Cheeseheadjed

@notnicole333 Keep the updates coming, thanks!

Michelin Recommended Boston: Pammys, Thistle & Leek, Wa Shin, Somaek, Urban Hearth, Zhi Wei Cafe, Select Oyster Bar, Toro, Woods Hill Pier 4, Asta, La Padrona, Moeca, Nightshade Noodle Bar, Giulia, Mooncusser, Carmelinas, Lenox Sophia, Neptune Oyster, Oleana

@populationonevr Ok, this is actually an AWESOME update. We all have been clamoring for anything but classics during the week. Phoenix all week and special modes on weekend (like legions) is the best possible outcome, well done! Thank you!!

POPULATION: ONE January Roadmap 💥 24 Player Phoenix Squads Runs Monday (11am Pacific) to Friday (11am Pacific). 💥 LTM Weekend Modes Run Friday (11am Pacific - Monday 11am Pacific). 💥 Sandbox Featured Playlist Update + New Features

#VoteKamala #Vote2024

Does this sound like someone who deserves four more years in the job? You don't have to agree with every policy of Harris (Dick Cheney certainly don't), but she will make rational decisions and keep our country moving forward. The warnings about Trump are very clear. Please vote.

TO ANY UNDECIDED VOTERS: As you make your decision, don't take it from me, the media, or some guy on Reddit, listen to top Republican and Military officials who were the closest to Trump and around him the most for his most important decisions:

@populationonevr I hope this doesn't mean classics only during the week. I understand consolidating game modes, but classic is the worst! The vast majority of players agree. Please keep either Phoenix or evolving during the week

POP1 October Roadmap 💥Halloween Event with NEW rewards + spooky Sandbox playlist 💥Limited time weekend game modes 💥New level 66 progression track reward We will be consolidating game modes (Evolving/Phoenix) to improve the gameplay experience during non-weekend hours.

@awprokop @NateSilver538 could you add some analysis on how this would impact your electoral college model? What percent chance is there that she wins mi, wi, pa but not any of the other swing states?

If Nebraska Rs switch the state to winner-take-all, and it’s too late for Maine to do the same, the impact could be enormous. Namely, WI-MI-PA would no longer be enough to get Harris to 270. She’d need at least one more swing state (NV, GA, AZ, or NC) to get over the line

@NateSilver538 @NateSilver538 seems like she peaked before the convention, and numbers show her coming down from that, not from a convention bounce. Did she essentially get an early convention bounce with all the nomination attention, thus the model should have applied a correction earlier?

Pew national poll shows a tied race, very similar to NYT's Trump +1. Post-DNC, pre-Labor Day and registered voters not likely voters. But another high-quality poll with a huge sample size. pewresearch.org/politics/2024/…

@NateSilver538 @NateSilver538 I know the model expects a 3 point convention bounce in national polls, but is the same true in battleground states, or are those less fluid given the bigger stakes in those states?

There's barely any polling and it's been a long travel day (kind of a bad beat that ATX falls *just* outside the 1500 mile radius where you can fly to Laguardia) so no update today. But ICYMI, here's our take on RFK's withdrawal from the race. natesilver.net/p/we-removed-r…

@NateSilver538 @NateSilver538 could you add a column showing the current percentage lead of the leading candidate? Doing the math for each line is no fun.

Today's update. Another good day for HARRIS, who now leads in our polling average in Arizona and is only 6/10ths of a point down in North Carolina. natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-…