trends/explore…

Amazon’s FCF was negative in 2022 and increased significantly in 2023 and into 2024. The improvement in the first half of 2024 is largely the result of the company’s operating margin increasing from 4.76% during 2023, to 10.29% during 2024.

Why Amazon is likely to announce a dividend by 2025 and why a dividend does not matter 🧵

Thank you for reading my thread. Please provide feedback so that I can continue to improve ✔︎✔︎

Overall, this means that Amazon is likely able to pay a dividend. Overall, with Amazon’s ratios being more favourable than 75% of the averages from peers when they initiated their dividend, a 75% likelihood can be attributed to this factor.

Conclusion Based on Amazon’s fundamentals, the company is likely to produce excess FCF. Together with a low debt ratio, macroeconomic risks are unlikely to impact a dividend being initiated.