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Might start posting some football betting, trading and gambling stuff on the telegram channel. Changed the photo of the channel also using chatgpt 5. You're welcome to join. t.me/footballtradin…
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Pinturicchio
1.8K posts
Pinturicchio
@commodumaleator
18+ years experience trading football. Specialising in European leagues for pre-match and in-play trading. Horses in-play is the new trend.
London, England Katılım Ekim 2017
37 Takip Edilen2.7K Takipçiler
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@Ballist_Darney @kos_data I actually would. It's completely devoid of any sportsmanship, regardless of who does it.
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@ForzaSunderland Crazy isn't it? No idea how people still use them. All happy about a 66/1 winner while betfair paying more than double that 🤷🏼♂️
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@commodumaleator Worst odds ive ever seen at Cheltenham this week. Barely any value
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Bookies making a killing with their overround for Cheltenham. Their reduction factor is also way out from the exchange. Woody Y Fernandez on the 19:00 Newcastle ended up at 5.9% on Betfair while bookies at 15%.
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Betfair appear to have added an in-play marker on their charts
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@emilborica @FootballKosovo Probability is 18.2%. Austria to not lose is 91%, Ukraine to not win is 45.5% and Wales to not win is 44%. Using betfair exchange which shows the true values not bookmakers. Not bad for 18% chance.
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@commodumaleator @FootballKosovo So there are 3 conditions that have to be met.
„Bosnia (bookmakers: ~0.8), Ukraine (0.4) and Wales (0.4) should not win their last games.“
The probability is hence quite low, somewhere near 10% (0.8 x 0.4 x 0.4).
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Kosovo's play-off path to World Cup as of current standings
Unfortunately we're locked in Pot 3, which means we will play the semi-final (first match) away from Prishtina.
Many things can change on the final matchday, so don't take these opponents for sure just yet.
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@emilborica @FootballKosovo Pots 1 to 3 are based on uefa ranking. Bosnia needs to finish 2 and not qualify directly. Hungary vs Ireland is irrelevant if Bosnia, Ukraine and Wales don't win their last games.
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@commodumaleator @FootballKosovo Where do you see the pots? What about Hungary vs. Ireland? What about Austria vs. Bosnia?
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@emilborica @FootballKosovo As of today Albania is in pot 2 already. Albania needs Iceland and North Macedonia to not lose against Ukraine and Wales to keep pot 2.
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@FootballKosovo As of today, Albania is in pot 3, too. Chances for Albania to be in pot 2 are about 2%.
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Every serbian nationalist crying about the Albanian flag. For them history started in 1912. Try harder and cry harder.
World of StatHistics@Stat_Cult
⛳ Countries with Oldest Flags in History by the Year of the First Use: 1. 🇯🇵 Japan, 701 2. 🇬🇪 Georgia, 1124 3. 🇩🇰 Denmark, 1219 4. 🇦🇹 Austria, 1230 5. 🇱🇻 Latvia, 1279 6. 🇳🇱 Netherlands, 1409 7. 🇦🇱 Albania, 1444 8. 🇸🇪 Sweden, 1470 9. 🇷🇺 Russia, 1696 10. 🇱🇮 Liechtenstein, 1764 11. 🇺🇸 USA, 1777 12. 🇪🇸 Spain, 1785 13. 🇫🇷 France, 1794 14. 🇮🇹 Italy, 1796 15. 🇸🇲 San Marino, 1797 16. 🇬🇧 UK, 1801
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@KirstieMAllsopp The kid just read this while eating dinner at the same hotel!
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I’m staying in a hotel in Switzerland, just had breakfast next to an English couple with one child, probably aged 5, he ate his breakfast watching an iPad on the table in front of him. I know this topic is a dangerous one but when are people gong to wake up to how wrong this is?
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@FTradingAcademy @BetfairExchange Been in the works for ages
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Wow, what's with this new view? Do you guys have it in Betfair Exchange?
#BetfairExchange #Betfair
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We got a close call for the £50 contest!
its between 2 traders.
One backed front runner at the start, and got a move from 3.8 to 2.5 for +20 aprox.
other one got a nice Lay on the FAV at 4, right before the price took off for +30!
but one got diqualified and blocked due wtf content on the profile ( dont even look pls) :D
so @commodumaleator has won another 50, nice B2L trades there!
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@Carl_trader1 3.8 and 3.75 yes. Out mid race average odds 2.59.
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@commodumaleator so in at 3.8 and out at 2.5 mostly?
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Ok another £50 for the best trade on 18:00 Leicester 5f! Say you are in, in the comments, like, and after the race show your trades. Will decide which trade was the best based on the enteritis and exits
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50 pounds for the best trade on 16:20 Salisbury 5f!
like, follow, and say that YOU ARE IN in the comments.
Then after the race send a screenshot of the trades you took and profit you made , post in the comments.
I will judge 100% subjectively though 😀
yes, do not share if scared to reveal your secret strategy!
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£50 to whoever guesses my p/l today the closest
Ends at 21:00 uk time
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I don't think that Inter deserved the final this year but I do think that Barcelona deserved to get out. You'll never see another team sub an fwd for another fws in the last min while winning. You'll never see another team lose a throw in from that position 2 min away from FT.
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