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@cinnabar0x

Katılım Temmuz 2023
2.1K Takip Edilen134 Takipçiler
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derek guy@dieworkwear·
derek guy tweet mediaderek guy tweet media
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JAVID REZA SHAH
JAVID REZA SHAH@viviiluvsenha·
@cinnabar0x @j4yisnotreal I reckon at max around 10% of population is regime supporters. But they're not all basij, probably family members of government workers and stuff like that make up majority of the supporters.
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ژی 🇮🇷🏳️‍🌈
ژی 🇮🇷🏳️‍🌈@j4yisnotreal·
I unfortunately do and theyre the typical IRGC members. His son hates IRI and isn’t religious at all and wanted to study art in uni, and his family literally disowned him for that and kicked him out when he was 17 =) and didn’t let him back until he accepted to study religion in uni
ژی 🇮🇷🏳️‍🌈 tweet media
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Gyro
Gyro@cinnabar0x·
@AnalyticaCamil1 @DGab43 oversized calculators with search engine? So are they are bascially doing the chess/go model where they are finding new moves and seeing which is optimal?
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Analytica Camillus
Analytica Camillus@AnalyticaCamil1·
Well, think of it like this. Large Language Models are essentially just oversized calculators that’ve ingested enough data to be able to guess whatever the “most right” answer to a string of texts/questions is, but they don’t really “understand” anything. If you try to show them genuinely new ideas, they essentially ‘have’ to interpret them in the terms of whatever old data they’ve ingested. But the presence of behavioral psychologists running this program (presuming that the above isn’t just a shitpost), suggests to me that OpenAI is pivoting towards following another tack. Instead of just ingesting enough data to mimic human behavior, they’re probably moving towards an approach of training their models to ask and be able to understand “why is that human picking up that glass and putting it in the dishwasher”? The “why is x + y = z” is something that LLMs quite notably struggle with, they don’t really have any way of just looking at a situation and understanding its general context if they haven’t seen it before.
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Gyro@cinnabar0x·
@Schizointel And have we met any of our flip flopping strategic goals?
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Intelschizo
Intelschizo@Schizointel·
We have lost 42 aircraft of which 24 are drones so that leaves us with 18 manned aircraft losses. Out of these three were friendly fire and 7 were from the rescue operation of the F-15E that was shot down over Iran. 24 aircraft losses spread out across over 10,200 air sorties striking over 13,000 individual targets. With nearly 40% of the aircraft lost from a single event, I don't think that's a sign of US power decline in the slightest.
Phillips P. OBrien@PhillipsPOBrien

Just sent out this post. US losses across the board fighting Iran, but particularly involving aircraft, are revealing worrying signs that US military efficiency is in decline and not what it was. The loss rates are many times higher than Vietnam and Desert Storm. A fish rots from the head down.

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Gyro@cinnabar0x·
@ApexImperialist "cheating is ok when I do it, If you do it it's civil war" talk about cry babies
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JAVID REZA SHAH
JAVID REZA SHAH@viviiluvsenha·
@cinnabar0x @j4yisnotreal The absolute most. Being basij or having basij family gives benefits like easy uni entry, connections, and you won't have your business seized for not fot not working with them. My uncle worked at a hospital and he was basically hassled and taunted by agents everyday. Scary.
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Gyro@cinnabar0x·
@AuthorHFerry @j4yisnotreal if you think this guy is part of the regime and won't support you then your movement is cooked. If this guy hasn't defected and left the regime then no one will
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Gyro@cinnabar0x·
@AuthorHFerry @j4yisnotreal if the regime goes and there isn't any credible alternative inside that is capable of using violence the states around it will act regardless and take territory or make buffer zones. Regime has removed/killed all the feasible alternatives inside so they are right
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H. Ferdosy | ح. فردوسی
The first part of your argument (each their own supporter) is thinking very democratic where Iran is not a democracy atm and the reality on the ground is much messier than that. The second part is a tired 47-year-old line of propaganda the regime has weaponized to prevent an uprising: if we go, Iran will be balkanized. This argument and faux debates on it are still being disseminated by regime propagandists. Perhaps now more than ever, with the regime so close to collapse.
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Gyro@cinnabar0x·
@AuthorHFerry @j4yisnotreal Azeribijan and Turkey also will eat up pieces of the country. So if even they do not want the regime they think they have no choice and don't think there is any credible oppositon. As long as those facts remain thing will not change.
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Gyro@cinnabar0x·
@AuthorHFerry @j4yisnotreal I infact see them discussing that any fracture in the regime could end up "balkanizing Iran" the regime experts/analysts aren't saying "regime will fall" they are saying if the regime falls there is a high probability Pakistan from the east, Kurds from the North west
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Gyro@cinnabar0x·
@AuthorHFerry @j4yisnotreal The top officials represent each protions of their own supporters if they are all united and the guys on the ground with guns aren't killing each but just going after each other on twitter and tv it's more of a disagreement than a full blown oppostion
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H. Ferdosy | ح. فردوسی
That's not how it works. Many of the defectors don't want to risk their lives if they're not sure the regime will fall. And none of them have access to the weapons they don't need to fire immediately. The top officials (the 0.0001%) are still very much aligned one way or another (willingly or via threats), and they call the shots.
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H. Ferdosy | ح. فردوسی
I'm saying many don't support the regime. The regime imported thousands of Iraqi/Afghan/Lebanese militias in January for the crackdown. They wouldn't have needed to if they had enough loyalists to do their bidding. The IRGC, with the help of foreign militia, have silenced all the others. If they express their dissent, they die.
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