chart watcher

93 posts

chart watcher banner
chart watcher

chart watcher

@chart_god_v1

I post prediction markets and Asian Baddies

My room Katılım Haziran 2025
11 Takip Edilen101 Takipçiler
Polysights
Polysights@Polysights·
It’s been a while but we’re FINALLY bringing back our insider finder threads Is this the bet that makes our record 21-3? 👀 markets are swinging hard since Michael Saylor's recent announcements This might be risky, but let's dive in 👇
Polysights tweet media
English
13
2
54
7.6K
Polysights
Polysights@Polysights·
Does ANYTHING ever happen? We analyzed every "Nothing Ever Happens" market on @Polymarket and the sub-events they're built from. Here's what we found: → At the specific level, the meme is literally true 102 sub-events resolved. 76 of them, 75% didn't fire. Three out of four specific "doomer" predictions quietly resolved NO. → The composite knows this. The sub-events don't. Mean error at resolution: 4.6 pts (composite) vs 17.2 pts (individual sub-events). The basket was ~4x closer to the truth than the specific markets it was made of. → Head-to-head, the composite wins 37 to 10 When the "something happens" market and an individual sub-event disagreed on price, the composite was right almost 4x more often. → The triggers are correlated NEH composites resolved SOMETHING only 46% of the time. With independent ~25% fire rates across 5 triggers, math says they should fire ~76% of the time. Nothing ever happens. And when it does, it happens to everything at once.
Polysights tweet media
English
13
1
37
2K
chart watcher
chart watcher@chart_god_v1·
I miss my 18 yr old self getting manipulated by the 25yr foid
English
0
0
2
47
Matthias Schmidt
Matthias Schmidt@eurofounder·
My mum is turning 70 today Without her, I wouldn't be this progressive, moral and highly ethical person I am today Thank you for everything mum, I love you so much
Matthias Schmidt tweet media
English
5.3K
958
39K
15.2M
Massimo
Massimo@Rainmaker1973·
Victor Noir's grave in Père Lachaise Cemetery by Patrick Magaud, 1984. This sculpture became a symbol of fertility: it is said that those who kiss it, leave a flower in the cap, and rub it against the genital area will have greater fertility.
English
945
847
13.2K
7.6M
chart watcher
chart watcher@chart_god_v1·
@ryangerritsen trudeau is a performative soy boy that brainwashed canadians really had the whole country thinking he was against racism
chart watcher tweet media
English
2
1
18
1.4K
Ryan Gerritsen🇨🇦🇳🇱
Ryan Gerritsen🇨🇦🇳🇱@ryangerritsen·
“Reducing carbon emissions and fighting climate change matter to me, they matter to Canadians, and they matter to the world.” ~ Justin Trudeau - a fraud.
Ryan Gerritsen🇨🇦🇳🇱 tweet media
English
964
6.8K
68.5K
2.2M
Yami
Yami@YamiPNL·
🚨 BREAKING: CRYPTO SCAMMER FRANK DEGODS MAKES HIS APPEARANCE IN MORGPIE STREAM
English
120
46
1.3K
171.8K
Duke
Duke@dukexbt_·
who is the best founder ?
Duke tweet mediaDuke tweet mediaDuke tweet mediaDuke tweet media
English
305
11
497
39.2K
Shefqet Fejzo🇦🇱
Shefqet Fejzo🇦🇱@ShefqetFejzo11·
Average dialogue between the Balkans
Shefqet Fejzo🇦🇱 tweet media
English
86
1.5K
70.1K
832.2K
Jofa
Jofa@OG_Jofa·
Go back to your Nine to Five b**** ahh N**** 😂
English
234
3.4K
78.1K
5.9M
Polysights
Polysights@Polysights·
We analyzed 20,000+ Polymarket markets from the last 6 months and ranked the most volatile. This is what we found: → Crypto token launches dominate with 4 out of 10 It seems to be pure information asymmetry, very few people can actually predict this → There seems to be deadline anxiety "will X happen by [date]?" tend to be more chaotic than "who will win?" → Chaos flips the prior These markets resolved YES 50% of the time vs 27% across all $1M+ markets. When the market thrashes, the surprise is usually a YES. → Mid cap is the chaos zone Most chaos lives in $1-7M markets. The $10M+ markets are calmer as large amounts of money smooths price action.
Polysights tweet media
English
25
5
66
8.3K
DBCrypto
DBCrypto@DBCrypt0·
Raised 9 figures Generates less revenue than a kid's lemonade stand
DBCrypto tweet media
English
180
189
2.1K
270.9K
Justin
Justin@joostienXD·
Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei is gonna be REAL pissed when he finds out the 72 virgins are women
English
1
0
13
815
Polysights
Polysights@Polysights·
BREAKING: Pete Hegseth "confirms" Mojtaba Khamenei is hiding and is wounded There is now a 68% chance for Iran's leadership to change by Dec 31
Polysights tweet mediaPolysights tweet media
English
7
1
36
4.4K
Justin
Justin@joostienXD·
IT'S OFFICIAL. I am the new CGO of @polysights And as the Chief Goon Officer is it imperative for the company's success that I goon to our insider finder tool 5x a day
Justin tweet media
English
20
1
68
2.8K