Zayan Mir

🚨🇮🇳 The war just made feeding a billion people almost twice as expensive... India is about to pay $935-959 per ton for urea fertilizer. Before the bombs started falling, the same stuff cost $490. That's not a price jump. That's a shock that works its way through every plate of rice and every bowl of dal in South Asia. And India had to take the deal. Monsoon planting season is here. Without urea, you don't get rice, corn, or soybeans. Skip this order and 1.4 billion people start feeling it at the dinner table within months. Here's what makes this worse. India is the world's biggest urea buyer, which means it can actually absorb a 90% price hike. Most developing countries can't. Bangladesh, Pakistan, sub-Saharan Africa, the places where fertilizer costs directly determine whether crops get planted at all. Those governments are looking at these numbers and realizing they simply can't buy enough. Source: Bloomberg