Somnath Chatterjee

6.8K posts

Somnath Chatterjee

Somnath Chatterjee

@chatteso

Mumbai, India Katılım Ocak 2011
841 Takip Edilen76 Takipçiler
Somnath Chatterjee
Somnath Chatterjee@chatteso·
@addheeraj Okay Mr. Negative Lal Is there anything which can be more devastative than Covid? Modi survived that in 2024
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Dheeraj
Dheeraj@addheeraj·
In 2029 bjp will face double and triple incumbency in lots of states. Need oil prices to cool down fast. For freebies. But trump ******** is still screwing around🙄
Bong Political Doctor 🧡@bong_politics

@addheeraj If bjp retain UP anyhow & Modiji announces something special in last budget, BJP can cross 250+

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Rishi Bagree
Rishi Bagree@rishibagree·
West Bengal Urban development Minister started stalled metro project on her debut which was stuck for several years. This link will help to complete the entire metro network in the city. Why Mamata stalled it, no one knows ???
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Jeet
Jeet@jeet30·
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Saravanan (மோடியின் குடும்பம்)
This is direct question to @sreeramjvc. In Exit polls Tiruppur North you have predicted easy win for Admk. (Not even tough fight) But infact TVK won by 70,000 votes margin. Did you really do Exit polls? 10k, 20k is fine but how did you miss 70k? From 2025 you are saying you are travelling length and breadth of Tamil Nadu but your prdictions are totally wrong. Overall predictions are wrong and seat wise predictions are wrong. Forget pre poll surveys but how come you badly miss exit polls. We are following for analyis and insights but it seems you are influencing for Admk and not giving analysis. As a true BJP supporter I am having doubts you are paid by Admk right from 2025. Pls explain how did you miss even 70k vote margins in exit polls. Why we need to listen to you in future if cannot even predict 70k margin even in exit polls? @annamalai_k @ikkmurugan @indhavaainko @Dharmic_Jana @HLKodo Link:indiastats.org/tamil-nadu/ele…
Saravanan (மோடியின் குடும்பம்) tweet mediaSaravanan (மோடியின் குடும்பம்) tweet mediaSaravanan (மோடியின் குடும்பம்) tweet media
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Jayess
Jayess@Sootradhar·
Dilip Ghosh, Deputy CM?
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Dheeraj
Dheeraj@addheeraj·
People are reading the summary and making fun of Raga. But i watched the first 2-3 minutes and realized how dangerous he is and this narrative can work if drilled repeatedly
ANI@ANI

#WATCH | Gurugram, Haryana | "3.5 lakh Epstein files are lying in America. Modi's entire history and character are in those files. Trump openly says on his Twitter that he can end Narendra Modi's career in a minute," says Lok Sabha LoP Rahul Gandhi. He said, "If you want proof that Narendra Modi is in control, I'll give you proof right now. Sometime ago, the US-India deal was signed... No Prime Minister could have made such a deal... It was signed under pressure from America... The biggest reason for this is Epstein... 3.5 lakh Epstein files are lying in America. Modi's entire history and character are in those files... Trump openly says on his Twitter that he can end Narendra Modi's career in a minute."

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Somnath Chatterjee
Somnath Chatterjee@chatteso·
@upamanyu95 @ramprasad_c How are 80% Hindus voting for BJP?? If we take conservative Hindu count at 70%, it’s around 65% voted for BJP May be I need to go back to school!!!
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Upamanyu Bhattacharya
Upamanyu Bhattacharya@upamanyu95·
5% is a HUGE gap given its Bengal with such skewed demographics and potential MUSLIM veto vote. BJP had 40% voteshare in the last three elections and TMC’s voteshare was inflated by 4-5% through fake (chappa) voting which got deleted through the first round of SIR. So 8 out of 10 Hindus you would have spoken to in Bengal were expressing COMPLETE DISGUST with TMC. Yes, people are hesitant to speak but only with those who don’t know the art of speaking are completely denied. I get it that surveyors were not able to get proper data as there is suppression via administration but there’s no reason experienced journalists didn’t get the direction correct. It was clear.
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Ram
Ram@ramprasad_c·
In defense of reporters and pollsters who couldn't read the mood in Bengal. BJP won 207 seats. TMC won 80. That looks like an 80:20 landslide. But the vote share tells a different story. BJP got 46%. TMC got 41%. A 5 point gap produced a 127 seat gap. That is the nature of first-past-the-post elections. Small swings, massive outcomes. Now consider what this means for the journalists and pollsters everyone is mocking for "missing" it. If you are a journalist traveling across Bengal, talking to people at tea stalls and rallies, you are reading vibes. You are not running a stratified random sample. And when the actual split is 46:41, vibes will not pick that up. Worse, confirmation bias kicks in. You walk into a conversation with a prior. Maybe you believe TMC's welfare schemes have locked in the rural vote. Maybe you think BJP's urban support is overstated. Whatever your prior, you start hearing what confirms it. Then you encounter a silent voter, someone who will not reveal their preference, and unconsciously fill that silence with your own preference. For the pollsters, the problem is even more structural. Axis My India, one of the most credible firms in the business, refused to release Bengal projections because 60 to 70 percent of voters would not answer basic questions. When that many respondents stay silent, your data is compromised at the source. No model fixes that. A 5 point gap could be within the margin of error for most polls. At that range, everything comes down to how you model the silent voters. How you weight the undecided. Every assumption in that gray zone reflects a judgment call. Judgment is human. So before we pile on, remember what the ground reality actually was. It was not 80:20 screaming BJP. It was 46:41 with a large number of BJP voters staying completely silent. That is genuinely hard to read. For anyone.
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Soumo 🌞
Soumo 🌞@_Epinephrine_·
A part of me want Bhadralok Samik Bhattacharya Babu to be the CM 🙏🙏🙏❤️NO HATE TO SUVENDU
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Sreemoy Talukdar
Sreemoy Talukdar@sreemoytalukdar·
BJP will do well not to underestimate Mamata Banerjee. There's a method behind the madness. She might be old and of frail health, but she isn't planning to retire yet.
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Somnath Chatterjee
Somnath Chatterjee@chatteso·
@viprabuddhi No, look at the margins Diamond Harbour has Metiabruz Kol South has Port Kol North has Beleghata and Entally from where TMC got 30000 leads each Unless, this is sorted, Bajay cannot win these seats in LS BJP must break the back of TMC soon
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do'o kappa
do'o kappa@viprabuddhi·
BJP has done tremendously well in the Greater Kolkata region TMC led in all but one AC back in 2021 AE PC wise leads for BJP 🪷 Barrackpore PC - 6/7 Barasat PC - 6/7 Dum Dum PC - 6/7 Diamond Harbour - 1/6 Jadavpur - 4/7 Kolkata Dakshin - 4/7 Kolkata Uttar - 4/7 Howrah - 3/7 Sreerampur - 5/7 Overall 39/62 The seats BJP lost had large Muslim population or TMC strongholds In next GE, BJP is likely to sweep all 9/9 seats in Greater Kolkata
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do'o kappa
do'o kappa@viprabuddhi·
BJP will win Basirhat PC in by-polls despite it being 45% Muslim 🪷 First Hindu MP since 2004 loading 🚩
do'o kappa tweet media
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Ganesh
Ganesh@me_ganesh14·
With one sided sweep in North Bengal, I think Nisith Pramanik is surely getting a big role. I feel he is getting the Dy CM role. He fits all boxes in Bengal politics.
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H
H@YashViratstan·
Karnataka – 2028 OMR : JDS sweep Coastal + UK : BJP sweep NDA : 140+ Chief Minister : HD Kumaraswamy Deputy Chief Minister : BY Vijayendra We are coming
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Dheeraj
Dheeraj@addheeraj·
So ppl like ENigmous and Ahamed have been proved to be frauds who only used to get West Bengal right because they always predicted TMC win.
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Counter Narrative
Counter Narrative@EraOfNewIndia·
BJP’s path to power in Bengal does not run through its strongholds, it runs through its weakest region: Kolkata, Howrah, North 24 Parganas and South 24 Parganas. 5 regions which will ultimately decide the fate of BJP in Bengal.
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